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DARPA and starships
As the power and exhaust velocity of rockets increase their
performance improves. As the cost of energy declines, the cost of operating these rockets declines. As appropriate investments are made in appropriate supply chain - vehicle costs decline. There is no reason we cannot reduce the cost of structural hardware to $12,000 per ton from the present $3,500,000 per ton. There is no reason we cannot increase uses from 1 flight per vehicle to 10,000 flights per vehicle or more with maintenance dropping from 100% of vehicle cost to 0.01% vehicle cost per flight. Investments in improved rocket technology ended in 1964, the first fiscal year following the death of JFK. As costs decline and utility and capacity improves the cost of transporting materials between worlds, and volumes increase. Since the minimum delta vee between the Earth's surface and points in the cosmos are relatively fixed. So, we can see how things will develop over time based on these facts. We built the first rockets that entered space in the 1940s and by the 1950s they orbited the Earth for the first time. By the 1960s we landed people on the moon. Then things stopped. Yet had appropriate investments been made we would have seen a continuing development along the following lines; 1940s sub-orbital ICBM world peace 1950s orbit satellites world communication 1960s lunar Apollo world politics 1970s interplanetary Powersat world energy 1980s asteroid Factorysat world production At this point the cost reliability safety and performance of rockets achieved such levels that we repeat the same development arc - on a personal level. 1990s sub-orbital Ballistic transport - world travel 2000s orbital Space Home - diaspora 2010s interplanetary Mobile Space Home At this point, with 70 years of continuous serious development driven by market forces we finally see emerge in the 2020s the ability to travel interstellar distances 2020s interstellar Interstellar Space Home 2030s interstellar+ Spacetime travel The technical approach is also simple to predict; 1940s - single stage high performance chemical rockets - V1 1950s - multi-stage high performance chemical rockets - Juno 1960s - large multi-stage high performance chemical rockets - Saturn * * * 1970s - very large single stage very high performing nuclear rockets - Orion 1980s - ultra large solar powered laser light sails - Forward 1990s - laser driven MEMS rocket arrays - 2000s - improved laser driven MEMS rocket arrays 2010s - laser light sails attached to space homes 2020s - quadrillion watt solar laser systems 2030s - engineered black hole dusts I have designed a chemical launcher that carries 695 ton payloads into low earth orbit, using a highlly reusable chemical rocket built around the Space Shuttle External Tank as a model for the airframe. This system puts a 5 km diameter 10 billion watt solar pumped laser in orbit. Solar powered ion rockets provide attitude control, and also carry the satellite from LEO to GEO. http://www.scribd.com/doc/31261680/Etdhlrlv-Addendum http://www.scribd.com/doc/30943696/ETDHLRLV http://www.scribd.com/doc/35439593/S...-Satellite-GEO Another version of this satellite is placed in low earth orbit and flies to Jupiter. After 3.56 years at Jupiter it undergoes a gravity boost, to zero out the velocity of the satellite relative to the Sun. It then falls into the Sun and after 3 more years of falling, it deploys a 5 km diameter reflector that supports a 600 m diameter collector. On the backside of the reflector, is a radiator. The system that costs the same amount as the GEO based system produces 220 billion watts instead of 10 billion watts of laser energy and beams it to a receiving satellite located at GEO, which redirects the energy to users across the face of the globe and in space. The reflector allows the satellite to hover 3.5 million km above the solar surface and navigate to stay directly between the Earth and Sol. I have designed larger rockets based on the old Sea Dragon concept capable of launching 20,000 tons into LEO. With these rockets systems of similar design capable of generating 287 billion watts at GEO and 6.33 trillion watts at SOL. These systems are 27 km in diameter. http://www.scribd.com/doc/45631474/S...rived-Launcher Three of these satellites allow domination of the world's energy markets, capturing a $3 trillion per year market, providing sufficient resources to achieve more ambitious ends. I have also designed 20,000 ton upper stages - chemically powered - that carry 2,000 tons of payload and a crew of 1,200 to Mars and back, with refueling on the red planet. They deploy self sufficient bases carried aboard the spacecraft. They operate 5 to 10 years independently of Earth, living off the land so to speak. While on Mars, these craft, refueled there from hydrogen and oxygen derived from Martian water decomposed using solar power