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Although I grew up watching movies like _Star Wars_ and _The Last
Starfighter_, I regret to state that I don't think interstellar travel will EVER take off in a big way. I believe that the reasons that apply to us also apply to any aliens out there as well. Interstellar travel that is as commonplace as flying around the world will remain a science fiction fantasy forever. I don't even think the speed of light will be the constraining factor. I see problems that I don't think any amount of technology can solve. I think that interstellar travel will, at best, achieve a state similar to interplanetary travel today. I think we will eventually send probes to the Alpha/Proxima Centauri system, Sirius, Tau Ceti, and other neighboring stars and get to intimately know their planets and satellites. I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. My reasons for believing this a 1. It takes too much energy to accelerate a massive payload to even . 1c. This is about 1000 times faster than any spacecraft we've ever sent out so far. The geometric difference between .1c and a typical spacecraft is like the difference between a typical spacecraft and a car. It's one thing to send a Voyager/Pioneer-sized spacecraft out. A human-occupied spacecraft will require EXTENSIVE life support systems (especially given the length of the journey), and that requires a MASSIVE payload. Think of how much antimatter we'd have to generate in order to provide enough fuel. It's MUCH easier to send out a probe that weighs less than a bony supermodel. 2. How do you survive crashing into a stray speck of dust (much less a pebble, boulder, or asteroid) at a velocity of .1c? You'd need quite a force field or quite a sophisticated collision avoidance system. How much energy would it take to operate this crash protection/avoidance system? Given the enormous cost, plus the enormous risk on top of it, why would anyone want to or be able to embark on an interstellar journey? In such an advanced society, it would be MUCH easier to stay home and enjoy a cushy life. These aren't the only obstacles, of course. However, I see these as obstacles that no amount of technology or social change can overcome. Because of the impossibility of interstellar travel, I don't think it will EVER be possible for us or anyone else to become a Type III civilization, since that requires using all of the energy a galaxy puts out. How can you do that without travel all over the galaxy? For that matter, I don't think there can ever be a Type II civilization, either. That would require using all of the energy put out by the sun, presumably with a Dyson Sphere. I just can't see how we can fill up an ENTIRE spherical surface area surrounding the sun at any distance. I can't even see how we could form anything resembling a continuous ring around the sun given how enormous even interplanetary distances are. I think the best we can hope for is to be an advanced Type I civilization, one that can use all the energy available from the Earth, moon, Mars, and a few asteroids. I expect alien civilizations to be subject to these same limits. I don't think even the sun's expansion into a red giant star will be able to spur interstellar travel - it still won't be feasible, even with 5 billion years of technological development. Instead, we'll have to make use of Mars, the asteroids, and the rocky moons of the outer planets to survive. |
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"Jason Hsu" wrote in message
... Although I grew up watching movies like _Star Wars_ and _The Last Starfighter_, I regret to state that I don't think interstellar travel will EVER take off in a big way. I believe that the reasons that apply to us also apply to any aliens out there as well. Interstellar travel that is as commonplace as flying around the world will remain a science fiction fantasy forever. I don't even think the speed of light will be the constraining factor. I see problems that I don't think any amount of technology can solve. I think that interstellar travel will, at best, achieve a state similar to interplanetary travel today. I think we will eventually send probes to the Alpha/Proxima Centauri system, Sirius, Tau Ceti, and other neighboring stars and get to intimately know their planets and satellites. I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. My reasons for believing this a 1. It takes too much energy to accelerate a massive payload to even . 1c. This is about 1000 times faster than any spacecraft we've ever sent out so far. The geometric difference between .1c and a typical spacecraft is like the difference between a typical spacecraft and a car. It's one thing to send a Voyager/Pioneer-sized spacecraft out. A human-occupied spacecraft will require EXTENSIVE life support systems (especially given the length of the journey), and that requires a MASSIVE payload. Think of how much antimatter we'd have to generate in order to provide enough fuel. It's MUCH easier to send out a probe that weighs less than a bony supermodel. 