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The First Step in Creating a Space Age - Treat Earth as a Planet
On Dec 7, 8:19*am, Doug Freyburger wrote:
Jorge R. Frank wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: Sigh. *Another poster whose signal to noise ratio dropped too far to keep reading. When was Guth's S/N ratio *ever* high enough to be worth reading? He's been bat$#!+ insane as long as I've been on sci.space.*. I am comparing him to Mook and Findley. *The bar isn't exactly high. *I skimmed a lot of his posts and many were on topic. *In the last month it's like he switched anti-psychotic meds to one that does not work. I started my career working on satellite ground link software. *I've been a fan of space exploration since watching Gemini launches on TV as a child. *I love on topic postings but I haven't worked in research since 2000 or in aerospace since 1998. *I don't have material to write much other than my highly speculative stuff about Oort cloud dispursion and what that might imply about advanced interstellar civilizations ending up focused away from star systems. *That's crazier stuff than Mook's back of the envelope designs and I know it. So, how dispersed is the Sirius(B) Oort cloud? ~ BG |
#132
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The First Step in Creating a Space Age - Treat Earth as a Planet
On 12/07/2010 10:19 AM, Doug Freyburger wrote:
Jorge R. Frank wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: Sigh. Another poster whose signal to noise ratio dropped too far to keep reading. When was Guth's S/N ratio *ever* high enough to be worth reading? He's been bat$#!+ insane as long as I've been on sci.space.*. I am comparing him to Mook and Findley. The bar isn't exactly high. I skimmed a lot of his posts and many were on topic. In the last month it's like he switched anti-psychotic meds to one that does not work. AFAIK, he's kept up his references to "Zionist Nazis" even throughout his semi-lucid period. That wasn't enough to tip you off? |
#133
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The First Step in Creating a Space Age - Treat Earth as a Planet
On Dec 7, 9:21*pm, "Jorge R. Frank" wrote:
On 12/07/2010 10:19 AM, Doug Freyburger wrote: Jorge R. Frank wrote: Doug Freyburger wrote: Sigh. *Another poster whose signal to noise ratio dropped too far to keep reading. When was Guth's S/N ratio *ever* high enough to be worth reading? He's been bat$#!+ insane as long as I've been on sci.space.*. I am comparing him to Mook and Findley. *The bar isn't exactly high. *I skimmed a lot of his posts and many were on topic. *In the last month it's like he switched anti-psychotic meds to one that does not work. AFAIK, he's kept up his references to "Zionist Nazis" even throughout his semi-lucid period. That wasn't enough to tip you off? How many ZNRs have been retired and/or kept safe because of DoD, DARPA and NASA? I hope you're not suggest that all the smart ones were Atheists of that era. ~ BG |
#134
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The First Step in Creating a Space Age - Treat Earth as a Planet
I’m sure you’ll like this one: “The Decline and Fall of the American
Empire” http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/...in;contentBody ~ BG On Nov 7, 12:22*pm, William Mook wrote: The Earth As a Planet. Science has shown that it is highly efficient at doing things when enough people put enough resources behind the right sorts of programs. *For example, fission was discovered in 1938 and this resulted in the Manhattan Project in 1942 and the first atomic bombs in 1946. *Humanity built a network of nuclear weapons capable of ending modern civilization in an afternoon should we choose to do that. Can we move as quickly to create what Buckminster Fuller called 'livingry' (as opposed to weaponry) to make our world a paradise? The first step toward this goal, should we choose it as something at least as worthwhile as weaponry and armies of death and destruction, we need to ask some simple questions to see where we stand, if our planet has enough resources to meet the needs of 8 billion people living as they please. Do we have enough resources on Earth to create a paradise on Earth in a reasonable time frame? To answer this question we need to have an idea of what's needed, and an idea of what's available. *What's needed is easily identified by taking the laundry list of things purchased by the wealthiest people, and what goes into making those things, and adding up the total for 8 billion people consuming products the same way the 10 million millionaires live today. When one does this the answer is; We may have. People need primarily; *(1) energy *(2) water *(3) food *(4) wood *(5) metals The major wood reserves of the planet re found in Taiga - the coniferous forest encircling the North Pole; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Di...tion_Taiga.png here is Taiga relative to the other biome's