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In article ,
BradGuth wrote: On Oct 16, 12:07 am, ukastronomy wrote: On 16 Oct, 02:03, Hank Kroll wrote: My book, COSMOLOGICAL ICE AGES explains how the carbon resources were made. Our sun is in a 105,000-year elliptical orbit around the Procyon and Sirius star systems. What evidence can you provide for this claim? How many people apart from yourself agree with your claim - where does their published support (if any) appear? -- Martin Nicholson - Daventry, UKhttp://www.martin-nicholson.info/index.htm Dealing with John Greaves FAQhttp://www.geocities.com/badastrobuster/index.htm You don't believe in ice core samples or diatoms? You have some other significant stellar encounter that'll cycle nearby our solar system every 105,000 years? How many such cycles do you have evidence for? And where is that evidence? Stars happen to pass our solar system from time to time. Perhaps there were two such passages some 105,000 years apart? However, our solar system orbiting Sirius with that period is incompatible with the positions and velocities we observe of the stars today. ~ BG -- ---------------------------------------------------------------- Paul Schlyter, Grev Turegatan 40, SE-114 38 Stockholm, SWEDEN e-mail: pausch at stjarnhimlen dot se WWW: http://stjarnhimlen.se/ |
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On Oct 20, 9:26*pm, wrote:
On Oct 20, 8:26 am, " So it is your claim that we have been able to measure the surface ( I assume you must mean this as opposed to atmospheric ) temperature, with consistent measuring devices, all over the world, including the oceans ( which make up 70% of the earth's surface ), to an accuracy of 1 or 2 degrees C. for the last 150 years?? NONSENSE! Have you already forgotten the predictions 25 short years ago of the "coming ice age"? Were those "scientists" just stupid? Are you really claiming that Canada does not have a huge arable area right now that will simply grow if Canada warms up? Do you really claim that the huge ( much bigger than the Northern ice cap ) Southern ice cap has not GROWN over the last several years? Do you really think China, for example, should be exempted from putting more than one huge coal-fired energy plant a day on line? Do you really think the world should devote a substantial part of its available resources to chase a "theory" when we have so many pressing needs which are killing millions right now? Or do you perhaps also value dogs more than humans? Do you really think current climate computer "models" are not subject to SUBSTANTIAL modifications as our knowledge of the subject increases? Do you really think the many PhD climatology scientists who think most of the current future climate models are seriously flawed are charlatans? Don't you think the current modelers who are predicting disaster ought to open up all the details of their models for debate and discussion? It is called the "scientific method" You claim to be a "scientist". In what field, exactly? Quoting directly from the UK Met Office Hadley Center "The dataset is based on regular measurements of air temperature at a global network of long-term land stations and on sea-surface temperatures measured from ships and buoys." Very specifically since 1850. *Europe, China and Japan all had sites that record temperatures at high profile sites (Paris, Bejing. London) in to the early 1700's See Rayner, N.A., Parker, D.E., Horton, E.B., Folland, C.K., Alexander, L.V., Rowell, D.P., Kent, E.C. and Kaplan, A., 2003: Global analyses of SST, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res, 108 D14. P. Brohan, J.J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S.F.B. Tett and P.D. Jones, Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res, 111, The National Climatic Data Center had records for both land and sea surface temperatures that date back to 1854. See Smith and Reynolds Vol. 17 Journal of Climate. Peterson and Vose Vol 78 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society A large number of sites across the US have measured temperature records back to 1812. At the time the US Army collected the daily high and low temperatures at forts across what was the entire US at the time. The Army still requires these reading to this day. As far a predictions for a ice age 25 years ago. There were no scientific publications that described anything you claim NewsWeek, Time and National Geographic are the sources of the myth of global cooling. Looking at the papers referenced in NewsWeek, Time and the National Geographic you will note that the cooling described would occur in 10,000 IF we continued to put aerosols into the air such that there was a 1000 fld increase each year. Read "The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus" *by Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck. *Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 89 2008 Looks pretty bad for you so far, you are batting 0 for 2 As far as the PhD. Climatologist who say that global warming isn't occurring there are none. There are some retired meteorologists who question how much of the observed warming is man-made, but then again they have been getting paid by the oil/gas industry to say so and freely admit that they are spokesman for the oil/gas industry. If you wish to debate how to reduce the warming and want question the methods and means I agree China and India are and will continue to be large sources of emissions. However the profligate waste of energy by the US is equally bad. Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? With this and your other weak arguments you have proven my point-- global warming is a natural cycle which we still do not understand fully. To you Greens however it is a religion. I call the notion that global warming is definitively and primarily caused by man-made CO2 a stupid, knowing hoax. And your suggestion that temperatures all over the world, including oceans, was taken with carefully calibrated similar instruments accurate to within a few degrees C is just plain silly. That doesn't even happen today. And is the southern ice cap ( much larger than Greenland ) growing today? Yes or no? You are, once again, what kind of "scientist"? I notice you also prefer to remain anonymous--- "mommycal"---- Why??? Who was doing this precise temperature measuring in the Amazon or central Africa or Antarctica or in Siberia in 1854? You can't be that dumb, can you? |
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On Oct 21, 8:38*am, "
wrote: Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? Millions of homes buring coal in their furnaces. Thousands of power plants and industrial processes using coal to heat and light and provide energy. Unca Rollo |
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On Tue, 21 Oct 2008 06:38:45 -0700 (PDT), "
wrote: Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? Coal was used increasingly as a fuel in Europe from about AD 1000 on. The usage increased dramatically around the late 1700s. For the most part, this was low grade coal by modern standards, and burned almost always in very inefficient ways. The rise in coal burning, followed shortly by an observed rise in atmospheric CO2 and in global warming, represents one of the stronger pieces of evidence that the climate is influenced by human activities. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
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On Oct 21, 8:38 am, "
wrote: On Oct 20, 9:26 pm, wrote: On Oct 20, 8:26 am, " So it is your claim that we have been able to measure the surface ( I assume you must mean this as opposed to atmospheric ) temperature, with consistent measuring devices, all over the world, including the oceans ( which make up 70% of the earth's surface ), to an accuracy of 1 or 2 degrees C. for the last 150 years?? NONSENSE! Have you already forgotten the predictions 25 short years ago of the "coming ice age"? Were those "scientists" just stupid? Are you really claiming that Canada does not have a huge arable area right now that will simply grow if Canada warms up? Do you really claim that the huge ( much bigger than the Northern ice cap ) Southern ice cap has not GROWN over the last several years? Do you really think China, for example, should be exempted from putting more than one huge coal-fired energy plant a day on line? Do you really think the world should devote a substantial part of its available resources to chase a "theory" when we have so many pressing needs which are killing millions right now? Or do you perhaps also value dogs more than humans? Do you really think current climate computer "models" are not subject to SUBSTANTIAL modifications as our knowledge of the subject increases? Do you really think the many PhD climatology scientists who think most of the current future climate models are seriously flawed are charlatans? Don't you think the current modelers who are predicting disaster ought to open up all the details of their models for debate and discussion? It is called the "scientific method" You claim to be a "scientist". In what field, exactly? Quoting directly from the UK Met Office Hadley Center "The dataset is based on regular measurements of air temperature at a global network of long-term land stations and on sea-surface temperatures measured from ships and buoys." Very specifically since 1850. Europe, China and Japan all had sites that record temperatures at high profile sites (Paris, Bejing. London) in to the early 1700's See Rayner, N.A., Parker, D.E., Horton, E.B., Folland, C.K., Alexander, L.V., Rowell, D.P., Kent, E.C. and Kaplan, A., 2003: Global analyses of SST, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res, 108 D14. P. Brohan, J.J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S.F.B. Tett and P.D. Jones, Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res, 111, The National Climatic Data Center had records for both land and sea surface