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I know a fellow who is interesting sometimes and frustrating, because
to him all risks seem same size: very, very large. I've thought of advising him to stay indoors on sunny days, else he may get a terrible fright from his shadow. But the point is, if you're alive, you're at risk. As observed up this thread, Luna's craters are an accumulation over a few millions of years and the infall rate there seems not terribly dangerous now. And knowing the risk means you can do something about it. Concerning those risks, where is the most safe place on Luna? Sub-Earth? (Earth directly overhead, remember Luna is orbitally locked.) The leading side near the equator? The trailing side? More near the poles? Etc etc, and don't forget, a fragment from a meteor strike could orbit for several years and zip past at 5.5 feet just in time to take you out if you're standing there. I think base siting in a Lunar lava tube is an interesting idea, however, seems to me anybody settling there is going to be doing a lot of engineering and science on the surface. Cheers -- Martha Adams |
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In article ,
Martha H Adams wrote: Concerning [impact] risks, where is the most safe place on Luna? Sub-Earth? (Earth directly overhead, remember Luna is orbitally locked.) The leading side near the equator? The trailing side? More near the poles? ... Farside vs nearside vs leading or trailing edge really doesn't make very much difference. Earth is too small and too far away to provide much actual shielding, and the Moon's orbital velocity is too slow to be of great importance. The safest place is probably hunkered well down in a not-too-big polar crater. A fair bit of the biggest incoming stuff has orbital velocity *roughly* in the plane of the ecliptic, so it's coming in roughly at right angles to the Moon's axis, and it'll be below the horizon in the bottom of a modest-sized polar crater. (The bigger the crater, the shallower it is.) Comet debris comes in from all angles... but as it happens, probably the single biggest impact threat in the Earth-Moon system is comet debris from a predictable direction: the Leonid meteor showers. When the Leonids storm, you get roughly a year's worth of meteors in an hour or so... and they're coming in at 72km/s instead of the usual average of around 20km/s. (Leonid impacts on the Moon have been seen, as flashes on the night side.) But the Leonids always come at the same time of year and from the same direction in the sky, and if memory serves, by chance it's quite close to the plane of the ecliptic. So in your polar crater, they too are below the horizon. However, the bottom of that polar crater may be a trifle chilly... -- MOST launched 30 June; science observations running | Henry Spencer since Oct; first surprises seen; papers pending. | |
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(Henry Spencer) wrote in :
However, the bottom of that polar crater may be a trifle chilly... Won't there be similar problems building in a lava tube? No sunlight there either. -- Coridon Henshaw - http://www3.telus.net/csbh - "I have sadly come to the conclusion that the Bush administration will go to any lengths to deny reality." -- Charley Reese |
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In article ,
Coridon Henshaw (chenshawREMOVE wrote: However, the bottom of that polar crater may be a trifle chilly... Won't there be similar problems building in a lava tube? No sunlight there either. Not nearly as bad, because it's not exposed to black sky. Underground temperatures are reasonable -- a bit cold but not very -- and quite stable (with the caveat that our data is on shallow depths in soil, not on lava-tube interiors, and at only a couple of sites). -- MOST launched 30 June; science observations running | Henry Spencer since Oct; first surprises seen; papers pending. | |
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