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In sci.astro.amateur message , Thu, 16
Oct 2008 07:14:43, Paul Schlyter posted: In article 6hxJk.334622$TT4.282639@attbi_s22, Sam Wormley wrote: Hank Kroll wrote: My book, COSMOLOGICAL ICE AGES explains how the carbon resources were made. Our sun is in a 105,000-year elliptical orbit around the Procyon and Sirius star systems. The observed motions of Sirius and Procyon do not support any notion of orbital relationship with our sun. In addition, if the Sun was in such an orbit, the orbital period would be of the order of several billion years instead of a mere 105 thousand years. I think you exaggerate, slightly. Earth goes around Sol in one year, at about 500 light-seconds; Sirius and Procyon are at about 10 * 31e6 light-seconds. Other things being equal, T is proportional to R^1.5. That gives me just under half a billion years, to be reduced because S & P are heavier. -- (c) John Stockton, near London, UK. Posting with Google. Mail: or (better) via Home Page at Web: URL:http://www.merlyn.demon.co.uk/ FAQish topics, acronyms, links, etc.; Date, Delphi, JavaScript, ....| |
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On Oct 18, 3:16*am, (Paul Schlyter) wrote:
In article , wrote: Wrong! *Don't be so ignorant.... *ocean ice melting won't raise the sea level at all - because that ice already is in the water. *Therefore the ice cap around the North Pole melting won't raise the ocean. *What will raise the sea level is when glaciers on land melts. *The biggest glacier on land is of course the ices of Antarctica. *The second biggest is Greenland, although that one is much smaller than the one in Antarctica. In fact, the ocean water level rise was hardly measurable--what happened? Did the Southern ice cap grow by a similar or larger amount possibly? If a "scientific theory" can't be empirically tested or it can't make measurable predictions, it is sort of worthless, isn't it? If this was just a "scientific theory" it would be easy, although somewhat time consuming, to test empirically: just continue as before, and see and measure what happens! However, this is more than just a test of a scientific theory. *It is also a likely catastrophy. *Which means the price to test this scientific theory is too high. *Or would you be willing to probably have your home flooded, just to test this theory? *If not, why do you demand millions and millions of others living in many coastal cities around the world to take that risk? -- ---------------------------------------------------------------- Paul Schlyter, *Grev Turegatan 40, *SE-114 38 Stockholm, *SWEDEN e-mail: *pausch at stjarnhimlen dot se WWW: * *http://stjarnhimlen.se/ You can't be unaware of the FACT that the Southern ice cap has been GROWING in recent years. Are you simply dishonest? And the notion that any sea level rise will occur virtually overnight producing coastal flooding" is laughable and pathetic--you can't be that dumb, can you? |
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On Oct 17, 6:06*pm, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Fri, 17 Oct 2008 15:44:23 -0700 (PDT), " wrote: "Probably", "almost certainly", etc--are you trying to describe an unproven theory or, even worse, a computer model with many questionable assumptions? There's no such thing as a proven theory. "Probably" and "almost certainly" are entirely correct (and skeptical) ways of describing theories that have a substantial body of evidence supporting them. Terms like that mean that theories should be taken seriously. It doesn't mean they are fact. We have an option to take actions that will reduce the negative impact of climate change that we're probably causing. And we have nothing to lose, as switching away from petroleum, and requiring that coal plants sequester all CO2, can only result in a huge boost to our economy. And if it prevents civilization from collapsing along the way (a very real possibility, IMO), so much the better! _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatoryhttp://www.cloudbait.com You really don't understand economics at all. Those "remedies" you put forth are very expensive and certainly will not provide a "huge boost to the economy". "Civilization on the verge of collapse"--spoken like a true clueless mountain man--do you live off the grid too? And you persist in using weasel words like "probably", "substantially", etc to justify spending trillions of dollars. What do you propose to do with China who is averaging a new coal fired power plant a day? Exempt them as Kyoto proposed? |
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On Sat, 18 Oct 2008 07:47:31 -0700 (PDT), "
wrote: You really don't understand economics at all. Those "remedies" you put forth are very expensive and certainly will not provide a "huge boost to the economy". I understand economics well enough to know that expensive remedies do not necessarily hurt the economy. Our current energy solution is a large part of what's trashing our economy. The technology that can replace it is of incredible value. The side-effects of the development process alone could be huge. We never made a penny off the billions spent on the Apollo program, yet it dramatically boosted our economy over time. "Civilization on the verge of collapse"--spoken like a true clueless mountain man--do you live off the grid too? You should study up on law a little, too. You are committing libel here, by accusing me of saying something that I did not say. Your action is subject to legal action if I were so inclined; at the least, its highly uncivil. Or maybe you simply lack the education to understand the role of quotes in English. What's it going to be... uncivil and libelous, or uneducated and stupid? Decisions, decisions. What I said was that the collapse of civilization [from climate change] is a very real possibility. That's a very different statement than what you have attributed to me. Civilizations _have_ collapsed due to climate shift: the Mayans (possibly by their own actions), the Anasazi, ancient Greenlanders, and others. Modern societies in Africa have arguably devolved to barbarism because of environmental strains. A tiny little event called Katrina reduced a small region of the U.S. to uncivilized behavior for a time, and produced huge financial effects