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#91
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
"JB" == John (Liberty) Bell writes:
JB Joseph Lazio wrote: JB Well, that certainly seems to rule out a preponderance of such JB stars in the observed galaxies. Assuming a typical galaxy of stars JB of ~ 10^11 solar masses, and 1 month for the visibility JB persistence of a supernova, that would work out at 40 supernovas JB simultaneously visible per galaxy. That would have been noticed. I'm not quite sure how you got to this result, but no matter. JB It is quite simple. Assume mean star mass is 10 Sun, then star JB quantity is 10^10 / galaxy. Mean time to supernova is 2 x 10^7 JB years, hence 500 supernovas per year. May I gently suggest that a mean stellar mass of 10 solar masses seems perhaps a bit high? JB Certainly. But that is simply another reason for ruling out a JB "preponderance" of such stars. "Preponderance" is ill-defined. The luminosity of a hot star (O or B) can exceed 10,000 solar luminosities. The number of O and B stars in a galaxy will never dominate the total number of stars, but they can make an important, potentially dominant, contribution to the luminosity. [...] As for the metal content, when hot stars run out of fuel, they collapse and form supernovae, spraying metals all over their surroundings. JB Agreed. The question I am asking is whether there are enough of JB them to give the observed concentrations of heavy metals, at the JB observed z shifts, in the timescales currently predicted by GR. Well, that's a topic of current, active research, particularly looking at extreme low metallicity stars to see if their abundances can be explained by a small number of supernovae. By way of context, I'm not saying that there are not issues to research or that we understand everything. However, I have yet to be convinced that (1) the broad picture doesn't make sense, JB I would agree that the broad picture certainly does make JB sense. What I am particularly interested in is whether the JB numbers really add up, within the believed timescales. This is JB not because I am a Luddite. It is because I am investigating a JB different relativistic field equation, which, in addition to JB having other apparent advantages, also suggests that timescales JB between high z epochs could be longer than established GR theory JB predicts. I think you have to be more specific about what aspects cause difficulties. As an example, going from a redshift of 6 to 5, in the current cosmology, is a span of about 0.3 Gyr. Broadly, that would appear to be plenty of time to have multiple generations of hot stars go supernovae. Now details like getting the abundance patterns correct, worrying about whether the first generations blow the gas out of a galaxy and quench star formation prohibiting additional generations, and the like remain to be figured out. On the face of it, though, simple timescales don't appear to be problematic. [...] Also, a quick ADS search finds a paper by Nugent et al., URL: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/np...pJ...645..841N , which describes some of the difficulties in observing (...) Type II supernovae. This suggests to me that high redshift supernovae from early galaxies (e.g., at z ~ 3) are not detected because we do not yet have the sensitivity, except when the supernovae also produce GRBs. JB I certainly did not get that impression from the abstract. They JB say this study is "based on five events at redshift up to z~0.3" JB and conclude "thus demonstrating the feasibility of measuring the JB expansion history." JB Are you referring to a specific location within the paper itself? Sure, Section 4 discusses what one would have to do to push this investigation to 0.5 and beyond. Recall that star formation in the Universe is thought to peak at redshifts of 1--2 (and possibly higher). In order to get to redshifts of 1 or higher, they state that facilities such as the James Webb Space Telescope or the Thirty Meter Telescope will be required. -- Lt. Lazio, HTML police | e-mail: No means no, stop rape. | http://patriot.net/%7Ejlazio/ sci.astro FAQ at http://sciastro.astronomy.net/sci.astro.html |
#92
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
Kent Paul Dolan wrote:
http://www.google.com/search?q=%22Ge...Deep+Survey%22 == http://www.gemini.edu/index.php?opti...ask=view&id=18 Thanks A number of these references, and links therefrom to published papers, do confirm that my impression gleaned from the AIP synopsis, was, in fact, correct. Of the material I have read thus far, table1 (on the last page) of http://www.ociw.edu/lcirs/public/paperIV_astroph.pdf, is particularly revealing. From the 20 galaxies examined between z = 1.308 and z = 2.147, five had 'best fit' z at formation of 4.7 or higher. However, the body of the paper confirms this is a 'conservative' estimate of age. On p 8, section 4, discussion, they state that "more plausible models" produce best fit ages that are typically 1 Gyr larger than those in table 1. Using http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/CosmoCalc.html, that would give formation times of 0.3 Gyr after the Big Bang, for all five cases. John |
#93
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
"JB" == John (Liberty) Bell writes:
JB A number of these references, and links therefrom to published JB papers, do confirm that my impression gleaned from the AIP JB synopsis, was, in fact, correct. JB Of the material I have read thus far, table1 (...) of JB http://www.ociw.edu/lcirs/public/paperIV_astroph.pdf, is JB particularly revealing. I'm a bit leery of focussing too heavily on one paper. As others have pointed out, this is an area of active work. For instance, a quick ADS search finds over 200 papers having the words "galaxy," "formation," and "epoch" in their abstracts. From the 20 galaxies examined between z = 1.308 and z = 2.147, five had 'best fit' z at formation of 4.7 or higher. JB However, the body of the paper confirms this is a 'conservative' JB estimate of age. On p 8, section 4, discussion, they state that JB "more plausible models" produce best fit ages that are typically JB 1 Gyr larger than those in table 1. Using JB http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/CosmoCalc.html, that would give JB formation times of 0.3 Gyr after the Big Bang, for all five JB cases. Nonetheless, I think you've misinterpreted their comment. First, in Section 3.1, they state that the median formation redshift is 2.4. Checking that against Table 1, indeed, 10 of the 20 objects have z_f 2.4, with a median inferred "age" of these galaxies of 1.5 Gyr. At this redshift, the age of the Universe was 2.7 Gyr (though I think one would want to be careful in interpreting "age" too literally). The full statement from Section 4 is More plausible models, those with star formation extended over one or more dynamical times, produce best-fitting ages that are typically 1 Gyr *larger* than those in Table 1, implying z_f ~ 4 for a substantial fraction of the galaxies. (emphasis in original) They are saying that a more likely formation epoch was around z ~ 4, when the age of the Universe was about 1.6 Gyr, or about 1 Gyr earlier than z ~ 2.7. I don't want to minimize the fact that stars, and galaxies, were able to form quickly. After all, we know of quasars at redshifts z 6, when the Universe was less than 1 Gyr old. That's an impressively rapid formation. However, I think that the gaps in our understanding are more likely to be in what we know about galaxy and star formation rather than in General Relativity. -- Lt. Lazio, HTML police | e-mail: No means no, stop rape. | http://patriot.net/%7Ejlazio/ sci.astro FAQ at http://sciastro.astronomy.net/sci.astro.html |
#94
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
John (Liberty) Bell wrote:
Kent Paul Dolan wrote: http://www.google.com/search?q=3D%22...Deep+Survey%22 =3D=3D http://www.gemini.edu/index.php?opti...3Dview&id=3D18 Thanks A number of these references, and links therefrom to published papers, do confirm that my impression gleaned from the AIP synopsis, was, in fact, correct. Of the material I have read thus far, table1 (on the last page) of http://www.ociw.edu/lcirs/public/paperIV_astroph.pdf, is particularly revealing. From the 20 galaxies examined between z =3D 1.308 and z =3D 2.147, five = had 'best fit' z at formation of 4.7 or higher. However, the body of the paper confirms this is a 'conservative' estimate of age. On p 8, section 4, discussion, they state that "more plausible models" produce best fit ages that are typically 1 Gyr larger than those in table 1. Using http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/CosmoCalc.html, that would give formation times of 0.3 Gyr after the Big Bang, for all five cases. John Note also from http://www.gemini.edu/index.php?opti...3Dview&id=3D22 "One related study of particular interest is the recent paper by R. Pell=C3=B3, D. Shaerer, J. Richard, J.-F. Le Borgne and J.-P. Kneib, "ISAAC/VLT observations of a lensed galaxy at z =3D 10.0" Astronomy & Astrophysics, vol. 416, issue 3, p. L 35." JB [Mod. note: that candidate z=10 object has been fairly convincingly debunked by followup observations; see Bremer et al 2004 ApJ 615 L1, Weatherley et al 2004 A&A 428 L29, and Smith et al 2006 ApJ 636 575 -- mjh.] |
#95
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
[I don't normally correct my posts, because most of the posts in which
I catch errors I think that the meaning can still be inferred. However, in some of my cutting-n-pasting, a clause ended up in the wrong place in this post.] "JL" == Joseph Lazio writes: "JB" == John (Liberty) Bell writes: From the 20 galaxies examined between z = 1.308 and z = 2.147, five had 'best fit' z at formation of 4.7 or higher. JB However, the body of the paper confirms this is a 'conservative' JB estimate of age. On p 8, section 4, discussion, they state that JB "more plausible models" produce best fit ages that are typically 1 JB Gyr larger than those in table 1. Using JB http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/CosmoCalc.html, that would give JB formation times of 0.3 Gyr after the Big Bang, for all five JB cases. JL [...] I think you've misinterpreted their comment. First, in JL Section 3.1, they state that the median formation redshift is 2.4. JL Checking that against Table 1, indeed, 10 of the 20 objects have JL z_f 2.4, with a median inferred "age" of these galaxies of 1.5 JL Gyr. At this redshift, the age of the Universe was 2.7 Gyr JL (though I think one would want to be careful in interpreting "age" JL too literally). That should read: [...] I think you've misinterpreted their comment. First, in Section 3.1, they state that the median formation redshift is 2.4. Checking that against Table 1, indeed, 10 of the 20 objects have z_f 2.4, with a median