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Interesting. Comments?
http://www.afa.org/magazine/Aug2003/0803milspace.html Air Force Magazine August 2003 Vol. 86, No. 8 How can the Air Force keep funding two major mission areas—air and space? Footing the Bill for Military Space By Benjamin S. Lambeth [EXCERPTS] Of all the uncertainties that currently affect the Air Force's prospects for realizing the near-term promise of military space, none is more crucial than the basic question of how—and at what opportunity cost—those prospects will be financed. Under current arrangements, USAF has increasingly come to shoulder the burden of funding what are, in effect, two major military mission areas — air and space — with an annual budget share intended for only one. Although all of the services benefit from the space product ultimately provided, military space funding comes almost entirely out of the Air Force's budget... Recognizing this growing Air Force predicament, the Congressionally mandated Space Commission concluded in January 2001 that America's military space capabilities are "not funded at a level commensurate with their relative importance." The commissioners voiced special concern that the Army and the Navy are the defense community's largest users of space products and capabilities, but the budget activities of those two services "consistently fail to reflect the importance of space." This pointed up a "dichotomy between the importance of space to the Army and the Navy [and] the funding commitment these services make" which "needs to be addressed..." An aggravating factor is that space applications have become increasingly expensive as the US defense establishment has become increasingly dependent on them. One seemingly intractable cause has been the high cost of space launch, which has imposed a limit on the rate at which the US can expand its military assets on orbit. The constant-dollar price of getting a satellite to low Earth orbit has not changed much over the past two decades. The cost per pound to LEO for most commercial satellites now on orbit ranges between $3,600 and $4,900, depending on the altitude and character of the orbit. The cost per pound for getting a payload all the way out to geostationary Earth orbit is considerably higher—$9,200 to $11,200. Furthermore, the prospect for any substantial diminution in launch costs over the next 10 to 15 years remains dim because of the unalterable physics of chemically fueled, rocket-based launch. There is little near-term technology offering any promise of circumventing this problem. One mitigating factor is miniaturization. It has slowly but inexorably increased the functionality of each payload pound on orbit, making possible the development and launching of smaller satellites. A decade ago, military satellites typically weighed between 5,000 and 20,000 pounds. Now those going to LEO usually weigh between 500 and 2,000 pounds. This means that the cost-per- pound issue may turn out to be less pressing in the future. Further compounding the continued high cost of space launch is another factor. The Air Force is facing an acquisition challenge of the first order due to the block obsolescence of many on-orbit systems now in service and the emergence of a new generation of replacements. Virtually every major US military space system is due for an upgrade or replacement over the coming decade, at an estimated cost of some $60 billion. These include the Global Positioning System satellites, all military communications satellites, and the Defense Support Program constellation of missile-launch sensors. |
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