temperatures that date back to 1854. See Smith and Reynolds Vol. 17 Journal of Climate. Peterson and Vose Vol 78 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society A large number of sites across the US have measured temperature records back to 1812. At the time the US Army collected the daily high and low temperatures at forts across what was the entire US at the time. The Army still requires these reading to this day. As far a predictions for a ice age 25 years ago. There were no scientific publications that described anything you claim NewsWeek, Time and National Geographic are the sources of the myth of global cooling. Looking at the papers referenced in NewsWeek, Time and the National Geographic you will note that the cooling described would occur in 10,000 IF we continued to put aerosols into the air such that there was a 1000 fld increase each year. Read "The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus" by Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 89 2008 Looks pretty bad for you so far, you are batting 0 for 2 As far as the PhD. Climatologist who say that global warming isn't occurring there are none. There are some retired meteorologists who question how much of the observed warming is man-made, but then again they have been getting paid by the oil/gas industry to say so and freely admit that they are spokesman for the oil/gas industry. If you wish to debate how to reduce the warming and want question the methods and means I agree China and India are and will continue to be large sources of emissions. However the profligate waste of energy by the US is equally bad. Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? With this and your other weak arguments you have proven my point-- global warming is a natural cycle which we still do not understand fully. To you Greens however it is a religion. I call the notion that global warming is definitively and primarily caused by man-made CO2 a stupid, knowing hoax. And your suggestion that temperatures all over the world, including oceans, was taken with carefully calibrated similar instruments accurate to within a few degrees C is just plain silly. That doesn't even happen today. And is the southern ice cap ( much larger than Greenland ) growing today? Yes or no? You are, once again, what kind of "scientist"? I notice you also prefer to remain anonymous--- "mommycal"---- Why??? Who was doing this precise temperature measuring in the Amazon or central Africa or Antarctica or in Siberia in 1854? You can't be that dumb, can you? Gee you really are slow on the uptake. Only you claimed there was global warming in 1850. In order to accurate determine the slope of a line you need more than 1 one data point. To determine the change in slope of a line you need many points. The most accurate way to determine the rate of change in global average temperature (the slope of the line) is to compute the mean global temperature every year over a long period of observations. Using the long record of observations I can compute the slope. The slope will vary significantly from year to year, but an average slope computed using 20 to 30 years of slopes will average out the year to year variation. Station temperatures and sea surface temperatures have been measured with 1 deg C accuracy for a very long time. Even the cheapest give- away thermometer can read to 0.5 deg C and meteorologists/ oceanographers have been measuring the temperature with far more accurate instruments for more than a hundred years. No weak arguments. The long term changes in climate are well understood. If you had bothered to look in a textbook or web page about Milankovich cycles and continental drift you would have found a detailed description about long term climate change. According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center both polar caps are showing increases in temperatures and decreases in ice thickness in the case of Antarctica (precursor to a ice free Antarctic) and nearly a complete loss of ice in the Arctic. I use a pseudonym your_mommy_called to prevent hate mail just like you. Poor stupid lawyer, he looks at the world around himself, doesn't understand the simplest of concepts that every one around him seems to understand without trouble and screams I'm important. Every one just looks at the trained monkey in the cage. |