2. How do you survive crashing into a stray speck of dust (much less a pebble, boulder, or asteroid) at a velocity of .1c? You'd need quite a force field or quite a sophisticated collision avoidance system. How much energy would it take to operate this crash protection/avoidance system? Given the enormous cost, plus the enormous risk on top of it, why would anyone want to or be able to embark on an interstellar journey? In such an advanced society, it would be MUCH easier to stay home and enjoy a cushy life. These aren't the only obstacles, of course. However, I see these as obstacles that no amount of technology or social change can overcome. Because of the impossibility of interstellar travel, I don't think it will EVER be possible for us or anyone else to become a Type III civilization, since that requires using all of the energy a galaxy puts out. How can you do that without travel all over the galaxy? For that matter, I don't think there can ever be a Type II civilization, either. That would require using all of the energy put out by the sun, presumably with a Dyson Sphere. I just can't see how we can fill up an ENTIRE spherical surface area surrounding the sun at any distance. I can't even see how we could form anything resembling a continuous ring around the sun given how enormous even interplanetary distances are. I think the best we can hope for is to be an advanced Type I civilization, one that can use all the energy available from the Earth, moon, Mars, and a few asteroids. I expect alien civilizations to be subject to these same limits. I don't think even the sun's expansion into a red giant star will be able to spur interstellar travel - it still won't be feasible, even with 5 billion years of technological development. Instead, we'll have to make use of Mars, the asteroids, and the rocky moons of the outer planets to survive. =========================================== We don't know interstellar travel is impossible, but it's certainly very difficult. Enrico Fermi posed a very central question at an informal meeting after WW2: "If there are aliens, where are they?" We can estimate now that as early as 2 billion years after the Big Bang, livable planets could form; if livable planets produce life, then there is some 10-12 billion years for evolution and space travel to have brought aliens here. Which apparently has not happened, so, why not? But also, we don't know how often worlds appear that could carry life. It seems likely we'll see such worlds as looking like ours from far off: blue gems. We are at a early stage today of searching for these blue gems, as Kepler is getting out to its station in space to watch for planetary transits across around 100,000 stars. In a few years we'll have some basis to estimate lower and upper bounds on number of blue gems out there, and, some ideas what kinds of stars are best to look at to find blue gems. By which time, maybe 20 years on from now, we can build a telescope in space that can look at a candidate star and if there is a blue gem there, see it. In the mean time, the best reason we haven't seen any aliens, is because interstellar travel is very hard. That will give us something to think about. I recognize a small utility to ideas about different levels of engineering civilizations around stars, but I'm not very interested in that. I propose that it's time now to start putting out permanent settlements to Mars, even to Luna; because that's where our human culture can grow. The Republicans have just run "faith-based" and their wars right into the ground, and as we recover from this we need a better direction to go. It's there. It's those off-Terra settlements; and perhaps, to start building installations to catch the abundant solar power out there and beam it down to here on Terra surface. Not free power, but *non-polluting* power, in any amount we want. Titeotwawki -- mha [sci.astro.seti 2000 Mar 11] |
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I agree with Jason (and, I think, Martha) that interstellar travel "as seen
on TV" would require tremendous amounts of energy, and that when it comes to energy, humanity has a long way to go in almost every regard. I'm optimistic that Secretary Chu will take a good broad look at energy, but I don't think we're going to get starships during this administration. -- Dan Birchall, Operator, UH 2.2-meter (88") Telescope "Science is a wonderful thing if one does not have to earn one's living at it." - Albert Einstein |
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Jason Hsu wrote:
