![]() |
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
NEXT APOLLO-STYLE SPACE RACE IN 5+ YEARS?
Macroeconomic and Macrohistorical Trends Over Last 200 Years Support Near-Term Space Forecast Today’s world is afflicted by natural disasters, economic uncertainty, and global terrorism. Is it possible that President Kennedy’s 40+ year old vision of human expansion into space will rise again, in less than ten years, to dominate global headlines? A new weblog -- http://21stCenturyWaves.com -- shows the answer is yes. Trends over the last 200 years - in the economy, technology, and society - clearly point to the decade between 2015 and 2025 as heralding a similar economic and exploration boom as the 1960s, accompanied by a Camelot-style zeitgeist. When the 1960s wave of space exploration is viewed in the context of other major science, technology, and exploration advances over the last 200 years, it becomes possible to forecast the next peak in human achievement. As trends are examined, major events in human exploration (e.g., Lewis and Clark), massive state-of-the-art engineering projects (e.g., Panama Canal), and exceptionally destructive wars (e.g., Civil War) are seen to cluster together roughly every 56 years, near times of economic booms. This new macroeconomic/macrohistorical approach to strategic technology forecasting convincingly explains our national romance with the Apollo Moon program in the 1960s, and society’s waning interest in it in the 1970s. Even more importantly, it enables scientific forecasts about the specific timing and key drivers of events in our future, including the following: 1) When will humans land on Mars and vacation on the Moon? 2) Why has public support for space waned since the 1970s and, despite a world often full of bad news, why is it increasing now? 3) What are some of the near-term economic, technological, and political events we can expect that will culminate by 2025 in the greatest technology and space extravaganzas ever seen? In summary, the two major themes presented in the 21st Century Waves blog a A) New scientific evidence for the psychosocial power of the space vision suggests that, like prior periods of significant human achievement, it is capable of providing a revitalizing force for human civilization in the near future, and B) Despite its compelling nature, the Space Vision will not fully begin to materialize until around 2015 when long-term trends in economics, technology, and society are favorable again. These themes and the forecast for 2015 have been featured in such journals as Space Policy, Futures Research Quarterly, Ad Astra. and as a presentation topic at AIAA conferences. Please join us as we track our forecasts in real-time against daily events and trends from around the world in 10 Wave Guide areas, including economic growth, non-space macro-engineering projects, popular culture, as well as NASA and international space activities. This is “Space Colonization Central!” We specialize in timing, roadmaps, and growth strategies. Check us out! Your comments are welcome! |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
wrote:
A new weblog -- http://21stCenturyWaves.com -- shows the answer is yes. Check us out! Your comments are welcome! For the first, no need - the value of your writing is amply displayed in the overly large sample provided. D. -- Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh. http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/ -Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings. Oct 5th, 2004 JDL |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
In that case, you intelligent folks should be intently focused upon
Venus, or at the very least on behalf of establishing Venus L2, as for hosting our cool POOF City habitat/depot/gateway or Oasis for future missions to/from Venus. What would you like to know about the planet Venus, or that of Venus L2? . - Brad Guth wrote: NEXT APOLLO-STYLE SPACE RACE IN 5+ YEARS? Macroeconomic and Macrohistorical Trends Over Last 200 Years Support Near-Term Space Forecast Today�s world is afflicted by natural disasters, economic uncertainty, and global terrorism. Is it possible that President Kennedy�s 40+ year old vision of human expansion into space will rise again, in less than ten years, to dominate global headlines? A new weblog -- http://21stCenturyWaves.com -- shows the answer is yes. Trends over the last 200 years - in the economy, technology, and society - clearly point to the decade between 2015 and 2025 as heralding a similar economic and exploration boom as the 1960s, accompanied by a Camelot-style zeitgeist. When the 1960s wave of space exploration is viewed in the context of other major science, technology, and exploration advances over the last 200 years, it becomes possible to forecast the next peak in human achievement. As trends are examined, major events in human exploration (e.g., Lewis and Clark), massive state-of-the-art engineering projects (e.g., Panama Canal), and exceptionally destructive wars (e.g., Civil War) are seen to cluster together roughly every 56 years, near times of economic booms. This new macroeconomic/macrohistorical approach to strategic technology forecasting convincingly explains our national romance with the Apollo Moon program in the 1960s, and society�s waning interest in it in the 1970s. Even more importantly, it enables scientific forecasts about the specific timing and key drivers of events in our future, including the following: 1) When will humans land on Mars and vacation on the Moon? 2) Why has public support for space waned since the 1970s and, despite a world often full of bad news, why is it increasing now? 3) What are some of the near-term economic, technological, and political events we can expect that will culminate by 2025 in the greatest technology and space extravaganzas ever seen? In summary, the two major themes presented in the 21st Century Waves blog a A) New scientific evidence for the psychosocial power of the space vision suggests that, like prior periods of significant human achievement, it is capable of providing a revitalizing force for human civilization in the near future, and B) Despite its compelling nature, the Space Vision will not fully begin to materialize until around 2015 when long-term trends in economics, technology, and society are favorable again. These themes and the forecast for 2015 have been featured in such journals as Space Policy, Futures Research Quarterly, Ad Astra. and as a presentation topic at AIAA conferences. Please join us as we track our forecasts in real-time against daily events and trends from around the world in 10 Wave Guide areas, including economic growth, non-space macro-engineering projects, popular culture, as well as NASA and international space activities. This is �Space Colonization Central!� We specialize in timing, roadmaps, and growth strategies. Check us out! Your comments are welcome! |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Apollo - The Race to the Moon | Eppco Books | History | 6 | December 5th 07 12:33 AM |
News: Rutan Faults NASA on Apollo-Style Capsule | Rusty | History | 1 | June 5th 06 05:59 AM |
History Channel: Apollo: The Race Against Time | Damon Hill | Space Shuttle | 4 | August 16th 05 01:51 AM |
Apollo Style Escape Tower Question.... | Richard Stewart | History | 13 | January 19th 04 07:58 PM |
Apollo-Style CRM looks ... GOOD! | Explorer8939 | Technology | 3 | August 18th 03 07:04 PM |