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On Oct 21, 10:41*am, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Tue, 21 Oct 2008 06:38:45 -0700 (PDT), " wrote: Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? Coal was used increasingly as a fuel in Europe from about AD 1000 on. The usage increased dramatically around the late 1700s. For the most part, this was low grade coal by modern standards, and burned almost always in very inefficient ways. The rise in coal burning, followed shortly by an observed rise in atmospheric CO2 and in global warming, represents one of the stronger pieces of evidence that the climate is influenced by human activities. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatoryhttp://www.cloudbait.com Interestingly, a very large part of the rise of CO2 can be attributed to the way we grow our food now. Food production used to be solar powered and sustainable. Not too many years ago there were 15 million individual farms in the US, now there are only about 1 million. Most farming is now done by large agribusinesses. Extensive uses of hydrocarbon based fertilizer and oil for mechanized farming are contributing a huge portion of the CO2 in the atmosphere. The use of corn and soybeans as the staple of our food supply has replaced time honored ways of land use such as crop rotation and leaving fields fallow to replenish the soil fertility. Corn here in the Midwest is not grown on traditional fertile soil any more, rather it is grown with ancient hydrocarbons that we pump out of the ground. We are literally eating oil in our daily food stuffs. Can we do this forever? The petroleum cycle gets even more interesting. We make and use vast quantities of plastics out of oil. These are used once and discarded. Slowly but surely this stuff makes its way to the ocean, the ocean being the lowest elevation on the planet. Large amounts of plastic rides around in the top layer of the ocean, being slowly pulverized into finer and finer bits, but never really degrading into its molecular components. Oceanographers have found that these fine bits of plastic, which resemble zoo plankton, are making up more and more of the material constituents of the top few meters of the ocean water. Filter feeders ingest them, small fish eat these filter feeders, end eventually larger fish (tuna) eat these smaller fish. Then we eat the fish. We are literally eating our own plastic waste (yum, have you had your sushi today?). Unca Rollo |
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On Oct 21, 10:06*am, wrote:
On Oct 21, 8:38*am, " wrote: Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? Millions of homes buring coal in their furnaces. Thousands of power plants and industrial processes using coal to heat and light and provide energy. Unca Rollo GBYD |
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On Oct 21, 11:29*am, wrote:
On Oct 21, 8:38 am, " wrote: On Oct 20, 9:26 pm, wrote: On Oct 20, 8:26 am, " So it is your claim that we have been able to measure the surface ( I assume you must mean this as opposed to atmospheric ) temperature, with consistent measuring devices, all over the world, including the oceans ( which make up 70% of the earth's surface ), to an accuracy of 1 or 2 degrees C. for the last 150 years?? NONSENSE! Have you already forgotten the predictions 25 short years ago of the "coming ice age"? Were those "scientists" just stupid? Are you really claiming that Canada does not have a huge arable area right now that will simply grow if Canada warms up? Do you really claim that the huge ( much bigger than the Northern ice cap ) Southern ice cap has not GROWN over the last several years? Do you really think China, for example, should be exempted from putting more than one huge coal-fired energy plant a day on line? Do you really think the world should devote a substantial part of its available resources to chase a "theory" when we have so many pressing needs which are killing millions right now? Or do you perhaps also value dogs more than humans? Do you really think current climate computer "models" are not subject to SUBSTANTIAL modifications as our knowledge of the subject increases? Do you really think the many PhD climatology scientists who think most of the current future climate models are seriously flawed are charlatans? Don't you think the current modelers who are predicting disaster ought to open up all the details of their models for debate and discussion? It is called the "scientific method" You claim to be a "scientist". In what field, exactly? Quoting directly from the UK Met Office Hadley Center "The dataset is based on regular measurements of air temperature at a global network of long-term land stations and on sea-surface temperatures measured from ships and buoys." Very specifically since 1850. *Europe, China and Japan all had sites that record temperatures at high profile sites (Paris, Bejing. London) in to the early 1700's See Rayner, N.A., Parker, D.E., Horton, E.B., Folland, C.K., Alexander, L.V., Rowell, D.P., Kent, E.C. and Kaplan, A., 2003: Global analyses of SST, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res, 108 D14. P. Brohan, J.J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S.F.B. Tett and P.D. Jones, Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res, 111, The National Climatic Data Center had records for both land and sea surface temperatures that date back to 1854. See Smith and Reynolds Vol. 17 Journal of Climate. Peterson and Vose Vol 78 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society A large number of sites across the US have measured