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#51
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Bryan Heit wrote:
For this link, Bull****!!! Maybe only one ! but I got excited. The concept of humans having gone through a severe bottleneck has been well reported in both the science literature and in the media. Here's a BBC article on the subject: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/166869.stm So let me rephrase it. HSS was uniquely susceptable among all the apes and monkeys and all the species to be affected by a volcanic eruption. Why? Pardon but why would anyone assume intelligence causes a unique susceptibility to the consequences of a volcanic eruption? This is an example of science writer syndrome. If there are not equivalent effects is equal species at the same time give it a rest. -- Zionism is warmed over Deuteronomy for atheists. -- The Iron Webmaster, 3305 |
#52
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George,
I like it. Any trip of thousands of years, with or without humans at the wheel would be an exceptionally risky business (much chance of failure, little chance of success), but it an interesting alternative to let the initial work be done by robots.. Including feeding and educating the first new generation...) Many problems shipping this out any time soon though : For starters : Imagine designing any complex electro-mechanical system which still works after 3500 years. We have no experience with that at all. On the up-side, the communication would probably be the easiest problem to solve. There is no need to let robots build an Arecibo-size antenna from asteroid material. We can simply go optical : Ship a 5 or 10meter telescope (also handy to have a sharp eye with you on the trip and to look around once you arrive), with a nanosec TW laser for transmission, and a ns pulse detector for reception. That makes an excellent interstellar com-link, and is do-able today. Bandwidth might also not be too problematic : ns pulses allows for about 1Gbit/sec up-link (towards the ship). And there is time to do this... Rob "George Dishman" wrote in message ... "Rob Dekker" wrote in message . com... Hi George, You wrote one post earlier, which I found quite brilliant and novel (never heard this one before) : Thanks. While I doubt it's original, recent advances have made it much less fanciful than it would have seemed a decade ago. "We have the human genome so put it on a DVD and reconstruct people at the other end. No, we don't have that technology yet, but we have 3,500 years to develop it if the probe phones home for the plans when it arrives, and it's likely we will be able to launch this century." Could you elaborate a bit more on this idea, or was it just a wild thought ? Well the genome part is somewhat far-fetched, though gene sequencers are available. There's a long way between what we have and what would be needed but I think sufficient first steps have been taken to show that it is feasible in principle if not yet in practice. However, see the end of this post for a more interesting variant. I think the challenge is in the machine that we send on our way now : Since a machine can only operate reliably within the parameters of what it was designed to do, this feels like sending a screwdriver attached to a cell-phone into space and calling it later with the plans on how it should assemble a space shuttle... That's about right, land a Swiss Army knife on an asteroid and tell it to turn it into the ISS ;-) What we would need to do is send a probe with instructions to survey the system when it arrived, look for rocky asteroids, extract the metal and build an Arecibo-sized antenna and solar panels to power the transmitter, then do whatever scientific surveys we can imagine of everything it finds and send back the results. If it was in the Alpha Centauri system, ten years later (or maybe a bit more) it would receive instructions to make whatever we decided was needed for the system. If there were an habitable planet, that could include starting artificial gestation of humans, though I think we'd do a lot more investigating first. My personal thoughts are a solar sail for propulsion because it is equally effective for slowing down at the far end without having any technology there, and is a passive system that can be easily repaired if damaged. Speeds around 400km/s should be achievable this century. This is a long page but the best is near the bottom http://www.inspacepropulsion.com/tec...s_physics.html Here's the sort of material we need though we would also have to make it reflective at high temperatu http://www.space.com/businesstechnol...il_000302.html For navigation, use relative timing of pulsars in the same way that GPS satellites are used for location on Earth. For a power, use a radioisotope thermophotovoltaic source because the active component, basically a solar cell, can be repaired without exposing a robot to the radioactive source unlike an RTG. http://powerweb.grc.nasa.gov/pvsee/programs/tpv.html and half way down this: http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2003...news_c03n.html The isotope is trickier, my knowledge is limited, but Ni59 has a suitable half life and could be coated to minimise radiation since only an isolated thermal source is needed. Control would need to be triplicated at least with a group of small computers running remote control robots to maintain and replace each other and the robots. Everything would wear out over these time scales. For the robots, we would at least need to develop MEMS technology to the point that it can manufacture copies of itself. There's loads of stuff on the web: http://mems.sandia.gov/scripts/index.asp http://www.memsnet.org/mems/what-is.html The best though would be if we can develop to atomic-scale manipulation. This is old: http://www.almaden.ibm.com/vis/stm/atomo.html but could be developed to http://www.imm.org/Parts/Parts2.html Of course, not everyone agrees http://www.imm.org/SciAmDebate2/smalley.html Most of the technology needed is still well in the future, but it is all available in development already, and for a simple scientific research probe, I am fairly sure we could launch by the end of this century. Of course if you want to go a little more sci-fi, consider if we could crack the biological problems of cryonics on a healthy, fit subject: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryonics Once frozen, take the subject apart, atom by atom, noting the relative position of each to its neghbours. Send these 'plans' to the distant star system by radio, reassemble using local raw material and thaw. It sounds great, but don't calculate the bandwidth needed ;-) George |
