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#21
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sat, 14 Feb 2009 13:55:14 -0600, kT wrote: My understanding was the ice was something like 3000 feet thick there at the time... I thought the thin ice model suggested around 500m, and the thick ice model around 1000m, and both of those farther north. But I'm not up to date on current thinking in this regard. Most estimates are 1000 m to thousands of meters, particularly around Hudson Bay. There was plenty of ice there during the period in question. There are also issues of subglacial lakes, etc. The entire YD problem is complex with lots of conflicting evidence, and I am looking for anything which will tie together numerous disparate threads of evidence, across a variety of interdisciplinary domains. If you don't look, you won't know. I have easily discovered a geological feature which has the possibility of solving one of the most outstanding problems of Holocene evolution. Just as soon as I can get free of some outstanding commitments, you can rest assured that I'm going up there and busting up the rocks, trust me. ... and what we I was searching for was evidence of a high incidence, low grazing angle airblast of fragile carbonaceous asteroidal or cometary material onto the ice. It has been postulated that the object was already broken up and this my only be the largest portion of the object exploding. Thus this looks just like what I would expect. I don't know what I'd expect- I don't think that sort of collision has been accurately modeled. I do know that I don't consider the evidence presented so far for an impact event very compelling. But lots of people are looking at this now. If something did happen, better evidence will soon present itself. But you don't provide us with any evidence why you find the evidence not to be compelling. Skepticism without evidence is nonsense. Consider this feature as 'evidence'. Feel free to try and shoot it down. My approach to the problem was simple, an exploding cometary impact on or above the Laurentide ice sheet around 12,900 BP was hypothesized, and it appeared to me that nobody had tested the hypothesis by simple examination of the terrain, and so I took it upon myself to look, and found it in minutes. Somebody is going to have to go up there and take a look at this thing, all I am saying is clearly this is a structure needing to be looked at. You can't possibly miss it, it's like WOW! Like I said, my impression is that there is no "structure", just a landform from multiple geologic events. But that's only an impression. Figuring out more from just a map isn't possible. Show me anything else anywhere that looks like this. It's clearly symmetric, stands out so loudly that it took me only minutes to identify, is not referenced by any previous literature I am aware of, short of an LPSC paper on comparison to Martian megaflood geomorphology. I'm curious what you think of this 5 mile diameter structure here in Colorado: http://maps.google.com/?ie=UTF8&ll=3...85551&t=h&z=12 Click on terrain and expand it out : http://maps.google.com/?ie=UTF8&ll=3...85551&t=h&z=12 Nothing, that's a mountainous region. I went to this area in Ontario specifically looking for some sort of symmetric impression in the glacial terrain associated with megaflooding, and I easily found it. Big difference. |
#22
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
On Sat, 14 Feb 2009 17:51:33 -0600, kT wrote:
But you don't provide us with any evidence why you find the evidence not to be compelling. Skepticism without evidence is nonsense... Actually, you have this backwards. Skepticism in the face of evidence is nonsense. I'm skeptical because of a lack of solid evidence. The geological record is very sparse (that is, the reports of certain elements and isotopes layers in deposits). Those layers don't seem to correlate very well with ash layers which are supposed to be related to the same event, and none of the dates correlate very well with either North American extinctions or with the apparent end of the Clovis cultures. Also, there are other explanations for ash layers I find more convincing. Don't mistake me... I think this is a ripe area for investigation, and I'm not saying there's anything at all wrong with your interest, or the approach you are taking of looking for fossil impact evidence. I'm just saying that, so far, the evidence I've seen presented doesn't make a very strong case to me. In any case, whether or not such an impact occurred didn't seem to be the subject of this discussion. Your question had to do with a landform you identified in satellite data, and you have my opinion on that. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
#23