inferred "age" of these galaxies of 1.5 Gyr (though I think one would want to be careful in interpreting "age" too literally). At this redshift, the age of the Universe was 2.7 Gyr. Namely, I was commenting on the inferred "age" of the galaxies, not the Universe. JL The full statement from Section 4 is More plausible models, those with star formation extended over one or more dynamical times, produce best-fitting ages that are typically 1 Gyr *larger* than those in Table 1, implying z_f ~ 4 for a substantial fraction of the galaxies. (emphasis in original) JL They are saying that a more likely formation epoch was around z ~ JL 4, when the age of the Universe was about 1.6 Gyr, or about 1 Gyr JL earlier than z ~ 2.7. -- Lt. Lazio, HTML police | e-mail: No means no, stop rape. | http://patriot.net/%7Ejlazio/ sci.astro FAQ at http://sciastro.astronomy.net/sci.astro.html |
#96
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
John (Liberty) Bell wrote:
Note also from http://www.gemini.edu/index.php?opti...3Dview&id=3D22 "One related study of particular interest is the recent paper by R. Pell=C3=B3, D. Shaerer, J. Richard, J.-F. Le Borgne and J.-P. Kneib, "ISAAC/VLT observations of a lensed galaxy at z =3D 10.0" Astronomy & Astrophysics, vol. 416, issue 3, p. L 35." JB [Mod. note: that candidate z=10 object has been fairly convincingly debunked by followup observations; see Bremer et al 2004 ApJ 615 L1, Weatherley et al 2004 A&A 428 L29, and Smith et al 2006 ApJ 636 575 -- mjh.] Fair enough. Do you have equivalent arXiv refs for this? (I am assuming if I follow these refs through, I will be blocked by no subscription) JB [Mod. note: if you search ADS for a paper these days, it is usually quite good at finding you the astro-ph version if one exists. But I'll do it for you this time: astro-ph/0409485, astro-ph/0407150, and astro-ph/0601181 -- mjh] |
#97
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
Joseph Lazio wrote:
"JB" == John (Liberty) Bell writes: JB A number of these references, and links therefrom to published JB papers, do confirm that my impression gleaned from the AIP JB synopsis, was, in fact, correct. JB Of the material I have read thus far, table1 (...) of JB http://www.ociw.edu/lcirs/public/paperIV_astroph.pdf, is JB particularly revealing. I'm a bit leery of focussing too heavily on one paper. As others have pointed out, this is an area of active work. For instance, a quick ADS search finds over 200 papers having the words "galaxy," "formation," and "epoch" in their abstracts. I think you are being a little unreasonable here. You first criticised me for quoting an AIP synopsis of an important GDDS press release, and now you criticise me for quoting one of the appropriate peer reviewed papers which back up that press release. Why do *you* think the American Institute of Physics decided that the bulk of those other 200 papers were not sufficiently noteworthy to warrant a "Physics News Update"? From the 20 galaxies examined between z = 1.308 and z = 2.147, five had 'best fit' z at formation of 4.7 or higher. JB However, the body of the paper confirms this is a 'conservative' JB estimate of age. On p 8, section 4, discussion, they state that JB "more plausible models" produce best fit ages that are typically JB 1 Gyr larger than those in table 1. Using JB http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/CosmoCalc.html, that would give JB formation times of 0.3 Gyr after the Big Bang, for all five JB cases. Nonetheless, I think you've misinterpreted their comment. No. If you check again, I think you will find that you have. First, in Section 3.1, they state that the median formation redshift is 2.4. It is unfortunate that they lumped all these galaxies together like this, when it is obvious, and explicitly stated, that some are much older than others. Checking that against Table 1, indeed, 10 of the 20 objects have z_f 2.4, with a median inferred "age" of these galaxies of 1.5 Gyr. Of course. That is because galaxy formation continued long after the first observed galaxies, and long after the first galaxies required to explain the metal content of the oldest galaxies in this survey. Such newer galaxies would obviously also have been found in the survey volume The full statement from Section 4 is More plausible models, those with star formation extended over one or more dynamical times, produce best-fitting ages that are typically 1 Gyr *larger* than those in Table 1, implying z_f ~ 4 for a substantial fraction of the galaxies. (emphasis in original) They are saying that a more likely formation epoch was around z ~ 4, when the age of the Universe was about 1.6 Gyr, or about 1 Gyr earlier than z ~ 2.7. No they are not. Read the final paragraph of their discussion. Also read, for example, the paragraph immediately below figure 1 at http://www.gemini.edu/index.php?opti...ask=view&id=18 They are unambiguously saying that different galaxies in their survey formed at different times. They are saying, in addition, that, on average, each galaxy would be 1 Gyr *older* than conservatively given in table 1, using more plausible models. Again, it is unfortunate that they did not break this information down galaxy by galaxy, within the quoted paper, but I suspect the reason for this could wll have been diplomacy. The set of 20 galaxies spreads from one galaxy with a conservative age of 0.5 Gyr (when observed at z=1.348), to one galaxy with a