that continue to impact our economy. Imagine if it had been Miami, or even several cities on the East Coast? Civilization is fragile; governments fall easily when economies fail. Even faster when food supplies fail. There is no doubt- no doubt at all- that the collapse of civilization is a possibility that comes with global climate change. Nobody can put an accurate number to the likelihood that this will happen; right now it's probably a small number. But the ramifications are so negative that only a fool would ignore the possibility. And you persist in using weasel words like "probably", "substantially", etc to justify spending trillions of dollars. I persist in using _honest_ words like "probably" and "substantially". When it comes to something as uncertain as climate change, I wouldn't trust anybody who put things into absolutes. What do you propose to do with China who is averaging a new coal fired power plant a day? Exempt them as Kyoto proposed? Nothing. I have no control over China. And it doesn't matter, because if we develop alternate energy sources (and ways of removing carbon from coal plant emissions), we'll own the world economy. Everyone else will follow. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
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On Sat, 18 Oct 2008 07:46:26 -0700 (PDT), "
wrote: You can't be unaware of the FACT that the Southern ice cap has been GROWING in recent years. Are you simply dishonest? More absolutes. Measuring the volume of ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica is extremely difficult. Most data is satellite derived, from altimetry and ground penetrating radar. The bulk of evidence suggests that the Antarctic is losing more ice than it is gaining. Measuring this is made especially difficult because the ice is growing in parts of the continent, and being lost in others. The effects on sea level are even harder to work out, because the floating ice shelves (which are indisputably being lost at a high rate) are fresh water, which results in some sea level rise. This is why arctic ice melting also produces some sea level rise. The point is, this is all very complicated (and well worth what we are investing in its study). And the data collected so far isn't very good news for coastal communities over the next century or two. And the notion that any sea level rise will occur virtually overnight producing coastal flooding" is laughable and pathetic--you can't be that dumb, can you? Who said anything about "overnight"? The ocean has risen over the last century, and we're paying a price for it now. An inch or two is all it takes to make the difference between minor damage and near total destruction from a storm surge. The ocean doesn't have to physically rise over your house for it to have a major impact on you if you're living on a coastline. The most conservative models predict a sea level rise over the next century of the better part of a meter. And a wise planner doesn't bet on the most conservative estimate. It is near certainty that many coastal areas are facing serious problems from ocean level increases in the near future. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
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On Oct 18, 10:32*am, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sat, 18 Oct 2008 07:47:31 -0700 (PDT), " wrote: You really don't understand economics at all. Those "remedies" you put forth are very expensive and certainly will not provide a "huge boost to the economy". I understand economics well enough to know that expensive remedies do not necessarily hurt the economy. Our current energy solution is a large part of what's trashing our economy. The technology that can replace it is of incredible value. The side-effects of the development process alone could be huge. We never made a penny off the billions spent on the Apollo program, yet it dramatically boosted our economy over time. "Civilization on the verge of collapse"--spoken like a true clueless mountain man--do you live off the grid too? You should study up on law a little, too. You are committing libel here, by accusing me of saying something that I did not say. Your action is subject to legal action if I were so inclined; at the least, its highly uncivil. Or maybe you simply lack the education to understand the role of quotes in English. What's it going to be... uncivil and libelous, or uneducated and stupid? Decisions, decisions. What I said was that the collapse of civilization [from climate change] is a very real possibility. That's a very different statement than what you have attributed to me. Civilizations _have_ collapsed due to climate shift: the Mayans (possibly by their own actions), the Anasazi, ancient Greenlanders, and others. Modern societies in Africa have arguably devolved to barbarism because of environmental strains. A tiny little event called Katrina reduced a small region of the U.S. to uncivilized behavior for a time, and produced huge financial effects that continue to impact our economy. Imagine if it had been Miami, or even several cities on the East Coast? Civilization is fragile; governments fall easily when economies fail. Even faster when food supplies fail. There is no doubt- no doubt at all- that the collapse of civilization is a possibility that comes with global climate change. Nobody can put an accurate number to the likelihood that this will happen; right now it's probably a small number. But the ramifications are so negative that only a fool would ignore the possibility. And you persist in using weasel words like "probably", "substantially", etc to justify spending trillions of dollars. I persist in using _honest_ words like "probably" and "substantially". When it comes to something as uncertain as climate change, I wouldn't trust anybody who put things into absolutes. What do you propose to do with China who is averaging a new coal fired power plant a day? Exempt them as Kyoto proposed? Nothing. I have no control over China. And it doesn't matter, because if we develop alternate energy sources (and ways of removing carbon from coal plant emissions), we'll own the world economy. Everyone else will follow. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatoryhttp://www.cloudbait.com incredibly naive |