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sat, 14 Feb 2009 17:51:33 -0600, kT wrote: But you don't provide us with any evidence why you find the evidence not to be compelling. Skepticism without evidence is nonsense... Actually, you have this backwards. Skepticism in the face of evidence is nonsense. I'm skeptical because of a lack of solid evidence. But you provide no evidence and you haven't bothered to define 'solid'. You have it backwards. You are demonstrably not providing any evidence. The geological record is very sparse (that is, the reports of certain elements and isotopes layers in deposits). Those layers don't seem to correlate very well with ash layers which are supposed to be related to the same event, and none of the dates correlate very well with either North American extinctions or with the apparent end of the Clovis cultures. Also, there are other explanations for ash layers I find more convincing. Feel free to point us to that evidence, or those explanations. Don't mistake me... There is no mistake, you haven't pointed me to a single bit of evidence. I think this is a ripe area for investigation, and I'm not saying there's anything at all wrong with your interest, or the approach you are taking of looking for fossil impact evidence. I'm just saying that, so far, the evidence I've seen presented doesn't make a very strong case to me. But at least I point you to evidence, and links to evidence. You haven't posted anything that could even remotely be called evidence. In any case, whether or not such an impact occurred didn't seem to be the subject of this discussion. Your question had to do with a landform you identified in satellite data, and you have my opinion on that. Opinions are not evidence. You may continue your arm waving. It's amusing, if not informative. The general question is how can an unremarkable glacial mel****er flow create an multimillennial regional climate change, when even larger and more remarkable flows did not. It could very well be that there wasn't an impact, and the flow was not catastrophic, merely continuous and no longer into the southern route. Termination II flows produced outright climate and sea level reversals, so in the bigger picture the Younger Dryas isn't even that remarkable. So the question indeed is, did a large Holocene impact occur or not? These are indeed important questions, for if there was a YD/Clovis event and if there was a 4800 BP Burkle crater event, that doesn't bode well for the immediate future. And if ice sheet melting surges often, whether they be climate induced or impact induced, or even volcanically induced, then that is of great importance now because our ice sheets are melting. On a planet with seven billion people, surges will be catastrophic. It doesn't matter if you plop an asteroid down into the ocean, or you plop one down onto an ice sheet, either way, the end result will be very bad. You'll just have to trust me that you don't want to be poking around into large and fluid heat reservoirs which have been relatively stable. It will create a breeze, and you will find yourself very uncomfortable. |
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
On Sat, 14 Feb 2009 23:33:09 -0600, kT wrote:
But you provide no evidence and you haven't bothered to define 'solid'. Okay, I get it now. You don't understand how science works. I'm not optimistic of your reception when you attempt to present your findings to any trained scientist. Good luck with that. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
#25
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near LakeNipigon?
On Feb 15, 6:18*am, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sat, 14 Feb 2009 23:33:09 -0600, kT wrote: But you provide no evidence and you haven't bothered to define 'solid'. Okay, I get it now. You don't understand how science works. I'm not optimistic of your reception when you attempt to present your findings to any trained scientist. Good luck with that. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatoryhttp://www.cloudbait.com Considering that you take instructions from a trekkie,who are you to talk.The Kt guy is doing what empiricists have been doing since the late 17th century,drawing conclusions and then looking for evidence to support that conclusion.Darwin drew his conclusion from a study on population and supremacy to pan-biological evolution ,a step that should shock people to their core - "One day something brought to my recollection Malthus’s “Principles of Population,” which I had read about twelve years before. I thought of his clear exposition of “the positive checks to increase”—disease, accidents, war, and famine—which keep down the population of savage races to so much lower an average than that of civilized peoples. It then occurred to me that these causes or their equivalents are continually acting in the case of animals also;" Charles Darwin The essay by Thomas Malthus is found online and is an enjoyable read ,at least for those who love the old world sensibilities which turn America and Americans into lab mice - http://www.ac.wwu.edu/~stephan/malthus/malthus.2.html Knowing how you lot believe the most ridiculous things,even basic astronomical facts are turned on their head,does not excuse those who should know better.The contemporary conclusion that CO2 causes climate variations