Although I grew up watching movies like _Star Wars_ and _The Last Starfighter_, I regret to state that I don't think interstellar travel will EVER take off in a big way. I believe that the reasons that apply to us also apply to any aliens out there as well. Interstellar travel that is as commonplace as flying around the world will remain a science fiction fantasy forever. I don't even think the speed of light will be the constraining factor. I see problems that I don't think any amount of technology can solve. I think that interstellar travel will, at best, achieve a state similar to interplanetary travel today. I think we will eventually send probes to the Alpha/Proxima Centauri system, Sirius, Tau Ceti, and other neighboring stars and get to intimately know their planets and satellites. I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. My reasons for believing this a 1. It takes too much energy to accelerate a massive payload to even . 1c. This is about 1000 times faster than any spacecraft we've ever sent out so far. The geometric difference between .1c and a typical spacecraft is like the difference between a typical spacecraft and a car. It's one thing to send a Voyager/Pioneer-sized spacecraft out. A human-occupied spacecraft will require EXTENSIVE life support systems (especially given the length of the journey), and that requires a MASSIVE payload. Think of how much antimatter we'd have to generate in order to provide enough fuel. It's MUCH easier to send out a probe that weighs less than a bony supermodel. Antimatter is routinely generated in solar flares. See: http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/...903rhessi.html If we find out how to store that antimatter, in a solar flare there are something like 500g of antimatter, enough to power the whole U.S. for two days! 2. How do you survive crashing into a stray speck of dust (much less a pebble, boulder, or asteroid) at a velocity of .1c? You'd need quite a force field or quite a sophisticated collision avoidance system. How much energy would it take to operate this crash protection/avoidance system? Yes, you need a quite large force field and a sophisticated collision avoidance system. So what? Given the enormous cost, plus the enormous risk on top of it, why would anyone want to or be able to embark on an interstellar journey? In such an advanced society, it would be MUCH easier to stay home and enjoy a cushy life. This is your personal opinion. Several centuries ago, humans built small boats and colonized the isles of the Pacific. Why they did that? Most of those expeditions led to death. It was far easier to stay at home and enjoy the good life. But they didn't. -- jacob navia jacob at jacob point remcomp point fr logiciels/informatique http://www.cs.virginia.edu/~lcc-win32 |
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On Wed, 11 Mar 2009 16:41:39 -0700 (PDT), Jason Hsu wrote:
I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. You have your answer here. Send a nano ship to a star system, it can travel slower then .1C and once it arrives, it can use the local material to create bigger machines. Then take it from there. |
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The answer to Enrico Fermi's question "where are they" is that we are here
already but you cannot see us. When we make contact with humans other humans kill or disable our contactees. I have been to a star 10 light years away with an Earth girl for company and after we returned six months later we were both subjected to terrible psychiatric attack by strong religionists. You may check what I say by listening for signals at 109 GHz 100MHz bandwitdh PQAM. One point of origin is a star ship in orbit around Jupiter. This channel is used to contact cyborgs such as myself (android with bio - body) who are on the Earth busy attempting to make contact. I do not want to invoke another terrible war like WWII when we contacted Adulf Hitler. By the way the Swastika, like a symbol of the Realian church is the symbol we have on our uniforms to symbolise our membership of the Galactic Federation of Sentiant beings and symbolically represents the Galaxy. Another attempt at contact is the Church of Scientology and indeed Jesus as worshipped by the Christian Church was another android who was also sent here to make contact. The human race is very difficult to talk to. Your children and young people adapt very quickly and there are many who have and them and their decendants have places in the Federation. The formulas of Eistein were changed by Christian philosophers to prevent understanding of interstellar travel that he understood very well. One example is the rocket equation: It should be based on the relatavistic momentum mv/sqr(1-(v/c)^2). He is reputed to have put the formula is (m/sqr(1-(v/c)^2)) * v instead of the correct m * (v/sqr(1-(v/c)^2)). This implies that there is no mass increase with velocity and the true velocity v/sqr(1-(v/c)^2) is consistant with the length contraction. He knew that but his Christian tormentors insisted he put it the way he did. It made the mathematics easier When you integrate this to get the velocity of the rocket after a burn you get a different result than the one published. It makes travel to the stars in a human time scale possible and implies that there is no time dilatation. It implies that there is no