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Sander Vesik wrote in
: For now. Which is the whole problem. You've read too much sci-fi. |
#92
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Alan Anderson wrote:
Sander Vesik wrote: Vincent Cate wrote: If in 2005 they can make larger capacity hard drives, faster CPUs, and bigger memory chips, you won't count that as new technology because it is "not particularly novel"? I think most computer guys count it as the "latest tech". If you say something like this you are just showing that you don't actually know anything about how "larger" hard drives, memory chips and faster CPU-s are actually made, or how "technology" and "product" cycles work there... There is abosultely no new technology in a 3.2 GHz P4 compared to 2.0 GHz P4. They are even manufactured using the same process. The same - even *MUCH* more applies to ram and hard drives. Hard drives do use newer technology to increase capacity. Look up "enhanced pixie dust" for a recent example. Hard drives occasionaly use newer technology on the platters, but this is really very rare (once in many product generations). -- Sander +++ Out of cheese error +++ |
#93
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John Schutkeker wrote:
Sander Vesik wrote in : For now. Which is the whole problem. You've read too much sci-fi. The chance of something catastrophic - for the Hhumans - hapenning on earth over the course of say next 10000 is non-trivial. The chances of global warming causing drastic changes over the next 100 years are also pretty damn high. -- Sander +++ Out of cheese error +++ |
#94
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Sander Vesik wrote in
: The chance of something catastrophic - for the Hhumans - hapenning on earth over the course of say next 10000 is non-trivial. The chances of global warming causing drastic changes over the next 100 years are also pretty damn high. But the chances of establishing a self-sustaining foothold somewhere else are much lower than the chances you're quoting. 500 years ago, England couldn't even establish a self-sustaining colony at Jamestown, and that problem was a lot easier with their technology than the one you're asking to solve with ours. And the same will probably be true 100 years from now. I'm not going to try to guess what may be available in 10,000 years, but I'd say that we shouldn't try to attack this problem until the technology is available that makes it attackable. There's plenty of time to make your deadline. |
#95
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John Schutkeker wrote:
Sander Vesik wrote in : The chance of something catastrophic - for the Hhumans - hapenning on earth over the course of say next 10000 is non-trivial. The chances of global warming causing drastic changes over the next 100 years are also pretty damn high. But the chances of establishing a self-sustaining foothold somewhere else are much lower than the chances you're quoting. 500 years ago, England couldn't even establish a self-sustaining colony at Jamestown, and that problem was a lot easier with their technology than the one you're asking to solve with ours. The question of establishing a self-suficent freehold is not one of changes - its more a question of sweat, blood and tears appled in quantity over a long time. The chances that it is possible is 100%, there is just the question of money and effort, not one of unknown limitations. And the same will probably be true 100 years from now. I'm not going to try to guess what may be available in 10,000 years, but I'd say that we shouldn't try to attack this problem until the technology is available that makes it attackable. There's plenty of time to make your deadline. What technology are you missing? -- Sander +++ Out of cheese error +++ |
#96
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Sander Vesik wrote in
: The chances that it is possible is 100%, You read too much sci-fi. |
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