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Leaning tower of falcon 9
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#113
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
JF Mezei wrote:
On 2016-07-03 00:43, Fred J. McCall wrote: And where do you think they get the initial values for those proposed maintenance regimes? Can you say "engineering performance estimates"? Component manufacturers provide MTBF values, and those, along with the ai9rcraft sructure are validated during flight test period. And during initial years of service, glitches that arise cause changes to the maintenance procedures and schedules. But if the MINIMUMS aren't good, you're going to have a lot of airplanes falling out of the sky. And their engineering performance estimates say at least ten flights per booster. But until they have empirical evidence, they cannot validate engineering estimates. Do you know what "at least" means, Mr Mezei? Is the Sun going to rise tomorrow, Mr Mezei? You can't know until it does, after all... -- "Some people get lost in thought because it's such unfamiliar territory." --G. Behn |
#114
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
JF Mezei wrote:
On 2016-07-04 01:43, Fred J. McCall wrote: So if I build a passenger airliner that uses a brand new type of turbofan and totally different structural materials, I get the same inspection? Wasn't ot you who argued that FAA imposed maintenance intervals on new aircraft ? No, that would have been Jimp the Chimp, who you dragged in by crossposting back to an airplane group when we're talking about a rocket. Maintenance intervals have to be demonstrated to the FAA during certification. But Chimp says they're fixed; 100 hours or annual based on type of service. MTBF must also be demonstrated to get ETOPS rating, and generally a plane gets low ETOPS first and after a year or two in service, once MTBF is more reliably known, ETOPS is augmented. But Chimp says they're fixed; 100 hours or annual based on type of service. I don't think so. One of the problems that Beech had with the Starship was that the FAA couldn't pull their head out of their ass to certify different construction. Starting with the Airbus A320, FAA and other certification agencies learned an important lesson: they can't apply old rules to new planes. For the A320, they failed to properly test the software that ran the plane because they weren't used to doing so and allow a buggy aircraft to enter service. Wow, it only took 'em how many decades to figure that out? If the FAA were to regulate SpaceX, it would not accept engineers "we think this is good for 11 flights". They would want to see actual experience duringa flight test period and this is exactly what SpaceX is doing. Well, that will never happen, thank God. If it were to happen, where do you think they're going to get the numbers they start with; pull 'em out of some bureaucrat's ass? No, they'll get them from those engineers whose opinions you say they wouldn't accept. You understand that SpaceX currently is NOT in 'flight test', right. They're selling rocket launches. And SpaceX will have a very good idea of how many times a stage can be re-used, how much it costs to refurb between flights, how many they can succesfully land etc. They have a pretty good idea of most of that now, because, unlike you, engineers don't just pull **** out of their asses and shout 'Eureka!'. It may exceed 11 flights, it be less than that. If you roll two dice, the total may meet or exceed three or it may be less than that. If you think those odds are even approximately equal, you must lose fortunes at the craps tables. Do you know what a three sigma confidence estimate is? -- "Ignorance is preferable to error, and he is less remote from the truth who believes nothing than he who believes what is wrong." -- Thomas Jefferson |
#115
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote:
JF Mezei wrote: On 2016-07-04 01:43, Fred J. McCall wrote: So if I build a passenger airliner that uses a brand new type of turbofan and totally different structural materials, I get the same inspection? Wasn't ot you who argued that FAA imposed maintenance intervals on new aircraft ? No, that would have been Jimp the Chimp, who you dragged in by crossposting back to an airplane group when we're talking about a rocket. Nope, I never said FAA did that. What I said was a manufacturer MAY specify maintenance and inspection schedules that are MORE stringent than FAA requirements in the maintenance manual. Maintenance intervals have to be demonstrated to the FAA during certification. But Chimp says they're fixed; 100 hours or annual based on type of service. You got that part correct. The manufacturers maintenance manual has to be PRODUCED during cerification. That does not mean any procedure has to be actually performed during cerification. MTBF must also be demonstrated to get ETOPS rating, and generally a plane gets low ETOPS first and after a year or two in service, once MTBF is more reliably known, ETOPS is augmented. But Chimp says they're fixed; 100 hours or annual based on type of service. ETOPS has nothing to do with periodic inspections or aircraft certification, but rather is about aircraft operations. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ETOPS -- Jim Pennino |
#116
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
In sci.physics JF Mezei wrote:
On 2016-07-06 20:17, wrote: ETOPS has nothing to do with periodic inspections or aircraft certification, but rather is about aircraft operations. There is more to ETOPS than operations. In order to get ETOPS xxx certification, the airplane has to demonstrate high MTBF numbers while in operation. So you agree it is "about aircraft operations" as I said. -- Jim Pennino |
#117
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
wrote:
