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Does NASA really save money by reusing SRB's rather than using
expendables? This is something a lot of people I know in the industry have wondered. By the time you recover them, tear them down, ship them to Utah, clean them out, and inspect them, does it really cost less than it would to just build new hardware at higher production rates? I know solids engineers who think NASA can't possibly save money on them. The other red flag is that solid strap-ons have been used for decades by many other countries (particularly Ariane) and other domestic expendable launch systems, yet nobody else reuses their solids. I can understand why other launch organizations wouldn't have use for other aspects of the reusable Shuttle because their missions are different (commercial launches only, no manned or down-payload needs), but it seems to me that solid strap-ons are solid strap-ons... they all do pretty much the same thing regardless of mission or what vehicle they're attached to. Being solids they have robust empty strength and they have relatively short burn times and stage at relatively low altitudes so they are well suited for recovery compared to any other type of stage. Either you save money by recovering/reusing solid strap-ons or you don't, and the fact nobody else flies reusable solids suggests that nobody else thinks it's a money saver, or at the very least the recurring savings aren't enough to justify the up-front investment required. Long after Shuttle SRB's were flying, Ariane V and Atlas V in particular chose to invest in clean-sheet large expendable solid strap-ons. The only things I can think of in Shuttle's defense are that the SRB's are extremely large (perhaps this changes the economics) and they're also more sophisticated than other solid strap-ons, so the hardware cost may be a bigger percentage of the stage cost than most solids, so there's more to be saved by reuse. Assuming NASA doesn't actually save money by reusing SRB's, do you think it is due to: 1) The early Shuttle paper studies suggested they would save money and it just didn't ultimately pan out, and they either can't or don't want to change now. 2) NASA wanted to sell the Shuttle as reusable and dictated the SRB's be reusable for political/marketing reasons, and they either can't or don't want to change now. 3) NASA's accounting is so screwed up that they have don't have usable data to accurately calculate the cost difference between reusable and expendable SRB's, so they have no idea if they should change. 4) NASA's management has no incentive to expend the effort required to find out if reuse actually saves money because discovering expendables are cheaper only makes them look bad, so even if the data is out there managment wouldn't want to gather and analyze it. |
#2
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The Apprentice wrote:
Does NASA really save money by reusing SRB's rather than using expendables? It's apparently something of a wash, but the numbers I've seen indicate a slight edge for reusability. Both expendable and reusable RSRMs would get substantially cheaper at substantially higher flight rates The other red flag is that solid strap-ons have been used for decades by many other countries (particularly Ariane) and other domestic expendable launch systems, yet nobody else reuses their solids. Soyuz has launched over 6000 of their strap on liquid boosters, and haven't recovered a one. Would they be cheaper recoverable? Dunno. At thier flight rate... probably. I can understand why other launch organizations wouldn't have use for other aspects of the reusable Shuttle because their missions are different (commercial launches only, no manned or down-payload needs), but it seems to me that solid strap-ons are solid strap-ons... they all do pretty much the same thing regardless of mission or what vehicle they're attached to. Being solids they have robust empty strength and they have relatively short burn times and stage at relatively low altitudes so they are well suited for recovery compared to any other type of stage. Titan III solids were seriously examined for reusability. Being steel cases, that made sense. However, a lot of modern solids are smaller and made from composites, like the GEM motors, of which somethign like 800+ have flown; the GEMs static test fired on the pad have shown that they are *not* refurbishable. Either you save money by recovering/reusing solid strap-ons or you don't, Same goes with liquid. Assuming NASA doesn't actually save money by reusing SRB's, do you think it is due to: 1) The early Shuttle paper studies suggested they would save money and it just didn't ultimately pan out, and they either can't or don't want to change now. One issue would be cranking up the productionr ate of the case segments. This is non-trivial. I gather the lead time for a new segemnt is on the order of *years*. -- "The only thing that galls me about someone burning the American flag is how unoriginal it is. I mean if you're going to pull the Freedom-of-speech card, don't be a hack, come up with something interesting. Fashion Old Glory into a wisecracking puppet and blister the system with a scathing ventriloquism act, or better yet, drape the flag over your head and desecrate it with a large caliber bullet hole." Dennis Miller |
#3
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Scott Lowther wrote in