temperature records back to 1812. At the time the US Army collected the daily high and low temperatures at forts across what was the entire US at the time. The Army still requires these reading to this day. As far a predictions for a ice age 25 years ago. There were no scientific publications that described anything you claim NewsWeek, Time and National Geographic are the sources of the myth of global cooling. Looking at the papers referenced in NewsWeek, Time and the National Geographic you will note that the cooling described would occur in 10,000 IF we continued to put aerosols into the air such that there was a 1000 fld increase each year. Read "The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus" *by Thomas C. Peterson, William M. Connolley, and John Fleck. *Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 89 2008 Looks pretty bad for you so far, you are batting 0 for 2 As far as the PhD. Climatologist who say that global warming isn't occurring there are none. There are some retired meteorologists who question how much of the observed warming is man-made, but then again they have been getting paid by the oil/gas industry to say so and freely admit that they are spokesman for the oil/gas industry. If you wish to debate how to reduce the warming and want question the methods and means I agree China and India are and will continue to be large sources of emissions. However the profligate waste of energy by the US is equally bad. Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? With this and your other weak arguments you have proven my point-- global warming is a natural cycle which we still do not understand fully. To you Greens however it is a religion. I call the notion that global warming is definitively and primarily caused by man-made CO2 a stupid, knowing hoax. And your suggestion that temperatures all over the world, including oceans, was taken with carefully calibrated similar instruments accurate to within a few degrees C is just plain silly. That doesn't even happen today. And is the southern ice cap ( much larger than Greenland ) growing today? Yes or no? You are, once again, what kind of "scientist"? I notice you also prefer to remain anonymous--- "mommycal"---- Why??? Who was doing this precise temperature measuring in the Amazon or central Africa or Antarctica or in Siberia in 1854? You can't be that dumb, can you? Gee you really are slow on the uptake. Only you claimed there was global warming in 1850. In order to accurate determine the slope of a line you need more than 1 one data point. To determine the change in slope of a line you need many points. The most accurate way to determine the rate of change in global average temperature (the slope of the line) is to compute the mean global temperature every year over a long period of observations. Using the long record of observations I can compute the slope. The slope will vary significantly from year to year, but an average slope computed using 20 to 30 years of slopes will average out the year to year variation. Station temperatures and sea surface temperatures have been measured with 1 deg C accuracy for a very long time. Even the cheapest give- away thermometer can read to 0.5 deg C and meteorologists/ oceanographers have been measuring the temperature with far more accurate instruments for more than a hundred years. No weak arguments. The long term changes in climate are well understood. If you had bothered to look in a textbook or web page about Milankovich cycles and continental drift you would have found a detailed description about long term climate change. According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center both polar caps are showing increases in temperatures and decreases in ice thickness in the case of Antarctica (precursor to a ice free Antarctic) and nearly a complete loss of ice in the Arctic. I use a pseudonym your_mommy_called to prevent hate mail just like you. Poor stupid lawyer, he looks at the world around himself, doesn't understand the simplest of concepts that every one around him seems to understand without trouble and screams I'm important. Every one just looks at the trained monkey in the cage. Poor stupid "scientist". Even your friend Roland claims man started global warming in the 1850ties with "millions of coal fired fireplaces" Still haven't given us a clue as to your "scientific" background. I'll bet you don't even have a degree. Hate mail? What a joke--I can respond in kind to fanatics who spew insults. And like most fanatics you ignored my questions for which you have no answer--you would be a hoot on a witness stand. Or perhaps you teach part time in a rundown "charter school" and that makes you a physicist. You Greens are funny. Or perhaps you have to "keep your proprietary computer model algorithms secret" like most of the modelers--that is no "scientific method"--it is quackery. And your claim that "only retired PhD scientists paid by the oil companies" dare question GW orthodoxy is pathetic. Google is your friend but I am not going to do your research for you. Save yourself some time--go he http://www.junkscience.com/ |
