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Here's a big 'Thank you' to ...Terrestar, launches world's largest commercial satellite.
Terrestar!
http://www.terrestar.com/about.php Ticker tstr. The good ol' ...'buy on the rumor, sell on the news'. Which means the price very predictably runs up just prior to launch (rumor) then promptly crashes after the launch or 'whatever' finally happens (news) The reverse of what most would expect. This very same pattern happens anytime....anytime....anytime... a highly anticipated critical point is approaching, and shortly thereafter. It's the only universal pattern that, in theory, should exist in the natural world. It defines the point where volatility and predictability converge at simultaneous maximums. Where self organization emerges. It's hard to catch the initial run up, so the way to play this is to go for the dead cat bounce. Which is to wait until a precipitous and continuos fall of fills the gap below and stabilizes near a strong level of support. Usually this point announces itself rather clearly, as it did here. Charts When it runs up to $2 see the huge gap it created below between $1 and $2? Wait for it to fall back and fill that gap, and settle at the support level created when it was back at $1. These patterns also pause around half way down, foretelling the ultimate bottom. Very reliable pattern, applicable to any industry, any scale. http://www.stockconsultant.com/consu...bol=TSTR&49374 So I bought in last Friday at $1.04, and sold today at $1.29 for a nice three day return around 20%. Which, btw is just above the typical for this pattern, which is 15% in 3 days. http://www.defense-aerospace.com/art...satellite.html I am giving you folks the easiest, most profitable and /only/ universal chart pattern which theoretically exists. This is so because this is a chart which, at the same time, displays a panic-buy and a panic-sell pattern. This chart is driven by trader psychology, it behaves as the traders expect, as a result is highly consistent and changes slowly over time. When I claim it's universal, compare these two charts. Both are panic sells following a bubble. One year chart of the Dow http://bigcharts.marke****ch.com/qui...=djia&sid=1643 Ten day chart of Terrestar http://bigcharts.marke****ch.com/qui...eq=7& time=18 Notice how they pause about half way down, foretelling the ultimate bottom then resume the fall only to announce the reversal with a nice big spike in volume. Notice this pattern is displayed twice in the chart of the Dow. First pausing at 10,00 then bouncing off 8000 in late October. Then 8000 becomes the half way point for the larger example of this pattern which bounces off 6500. This displays it's self similarity across scale, proving it's fractal nature, and proving the system is at "The Edge", that it's been driven from one extreme in possibility, to it's opposite, yielding maximum system volatility. Maximum system volatility is the source of emergent or spontaneous order from a seemingly chaotic (volatile) system. This is also the chart of a thunderstorm. Where opposing forces steadily increase the volatility all the way down, until, at maximum volatility the system undergoes a dramatic phase transition, or change in state with a brief rainshower. Transitioning, or changing state from vapor to water. At that point, after the emergent rain shower (change in state_) the system dynamics have died down, the sun has set, and it's time to look for the ....next rain cloud. They happen almost every day, about as often as it rains. Why go long on a stock, when everyone reading this knows what thunderstorms do. One needs merely to be able to recognize the trigger, or disturbance, which can set opposing forces in persistent interaction, until they peak and make the emergent jump to a new state or trend. Which to a falling stock, of course, means rising. Beyond today, I have no way of predicting what this kind of storm, or transient (Terrestar) will do. That's for the crystal balls...going long that is. Mathematics and precision and repeatability can only be found when a system is driven just as far from equilibrium as possible, without actually breaking. At The Edge. Jonathan s |
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