on the planet http://chalk.richmond.edu/education/...iomes/taigamap... Energy, is found in the deserts, which is also a natural locale for remotely operated solar powered industry - operated in ways that keep industry isolated from the biomes; http://www.cheshire-innovation.com/World%20Deserts.gif With abundant low cost energy we have the means to turn seawater into fresh water through desalination along with salts and we also have the means to turn fresh water sunlight and certain of the salts obtained from desalination into food using enclosed agriculture in the desert. The oceans appear to have abundant metal in deep ocean rifts http://www.onepetro.org/mslib/servle...d=OTC-4780-MS&.... We have technologies developed over the cold war to access these reserves and process them into useful forms. ENERGY The world today uses 12 trillion watts of power primarily through the combustion of 11 billion tons of fossil fuels that produce 40 billion tons of CO2. Collecting sunlight and making hydrogen from deionized water and using hydrogen in place of fossil fuels requires 17 trillion watts of collectors - base load - which means 60 trillion watts peak requiring 100,000 sq km of solar panels be placed within the 11 million sq km of deserts. *Less than 1% Looking at the consumption of energy of the world's wealthiest people - the 10 million millionaires - and assuming we have 8 billion people consuming at millionaire rates - we will need 185 trillion watts of collectors located in the deserts baseload - 487 trillion watts peak requiring 810,530 sq km of solar panels. *Less than 8% of the total. FOOD By Water 85.7 kg/m3 per 1 m3 of fresh water. By Area (average) 17.1 kg/m2/yr The meat-based diet differs from the vegetarian diet in that 124 kg of meat and 20.3 kg of fish are consumed per year in addition to 995 kg of plant material. *For every 1 kg of high-quality animal protein produced, livestock are fed about 6 kg of plant protein. So a high quality meat diet consumes 1,739 kg of plant protien. In the conversion of plant protein to animal protein, there are 2 principal inputs or costs: 1) the direct costs of production of the harvest animal, including its feed; and 2) the indirect costs for maintaining the breeding herds. Energy is expended in livestock production systems. For example, broiler chicken production is the most efficient, with an input of 4 kcal of fuel energy for each 1 kcal of broiler protein produced. The broiler system is primarily dependent on grain. Turkey, also a grain- fed system, is next in efficiency, with a ratio of 10:1. Milk production, based on a mixture of two-thirds grain and one-third forage, is relatively efficient, with a ratio of 14:1. Both pork and egg production also depend on grain. Pork production has a ratio of 14:1, whereas egg production has a 39:1 ratio. This extra energy is included in the larger energy inputs described above. To produce the required 1,795 kg of food each year requires 20.3 m3 of fresh water made from salt water grown on 101.7 m2 per person. *A total of 813,567 sq km of desert lands fed with 162.4 billion m3 of fresh water and other inputs provide this. http://www.slideshare.net/ifad/ifad-...full/78/3/660S WOOD The world today uses about 0.3 m3 of wood products per person per year worldwide, but the wealthiest of us use 20x this amount - 6.0 m3 of wood products per person per year. *8 billion people consuming at this higher rate totals 48 billion m3/yr or *38 billion kg/year - 38 million tons. Taiga occupies 25 million square kilometers of area and each of those square kilometers has a bioenergy conversion factor of 0.83 Joules/m2/ year which translates to 46,000 kg per square kilometer per year. This means that 826,000 sq km of these forests properly managed could provide for everyone's need for wood products to build fine homes, fine furnishings, and provide all paper and other wood products. http://earthtrends.wri.org/pdf_libra...20r7752n3w756&... HARVESTING TAIGA To access these products in an environmentally sustainable way requires new technology. *One approach would be hydrogen filled and fueled neutral buoyancy aircraft that had the ability to retrieve and process in the air via teleoperation from the air individual trees identified by multi-spectral scanning from orbit. HARVESTING THE OCEANS We need to survey the ocean deeps - or more likely *make available data already gathered by the world's navies to appropriate geological analysis - to determine the size of the reserves available to us. Large numbers of remotely operated miniature nuclear submarines - developed for sub-surface intelligence operations - adapted to mine and transport to the surface - and partially process ores - to deliver semi-refined ores to the ocean's surface - allows us to produce enough metal ores to sustain 8 billion people at very high living standards aboard floating platforms with minimal environmental impact again using small nuclear reactors aboard