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On Oct 21, 12:05*pm, wrote:
On Oct 21, 10:41*am, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Tue, 21 Oct 2008 06:38:45 -0700 (PDT), " wrote: Exactly how was man causing global warming in the 1850ties? Millions of cars running around? Coal was used increasingly as a fuel in Europe from about AD 1000 on. The usage increased dramatically around the late 1700s. For the most part, this was low grade coal by modern standards, and burned almost always in very inefficient ways. The rise in coal burning, followed shortly by an observed rise in atmospheric CO2 and in global warming, represents one of the stronger pieces of evidence that the climate is influenced by human activities. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatoryhttp://www.cloudbait.com Interestingly, a very large part of the rise of CO2 can be attributed to the way we grow our food now. Food production used to be solar powered and sustainable. Not too many years ago there were 15 million individual farms in the US, now there are only about 1 million. Most farming is now done by large agribusinesses. Extensive uses of hydrocarbon based fertilizer and oil for mechanized farming are contributing a huge portion of the CO2 in the atmosphere. The use of corn and soybeans as the staple of our food supply has replaced time honored ways of land use such as crop rotation and leaving fields fallow to replenish the soil fertility. Corn here in the Midwest is not grown on traditional fertile soil any more, rather it is grown with ancient hydrocarbons that we pump out of the ground. We are literally eating oil in our daily food stuffs. Can we do this forever? The petroleum cycle gets even more interesting. We make and use vast quantities of plastics out of oil. These are used once and discarded. Slowly but surely this stuff makes its way to the ocean, the ocean being the lowest elevation on the planet. Large amounts of plastic rides around in the top layer of the ocean, being slowly pulverized into finer and finer bits, but never really degrading into its molecular components. Oceanographers have found that these fine bits of plastic, which resemble zoo plankton, are making up more and more of the material constituents of the top few meters of the ocean water. Filter feeders ingest them, small fish eat these filter feeders, end eventually larger fish (tuna) eat these smaller fish. Then we eat the fish. We are literally eating our own plastic waste (yum, have you had your sushi today?). Unca Rollo The end is near, the end is near Dr Malthus |
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On Oct 21, 3:44 am, (Paul Schlyter) wrote:
In article , BradGuth wrote: On Oct 16, 12:07 am, ukastronomy wrote: On 16 Oct, 02:03, Hank Kroll wrote: My book, COSMOLOGICAL ICE AGES explains how the carbon resources were made. Our sun is in a 105,000-year elliptical orbit around the Procyon and Sirius star systems. What evidence can you provide for this claim? How many people apart from yourself agree with your claim - where does their published support (if any) appear? -- Martin Nicholson - Daventry, UKhttp://www.martin-nicholson.info/index.htm Dealing with John Greaves FAQhttp://www.geocities.com/badastrobuster/index.htm You don't believe in ice core samples or diatoms? You have some other significant stellar encounter that'll cycle nearby our solar system every 105,000 years? How many such cycles do you have evidence for? And where is that evidence? Stars happen to pass our solar system from time to time. Perhaps there were two such passages some 105,000 years apart? However, our solar system orbiting Sirius with that period is incompatible with the positions and velocities we observe of the stars today. ~ BG -- ---------------------------------------------------------------- Paul Schlyter, Grev Turegatan 40, SE-114 38 Stockholm, SWEDEN e-mail: pausch at stjarnhimlen dot se WWW: http://stjarnhimlen.se/ I can agree with the possibility of more than one other than Sirius star coming our way, however the best available proper motions of such potential other nearby stars seems to exclude that possibility, especially of those offering the intensity plus UV spectrum potential. Terrestrial ice cores that go back nearly a million years are suggesting that we've had perhaps 12 some odd stellar encounter cycles within that brief amount of time. It's as though our sun was the third and least tidal bound partner of the once truly impressive Sirius star system. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:F...ate_Change.png Those vast layers upon layers of diatoms (DE) are yet another matter of stellar encounters as having given our otherwise passive solar environment that astonishing degree of growth/population spurts. ~ BG |
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