In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: snip What I said was that a manufacturer may impose in it's maintenance procedures inspections/replacements at shorter intervals than the FAA regulations. Note the use of the word "may". That means they do not have to do that. This has nothing to do with FAA regulations. So the FAA would be fine if a manufacturer came in and just said "We don't need no steenking inspections"? Yeah, sure. Yes, that is correct, meaning no special inspections beyond the minimum required by the FAA for ALL airplanes, which is basically: An annual inspection or if flown with other than required crew for hire or flight instruction for hire 100 hour inspections in a plan that during the course of 12 months covers all the items of an annual inspection. snip And just what do they inspect? Basically everything that can wear, crack, corrode, or get out of calibration, such as: compression in a piston engine, wear in cables and pullys, hinges, altimeter accuracy, structural cracks or corrosion, tires, deicing boots, door and hatch latches, etc. The exactly what for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place. In other words, the engineers decide what needs to be inspected and how frequently based on performance estimates. So if someone builds something that is an advance on state of the art FAA has no inspections ever? Or do they do stupid things like require "inspect wing rivets every X hours of flight" and for the new airplane the result is always "Yes, still hasn't grown any wing rivets". See above; annual or 100 hours. As to WHAT gets inspected, that is spelled out in the Part of 14 CFR that covers the type of aircraft and how it is operated and is the same for ALL aircraft of a specifice type, e.g. turbine transport, and type of operation, e.g. carriage of passengers. snip So if I build a passenger airliner that uses a brand new type of turbofan and totally different structural materials, I get the same inspection? I don't think so. One of the problems that Beech had with the Starship was that the FAA couldn't pull their head out of their ass to certify different construction. That is part of the certification process, not on going inspections. But you just said above that what requires ongoing inspection is part of certification. Not only that, but you're 'correcting' what I said to be, well, what I said. The same thing it does for all airplanes in the certification category, which is based on the cumulative history of aircraft since 1926. So you'll have the new airplane inspecting things that don't exist and not looking at things that matter. Yeah, I believe *YOU* would do that. What part of "cumulative history" did you not understand? The FAA is aware of things like piston engines and turbine engines and sets the requirements accordingly. snip And which part of "people develop new **** so there is no 'cummulative history'" did you not understand? What part of certification and inspection are two different things did you not understand? What part of your own statement that "what gets inspected is part of the certification package" is it that you're waffling on now? And this method applies to all FAA regulations, including things like how often must a commercial pilot of age 45 get a medical and what medical conditions are significant to pilot performance. I wasn't aware that pilots were built into the airplanes. I never said they were, what I said was the method for determining how often things are required to be done is based on history accumulated since 1926. snip Which is great if you're flying aircraft designed and developed in 1926. And that's not what you said. The technology of 'pilots' hasn't changed much since Ikarus. The technology of aircraft, on the other hand... Medical standards have changed a lot since flying began, e.g. the upper level for uncontrolled blood pressure was changed just a few years ago. But the thing being inspected has not. You really don't read English very well, do you? I'd say you never had to deal with 14 CFR. Quite right, since you say engineering has nothing to do with it. I never said that either, what I said was that things are determined from accumulated history. And you duck the question I've asked several times now, of just what they do when there is no 'accumulated history'. I know what they do, from having watched what happened with the Beech Starship. They dither and try to avoid the question, just like you do here. Again, you are talking about the certification process which has absolutely nothing to do with the on going inspection process. Well, it has "absolutely nothing to do with it" except that "The exactly what [gets inspected] for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place." If you think real hard about it instead of knee jerking, you might be able to deduct what sort of people analyze all that accumulated history and set standards based on the analysis. It's a simple concept. If something is 'new' there is no 'accumulated history'. So what the **** does the FAA do then, other than duck the question? There is the certification process, which again, has nothing to do with the on going inspection process. Well, it has "absolutely nothing to do with it" except that "The exactly what [gets inspected] for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place." Getting something new, such as a never before used construction material, means the certification process becomes extremely complex as the maker has to prove, through extensive testing, that the material actually works. Oh, the manufacturer may have to do far more than that. The FAA may do things like require hundreds of hours of test flights, i.e. accumulate history, before certifying the aircraft. And they 'accumulate history' by inspecting what? Rumour has it that "exactly what [gets inspected] for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place". -- "Some people get lost in thought because it's such unfamiliar territory." --G. Behn |
#118
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
wrote:
In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: JF Mezei wrote: On 2016-07-01 22:55, Fred J. McCall wrote: You still don't get it; the FAA most certainly does have "initial inspection times" for new designs. Airworthiness certificate is given after a very extensive flight test campaign by manufacturer to prove that the new aircraft passes all requirements from safety, performance and maintenance. If it exceeds those minumumns, nothing prevents changes to maintenance intervals. Example: Boeing's 787 doesn't have to worry about corrosion for its all composite fuselage, but has to worry about delamination. So the flight test campaign would have to demonstrate to FAA that the proposed maintenance regime was fine for that plane. And where do you think they get the initial values for those proposed maintenance regimes? Can you say "engineering performance estimates"? Nope 100 hours. And they inspect WHAT? And no, it's not 'inspect at 100 hours'. For many things that's pointless and for others it may be too long. The what is spelled out in the aircraft maintenance manual, which is a required item for aircraft certification. So they inspect what the engineers tell them needs inspecting based on the engineering estimates of wear performance on the parts. Gee, I could swear I've been saying that since Day One and you've been arguing with me. And again, 100 hour inspections are cummulative inspections that over the course of 12 months address all the items of an annual inspection. 'Again'? That's the first time you've said that. Before you claimed it was "annual" or "100 hour" based on class of service, with at least the implication that the 'annual' and '100 hour' inspections inspected exactly the same thing and the difference was because of the difference in 'annual' flight hours. FAA inspections apply AFTER the certification process is complete. You've about convinced me we should fire the FAA, given your views on what it does. You've about convinced me you are utterly clueless how aircraft certificaion and continued airworthyness works. You could read 14 CFR instead of being an argumentative, knee jerking twit. And you could tell the same story twice in a row instead of being a huge ego accompanied by a little tiny intellect and constantly changing your mind based on arguing because of the former. -- "Ordinarily he is insane. But he has lucid moments when he is only stupid." -- Heinrich Heine |
#119
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
wrote:
In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: snip Buy a ****ing dictionary and look it up, Chimp****. manufactu the making of goods or wares by manual labor or by machinery, especially on a large scale goods: articles of trade; wares; merchandise Note nothing about 'selling' the results. You're done. wares: articles of merchandise or manufacture; goods merchandise: the manufactured goods bought and sold in any business goods: articles of trade; wares; merchandise Note that orbital services are 'wares'. services: the performance of any duties or work for another SpaceX is a delivery service who's business model is almost identical to UPS and FedX, i.e. all three accept cargo to be delivered to a specific location. The difference is that SpaceX is also the truck manufacturer in your inapt example. Both FedEx and UPS use highly customized COTS delivery vehicles. Note: "COTS delivery vehicles". As there are no COTS orbital delivery vehicles (at the present time), SpaceX has little choice in the matter. But they are still nothing more than a freight delivery service. That manufactures rockets and orbital capsules. So what? So that's 'production', you stupid ****. Just like Ford produces the trucks that the companies in your inapt comparison to freight delivery services use. Ford sells the trucks it makes, SpaceX only sells delivery service. Which is irrelevant to the idea of 'production'. -- "Ignorance is preferable to error, and he is less remote from the truth who believes nothing than he who believes what is wrong." -- Thomas Jefferson |
#120
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Leaning tower of falcon 9
In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote:
wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: In sci.physics Fred J. McCall wrote: wrote: snip What I said was that a manufacturer may impose in it's maintenance procedures inspections/replacements at shorter intervals than the FAA regulations. Note the use of the word "may". That means they do not have to do that. This has nothing to do with FAA regulations. So the FAA would be fine if a manufacturer came in and just said "We don't need no steenking inspections"? Yeah, sure. Yes, that is correct, meaning no special inspections beyond the minimum required by the FAA for ALL airplanes, which is basically: An annual inspection or if flown with other than required crew for hire or flight instruction for hire 100 hour inspections in a plan that during the course of 12 months covers all the items of an annual inspection. snip And just what do they inspect? Basically everything that can wear, crack, corrode, or get out of calibration, such as: compression in a piston engine, wear in cables and pullys, hinges, altimeter accuracy, structural cracks or corrosion, tires, deicing boots, door and hatch latches, etc. The exactly what for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place. In other words, the engineers decide what needs to be inspected and how frequently based on performance estimates. Not quite. The maintenance manual details what equipment the aircraft actually has, e.g. retractable gear, deicing boots, hydraulic actuated control surfaces, etc.. The manufacturer MAY require an inspection of some system on a more stringent schedule than required by the FAA, but that is not generally done as people generally do not wish to own high maintenance aircraft. It is the engineers at the FAA that have decided that 100 hour progressive inspections are what is required for commercial aircraft carrying passengers. An individual item on an aircraft on a 100 hour inspection schedule is not likely to be inspected more than once during a 12 month interval. So if someone builds something that is an advance on state of the art FAA has no inspections ever? Or do they do stupid things like require "inspect wing rivets every X hours of flight" and for the new airplane the result is always "Yes, still hasn't grown any wing rivets". See above; annual or 100 hours. As to WHAT gets inspected, that is spelled out in the Part of 14 CFR that covers the type of aircraft and how it is operated and is the same for ALL aircraft of a specifice type, e.g. turbine transport, and type of operation, e.g. carriage of passengers. snip So if I build a passenger airliner that uses a brand new type of turbofan and totally different structural