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Frank J. Tipler, "A Liberal Utopia", *Humane Studies Review*, Vol. 6,
No. 2 (Winter 1988-1989), pp. 4-5. Part of "*The Fatal Conceit* by F. A. Hayek: A Special Symposium" by the Institute for Humane Studies. PDF, 7835507 bytes, MD5: b97778a738938ccc6c051908d09e8529. http://wayback.archive.org/web/20030.../issues/37.pdf , http://webcitation.org/6J33c7Or3 , http://pdf-archive.com/2013/08/22/ti...ral-utopia.pdf , http://mirrorcreator.com/files/QB4SZIC0/ , http://rghost.net/48295424 ---------- A Liberal Utopia by Frank J. Tipler Department of Mathematics and Department of Physics Tulane University New Orleans, Louisiana USA *The Fatal Conceit*, the first of a projected 22 volume set of Friedrich A. Hayek's collected works, is a magnificent summary of the fundamental ideas underlying his lifelong opposition to the errors of socialism, to the ridiculously conceited idea that a social order intentionally planned in a single human mind (or in at most a few minds) can be superior to the spontaneously evolved market order, an order that integrates in the only possible way the knowledge contained in the minds of the entire human race. Chapters 2 and 3 contain the best available short history of the development of the market order, showing how free trade and the production of goods unhindered by the state were responsible for the birth and growth not merely of western civilization, but also of every civilization--for example, ancient Egyptian, Meso-American, Chinese, Greek--of which we have knowledge. Further, the growth was stopped in all known civilizations, and replaced by stasis or collapse, not by processes inherent in the free market, but rather by government intervention preventing by one means or another the voluntary exchange of goods and ideas. So why is classical liberalism not universally accepted? Why has there instead been throughout most of this century a reactionary movement toward socialism, that most primitive of social orders? There are several reasons, which Hayek discusses at length in *The Fatal Conceit*, but let me here concentrate on one, emphasized by Hayek and possibly the most important: the static world-view of the overwhelming majority of intellectuals now and throughout history. Change is not seen as a basic explanatory category, but rather pictured as an illusion. Aristotle and most of the later Greek philosophers championed a static cosmos, in which all time was cyclic. As a consequence, they could not imagine a biological organism or a civilization arising by evolution. Any order in their view simply had to be eternally present. Modern intellectuals are forced by an enormous amount of empirical evidence to accept the fact of evolution as the mechanism that generated the order found in biological organisms, but they revert to stasis whenever possible. This is seen even in physics: the cosmology invented by the socialist Albert Einstein was a forever unchanging (in the large) *static* universe, and the cosmology defended by the socialist Fred Hoyle (invented after the evidence for the expansion of the universe became overwhelming) was a steady state universe, a cosmology as close to unchanging as the evidence would permit. Socialist economists base their work on equilibrium analysis in which the essential temporal aspects of the market order are eliminated. The equations upon which the entire argument for the possibility of a planned society are based are *static* algebraic equations for the products in terms of the factors of production. The very possibility of new products, and new ways of producing them, is left out of the mathematics. Even the socialist utopias, the ideal socialist societies, are static perfections, as was Plato's *Republic*. Once Marx's classless society is reached, no further evolution is possible or necessary. A liberal utopia--something Hayek has repeatedly urged us to develop--must in contrast be an evolving society, a society in which continuous change (in the economy; in the peaceful relationships between people; and even in the nature of people, liberalism being non-racist by definition) is fundamental. The *only* constant in a liberal utopia is liberty: the unchanging right of all individuals to exercise sole dominion over their own lives, living in whatever manner they choose, provided only that they do not forcibly interfere with the equal right of others to live in whatever manner they choose. Since a liberal utopia makes use of enormously more knowledge than can be coded in a single human brain, or in a single supercomputer, it is utterly impossible to describe in detail how such a society would evolve. But all real societies are constrained by the laws of physics. These laws, and only these laws, limit a liberal utopia. Much nonsense has been written on the physical limits to economic growth by physicists who are ignorant of economics. A correct analysis of the physical limits to growth is possible only if one appreciates Hayek's insight that what the economic system produces is not material things, but immaterial knowledge: "" traders and merchants ... [are] engaged in something like the transformation of the non-material in altering the value of goods. How could the power of things to satisfy human needs change without a change in their quantity? It remains hard for many to accept that quantitative increases of available supplies of physical means of subsistence and enjoyment should depend less on the visible transformation of physical substances into other physical substances than on the shifting about of objects which thereby change their relevant magnitudes and values. (pp. 90,92) "" So the only ultimate physical limits to economic growth are the limits imposed by physics on the growth of knowledge. What is "knowledge"? We don't know how to frame a precise definition, but roughly speaking, "knowledge" is "information"--in the sense a physicist or computer scientist uses that word--that has been "tested" by experience. We don't know how to define "tested" (this is why we can't give a precise definition of "knowledge"), but we don't need to know what "tested" means in order to derive the limits to the growth of knowledge: since knowledge is a form of information, the physical limits on information processing are also limits to knowledge growth. Information processing is constrained by the first and second laws of thermodynamics. These laws imply that the maximum amount of information that can be processed at a given temperature T is I = E/(k*T*ln[2]) where E is the energy available for processing, (ln[2]) is the natural logarithm of 2, and k is Boltzmann's constant. Now any temperature T we can use is greater than the temperature of the background radiation, which is 3 degrees