and then modelling data to support that conclusion is extremely dangerous because it eventually filters down into political responses and I do not need to remind readers how Darwin's view allowed the nazis could justify their racial supremacy when Darwin's 'cause' for evolution is saturated in that unfortunate precept. I have the responsibility of presenting the core problem which started with Newton's conclusion that terrestrial ballistics equate to planetary motions and his maneuvering to get the original astronomical; methods and insights to suit his agenda/conclusion. " I know; such men do not deduce their conclusion from its premises or establish it by reason, but they accommodate (I should have said discommode and distort) the premises and reasons to a conclusion which for them is already established and nailed down. No good can come of dealing with such people, especially to the extent that their company may be not only unpleasant but dangerous." Galileo |
#26
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sat, 14 Feb 2009 23:33:09 -0600, kT wrote: But you provide no evidence and you haven't bothered to define 'solid'. Okay, I get it now. You don't understand how science works. Sure I do, when you make a claim, such as your claim that you are 'skeptical', then you may at any time take the opportunity of providing evidence of your skepticism. Thus far you have not attempted to do that. Good luck with the skepticism thing. May I suggest alt.skepticism? In the meantime, I will continue to search for evidence of Holocene asteroid impacts and megaflooding. That's much more rewarding to me. It's also quite a bit more important than my understanding of science. |
#27
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
On Sun, 15 Feb 2009 08:51:55 -0600, kT wrote:
Sure I do, when you make a claim, such as your claim that you are 'skeptical', then you may at any time take the opportunity of providing evidence of your skepticism. Thus far you have not attempted to do that. That's not correct. When you propose a theory, you must support it with evidence. There is no burden on those who don't find the evidence compelling to support the status quo with any evidence at all. Asking those who disagree with new theories to somehow prove that the new theory is wrong is one of the hallmarks of the pseudoscientist. If you adopt this kind of approach, you place your credibility at risk. The new theory in this case is that an impact or airburst occurred over North America about 13000 years ago. It's an interesting theory, and there is some limited evidence supporting it. So far, few geologists or paleontologists consider the evidence strong enough to be convincing. That isn't the same as saying they don't believe an impact event might have occurred, it just means that most people are sticking with the properly skeptical opinion that it did not, until better evidence is provided. It doesn't mean they are out looking for counter evidence, nor are they investing a lot of time trying to justify the status quo. However, some of the evidence used to argue for an impact event (such as ash layers) has been demonstrated to have other reasonable explanations. Finding weaknesses in a new theory's interpretation of evidence is an important part of the scientific process. Again, there's plenty of supporting evidence for an impact to take the theory out of the crackpot category and make it a valid area of study. But it remains sufficiently untested that those who support it should not be criticizing the true skeptics- those who prefer to see more evidence before considering such a thing likely. _________________________________________________ Chris L Peterson Cloudbait Observatory http://www.cloudbait.com |
#28
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Sun, 15 Feb 2009 08:51:55 -0600, kT wrote: Sure I do, when you make a claim, such as your claim that you are 'skeptical', then you may at any time take the opportunity of providing evidence of your skepticism. Thus far you have not attempted to do that. That's not correct. It certainly is. Your hypothesis is 'no YD impact'. When you propose a theory, It's not a theory, it's a hypothesis : impact at 12,900 PB. you must support it with evidence. I have : http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ie...9,1.153564&z=9 There is no burden on those who don't find the evidence compelling to support the status quo with any evidence at all. There is no burden on anyone, period. You can do or say whatever you want. That's the whole beauty of science. Asking those who disagree with new theories to somehow prove that the new theory is wrong is one of the hallmarks of the pseudoscientist. I'm not asking you to prove anything. That fact that you've brought the concept of 'proof' into the realm of science actually is an indicator of your profound misunderstanding of science. All I'm asking you is for evidence of your skepticism of the YD/Clovis impact hypothesis, for which there is ample evidence. You have declined. That is your right. My right