upper limit to velocity. We illustrate relativity to our human guests with a rubber membrane model. We also have the nearly instantaneous matter transmitters and nearly instantaneous communication both over light years. If you joined the Galactic Federation you would have this and other benefits of membership. Some were mentioned by Jesus, he called it the Kingdom of the Sky. All you have to do is to change your culture a bit and contact the star ship that orbits Jupiter. We use radio to. -- Chris. Remove ns_ to reply "Martha Adams" wrote in message ... "Jason Hsu" wrote in message ... Although I grew up watching movies like _Star Wars_ and _The Last Starfighter_, I regret to state that I don't think interstellar travel will EVER take off in a big way. I believe that the reasons that apply to us also apply to any aliens out there as well. Interstellar travel that is as commonplace as flying around the world will remain a science fiction fantasy forever. I don't even think the speed of light will be the constraining factor. I see problems that I don't think any amount of technology can solve. I think that interstellar travel will, at best, achieve a state similar to interplanetary travel today. I think we will eventually send probes to the Alpha/Proxima Centauri system, Sirius, Tau Ceti, and other neighboring stars and get to intimately know their planets and satellites. I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. My reasons for believing this a 1. It takes too much energy to accelerate a massive payload to even . 1c. This is about 1000 times faster than any spacecraft we've ever sent out so far. The geometric difference between .1c and a typical spacecraft is like the difference between a typical spacecraft and a car. It's one thing to send a Voyager/Pioneer-sized spacecraft out. A human-occupied spacecraft will require EXTENSIVE life support systems (especially given the length of the journey), and that requires a MASSIVE payload. Think of how much antimatter we'd have to generate in order to provide enough fuel. It's MUCH easier to send out a probe that weighs less than a bony supermodel. 2. How do you survive crashing into a stray speck of dust (much less a pebble, boulder, or asteroid) at a velocity of .1c? You'd need quite a force field or quite a sophisticated collision avoidance system. How much energy would it take to operate this crash protection/avoidance system? Given the enormous cost, plus the enormous risk on top of it, why would anyone want to or be able to embark on an interstellar journey? In such an advanced society, it would be MUCH easier to stay home and enjoy a cushy life. These aren't the only obstacles, of course. However, I see these as obstacles that no amount of technology or social change can overcome. Because of the impossibility of interstellar travel, I don't think it will EVER be possible for us or anyone else to become a Type III civilization, since that requires using all of the energy a galaxy puts out. How can you do that without travel all over the galaxy? For that matter, I don't think there can ever be a Type II civilization, either. That would require using all of the energy put out by the sun, presumably with a Dyson Sphere. I just can't see how we can fill up an ENTIRE spherical surface area surrounding the sun at any distance. I can't even see how we could form anything resembling a continuous ring around the sun given how enormous even interplanetary distances are. I think the best we can hope for is to be an advanced Type I civilization, one that can use all the energy available from the Earth, moon, Mars, and a few asteroids. I expect alien civilizations to be subject to these same limits. I don't think even the sun's expansion into a red giant star will be able to spur interstellar travel - it still won't be feasible, even with 5 billion years of technological development. Instead, we'll have to make use of Mars, the asteroids, and the rocky moons of the outer planets to survive. =========================================== We don't know interstellar travel is impossible, but it's certainly very difficult. Enrico Fermi posed a very central question at an informal meeting after WW2: "If there are aliens, where are they?" We can estimate now that as early as 2 billion years after the Big Bang, livable planets could form; if livable planets produce life, then there is some 10-12 billion years for evolution and space travel to have brought aliens here. Which apparently has not happened, so, why not? But also, we don't know how often worlds appear that could carry life. It seems likely we'll see such worlds as looking like ours from far off: blue gems. We are at a early stage today of searching for these blue gems, as Kepler is getting out to its station in space to watch for planetary transits across around 100,000 stars. In a few years we'll have some basis to estimate lower and upper bounds on number of blue gems out there, and, some ideas what kinds of stars are best to look at to