on the Kelvin scale, and if we limit ourselves to operations on Earth, the greatest available energy is E = M*c^2, where M is the mass of the Earth. Thus an absolute upper bound to knowledge and hence economic growth on Earth in the present epoch is 10^64 bits. By comparison, an upper bound to the information coded in the present economic system is 10^25 bits. One can derive a number of upper bounds on the total amount of knowledge and on the rate of growth of knowledge (see sections 3.7 and 10.6 of my book with John D. Barrow, *The Anthropic Cosmological Principle* [Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1986], hereafter *ACP*, for details). The importance of these limits is that they are enormously greater than the limits to growth incorrectly obtained by the physicists ignorant of economics. Since only the free market can establish money values, and since the free market has not given us an average money equivalent of knowledge in bits (such a quantity is probably as meaningful as the Marxist average labor cost), it is impossible to convert the above estimates into ultimate limits of wealth measured in dollars. However, if it is possible to increase our wealth on Earth by the same percentage that it is possible to increase the energy efficiency of our computers--not unreasonable, considering that the computer industry will generate a greater and greater percentage of the total wealth in the future--then it is possible to increase the total wealth of the earth-bound human race by a factor of *one hundred billion* before running into the limits to growth imposed by physics. These numbers show that, contrary to the claims of the limits-to-growth statists, there are no immediate physical barriers to a liberal utopia, in which change is marked by ever-increasing wealth. These numbers also support the conclusion of chapter 8 of *The Fatal Conceit*: "... there is no danger whatever that, in any foreseeable future with which we can be concerned, the population of the world as a whole will outgrow its raw material resources ... (p. 125)". But a true utopia is concerned with the ultimate future, not merely with the immediate future. A liberal utopia must picture not just progress over the next hundred or thousand years, but unlimited progress until the end of time itself! I thus disagree with Hayek's view that market forces will stop population growth before the human population can run out of raw materials. Market forces could and would stop population growth if it became necessary; but I don't think it will ever be necessary (except regionally, which as Hayek points out, may be necessary even now). Rather, I think one must also apply to the long-term development of civilization Hayek's brilliant insight: "*It is not the present number of lives that evolution will tend to maximise but the prospective stream of future lives*". (Hayek's italics; *The Fatal Conceit*, p. 132.) Thus, provided that the laws of physics permit it, evolution will tend, in the long run, to increase the number of lives without limit. Since, if life remains on this single planet for all future time, the number of lives must be limited, and worse, in the very far future life must inevitably die out (since information processing has an upper finite bound; see section 3.7 of *ACP* for details), it follows from Hayek's own evolution principle that it is highly likely our civilization will expand beyond our planet at some point in the future. A liberal utopia simply cannot be forever restricted to a single planet. A single planet is finite, whereas a liberal utopia must envisage total knowledge and wealth increasing without limit. It can be shown (see section 10.6 of *ACP* for details) that it is physically possible for a space-based civilization to expand its knowledge, total wealth, and number of lives without limit, literally to infinity at the end of time. A true liberal utopia is physically possible, and a consequence of Hayek's melioristic world-view. #################### For much fuller details on what physicist and mathematician Prof. Frank J. Tipler wrote about in his foregoing paper regarding how physics allows unlimited progress by civilizations--to literally infinite intelligence and power--see my following article on Tipler's Omega Point cosmology, which is a proof (i.e., mathematical theorem) of God's existence per the known laws of physics (viz., the Second Law of Thermodynamics, General Relativity, and Quantum Mechanics), and the Feynman-DeWitt-Weinberg quantum gravity/Standard Model Theory of Everything (TOE), which is also required by said known physical laws. The Omega Point cosmology has been published and extensively peer-reviewed in leading physics journals. James Redford, "The Physics of God and the Quantum Gravity Theory of Everything", Social Science Research Network (SSRN), Sept. 10, 2012 (orig. pub. Dec. 19, 2011), 186 pp., doi:10.2139/ssrn.1974708; PDF, 1741424 bytes, MD5: 8f7b21ee1e236fc2fbb22b4ee4bbd4cb. http://ssrn.com/abstract=1974708 , http://archive.org/details/ThePhysic...OfEveryth ing , http://theophysics.host56.com/Redfor...ics-of-God.pdf , http://alphaomegapoint.files.wordpre...ics-of-god.pdf , http://sites.google.com/site/physico...ics-of-God.pdf Additionally, in the below resource are six sections which contain very informative videos of Prof. Tipler explaining the Omega Point cosmology and the Feynman-DeWitt-Weinberg quantum gravity/Standard Model TOE. The seventh section therein contains an audio interview of Tipler. A number of these videos are not otherwise online. I also provide some helpful notes and commentary for some of these videos. James Redford, "Video of Profs. Frank Tipler and Lawrence Krauss's Debate at Caltech: Can Physics Prove God and Christianity?", alt.sci.astro, Message-ID: , 30 Jul 2013 00:51:55 -0400. https://groups.google.com/forum/#!to...ro/KQWt4KcpMVo , http://archive.is/a04w9 , http://webcitation.org/6IUTAMEyS The plain text of this post is available at: TXT, 42423 bytes, MD5: b199e867e42d54b2b8bf6adcb4127761. http://mirrorcreator.com/files/JCFTZSS8/ , http://ziddu.com/download/22782349/ , http://freakshare.com/files/i2ehznsj...ideos.txt.html ---------------------------------------- James Redford, author of "Jesus Is an Anarchist", Social Science Research Network (SSRN), Dec. 4, 2011 (orig. pub. Dec. 19, 2001), doi:10.2139/ssrn.1337761, http://ssrn.com/abstract=1337761 , http://theophysics.host56.com/anarchist-jesus.pdf , http://webcitation.org/66AIz2rJw Theophysics: God Is the Ultimate Physicist (a website with information on Prof. Frank J. Tipler's Omega Point Theorem and the quantum gravity Theory of Everything [TOE]) http://theophysics.host56.com , http://theophysics.ifastnet.com |
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