is to point that you are not participating in the science. You are arm waving to the extreme here. NOT EVEN A SIMPLE LINK. If you adopt this kind of approach, you place your credibility at risk. My credibility is not evidence of anything, certainly not related to a clear feature into the geomorphology at Lake Nipigon. Science is not based upon credentials, it's based upon EVIDENCE. You have not supplied a single link in this entire discussion. I suggest you review the thread, the very first thing Curtis Croulet did was provide links. The new theory in this case is that an impact or airburst occurred over North America about 13000 years ago. Sorry, nope, that's the hypothesis. We're hoping to develop that into an theory of Younger Dryas climate change, megaflooding, the Laurentide ice sheet collapse, megafauna extinctions, the Clovis disappearance and the incorporation of agriculture into neolithic culture. Much more evidence is required. You decline to participate, as is your right. It's an interesting theory, Nope. It's an interesting hypothesis. It's nowhere near a theory yet. and there is some limited evidence supporting it. So far, few geologists or paleontologists consider the evidence strong enough to be convincing. And until they offer their own evidence why they are not convinced, then they are firmly in the pseudoscience regime. It's clearly not enough to just say you are not convinced, you have to explain why you are not convinced. You have to counter existing evidence with your own alternative hypotheses which adequately describes that evidence. That takes even more evidence. You have none. I have a landform. That isn't the same as saying they don't believe an impact event might have occurred, it just means that most people are sticking with the properly skeptical opinion that it did not, until better evidence is provided. Which they, and you, apparently have declined to offer. Hilarious. It doesn't mean they are out looking for counter evidence, nor are they investing a lot of time trying to justify the status quo. It means they have no evidence. They're skeptics without evidence. There is a place for people like that : alt.skepticism. However, some of the evidence used to argue for an impact event (such as ash layers) has been demonstrated to have other reasonable explanations. Absence of immediate ash layers is provided by the ice sheet outwash, or explained by an atmospheric airburst very near a thick melting ice sheet. Evidence for megaflooding is everywhere in the area, including directly across the lake at Marquette and in many other Superior areas. There is clear evidence in the stratigraphy for an impact or fireball, far removed from the site which glacial outwash would not have affected. Finding weaknesses in a new theory's interpretation of evidence is an important part of the scientific process. Then go ahead an find weaknesses. All you are claiming is skepticism, which is ludicrous on the face of it. I have exposed your nonsense. Again, there's plenty of supporting evidence for an impact to take the theory out of the crackpot category and make it a valid area of study. Then show us some. I offer an obvious landform in the area of interest. But it remains sufficiently untested that those who support it should not be criticizing the true skeptics- those who prefer to see more evidence before considering such a thing likely. In other words, you decline to participate in the scientific process. I am not surprised. You have shown no willingness or abilities here. |
#29
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
Darwin drew his conclusion from a study on population and
supremacy to pan-biological evolution ,a step that should shock people to their core - No! Darwin had his evidence. He needed an explanation for it. Malthus gave him a clue to the explanation. Whether or not you are offended, Malthus's statement, as quoted by Darwin, is true as written. Darwin summarized it as the "struggle for existence." Our society implicitly acknowledges the truth of the proposition. Marxism tries to suppress it. Capitalism celebrates it! -- Curtis Croulet Temecula, California 33°27'59"N, 117°05'53"W |
#30
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Darwin's Valentine : Younger Dryas Impact Remnant Near Lake Nipigon?
"Curtis Croulet" wrote in message
... Darwin drew his conclusion from a study on population and supremacy to pan-biological evolution ,a step that should shock people to their core - No! Darwin had his evidence. He needed an explanation for it. Malthus gave him a clue to the explanation. Whether or not you are offended, Malthus's statement, as quoted by Darwin, is true as written. Darwin summarized it as the "struggle for existence." Our society implicitly acknowledges the truth of the proposition. Marxism tries to suppress it. Capitalism celebrates it! If you are trying to suggest that Capitalism is Malthusian, you are just another stupid Marxist. Go back to Russia where you belong pinko. |
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