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Roulette is a 50/50 game if you are playing black vs red, except for
the one green slip of the wheel, but the odds of hitting that are very remote. So here is an experiment you can test out at home. Get 21 pennies, and a quarter. Now get 3 pennies and the quarter ready. Put 2 pennies in a pile, and one by itself. If the quarter comes up heads move the penny by itself into the pile of 2, and tails you do the opposite. The odds are 50% higher that you will win at roulette if you have the pile of 2 pennies. And here is why. Because the extra pennie is a freebie that your pretty girlfriend scored from some stooge playing poker who was probably on a winning streak. Now you can keep playing this game by adding a penny to each pile, and the odds of you taking the whole pot continue to go down logically. When you are playing 3 on 2, the odds of winning aren't 50% higher, they are only 25% higher. And with each penny you add the odds go down by half. Or something like that. You do the math. But the more money your girlfriend hustles the greater your odds of winning at roulette are. Or you could bring in fake chips yourself. But the great thing is the more free chips your playing with, the more of the casinos pot you have a good chance of raking in. It doesn't matter, just always bet on black. There are lots of other ways to get that "free penny" as well. Being able to read good body language at a poker table gets you a free penny, being a pretty girl gets you that extra, I'm going to overbet my bad hand penny. You know But the idea is that if you play the 50/50 game, and you always trying to win just half of what you are willing to gamble, your odds improve greatly. 2 against 1 , you have a 66% chance of winning You win that pot 3 against 1, you have a 75% chance of winning 4 against 2, you have a 66% chance of winning. So every time you win a pot you get a free penny! And once you go up on a streak of luck like this, even when you start to come down, you can continue going back up, and find a happy medium. You just have to know when to quit, and know how to score those free pennies. Just look at the whole pot that you have at the time as something you are willing to risk to get whatever 'goal' you have at the time. Can you imagine what the odds would look like if you only go after one penny as your goal? As the pile of pennies on your side keeps growing larger, your odds go up exponentially after you reach each goal. But obviously there is still a chance you will lose everything because you are risking all of your pennies to win. Now that this post is featured on JREF let me explain the math a little bit more. If I have 2 pennies and I want to start a chain reaction, in a 50/50 game, then I only go after one pennie at a time. There are 3 ways the game can go, I can lose a penny, get it back, and then score the penny that is my goal. Or I can win the penny right off. Or I can lose completely. So I have a 66.6% chance of winning And now that I have 3 pennies and I go after one more penny, the odds are 75% that I will win, because there are 3 ways I can win and 1 way I can lose. If I take the chance of playing these two games in a row, There are 7 ways I can win and 5 ways I can lose. So the chances of winning are (2/3 + 3/4 )/2. And that's 71.42857% Which is a whole lot better than starting with 2 pennies and playing against 2 pennies!! It can only be explained as gravity, and astrological magnetism. Or maybe, the butterfly effect? |
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Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Gravity is a chain reaction in an equilibrium of chaos & entropy. | [email protected] | Amateur Astronomy | 3 | September 8th 06 08:46 PM |