plants, explore and major asteroids and establish bases on ones that have a ready water supply. More importantly, a seven element launcher is made into a single stage vehicle of the following proportions; 20,000 tons payload 9,000 tons structure 38,000 tons propellant Propelled by a rocket powered by a laser beam originating from space. The rocket at launch produces a maximum thrust of 841 mega-newtons. Its laser rocket produces an exhaust with a speed of 11.94 km/sec. It has an ideal delta vee of 10.00 km/sec. It uses 3.93 trillion watts of laser energy at lift off. A single SOL powersat easily supports the continuous launching of rockets, of up to one every 6 minutes or so. 10 per hour 200,000 tons per hour, 1,753,200,000 tons per year per satellite. Payloads to the planets are equally improved. A 20,000 ton upper stage, consisting of a 2,000 ton structure and 13,000 ton propellant, using a lower thrust rocket operating at 50 km/sec exhaust speed imparts up to 52.5 km/sec to 5,000 tons of payload, giving the vehicle solar system wide capability. A 500 kilo personal ballistic transport using MEMS ram rockets with 12 km/sec exhaust velocity are capable of flying a suborbital ballistic trajectory. They consume 100 MW peak power for 2 minutes or less A 6.33 trillion watt beam supports the launch and landing of 63,300 of these vehicles every 2 minutes. This is 3.8 million vehicles per hour per satellite. 91.2 million vehicles per day per satellite. With flight vehicles as common as automobiles in America during America's heyday - 3.5 billion vehicles require 70 satellites. A solar sail operating at 6.33 trillion watts generates 42.5 metric tons of force. So, a 9,500 ton payload pushed by a compact solar sail may be accelerated at 1/200 gee. A high intensity ion rocket with an exhaust velocity of 9,075 km/sec operating at the same power level produces 142.2 metric tons of thrust accelerating 28,452 metric tons at 1/200th gee. With 17,985 metric tons of propellant, the vehicle accelerates 350 AU at 1/200th gee for 535 days. The vehicle then slows at the same rate for another 535 days - arriving at 700 AU with 10,000 tons of useful load. Located at this distant spot, a dynamic hologon reflector is erected and the 6.33 trillion watt beam is directed around Sol, using gravity lens effect to focus the beam reliably at great distances to a very fine level. Accelerating a Forward style two stage light sail at 1/200th gee, sends a 9,500 ton system 4.3 light years to Alpha Centauri in 57 years 9 months. At 1/20th gee, a 950 ton system in 18 years 3 months. Beaming a focused 6.33 trillion watt beam 32,000 light years to the 4.3 million solar mass supermassive black hole at the center of the galaxy, Sagittarius A* is made to enter the ergosphere of the spinning black hole in a manner that exploits Penrose Processes to cause a portion of the rest mass of the black hole into added photons. In this way energy is extracted from the black hole. Counterintuitively some Penrose processes allow photons to be emitted back toward Earth before the originating beam arrives - if done rightly a return beam is made to arrive at Earth as the original beam leaves - focused along the same gravity lens lines. Highly energetic photons also have the capacity within the ergosphere to create a directed beam of micro-black holes that are returned to the beam source. Structuring these micro-black holes allow the creation of new types of technology that permit direct conversion of matter into energy, creation of powerful neutrino rockets, and sensible gravity effects. A ring of engineered black holes with well structured interactions may be assembled into computing machinery of immense capacity. Negative time delay is possible. So, these capabilities transcend what is possible with conventional matter. Also, femto-scale rocket arrays within these devices provide immense capability by directing the decay energy of micro-black holes. Finally, large numbers are assembled into a self gravitating ring that draw external macro payloads toward it at high accelerations - while they are in free fall. In this way, systems capable of accelerating at 100 gees and more can carry large payloads at these high accelerations without producing any inertial forces - the payloads are in free fall - or under a controlled force - recreating a 1 gee acceleration. At 100 gees near light speed is achieved in half a week. The cosmos may be crossed in 20 weeks. Ship time. The experience with Sagittarius A* signals through time, allow us to chart courses through this supermassive black hole to allow the ships to return to Earth at a time that synchronizes Solar time with ship time. Signals passing through the black hole also allow instantaneous communications between ship and Sol - again with time dilation effects taken out by operation of the variability of time the ergosphere allows. |
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