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On Oct 18, 4:32*pm, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sat, 18 Oct 2008 07:47:31 -0700 (PDT), " wrote: You really don't understand economics at all. Those "remedies" you put forth are very expensive and certainly will not provide a "huge boost to the economy". I understand economics well enough to know that expensive remedies do not necessarily hurt the economy. Our current energy solution is a large part of what's trashing our economy. The technology that can replace it is of incredible value. The side-effects of the development process alone could be huge. We never made a penny off the billions spent on the Apollo program, yet it dramatically boosted our economy over time. "Civilization on the verge of collapse"--spoken like a true clueless mountain man--do you live off the grid too? You should study up on law a little, too. You are committing libel here, by accusing me of saying something that I did not say. Your action is subject to legal action if I were so inclined; at the least, its highly uncivil. Or maybe you simply lack the education to understand the role of quotes in English. What's it going to be... uncivil and libelous, or uneducated and stupid? Decisions, decisions. You traffic in astrology and artificial premises and conclusions for the Earth's daily rotational and orbital motions making you unfit to discuss anything remotely relating to climate and you can take that to the group here or any court,it does not alter the fact that the wider population requires your kind to quietly disappear in order for competent individuals to handle astronomical affairs and the linkage to climate,geology and the multitude of other subjects that remain unattended because of the dominance of people with astrological minds such as yourself. No point in calling you incompetent,stupid and dangerous,the things you believe with basic astronomical facts speak for themselves and it is hardly the affair of a civil court to deal with empiricism and stupidity for both are synonymous,at least in astronomical affairs. What I said was that the collapse of civilization [from climate change] is a very real possibility. That's a very different statement than what you have attributed to me. Civilizations _have_ collapsed due to climate shift: the Mayans (possibly by their own actions), the Anasazi, ancient Greenlanders, and others. Modern societies in Africa have arguably devolved to barbarism because of environmental strains. A tiny little event called Katrina reduced a small region of the U.S. to uncivilized behavior for a time, and produced huge financial effects that continue to impact our economy. Imagine if it had been Miami, or even several cities on the East Coast? Civilization is fragile; governments fall easily when economies fail. Even faster when food supplies fail. There is no doubt- no doubt at all- that the collapse of civilization is a possibility that comes with global climate change. Nobody can put an accurate number to the likelihood that this will happen; right now it's probably a small number. But the ramifications are so negative that only a fool would ignore the possibility. And you persist in using weasel words like "probably", "substantially", etc to justify spending trillions of dollars. I persist in using _honest_ words like "probably" and "substantially". When it comes to something as uncertain as climate change, I wouldn't trust anybody who put things into absolutes. What do you propose to do with China who is averaging a new coal fired power plant a day? Exempt them as Kyoto proposed? Nothing. I have no control over China. And it doesn't matter, because if we develop alternate energy sources (and ways of removing carbon from coal plant emissions), we'll own the world economy. Everyone else will follow. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatoryhttp://www.cloudbait.com |
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On Oct 17, 7:44 am, "
wrote: Mass starvation? BS. The temperate climate regions best suited for crops will simply move North to Canada and Siberia. Not very familiar with the fact that the world is divided into lots of little nation states, with their own immigration policies, are you? Sure, the U.S. would be able to feed itself by importing food from Canada, but lots of people in small poor countries in the tropics are likely to starve when the rich countries have enough trouble taking care of themselves. John Savard |
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On Fri, 17 Oct 2008 08:28:08 -0600, Chris L Peterson
wrote, in part: I have never said that. I believe I said something along the lines that an entire species of some birds is more valuable than some (unspecified) number of individual human lives. You're welcome to disagree, but I don't think my position is extreme or unusual. That is ridiculous. One human life is (intrinsically) more valuable than ANY amount of money or material things. This category, of course, includes pets, livestock, and wild animals. It is true that in our world, there is not enough food to feed everyone, and so enough money to save more than one life is too valuable to spend on saving only one life somewhere else. This is practical value rather than intrinsic value. Thus, since many humans would die if, say, ants or earthworms became extinct, these species have greater practical value (but not greater intrinsic value) than a human life. To assign a mere thing higher intrinsic value than a human being is idolatry. The situation where things compete with human beings in practical value is a bad situation, one which we should try to remedy. This is done, for example, by increasing the power and resources available to humanity, so that less conflict exists between human survival and the sources of that survival. John Savard http://www.quadibloc.com/index.html |
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On Sat, 18 Oct 2008 10:43:39 -0700 (PDT), Quadibloc
wrote: Sure, the U.S. would be able to feed itself by importing food from Canada... That's expensive. In the end, the easiest solution might just be to invade Canada. Who would stop us? Just another minor adjustment in borders. History is full of them. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
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