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On Aug 23, 7:38*am, Robert Clark wrote:
*This report says the White House preferred option beforehand was to kill Ares I. They just wanted an independent review panel to give sufficient justification for it: Presidential panel presents Obama with major NASA dilemma. posted by Orlando Sentinel on Aug 14, 2009 6:12:43 PM By Mark K. Matthews and Robert Block "WASHINGTON -- When President Barack Obama named a panel to review NASA’s manned-space program, his aides said privately they were hoping the group would recommend scrapping NASA’s troubled Ares I rocket program and finding another, cheaper way to get humans back to the moon. But the Review of U.S. Human Space Flight Plans Committee came to a troubling conclusion this week: NASA’s current budget offers no hope of sending humans past the international space station for 20 years or more." ... "But Obama officials were reluctant to kill the Constellation program by decree. They preferred that an independent panel come to what they saw as the only logical conclusion: that Ares I was, as one put it, “infeasible.” "But they didn’t expect that NASA’s budget would leave no room for another rocket capable of flying beyond the space station. "Even the panel members themselves were surprised. "Norm Augustine, the retired Lockheed Martin CEO who leads the 10- member panel, said he was shocked at its inability to find an option that would fit within NASA’s current manned-space budget that the committee put at roughly $100 billion through 2020."http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/news_space_thewritestuff/2009/08/pre... *It's that last part that irritates me greatly. You mean for $100 billion dollars specifically for *manned* missions we can't come up with a way to get to the Moon in 10 years? *According to this page the entire cost of Project Apollo with 6 successful Moon landings cost $135 billion in inflation adjusted dollars: Apollo program. 7 Program costs and cancellation.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_...ts_and_cancell... *You mean in 40 years we haven't figured out a way to do better than that? *Remember when the first President Bush back in 1989 proposed manned missions to Mars at a cost of $500 billion? The huge cost estimates led people like Robert Zubrin to come up with ways to do it at roughly 1/10th that amount. We need new people otuside NASA to accomplish the same for Moon missions. DATE:02/10/09 SOURCE:Flight International NASA design reviews should not have been approved says report. By Rob Coppinger "The US Government Accountability Office says NASA should not have completed preliminary design reviews for its Constellation programme's vehicles because it did not have the data to allow it to meet planned delivery dates with confidence. "Neither the Orion crew exploration vehicle nor its Ares I crew launch vehicle should have progressed, says the GAO. In its September report on Constellation the GAO highlights NASA's decision to delay Orion's PDR from mid-2008 to third quarter 2009 and the fact that it closed the Ares I review, while deferring resolution of the launcher's thrust oscillation issue until the Constellation programme design milestone in March 2010." http://www.flightglobal.com/articles...oved-says.html On the other hand: Obama voices support for space funding, leadership. BY CRAIG COVAULT SPACEFLIGHT NOW Posted: October 7, 2009 "Obama said that to remain competitive it is critical for the U.S. to increase federally funded research and development projects and that he wants to significantly boost funding for such programs to a sustained level of 3% of Gross National Product (GDP). The current level is about 2.4% according to the Congressional Budget Office." .... "White House comment on the new NASA options are expected soon after the Administration officially receives the report by late October. But it has already received a detailed summary of Augustine's options. Science Advisor Holdren has also already held unofficial sessions with the Augustine team to gain a detailed understanding of the report. Sources tell Spaceflight Now that Holdren has received those options favorably and expressed optimism that the White House can help with funding shortfalls toward modification of the Bush plan." http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n0910/07obama/ The Augustine Commission has said NASA would need an additional $3 billion dollars per year to enable the planned manned missions to the Moon: Mars and Moon Are Out of NASA's Reach for Now, Review Panel Says. By Joel Achenbach, Washington Post Staff Writer Wednesday, September 9, 2009 "Although taking a dim view of the status quo at NASA, the Augustine committee clearly endorsed the goal of a robust human spaceflight program and all but pleaded on behalf of the agency, which runs on an annual budget of about $18 billion. A space exploration program "that will be a source of pride for the nation" will require roughly an additional $3 billion a year, the committee found." http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...090802464.html This represents a 16% increase over NASA's current funding levels. If the Obama administration really means an across the board increase in science funding from 2.4% of GDP to 3%, then presumably this would also apply to NASA. The extra .6% represents a 25% increase over current levels. That would be enough to fund the Moon missions assuming most of the increase went to fund manned missions. Bob Clark |
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