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#192
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In sci.physics,
wrote on Mon, 26 Jan 04 12:11:13 GMT : In article , The Ghost In The Machine wrote: In sci.physics, Craig Davidson wrote on Sun, 25 Jan 2004 06:05:10 GMT nk.net: snip You do know that Spirit and Opportunity are unmanned spacecraft? With your rant about dangers to crews I wasn't quite sure you knew that. I wonder if they said that about Christopher Columbus. He lied you know. Never did bring back spices from India. What a waste of dollars that could be better spent in Spain. (or was it Portugal?) NASA. 17 deaths. (Did you forget the Apollo 1 ground failure?) How much is space exploration worth in terms of blood, sweat, and tears? It's an obvious question. If 17 dead is too much, then the automobile should be banned, sexual intercourse should be stopped, and all agriculture should be stopped. Farming is not safe. An obvious answer. :-) Just be careful: some would *love* to stop sexual intercourse -- mostly prudish pro-life types who seem to think women can't decide things for themselves. However, this is getting a little far afield of orbital satellites (among other things), despite the many flying metaphors of certain physical activities... As it is, man exists to explore, as well as eat, fornicate, ****, ****, create, shuffle paperwork, radiate heat, eventually die, and other things. Presumably, the main issues relate to proper prioritization of these activities. Of course, some of them aren't exactly controllable -- the heat radiation will occur no matter what, for example, and urination and defecation can only be put off for so long, as evidenced by Tycho Brahe. I would hope that we don't lose 17 more, but it's clear that from a death standpoint 17 is a lot less than 1.7 million, which IINM is within an order of magnitude of the number of Americans who perished during World War II. snip /BAH Subtract a hundred and four for e-mail. -- #191, It's still legal to go .sigless. |
#193
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In sci.physics,
wrote on Mon, 26 Jan 04 12:11:13 GMT : In article , The Ghost In The Machine wrote: In sci.physics, Craig Davidson wrote on Sun, 25 Jan 2004 06:05:10 GMT nk.net: snip You do know that Spirit and Opportunity are unmanned spacecraft? With your rant about dangers to crews I wasn't quite sure you knew that. I wonder if they said that about Christopher Columbus. He lied you know. Never did bring back spices from India. What a waste of dollars that could be better spent in Spain. (or was it Portugal?) NASA. 17 deaths. (Did you forget the Apollo 1 ground failure?) How much is space exploration worth in terms of blood, sweat, and tears? It's an obvious question. If 17 dead is too much, then the automobile should be banned, sexual intercourse should be stopped, and all agriculture should be stopped. Farming is not safe. An obvious answer. :-) Just be careful: some would *love* to stop sexual intercourse -- mostly prudish pro-life types who seem to think women can't decide things for themselves. However, this is getting a little far afield of orbital satellites (among other things), despite the many flying metaphors of certain physical activities... As it is, man exists to explore, as well as eat, fornicate, ****, ****, create, shuffle paperwork, radiate heat, eventually die, and other things. Presumably, the main issues relate to proper prioritization of these activities. Of course, some of them aren't exactly controllable -- the heat radiation will occur no matter what, for example, and urination and defecation can only be put off for so long, as evidenced by Tycho Brahe. I would hope that we don't lose 17 more, but it's clear that from a death standpoint 17 is a lot less than 1.7 million, which IINM is within an order of magnitude of the number of Americans who perished during World War II. snip /BAH Subtract a hundred and four for e-mail. -- #191, It's still legal to go .sigless. |
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In sci.physics, Robert J. Kolker
wrote on Mon, 26 Jan 2004 23:52:21 GMT UKhRb.157757$xy6.754287@attbi_s02: Jeremiah J. Burton wrote: Mark K. NASA claims 1 in 100 chance of a shuttle crash Not initially. After loosing two orbiters they revised their statistics. Indeed. It would now have to be 1 in 50 -- and that's not assuming some sort of statistical adjustment. Bob Kolker -- #191, It's still legal to go .sigless. |
#195
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In sci.physics, Robert J. Kolker
wrote on Mon, 26 Jan 2004 23:52:21 GMT UKhRb.157757$xy6.754287@attbi_s02: Jeremiah J. Burton wrote: Mark K. NASA claims 1 in 100 chance of a shuttle crash Not initially. After loosing two orbiters they revised their statistics. Indeed. It would now have to be 1 in 50 -- and that's not assuming some sort of statistical adjustment. Bob Kolker -- #191, It's still legal to go .sigless. |
#196
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In sci.physics, Robert J. Kolker
wrote on Mon, 26 Jan 2004 23:52:21 GMT UKhRb.157757$xy6.754287@attbi_s02: Jeremiah J. Burton wrote: Mark K. NASA claims 1 in 100 chance of a shuttle crash Not initially. After loosing two orbiters they revised their statistics. Indeed. It would now have to be 1 in 50 -- and that's not assuming some sort of statistical adjustment. Bob Kolker -- #191, It's still legal to go .sigless. |
#197
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![]() The Ghost In The Machine wrote: I would hope that we don't lose 17 more, but it's clear that from a death standpoint 17 is a lot less than 1.7 million, which IINM is within an order of magnitude of the number of Americans who perished during World War II. Our survival as a nation depended on America entering into the festivities of WW2. Can you convince the skeptical that our survival as a nation is conditioned on sending manned expeditions to Mars or the Moon? Pray do tell us why we must. And no fair invoking Cheng He either. The only condition that I can see is if there is a credible military threat from another nation's occupying the Moon, say. If that be the case, then we would have to respond in some fashion. Bob Kolker |
#198
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![]() The Ghost In The Machine wrote: I would hope that we don't lose 17 more, but it's clear that from a death standpoint 17 is a lot less than 1.7 million, which IINM is within an order of magnitude of the number of Americans who perished during World War II. Our survival as a nation depended on America entering into the festivities of WW2. Can you convince the skeptical that our survival as a nation is conditioned on sending manned expeditions to Mars or the Moon? Pray do tell us why we must. And no fair invoking Cheng He either. The only condition that I can see is if there is a credible military threat from another nation's occupying the Moon, say. If that be the case, then we would have to respond in some fashion. Bob Kolker |
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![]() The Ghost In The Machine wrote: I would hope that we don't lose 17 more, but it's clear that from a death standpoint 17 is a lot less than 1.7 million, which IINM is within an order of magnitude of the number of Americans who perished during World War II. Our survival as a nation depended on America entering into the festivities of WW2. Can you convince the skeptical that our survival as a nation is conditioned on sending manned expeditions to Mars or the Moon? Pray do tell us why we must. And no fair invoking Cheng He either. The only condition that I can see is if there is a credible military threat from another nation's occupying the Moon, say. If that be the case, then we would have to respond in some fashion. Bob Kolker |
#200
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![]() The Ghost In The Machine wrote: Indeed. It would now have to be 1 in 50 -- and that's not assuming some sort of statistical adjustment. I posted an article that cited the initial odds at one in a thousand (I was mistaken about the one in ten thousand estimate. That was just a fond wish, it turned out). NASA people have either been lying about the odds, or have been incompetent in estimating the odds. But soft. If the manned programs were -test- programs, one can forgive the risk. The crews are test pilots and they presumably know the risks before they go aloft. But NASA attempted to sell Congress on the -Ace Trucking Company- canard and a damnable lie. Why we can even send a school teacher aloft! Ya. Sure. Poor Christa bought it in every way. Bob Kolker |
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