these platforms . Such technology already exists http://yachtpals.com/bonhomme-richar...ing/12520/?a=f This approach also makes use of our existing stockpile of nuclear fuels in a very beneficial way as well as our accumulated know-how in the seas. TRANSPORT REQUIREMENTS Each person per yer requires; * *2.0 metric tons food products (and packaging) * *6.0 metric tons wood products * *5.0 metric tons hydrogen fuel * *2.0 metric tons metal ores to maintain the lifestyle of a modern millionaire today. With adequate machinery it will take only 1.5 billion people working 60 hours per week to maintain this living standard for 8 billion people. *This is nearly 50% of the world's 3.2 billion employed today. *Yet nearly 1 billion are subsistence farmers whose jobs will become surperflouous when modern agriculture is applied on a large scale to the desert. *Another 600 million will become unemployed in traditional extraction industries as this system grows. * So, there are 1.5 billion people with skills and capabilities that can be used far more efficiently with the right investments. *It will take this level of effort for five years to build all the infrastructure needed. *It will take an additional five years to grow the system from a 1,500 person seed system to full scale operation. * It will take five years to design and build the seed system. *So, planning and logistics can take this into account as things are switched over to the vastly more efficient system. *There are about 40,000 extraction companies affected, and about half a billion subsistence farms affected. * The buy-in need not be arduous. *A 1,500 person 'productive cell' could partner with 1,500 people employed at a company, or companies, to convert from lower productivity to higher productivity. Change the world in 15 years; * * *+5 - design and build the seed system * * *+5 - grow the seed system to full scale * * *+5 - operate the full scale system to build value With 19.86 people born per 1,000 people 158.8 million are born each year. * So, to sustain the working population pay and benefits allow workers to accumulate retirement in 35 years only 10.5% of the world's people need to be recruited into the primary productive system described here. 8 billion people consuming at a $125,000 per person per year rate totals $1 quadrillion per year. *This is 18x what the world consumes today. *The value of the capital base that makes this possible could reasonably be said to be worth 17x of the world's entire capital base today. * The value of this capital base rises with each passing year as everyone accumulates more. This is a measure of the value of investing capital to create 8 billion millionaires by employing the unemployed or under-employed today more efficiently. *The sustainable working population is only 10% of the world's youth, which means that 90% of the world's youth are available to exercise additional capital for other purposes organized by those who put in the original capital. *Since all nations would have to agree to such wide ranging use of resources and people, we might at first blush say 50% of the benefit goes to those governments and 50% of the benefit goes to those investors who make the change possible. * In this case all the world's governments would split something like $450 trillion (the USA federal government collected $2.2 trillion and spent $3.5 trillion in 2010) per year, and all the world's wealthy would collect *$450 trillion per year in products and efforts called for by the private markets they create. Another $100 trillion is reinvested in wages and capital to maintain the primary system going. The creation of a highly productive system to efficiently use the world's limited resources to meet everyone's basic needs (at the millionaire level today) need not be anything more difficult to understand the organization of than say the construction of toll roads today to meet the needs of the public. *The roads are constructed according to public need and approval, and those who invest in the roads collect tolls as the road is used. *Same here. Something like this happened in the past. *In 1908 Henry Ford opened his Model T assembly plant and revolutionized the world by simultaneously producing a car for less than $1,000 - while paying his workers $5 per day - 5x the going rate for workers! * He called the $4 premium - efficiency premium - for working more efficiently with his mass production method. *His workers were enriched, and so was Ford and his investors even while automobiles were made a far less expense than ever before! http://www.eyewitnesstohistory.com/ford.htm There is no reason we cannot view the major assets of our planet and organize to use them the same way - without disrupting markets or governments - merely by taking a sane rational approach to the way things are done using the best available technology and information we have today. |
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