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Sea going vessels today cost $5,181 per metric ton of construction
judging by current costs from major builders. Achieving that cost here allows us to estimate that each 9,000 tonne structure will likely cost $52,362,000 and that all 7 will cost $366,534,000. The flotation systems ans support ships will likely cost an additional $180 million based on size and complexity- a total of $547 million plus development costs. This is far less than an land based system. Existing piers and dock yards are used - there is a surplus of ship building capacity. A small 'space yacht' system 1/1000th the mass and 1/10th the dimension, of the larger system would still put 20 metric tons on orbit and should cost $547,000! plus development costs of course, which are very much the same. Obviously a sub-scale system will be built to act as a laboratory for the full-scale system - which will have a few challenges of its own due to size. The sub-scale system is 3.2 (10.5 ft) meter diameter and 17.5 (57.4 ft) meter length - masses 9 tonnes empty carrying 38 tonnes of propellant (5.43 tonnes hydrogen, 32.57 tonnes oxygen) The primary structure is 4.7 metric tons. The mass budget for all the hardware is 9.0 metric tons. The structure is semi-monocoque, like the original ET, with largely the same structure http://www.lockheedmartin.com/ssc/mi...ank/index.html Instead of being made of fusion welded aluminum lithium alloy chemically etched to fine tolerances, the sub-scale system uses 1.15 mm thick sheet of AISI 302 cold rolled stainless steel pressed into shape and laser cut. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1NsM0-9_n3Q http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uio9cvDJszs http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lTFzi-UKnfs http://www.custompartnet.com/wu/sheet-metal-forming Parts are laser welded on jigs into sub-assemblies that are then assembled with non-metal parts - like insulation, electronics, absorbers, actuators, etc., and bolted together. The bolts are then welded in place to form the final system. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4TJur00-R8k Generally speaking sheet steel is cut or punched to shape on the flat, then formed into a 3D shape by pressing rolling spinning or folding. The parts are then trimmed and joined and welded together. These operations are routinely carried out at shipyards and machine shops with high precision. The engine is regeneratively cooled at the throat, with film cooling at the hottest parts. Radiatively cooled further along the expansion nozzle. Cryogenic liquids are stored in insulated steel tanks housed within a protective stainless steel outer shell. All these elements must be put together and programmed, along with all the tooling, and measurement systems put in place to measure results and modify operations... for the sub scale system. This is a $20 million effort - including the construction of a half dozen test articles and three flight weight systems ($6 million of the total) and will take 18 months. Avionics and software is another $8 million effort all by itself involving electronics, sensors, etc. ($28 million total) and another 6 months of flight testing the three flight weight systems. Five additional flight systems are built for another $3 million once we've got a workable system. Another $5 million for support vessels - and $4 million for avionics ($40 million total estimate) These are reusable up to 1,000x - and support 250 flights to orbit per year with 20 metric tons or more. A single 20 ton payload on orbit costs $50 million. Collecting a refundable deposit for 5 flights - and giving away half the profits when realized provides fabulous returns for investors (40% per annum compounded for all money at risk until revenue). RISK REWARD 2,000,000 10,756,480 YEAR 1 4,000,000 15,366,400 YEAR 2 8,000,000 21,952,000 YEAR 3 16,000,000 31,360,000 YEAR 4 10,000,000 14,000,000 YEAR 5 40,000,000 93,434,880 TOTAL 250,000,000 VALUE OF 5 FLIGHTS 37.37% PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL Investors have claim on the first $93.4 million in revenue after year five. They have a continuing interest in 37.37% of all future operations. 2 flights per month earn $1.2 billion per year and cost $200 million per year. This is enough to fund the larger system costing $557 million each. Successful launch of the larger system, combined with successful tests of sub-scale power beaming http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2QAUkt2VPHI Which will take an additional 3 years - this time using ship yard hardware instead of sheet metal shop hardware. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWIOnKrv4Mw Which by the time avionics, test articles, and lost flight articles are accounted for will cost $1 billion. Which will be earned from the sale of satellite launches with the sub- scale fleet. |
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