Latest Geomagnetic and Auroral Activity Conditions - Solar TerrestialDispatch

It is now clear that the Earth has passed almost entirely through the
outer sheath region of the solar disturbance, missing all but a small
non-geoeffective corner of the CME core where the most disturbed
conditions exist. The disturbance is gradually decaying and is not
expected to produce significant levels of auroral activity as was
previously thought possible.



The next CME disturbance is predicted to arrive sometime during the
latter half of 25 October or the early half of 26 October (UTC time),
with a preferred estimated arrival time near 02:00 UTC on 26 October
(this is equivalent to 10 pm EDT on 25 October, or the evening of
Saturday night for North America).
There will be a chance for renewed storm activity and visible auroral
activity over many middle latitude regions when this disturbance
arrives. This is not a prediction that auroral activity WILL become
visible. Rather, it is a notice that the potential for auroral activity
becoming visible is higher than normal.