STS-114 Return To Flight L-1 Launch Mission Execution Forecast (Forwarded)

45th Weather Squadron
45th Space Wing, Patrick Air Force Base
Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida

Launch Mission Execution Forecast

Vehicle: Shuttle
Issued: 25 July 2005/1100Z (0700 EDT)
Valid: 26 July 2005
Launch Weather Team: (321) 853-8484

Synoptic Discussion:
Tropical Storm Franklin is currently located approximately 580
nautical miles east of Kennedy Space Center. The trough located
along the Eastern US is causing Franklin to move off to the
east-northeast. The National Hurricane Center’s forecast tracks
Franklin northeast and dissipates the storm over the next 36
hours. With the trough to the north and Franklin to the east,
winds for launch day will become light and variable at the
surface and easterly at the upper levels. A sea breeze should
begin to form near launch time, causing a concern for developing
showers. Also, since upper level winds are from the east, anvil
clouds from thunderstorms off shore over the Gulf Stream are
also a concern. ** Our primary concerns for launch are
developing cumulus clouds and showers as well as anvil clouds
from offshore thunderstorms. **


Clouds Coverage Bases (feet) Tops (feet)
Cumulus 3/8 Scattered 3,000 5,000
Altocumulus 3/8 Scattered 12,000 13,000
Cirrus 3/8 scattered 25,000 26,000

Weather: Developing showers, thunderstorms off shore
Visibility: 7 miles
Wind: 070 deg @ 7 - 10 KT (60 foot pad winds)
Temperatu 84 F RH: 77% Dewpoint: 76 F


Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch: 40%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting Tanking: 5%
Primary concern(s):
Anvil and Cumulus clouds, showers within 20NM of the Shuttle Landing
Facility.

Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch for 24-hour delay: 40%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting Tanking: 5%
Primary concern(s):
Anvil and Cumulus clouds, showers within 20NM of the Shuttle Landing
Facility.

Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch for 48-hour delay: N/A
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting Tanking: N/A
Primary concern(s): N/A


Sunrise: 26/0640 EDT Sunset: 26/2015 EDT
27/0641 EDT 27/2015 EDT
28/0641 EDT 28/2014 EDT

Moonrise: 25/2332 EDT Moonset: 26/1215 EDT Illumination: 26 July 73%
26/0004 EDT 27/1316 EDT 27 July 62%
27/0037 EDT 28/1416 EDT 28 July 52%

Next forecast will be issued: As needed

*****

NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SPACEFLIGHT METEOROLOGY GROUP / ZS8
LYNDON B. JOHNSON SPACE CENTER
HOUSTON TX 77058

000
NOUS54 KWNJ 251032
OAVJSC

Space Shuttle Landing Weather Forecast

LANDING FORECAST FOR STS-114
630 AM CDT MONDAY JULY 25, 2005

EXPECTED LAUNCH TIME: 1439Z
DATE: 07/26/05


RETURN TO LAUNCH SITE (RTLS) - VALID LAUNCH TIME + 30 MINUTES

SHUTTLE LANDING FACILITY: ENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FL
KSC FEW025 FEW100 7 32004P06
CHC SHRA WI 20 NM


TRANS-OCEANIC ABORT LANDING SITES (TAL) - VALID LAUNCH TIME + 35 MINUTES

ZARAGOZA, SPAIN
ZZA FEW040 SCT100 BKN250 7 11008P14
CHC TSRA WI 20

MORON, SPAIN
MRN SCT250 7 26012P18

ISTRES, FRANCE
FMI FEW040 BKN250 7 22012P18


ABORT-ONCE-AROUND SITE (AOA) - VALID LAUNCH TIME + 90 MINUTES

KSC SCT035 SCT120 SCT250 7 03006P09
CHC SHRA/TSRA WI 30 NM


PRIMARY LANDING SITE (PLS) - VALID 07/26/05 19Z TO 07/26/05 20Z

EDW FEW060 FEW200 7 21006P10


FLIGHT RULE VIOLATIONS:
KSC ... PRECIP
NOR ... PRECIP/TS
EDW ... NONE
ZZA ... TS
MRN ... NONE
FMI ... XWIND

THE NEXT SCHEDULED FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED 26/0100Z

KSC KENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FL
ICAO ID IS KSC
NOR NORTHRUP STRIP WHITE SANDS SPACE HARBOR, NM
ICAO ID IS NOR
EDW EDWARDS AIR FORCE BASE, CA
ICAO ID IS EDW
ZZA ZARAGOZA, SPAIN
ICAO ID IS LEZG
MRN MORON, SPAIN
ICAO ID IS LEMO
FMI ISTRES, FRANCE
ICAO ID IS LFMI

KAS/RAL/DAH