: The other red flag is that solid strap-ons have been used for decades by many other countries (particularly Ariane) and other domestic expendable launch systems, yet nobody else reuses their solids. Soyuz has launched over 6000 of their strap on liquid boosters, and haven't recovered a one. Would they be cheaper recoverable? Dunno. At thier flight rate... probably. If anything your point about Soyuz raises the question whether reuse of strap-ons *in general* saves money. If it did wouldn't *somebody* in the world (besides NASA) have at least tried it, after concluding it had potential during their paper studies? The Soviets spent a staggering amount of money developing the Energia/Buran system from scratch -- why didn't they spend a tiny fraction of that at some point to make Soyuz strap-ons reusable -- amoritized over the *thousands* of Soyuz stage- flights? If nobody has done something (reusing stages), it's wrong to say we know it's a good idea. This is one thing I've grown tired of hearing from people in the industry as if it's a proven fact (somehow apparently known by everyone except those who choose never to build them). We have two data points on reusable space vehicles that have been built and flown: Shuttle and Buran. While it's true that Buran was cancelled for cost/benefit reasons, since it was such a blatant copy of the Shuttle I think we can say it isn't a second independent data point. So that leaves us with only one data point -- the Shuttle, and we know it was a failure on cost/benefit. All the other talk of reusable systems are simply speculation or at best paper studies. For all we know there are problems common to any reusable system that we haven't identified yet because we haven't built more than one system to see the pattern. The fact nobody besides NASA has tried to do it suggests others don't believe it's a good idea. That's not to say they can't all be wrong (since nobody tried it), but the fact that many minds from many cultures have looked at the same issue and come to the same decision is something we shouldn't ignore. Personally I think there's more potential for reusing strap-ons than any other stage, and I hope that somebody actually builds one to get us more data on their advantages/disadvantages. Odds are it will take several iterations before we get to something that doesn't have unexpected problems and comes out ahead on cost, or it may simply prove that expendables are always cheaper. I hear the Air Force wants to do a demo, though I doubt they'll have the money as long as we're in Iraq. Titan III solids were seriously examined for reusability. Being steel cases, that made sense. However, a lot of modern solids are smaller and made from composites, like the GEM motors, of which somethign like 800+ have flown; the GEMs static test fired on the pad have shown that they are *not* refurbishable. Yes, I figured small solids would be less suitable than large ones for reuse. That's why I cited Atlas-V and Ariane-V as examples, because they have large solids. As you point out Titan is also something to look at, though I chose to use examples of recent designs that are currently in production. Either you save money by recovering/reusing solid strap-ons or you don't, Same goes with liquid. Yes, but with liquids there tend to be a lot more differences in terms of engine design & cost, stage size, burn time, etc that make blanket statements about them less appropriate. Strap-on solids have a lot more in common with each other than their liquid counterparts have with each other, so we can draw conclusions about solid strap-ons as a group with greater confidence than we can with their liquid counterparts. Soyuz, if memory serves, uses peroxide powered turbines to pump storable propellants in a strap-on application. Titan used storables to power their turbines and they were 1st stage engines rather than strap-ons. SSME is a closed-cycle high pressure LOX/LH2 main engine located apart from its tanks. And so on. My point is that there tends to be a lot of factors with liquids that complicate apples-to-apples comparisons and the ability to assess their potential for reusability. One issue would be cranking up the productionr ate of the case segments. This is non-trivial. I gather the lead time for a new segemnt is on the order of *years*. Yes, I wasn't trying to suggest that it would be trivial for NASA to switch. "NASA can't change" = might have cost less if chosen from the start, but future recurring saving don't justify the cost of changing now, or it is a political impossibility. "NASA won't change" = would still save money going forward but are too stupid or conservative to make the right decision. |
#4
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On Sat, 27 Aug 2005 12:56:20 -0500, in a place far, far away, The
Apprentice made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that: Scott Lowther wrote in : The other red flag is that solid strap-ons have been used for decades by many other countries (particularly Ariane) and other domestic expendable launch systems, yet nobody else reuses their solids. Soyuz has launched over 6000 of their strap on liquid boosters, and haven't recovered a one. Would they be cheaper recoverable? Dunno. At thier flight rate... probably. If anything your point about Soyuz raises the question whether reuse of strap-ons *in general* saves money. There is no simple answer to that question. It depends largely on the flight rate. Few if any existing launch systems currently have a high enough flight rate to justify reusability. |
#5