materials, I get the same inspection? I don't think so. One of the problems that Beech had with the Starship was that the FAA couldn't pull their head out of their ass to certify different construction. That is part of the certification process, not on going inspections. But you just said above that what requires ongoing inspection is part of certification. Not only that, but you're 'correcting' what I said to be, well, what I said. The DOCUMENTATION of what requires ongoing inspection is part of certification. That does not mean it will be inspected during certification. The same thing it does for all airplanes in the certification category, which is based on the cumulative history of aircraft since 1926. So you'll have the new airplane inspecting things that don't exist and not looking at things that matter. Yeah, I believe *YOU* would do that. What part of "cumulative history" did you not understand? The FAA is aware of things like piston engines and turbine engines and sets the requirements accordingly. snip And which part of "people develop new **** so there is no 'cummulative history'" did you not understand? What part of certification and inspection are two different things did you not understand? What part of your own statement that "what gets inspected is part of the certification package" is it that you're waffling on now? What part of the DOCUMENTATION of what requires ongoing inspection is part of certification is it you do not understand? That means the maker has to write and submit a maintenance manual. It does NOT mean the maker does any of it. And this method applies to all FAA regulations, including things like how often must a commercial pilot of age 45 get a medical and what medical conditions are significant to pilot performance. I wasn't aware that pilots were built into the airplanes. I never said they were, what I said was the method for determining how often things are required to be done is based on history accumulated since 1926. snip Which is great if you're flying aircraft designed and developed in 1926. And that's not what you said. The technology of 'pilots' hasn't changed much since Ikarus. The technology of aircraft, on the other hand... Medical standards have changed a lot since flying began, e.g. the upper level for uncontrolled blood pressure was changed just a few years ago. But the thing being inspected has not. You really don't read English very well, do you? Well, yes things have changed alot in the past few decades. What the FAA expects for composite skin versus aluminum skin versus linen skin are all different. Composite skin is a relatively new thing. ADS-B equipment is a very new thing. I'd say you never had to deal with 14 CFR. Quite right, since you say engineering has nothing to do with it. I never said that either, what I said was that things are determined from accumulated history. And you duck the question I've asked several times now, of just what they do when there is no 'accumulated history'. I know what they do, from having watched what happened with the Beech Starship. They dither and try to avoid the question, just like you do here. Again, you are talking about the certification process which has absolutely nothing to do with the on going inspection process. Well, it has "absolutely nothing to do with it" except that "The exactly what [gets inspected] for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place." The GENERATION of the manufacturers maintenance manual is a required item for certification. Actually performing all the steps in it is not. As for what happens when new technology appears, consult part 15 of 14 CFR which details certification for transport aircraft. Here is a SMALL part of it: 25.307 Proof of structure. "(a) Compliance with the strength and deformation requirements of this subpart must be shown for each critical loading condition. Structural analysis may be used only if the structure conforms to that for which experience has shown this method to be reliable. In other cases, substantiating tests must be made to load levels that are sufficient to verify structural behavior up to loads specified in 25.305." Which means if you are using something that has lots of engineering history such as aluminum, you use industry standard analysis techniques, but if you are using some brand new composite material for which there is little to no engineering history, you have to do real testing. If you think real hard about it instead of knee jerking, you might be able to deduct what sort of people analyze all that accumulated history and set standards based on the analysis. It's a simple concept. If something is 'new' there is no 'accumulated history'. So what the **** does the FAA do then, other than duck the question? There is the certification process, which again, has nothing to do with the on going inspection process. Well, it has "absolutely nothing to do with it" except that "The exactly what [gets inspected] for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place." And one more time, the GENERATION of the manufacturers maintenance manual is a required item for certification, but not the performance of it. Do you understand the difference between generating a document and performing the actions in a document? Getting something new, such as a never before used construction material, means the certification process becomes extremely complex as the maker has to prove, through extensive testing, that the material actually works. Oh, the manufacturer may have to do far more than that. See 25.307 14 CFR above. The FAA may do things like require hundreds of hours of test flights, i.e. accumulate history, before certifying the aircraft. And they 'accumulate history' by inspecting what? Rumour has it that "exactly what [gets inspected] for modern aircraft is detailed in the manufacturers maintenance manual which is a required item for certification in the first place". See 25.307 14 CFR above. And one more time, the GENERATION of the manufacturers maintenance manual is a required item for certification, but not the performance of it. Do you understand the difference between generating a document and performing the actions in a document? -- Jim Pennino |
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