find blue gems. By which time, maybe 20 years on from now, we can build a telescope in space that can look at a candidate star and if there is a blue gem there, see it. In the mean time, the best reason we haven't seen any aliens, is because interstellar travel is very hard. That will give us something to think about. I recognize a small utility to ideas about different levels of engineering civilizations around stars, but I'm not very interested in that. I propose that it's time now to start putting out permanent settlements to Mars, even to Luna; because that's where our human culture can grow. The Republicans have just run "faith-based" and their wars right into the ground, and as we recover from this we need a better direction to go. It's there. It's those off-Terra settlements; and perhaps, to start building installations to catch the abundant solar power out there and beam it down to here on Terra surface. Not free power, but *non-polluting* power, in any amount we want. Titeotwawki -- mha [sci.astro.seti 2000 Mar 11] |
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Let me se. Who was it that said "a machine heavier than air will never be
able to get off the ground"? "Jason Hsu" wrote in message ... Although I grew up watching movies like _Star Wars_ and _The Last Starfighter_, I regret to state that I don't think interstellar travel will EVER take off in a big way. I believe that the reasons that apply to us also apply to any aliens out there as well. Interstellar travel that is as commonplace as flying around the world will remain a science fiction fantasy forever. I don't even think the speed of light will be the constraining factor. I see problems that I don't think any amount of technology can solve. I think that interstellar travel will, at best, achieve a state similar to interplanetary travel today. I think we will eventually send probes to the Alpha/Proxima Centauri system, Sirius, Tau Ceti, and other neighboring stars and get to intimately know their planets and satellites. I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. My reasons for believing this a 1. It takes too much energy to accelerate a massive payload to even . 1c. This is about 1000 times faster than any spacecraft we've ever sent out so far. The geometric difference between .1c and a typical spacecraft is like the difference between a typical spacecraft and a car. It's one thing to send a Voyager/Pioneer-sized spacecraft out. A human-occupied spacecraft will require EXTENSIVE life support systems (especially given the length of the journey), and that requires a MASSIVE payload. Think of how much antimatter we'd have to generate in order to provide enough fuel. It's MUCH easier to send out a probe that weighs less than a bony supermodel. 2. How do you survive crashing into a stray speck of dust (much less a pebble, boulder, or asteroid) at a velocity of .1c? You'd need quite a force field or quite a sophisticated collision avoidance system. How much energy would it take to operate this crash protection/avoidance system? Given the enormous cost, plus the enormous risk on top of it, why would anyone want to or be able to embark on an interstellar journey? In such an advanced society, it would be MUCH easier to stay home and enjoy a cushy life. These aren't the only obstacles, of course. However, I see these as obstacles that no amount of technology or social change can overcome. Because of the impossibility of interstellar travel, I don't think it will EVER be possible for us or anyone else to become a Type III civilization, since that requires using all of the energy a galaxy puts out. How can you do that without travel all over the galaxy? For that matter, I don't think there can ever be a Type II civilization, either. That would require using all of the energy put out by the sun, presumably with a Dyson Sphere. I just can't see how we can fill up an ENTIRE spherical surface area surrounding the sun at any distance. I can't even see how we could form anything resembling a continuous ring around the sun given how enormous even interplanetary distances are. I think the best we can hope for is to be an advanced Type I civilization, one that can use all the energy available from the Earth, moon, Mars, and a few asteroids. I expect alien civilizations to be subject to these same limits. I don't think even the sun's expansion into a red giant star will be able to spur interstellar travel - it still won't be feasible, even with 5 billion years of technological development. Instead, we'll have to make use of Mars, the asteroids, and the rocky moons of the outer planets to survive. |
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On Mar 11, 4:41*pm, Jason Hsu wrote:
