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Sea Dragon Derived Heavy Lift Launcher
http://www.scribd.com/doc/45631474 Here is a brief study I've done after reviewing the Sea Dragon concept by Bob Truax. This pressure fed system uses common materials and techniques to build very large launchers at very low cost. As a result, the structure is 9x heavier than it might be using more advanced techniques. The benefit is that the construction is 1% the cost of that typical of aerospace construction, while the system is far more robust. As for propellant. I use solar derived hydrogen and oxygen from sea water using a solar panel I have developed that produces hydrogen and oxygen at a cost of $100 per 9 kiloliters of water processed into 9 metric tons of oxygen and hydrogen. Since the oxygen/hydrogen ratio is 6 to 1 for an efficient engine - we pay $128.57 per tonne of propellant. A 266,000 tonne propellant load then costs $34,200,000 - but the 78,800 tonnes of excess oxygen generate $15,900,000 in sales - reducing the total cost of propellant to $18,700,000 - vehicle handling and processing cost $1,250,000 - which brings the total cost to $19,950,000 per launch. The payload put into orbit is 20,000 metric tons. The mass of nearly 7 fully loaded Saturn V moon rockets. In operation the seven flight elements are towed to the launch point and released. They flip into the vertical position and use azimuth thrusters to dock with one another. They connect their cross-feed lines. The system then launches. The first stage drains four of the seven elements. The second stage two of the three remaining elements. The final stage goes into orbit. All elements re-enter and slow to subsonic speeds ballistically. They then deploy wings turning into a low speed glider, and settle down like a sea plane onto the surface of the ocean. The wings are retracted and the elements are then met by a tug and towed back to port for refueling and reuse. William Mook |
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Sea going vessels today cost $5,181 per metric ton of construction
judging by current costs from major builders. Achieving that cost here allows us to estimate that each 9,000 tonne structure will likely cost $52,362,000 and that all 7 will cost $366,534,000. The flotation systems ans support ships will likely cost an additional $180 million based on size and complexity- a total of $547 million plus development costs. This is far less than an land based system. Existing piers and dock yards are used - there is a surplus of ship building capacity. A small 'space yacht' system 1/1000th the mass and 1/10th the dimension, of the larger system would still put 20 metric tons on orbit and should cost $547,000! plus development costs of course, which are very much the same. Obviously a sub-scale system will be built to act as a laboratory for the full-scale system - which will have a few challenges of its own due to size. The sub-scale system is 3.2 (10.5 ft) meter diameter and 17.5 (57.4 ft) meter length - masses 9 tonnes empty carrying 38 tonnes of propellant (5.43 tonnes hydrogen, 32.57 tonnes oxygen) The primary structure is 4.7 metric tons. The mass budget for all the hardware is 9.0 metric tons. The structure is semi-monocoque, like the original ET, with largely the same structure http://www.lockheedmartin.com/ssc/mi...ank/index.html Instead of being made of fusion welded aluminum lithium alloy chemically etched to fine tolerances, the sub-scale system uses 1.15 mm thick sheet of AISI 302 cold rolled stainless steel pressed into shape and laser cut. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1NsM0-9_n3Q http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uio9cvDJszs http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lTFzi-UKnfs http://www.custompartnet.com/wu/sheet-metal-forming Parts are laser welded on jigs into sub-assemblies that are then assembled with non-metal parts - like insulation, electronics, absorbers, actuators, etc., and bolted together. The bolts are then welded in place to form the final system. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4TJur00-R8k Generally speaking sheet steel is cut or punched to shape on the flat, then formed into a 3D shape by pressing rolling spinning or folding. The parts are then trimmed and joined and welded together. These operations are routinely carried out at shipyards and machine shops with high precision. The engine is regeneratively cooled at the throat, with film cooling at the hottest parts. Radiatively cooled further along the expansion nozzle. Cryogenic liquids are stored in insulated steel tanks housed within a protective stainless steel outer shell. All these elements must be put together and programmed, along with all the tooling, and measurement systems put in place to measure results and modify operations... for the sub scale system. This is a $20 million effort - including the construction of a half dozen test articles and three flight weight systems ($6 million of the total) and will take 18 months. Avionics and software is another $8 million effort all by itself involving electronics, sensors, etc. ($28 million total) and another 6 months of flight testing the three flight weight systems. Five additional flight systems are built for another $3 million once we've got a workable system. Another $5 million for support vessels - and $4 million for avionics ($40 million total estimate) These are reusable up to 1,000x - and support 250 flights to orbit per year with 20 metric tons or more. A single 20 ton payload on orbit costs $50 million. Collecting a refundable deposit for 5 flights - and giving away half the profits when realized provides fabulous returns for investors (40% per annum compounded for all money at risk until revenue). RISK REWARD 2,000,000 10,756,480 YEAR 1 4,000,000 15,366,400 YEAR 2 8,000,000 21,952,000 YEAR 3 16,000,000 31,360,000 YEAR 4 10,000,000 14,000,000 YEAR 5 40,000,000 93,434,880 TOTAL 250,000,000 VALUE OF 5 FLIGHTS 37.37% PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL Investors have claim on the first $93.4 million in revenue after year five. They have a continuing interest in 37.37% of all future operations. 2 flights per month earn $1.2 billion per year and cost $200 million per year. This is enough to fund the larger system costing $557 million each. Successful launch of the larger system, combined with successful tests of sub-scale power beaming http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2QAUkt2VPHI Which will take an additional 3 years - this time using ship yard hardware instead of sheet metal shop hardware. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWIOnKrv4Mw Which by the time avionics, test articles, and lost flight articles are accounted for will cost $1 billion. Which will be earned from the sale of satellite launches with the sub- scale fleet. |
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