#53
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"Rob Dekker" wrote in message . com... George, I like it. Any trip of thousands of years, with or without humans at the wheel wouldbe an exceptionally risky business (much chance of failure, little chance of success),but it an interesting alternative to let the initial work be done by robots.. Including feeding and educating the first new generation...) My feelings exactly. If I was heading out to a new star system, I would at least want to know what was there before leaving. Letting the robots build a space station and then getting humans there with minimal risk, without the social problems of generation ships and without the enormous power drain needed for "life support" seems to be an approach with a lot going for it. BTW, I found the link that tells me this isn't just sci-fi: http://www.usatoday.com/news/science...ife-usat_x.htm "Venter notes the synthetic bacteriophage has 5,000 base pairs in its genome. The human genome has 3 billion, so similar work in human form probably won't happen in this decade, he says." I suspect that thinking in terms of decades is too optimistic but given a thousand years or more, it seems inevitable we will achieve it. Many problems shipping this out any time soon though : For starters : Imagine designing any complex electro- mechanical system which still works after 3500 years. We have no experience with that at all. We have quite a lot of information on the way semiconductor devices degrade and probably a few decades is the limit. The design starts from the assumption that every aspect will wear out so the first requirement is that every part can be re-manufactured in situ. You want multiple systems for redundancy against random failures anyway so each unit would monitor those around it and if some part fails, the first response would be to make a replacement and then recover the materials from the failed unit. Extend that to make replacements on a regular basis so then most parts are replaced by new before they fail. The energy taken and mean life then define the power budget. Another big advantage is that the probe could be at a few tens of degrees K which greatly reduces the mechanisms that cause wear-out so devices could easily last for centuries rather than decades. A few watts of power would be adequate during the trip and of course unlimited solar (stellar) power would be available once it arrived. On the up-side, the communication would probably be the easiest problem to solve. There is no need to let robots build an Arecibo-size antenna from asteroid material. We can simply go optical : Ship a 5 or 10meter telescope (also handy to have a sharp eye with you on the trip and to look around once you arrive), with a nanosec TW laser for transmission, and a ns pulse detector for reception. Exactly, and a large solar sail (say a few km in diameter) would also make a great reflector if the shape could be stabilised. That makes an excellent interstellar com-link, and is do-able today. Bandwidth might also not be too problematic .. It depends on compression. I worked out the raw data and using terabit rates, it would take longer than the age of the universe. However, when you seen one red blood cell, you seen them all (at least for a given person) and there are a limited number of configurations of molecules and redundancy at every level so there is scope for massive compression. : ns pulses allows for about 1Gbit/sec up-link (towards the ship). And there is time to do this... That's the key of course, say it takes 1800 years to get there, we only need to launch 21st century technology and even if the initial bit rate is in the kbit/sec range, it wouldn't take long to upload the 39th century comms protocols once contact is established. We already know the background noise levels so it is just an engineering problem. Once the comms are in place, upload instructions to make 39th century tools and then you can build whatever transmitters and receiver have been developed by then. Most NASA probes have the ability to update their on-board software, this just goes on to include the hardware. After that, it could be used to create 39th century genome synthesis equipment if the sytem was attractive. If not, we could instruct it do manufacture and launch new probes (using 39th century technology of course) to another set of more distant star systems. The aim would be to create a network of short (10 light year) links spreading out into the galaxy. The biggest problem would probably be getting sufficient autonomy in the software to survey the system and find the raw materials when it first arrives, but autonomy is a problem that is already being worked on and one we must solve even for exploration of our own outer planets. George |
#54
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George Dishman wrote: "Rob Dekker" wrote in message BTW, I found the link that tells me this isn't just sci-fi: http://www.usatoday.com/news/science...ife-usat_x.htm "Venter notes the synthetic bacteriophage has 5,000 base pairs in its genome. The human genome has 3 billion, so similar work in human form probably won't happen in this decade, he says." So George, how can one be sure this new virus don't go out of control and start attacking people with a force deadlier than AIDS? Do you think the risks are worth playin'? |
#55
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Really interesting Abdul, I can easily see this as a good film.
Thanks, -- Atropine EL PASO, TX "Life is easy with eyes closed" N = R * f(p) * n(e) * f(l) * f(i) * f(c) * L They gotta be out there........somewhere) "AA Institute" wrote in message om... Since this has a decent level of "Astro" content... I thought it may make a slight 'thought' contribution (albeit fictionally) to this group:- http://uk.geocities.com/aa_spaceagen...acentauri.html Enjoy... Abdul Ahad |
#57
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Hey guys,
Here's my new address: Todd Ullum 5963 Whitefield Street Dearborn Heights, Michigan 48127 The pay here as a diesel mechanic is over $32.00 an hour!! |
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