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![]() "Rand Simberg" wrote in message ... On Sat, 27 Aug 2005 12:56:20 -0500, in a place far, far away, The Apprentice made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that: Scott Lowther wrote in : The other red flag is that solid strap-ons have been used for decades by many other countries (particularly Ariane) and other domestic expendable launch systems, yet nobody else reuses their solids. Soyuz has launched over 6000 of their strap on liquid boosters, and haven't recovered a one. Would they be cheaper recoverable? Dunno. At thier flight rate... probably. If anything your point about Soyuz raises the question whether reuse of strap-ons *in general* saves money. There is no simple answer to that question. It depends largely on the flight rate. Few if any existing launch systems currently have a high enough flight rate to justify reusability. One reason I have heard for reusing (or at least recovering) Shuttle SSBs is the opportunity for the engineers to see the condition of the boosters after their use and how well, or not, their design has performed. |
#6
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On Sat, 27 Aug 2005 19:35:19 +0000 (UTC), in a place far, far away,
"John Burch" made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that: If anything your point about Soyuz raises the question whether reuse of strap-ons *in general* saves money. There is no simple answer to that question. It depends largely on the flight rate. Few if any existing launch systems currently have a high enough flight rate to justify reusability. One reason I have heard for reusing (or at least recovering) Shuttle SSBs is the opportunity for the engineers to see the condition of the boosters after their use and how well, or not, their design has performed. If so, that's a new one, post-Challenger. The original idea was to save money through reuse. |
#7
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"John Burch" wrote in
: One reason I have heard for reusing (or at least recovering) Shuttle SSBs is the opportunity for the engineers to see the condition of the boosters after their use and how well, or not, their design has performed. I doubt that could possibly have been a real consideration when the Shuttle was being defined. After all, expendable solids are recovered and evaluated. Solid cases regardless of reusability tend to survive intact because of the pressure loads they're designed for. I'm curious how much they recovered Saturn-V 1st stages and inspected them. |
#8
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John Burch wrote:
One reason I have heard for reusing (or at least recovering) Shuttle SSBs is the opportunity for the engineers to see the condition of the boosters after their use and how well, or not, their design has performed. There is considerable truth in that. And the sorta-converse is also true: one (minor) reason why GEMs aren't recovered, and no effort made to even try to fish one out, is because they *don't* want to see just how ratty the things look. As with the ET foam thing, the less you know, the less you have to explain. -- "The only thing that galls me about someone burning the American flag is how unoriginal it is. I mean if you're going to pull the Freedom-of-speech card, don't be a hack, come up with something interesting. Fashion Old Glory into a wisecracking puppet and blister the system with a scathing ventriloquism act, or better yet, drape the flag over your head and desecrate it with a large caliber bullet hole." Dennis Miller |
#9
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Rand Simberg wrote:
There is no simple answer to that question. It depends largely on the flight rate. Few if any existing launch systems currently have a high enough flight rate to justify reusability. You seem to be implying that high flight rate favors reuse of strap-on solid boosters; I'm curious as to your reason for this? Usually the main reason for economy of scale comes from the fact that you can use more automation and still cover your fixed costs; and I would have thought the activity of rolling new boosters off a production line, was a lot more amenable to automation than the activity of fishing used boosters out of the sea, shipping them back to the factory, disassembling, cleaning and inspecting etc? -- "Always look on the bright side of life." To reply by email, replace no.spam with my last name. |
#10
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On Tue, 30 Aug 2005 19:02:14 +0100, in a place far, far away, Russell
Wallace made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that: Rand Simberg wrote: There is no simple answer to that question. It depends largely on the flight rate. Few if any existing launch systems currently have a high enough flight rate to justify reusability. You seem to be implying that high flight rate favors reuse of strap-on solid boosters; I'm curious as to your reason for this? Because there are high fixed costs that have to be amortized over the number of flights. Usually the main reason for economy of scale comes from the fact that you can use more automation and still cover your fixed costs; and I would have thought the activity of rolling new boosters off a production line, was a lot more amenable to automation than the activity of fishing used boosters out of the sea, shipping them back to the factory, disassembling, cleaning and inspecting etc? Whether or not it's automated or not is a separate issue. Either way, small levels of activity don't justify reusable systems, large ones do. |
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