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On Aug 30, 2:59*pm, "Jonathan" wrote:
"BradGuth" wrote in message ... On Aug 27, 6:41 pm, "Jonathan" wrote: For Friday I'll be watching two new ones. ABK and OSK. See which one settles back a bit and shows a lull in volume tomorrow late. The look for a second run up early next week. At least that's the plan. ABKhttp://bigcharts.marke****ch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=abk&s... OSKhttp://bigcharts.marke****ch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=osk&s... It's still a gamble, not any sure bet. Well, let's see about that. Two in a row is luck maybe. How many in a row would it take to show otherwise? Today I bought OSK late. Looking for a similar result early next week sometime. A lull followed by a second step up.http://bigcharts.marke****ch.com/qui...asp?symb=osk&s... Robo-investing is perhaps what's giving you that signal. *Big offshore robo-investors are still in the process of milking the market for all it's worth, and for the moment they let a few fish take a small bite. There's a huge heard of day traders, of all sizes, that follow the good and bad news around. It's a big rumor mill, the good rumors travel fast and the volume of a stock can explode in minutes. There's billions of dollars just floating around out there waiting for something to pounce on. So every possible level of disturbance from minor, to the breaking point, can be seen on a daily basis. Ten thousand tickers, and dozens a day get driven /far from equilibrium/ by a sudden disturbance or change in volume. Complexity science is the study of far from equilibrium systems. Or chaos theory and their cyclic attractors that emerge at certain levels of stress. When a complex system is pushed far from equilibriun, to the point of changing state, like from liquid to ice or failure to success, it will display only one of /two possible/ behaviors, called pre-images. Only two patterns can happen near the breaking point. Once they're identified they serve as short term templates that are very reliable. Although, like all things the pre images evolve too, and must be constantly updated. Either a single spike, or an accelerating slope. The two pre images. The second one likes a double top. It's that simple.The other one falls back some 30% to 40% before trying for a double top. Either way, they're very predictable provided nothing comes along to create a new pattern. But since both of these universal patterns limited to the length of the transient, the length of time existing far from equilibrium, Like a brewing storm, they build and suddenly dissipate. Betting against these two patterns playing out as expected, once they've shown themselves, *is like betting against a brewing storm producig lightning and rain in the near future. Given half a chance they pattern will play out just as likely. So, again, how many in a row would elimate luck as the source of prediction? Proving this pattern is universal? Swarm intelligence can work either way, and your pattern could be viable as long as there's not insider intent to defraud taking place. Most investments are insider manipulated, and our kosher approved SEC is a joke. ~ BG |
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