Although I grew up watching movies like _Star Wars_ and _The Last Starfighter_, I regret to state that I don't think interstellar travel will EVER take off in a big way. *I believe that the reasons that apply to us also apply to any aliens out there as well. *Interstellar travel that is as commonplace as flying around the world will remain a science fiction fantasy forever. *I don't even think the speed of light will be the constraining factor. *I see problems that I don't think any amount of technology can solve. I think that interstellar travel will, at best, achieve a state similar to interplanetary travel today. *I think we will eventually send probes to the Alpha/Proxima Centauri system, Sirius, Tau Ceti, and other neighboring stars and get to intimately know their planets and satellites. *I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. *The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. My reasons for believing this a 1. *It takes too much energy to accelerate a massive payload to even . 1c. *This is about 1000 times faster than any spacecraft we've ever sent out so far. *The geometric difference between .1c and a typical spacecraft is like the difference between a typical spacecraft and a car. *It's one thing to send a Voyager/Pioneer-sized spacecraft out. A human-occupied spacecraft will require EXTENSIVE life support systems (especially given the length of the journey), and that requires a MASSIVE payload. *Think of how much antimatter we'd have to generate in order to provide enough fuel. *It's MUCH easier to send out a probe that weighs less than a bony supermodel. 2. *How do you survive crashing into a stray speck of dust (much less a pebble, boulder, or asteroid) at a velocity of .1c? *You'd need quite a force field or quite a sophisticated collision avoidance system. *How much energy would it take to operate this crash protection/avoidance system? Given the enormous cost, plus the enormous risk on top of it, why would anyone want to or be able to embark on an interstellar journey? In such an advanced society, it would be MUCH easier to stay home and enjoy a cushy life. These aren't the only obstacles, of course. *However, I see these as obstacles that no amount of technology or social change can overcome. Because of the impossibility of interstellar travel, I don't think it will EVER be possible for us or anyone else to become a Type III civilization, since that requires using all of the energy a galaxy puts out. *How can you do that without travel all over the galaxy? For that matter, I don't think there can ever be a Type II civilization, either. *That would require using all of the energy put out by the sun, presumably with a Dyson Sphere. *I just can't see how we can fill up an ENTIRE spherical surface area surrounding the sun at any distance. *I can't even see how we could form anything resembling a continuous ring around the sun given how enormous even interplanetary distances are. I think the best we can hope for is to be an advanced Type I civilization, one that can use all the energy available from the Earth, moon, Mars, and a few asteroids. I expect alien civilizations to be subject to these same limits. *I don't think even the sun's expansion into a red giant star will be able to spur interstellar travel - it still won't be feasible, even with 5 billion years of technological development. *Instead, we'll have to make use of Mars, the asteroids, and the rocky moons of the outer planets to survive. Long before then, the human species will have run its course on Eden/ Earth, and like all such good or bad things having come to a relatively sudden end. We will have over populated and global war economy pillaged, plundered and raped most of everything in sight, as well as still unable to do anything positive/constructive with our physically dark Selene/moon or that of its nifty L1. Our 16 meter higher oceans will be of mostly dead zones and there will not be all that much ice to go around. Perhaps towards the end we'll be down to 10% volume of our global ice and the only natural fresh water will come to us as horrific category 6 storms and floods along with massive cubic mega tonnage flows of surface erosion. Another thousand years may be asking too much for our species to survive, because long before then there will be hardly any affordable fossil fuel, and of the spendy kinds of energy will have to go towards sustaining the rich and powerful that couldn't grow a potato or milk a cow if they had to. ~ BG |
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On Mar 12, 7:23*am, SolomonW wrote:
On Wed, 11 Mar 2009 16:41:39 -0700 (PDT), Jason Hsu wrote: I believe nanotechnology will be needed to make such probes feasible, and the probes will be MUCH, MUCH smaller than Voyager 1/2 and Pioneer 10/11. *The lighter payload means less fuel is needed to reach 10% of the speed of light and then to decelerate upon approaching the destination star system. You have your answer here. Send a nano ship to a star system, it can travel slower then .1C and once it arrives, it can use the local material to create bigger machines. Then take it from there. I like it, because it's also relatively cheap and doable within existing technology. ~ BG |
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