conservative age of 4.0 Gyr (when observed at z=1.396). Altogether there are 4 galaxies which thus give a conservative z (formation) of 5 (thus giving an age of the universe, at formation, of 1.2 Gyr). Now, if you have a conservative age spread from 0.5 Gyr to 4.0 Gyr with a mean increase of 1 Gyr for a more plausible age, it is pretty obvious to me, that this would not mean a 200% increase for the newest galaxy, and a mere 25% increase for the oldest. However, if we take a more sensible interpretation, that would probably place the formation time of the oldest galaxies before the classically predicted big bang. I don't want to minimize the fact that stars, and galaxies, were able to form quickly. After all, we know of quasars at redshifts z 6, when the Universe was less than 1 Gyr old. That's an impressively rapid formation. However, I think that the gaps in our understanding are more likely to be in what we know about galaxy and star formation rather than in General Relativity. Why? As far as I can tell, classical GR does not have a particularly illustrious record for the quantatitive accuracy in its predictions at high z. The originally predicted deceleration in the expansion of the universe has turned out to be completely wrong, because what the multinational High-z Supernova Search Team has confirmed in practice, is that the expansion of the universe is accelerating. If I remember correctly, even with the much heralded observational verification of GR's CMBR prediction, it turned out that the originally predicted peak wavelength was out by a factor of about 3. John Bell http://global.accelerators.co.uk (Change John to Liberty to bypass anti-spam email filter) |
#98
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
In message , "John
(Liberty) Bell" writes If I remember correctly, even with the much heralded observational verification of GR's CMBR prediction, it turned out that the originally predicted peak wavelength was out by a factor of about 3. I'm a complete amateur here, but does GR say anything about the CMBR, or indeed the Big Bang? Early predictions of the temperature of the background were wildly inaccurate. |
#99
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
Jonathan Silverlight wrote:
In message , "John (Liberty) Bell" writes If I remember correctly, even with the much heralded observational verification of GR's CMBR prediction, it turned out that the originally predicted peak wavelength was out by a factor of about 3. I'm a complete amateur here, but does GR say anything about the CMBR, or indeed the Big Bang? In one sense, Einstein's Field Equation (EFE) is contrived to say anything you want it to say, because the cosmological constant was introduced to (1) preserve a static universe, and its removal results in (2) an expanding universe, or (3) a collapsing universe, or (4) options 2 and 3 in sequence. The second option starts with the Big Bang. The third option ends in the Big Crunch. The cosmological constant (described by Einstein as "the biggest blunder of my lifetime"), was removed for reasons of mathematical elegance and, in conjunction with adoption of the second option (and, potentially, the fourth option too), to achieve compatibility with Hubble's subsequently discovered data. If I understand correctly, ts later reintroduction (as a variable) was because of EFE's failure to correctly describe changes in the expansion of the universe over time. Similarly, tinkering with the variables within the equation permit an open universe, a flat universe, or a closed universe, according to taste. Astronomers are at liberty to change such variables as they see fit, to obtain an optimised match to observational evidence. It is true that CMBR is not a prediction of GR in the sense that its *source* is a prediction of high energy physics. However, it *is* a prediction of GR in the senses that: a) EFE predicts those higher energy phases earlier in time once option 2 is adopted. b) EFE then predicts the subsequent downward shifting in CMBR wavelength to a value something like what we observe in practice. Early predictions of the temperature of the background were wildly inaccurate. And why would that be? John Bell (Change John to Liberty to bypass anti-spam email filter) |
#100
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Still lower noise radio astronomy (was: low-noise amplifiers for radio astronomy )
John (Liberty) Bell wrote:
Now, if you have a conservative age spread from 0.5 Gyr to 4.0 Gyr with a mean increase of 1 Gyr for a more plausible age, it is pretty obvious to me, that this would not mean a 200% increase for the newest galaxy, and a mere 25% increase for the oldest. *shudder* Understand that one can move the mean or median of a distribution _anywhere_ within the range of the extremes while holding the end toward which one is moving the mean or median, fixed. So, the center of the 3.6 gigayear wide distribution could move a gigayear closer to the big bang without moving the end closest to the big bang, closer to the big bang at all. The issue might well be merely that the distribution _compresses_ in time. Being told what happened to the mean or median tells you very little about what happened to the individual data points. Certainly basing conclusions on what is surmised to have happened to some of the data points is an exercise fraught with risk. xanthian. |
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