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#41
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On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 9:16:47 AM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 03:48:21 -0700 (PDT), "Scott M. Kozel" wrote: On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 12:05:11 AM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 18:33:11 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: On Sunday, April 22, 2018 at 6:59:39 PM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:07:00 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: Repeated slurs only weaken your already weak responses. You should give it a rest. As a science denier, Straw man argument: "caricaturing a position to make it easier to attack" I'm not attacking your position, any more than I would attack the position of someone claiming the Earth is flat. There is no position to attack. Your view is total nonsense, not accepted by any scientist. It is ridiculous, and mockery is the proper response. You are a garden variety Usenet troll. Says the flat-earther! That's funny! Did you smoke a reefer today? |
#42
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On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 9:17:32 AM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 04:39:59 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: I'm not attacking your position, Of COURSE you are. And you are attacking me personally. You have no position to attack. But certainly I'm mocking you. Nothing wrong with that. Your beliefs are mockable. AGW is generated by agitprop, regardless of what the pinko liberal posters say. |
#43
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On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 07:00:17 -0700 (PDT), "Scott M. Kozel"
wrote: On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 9:17:32 AM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 04:39:59 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: I'm not attacking your position, Of COURSE you are. And you are attacking me personally. You have no position to attack. But certainly I'm mocking you. Nothing wrong with that. Your beliefs are mockable. AGW is generated by agitprop, regardless of what the pinko liberal posters say. I suspect brain damage of some sort. |
#44
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Gary Harnagel wrote in
: On Sunday, April 22, 2018 at 10:05:11 PM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 18:33:11 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: On Sunday, April 22, 2018 at 6:59:39 PM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:07:00 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: Repeated slurs only weaken your already weak responses. You should give it a rest. As a science denier, Straw man argument: "caricaturing a position to make it easier to attack" I'm not attacking your position, Of COURSE you are. And you are attacking me personally. any more than I would attack the position of someone claiming the Earth is flat. There is no position to attack. Your view is total nonsense, Why is it that you are completely oblivious to the fact that you just DID attack my position there as well as me? Perhaps you need counseling. not accepted by any scientist. Completely false. I know several scientists that have reservations about AGW, just like I do. You're still plying the dishonest straw man argument baloney. It is ridiculous, and mockery is the proper response. Your position (which seems to be "we gotta spend bazillions of dollars RIGHT NOW and pass onerous legislation. It's my way or the highway") is the one that is extreme and cannot be supported by solid experimental evidence. As Scott said, you have become an obnoxious troll. "Have become"? Has there ever been a time when he wasn't? He's not even a very *good* troll, though he's got you firmly on the hook. (Not, mind you, that you're really any better.) -- Terry Austin Vacation photos from Iceland: https://plus.google.com/u/0/collection/QaXQkB "Terry Austin: like the polio vaccine, only with more asshole." -- David Bilek Jesus forgives sinners, not criminals. |
#45
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On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 12:10:52 PM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 07:00:17 -0700 (PDT), "Scott M. Kozel" wrote: On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 9:17:32 AM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 04:39:59 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: I'm not attacking your position, Of COURSE you are. And you are attacking me personally. You have no position to attack. But certainly I'm mocking you. Nothing wrong with that. Your beliefs are mockable. AGW is generated by agitprop, regardless of what the pinko liberal posters say. I suspect brain damage of some sort. Go to a neurologist and get it checked. |
#46
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On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 10:10:52 AM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote:
On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 07:00:17 -0700 (PDT), "Scott M. Kozel" wrote: On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 9:17:32 AM UTC-4, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Mon, 23 Apr 2018 04:39:59 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: You have no position to attack. But certainly I'm mocking you. Nothing wrong with that. Your beliefs are mockable. Yes, there IS something wrong with that. You need PC counseling badly. AGW is generated by agitprop, regardless of what the pinko liberal posters say. I suspect brain damage of some sort. I suspect you're brain does indeed need rewiring. |
#47
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On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:07:00 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel
wrote: In today's world, GW is almost entirely AGW. That is a fact. That's an unsubstantiated assertion since the effects of increased cloud cover due to cosmic ray nucleation have not been quantified. An increase in cloud cover ought to reduce, not increase, the warming, right? We observe a warming. If this warming occurs despite increased cloud cover, this implies that the CO2 effect of the warming is even larger... |
#48
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On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:55:39 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel
wrote: On Sunday, April 22, 2018 at 1:16:31 PM UTC-6, Paul Schlyter wrote: On Sat, 21 Apr 2018 09:56:15 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: Yeah. Like the kind of feedback clouds provide. Not the fact that the Earth is warming dramatically and the cause is the human release of fossil carbon into the atmosphere. Unsubstantiated assertion. Correlation doesn't necessarily imply causation. However, in the case of AGW, a very plausible mechanism of causation is known. Do you have another, more plausible, reason for the correlation? If so, present it. If your argument is solid, you'll definitely get a Nobel Prize for that. I don't think there is any question that global temperatures have risen: https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...e/how-did-janu ary-2018-rank-in-terms-of-global-temperatures/70004226 But I have a bit of concern for honesty here. They say, "The last four years rank among the five warmest Januarys on record." That's true ... as far as it goes, but the chart shows the last two years in a downward trend, taking off a third of the temperature increases over the last 138 years! Weather is VERY complex, and modeling is VERY difficult, particularly when certain factors are handled only indirectly (and, therefore, only approxi- mately) and other factors haven't been included. We're not talking about weather here. Indeed we cannot predict the weather even a month in advance. But in climatology thes no need to predict the weather on individual days. In climatology we're interested in long term averages, and that simplifies matters a lot. Those individual eddies which are so hard to predict in weather forecasting vanish in those long term averages which climatology deals with. Those long term averages also makes temperatures during one or a few individual years quite insignificant. But if the trend continues over decades, then it becomes climatologically significant. So instead of focusing on the last two years, you should instead focus on the last 20-50 years. Don't throw away half a century of data just because of temporary short term deviations recently. Finally, you failed to propose another mechanism for GW more plausible than radiation al warming due to IR absorption by increasing amounts of CO2. |
#49
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On Monday, April 23, 2018 at 11:26:24 PM UTC-6, Paul Schlyter wrote:
On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:07:00 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: In today's world, GW is almost entirely AGW. That is a fact. That's an unsubstantiated assertion since the effects of increased cloud cover due to cosmic ray nucleation have not been quantified. An increase in cloud cover ought to reduce, not increase, the warming, right? We observe a warming. If this warming occurs despite increased cloud cover, this implies that the CO2 effect of the warming is even larger... Did you even LOOK at the second chart in https://www.accuweather.com/en/weath...tures/70004226 that I posted April 22nd? It shows global temperatures dropping significantly for the past two years. We're not talking about weather here. Indeed we cannot predict the weather even a month in advance. But in climatology thes no need to predict the weather on individual days. In climatology we're interested in long term averages Not sure what you're smoking here, but the chart I referenced isn't about monthly temperatures. Those long term averages also makes temperatures during one or a few individual years quite insignificant. But if the trend continues over decades, then it becomes climatologically significant. Maybe they are and maybe they aren't. So instead of focusing on the last two years, you should instead focus on the last 20-50 years. Don't throw away half a century of data just because of temporary short term deviations recently. The short-term deviations ARE significant if a new factor is in play. We may want a little extra greenhouse gas if we're heading toward another another Little Ice Age: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age And more cloud cover implies more water vapor in the air, which is the greatest greenhouse gas of them all. The takeaway from this is that the LIA resulted in torrential rains that washed out crops in the summer which was too short to grow abundant crops anyway. I think we may fare better if this occurs again, but people would still starve. Many countries in Europe lost 10% of their populations, a significant amount when you consider that the Plague killed about 30%. And isn't it interesting that the plague occurred after the Medieval Warm Period when global temperatures were falling? Maybe some of those deaths could have been avoided if folks had good food? Look, I believe in being a good steward of the earth, trying to curb excesses, keeping the environment clean and all that. But I also believe in people and that we all have a responsibility there, too. And I also believe in a Higher Power which many today have disowned. One of the consequences of that is a vaunting arrogance that WE can handle the situation. Maybe the solution isn't where some believe it to be ... |
#50
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On 23/04/2018 01:07, Gary Harnagel wrote:
On Sunday, April 22, 2018 at 7:33:50 AM UTC-6, Chris L Peterson wrote: On Sun, 22 Apr 2018 06:03:48 -0700 (PDT), Gary Harnagel wrote: what extent that process affects GW (note: that would NOT be AGW). In today's world, GW is almost entirely AGW. That is a fact. That's an unsubstantiated assertion since the effects of increased cloud cover due to cosmic ray nucleation have not been quantified. It is small enough correction that it isn't going to radically alter the answers. The 0.1% change in solar output over an 11 year sunspot cycle is barely noticeable in the climate record (but is detectable). By comparison the 0.0167 ellipticity of the Earth's orbit represents a ~7% change in solar input from aphelion to perihelion every year. It is known to be true beyond reasonable doubt, and is accepted by 99% of climate scientists. A greater consensus than we have for nearly any other area of scientific knowledge. Do you mean consensus of those who haven't included the effects of cosmic ray cloud nucleation in their climate models and who have reduced the multiplication factor of CO2 effects in their models, to account for the greatest greenhouse gas of them all, from 6 to 2? If 6 is wrong, what confidence is there that 2 is the right number? Time will tell. Your argument is essentially because every last possible detail isn't tied down we should ignore the major factor we can control which is altering the Earth's climate. The inexorable rise of CO2. GW Bush did his damnedest to discontinue funding monitoring of CO2 by Keeling et al but in the end was forced to give him a congressional science medal. Science deniers are once again being promoted to positions of real power in the Trump administration so we expect more trash the planet for fun and profit policies going forward. https://www.nationalgeographic.org/t...medal-science/ Flat-earther. Repeated slurs only weaken your already weak responses. You should give it a rest. It is pretty much a good description of your position. Only the wilfully ignorant and professional deniers for hire claim that AGW is not real today. The latter usually have previous for claiming that smoking tobacco doesn't cause cancer and that CFC's don't damage the ozone layer. (it is quite a good litmus test for prostitute scientists) -- Regards, Martin Brown |
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