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Something completely different (ref Blue Parrot)
This is something that has not been covered by news nor (as near as I
can tell) has it been the subject of a press release. But it is fairly well known to those in the business. NASA Ames brought a 1.2 MW, 110 GHz gyrotron for testing beamed energy propulsion. They still need the power supply, which is 70 kV at 30 A but it's a relatively small cost. Up close it will provide well over 10 MW/m^2.to test hydrogen heaters. They intend to offer it the same way as the wind tunnels, as a national engineering test asset. I think it is an accepted truth that you need single stage to orbit and that it must be a reusable launch vehicle to get the cost to GEO down to where power satellites make sense economically. Given the current state of material science and the best exhaust velocity you can get from chemical propulsion, neither of these are feasible. To put numbers on the problem, it takes 9000 m/s to get into LEO. For 4500 m/s rocket engines, that's a delta V of twice the exhaust velocity. The rocket equation gives a mass ration of 7.4 which means the vehicle and payload can't be more than 13.5% of the takeoff mass. For a vehicle to be reusable, the accepted minimum structure is 15%, leaving less than zero for payload. (Skylon cheats by burning air partway up, but it's not enough to get a lot of payload to LEO.) But if you have 9000 m/s exhaust velocity, which can be done with hydrogen heated with microwaves or lasers, then the mass ratio is a little less than 3. So vehicle and payload can be 36% of takeoff mass. If half vehicle and half payload, that's 18% each. So a 300 ton vehicle with a dry mass of 54 tons could put 54 tons in LEO. The falling cost of microwave power and laser power makes these options possible. Beamed power doesn't make economic sense unless you are talking cargo volumes in the hundreds of thousands of tons per year. I should also add that I never thought NASA would do something so sensible. Those of you who know Pete Warden might send him a thank you note.. Keith Henson |
#2
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Something completely different (ref Blue Parrot)
Keith Henson wrote:
I think it is an accepted truth that you need single stage to orbit and that it must be a reusable launch vehicle to get the cost to GEO down to where power satellites make sense economically. No. SSTO is a ridiculous idea. What you need is two stages. TSTO is cheaper and gives a much bigger payload, More importantly, the first stage should be highly reuseable with a quick turnaround. As for the second stage, well here's the obvious-but-clever bit. You have maybe 100 (or 10,000) second stages per first stage. The parts of a launch system which go into orbit have to stay there for a while for operational reasons, for maybe a few weeks to a few months. If it's a SSTO then all the expensive ground launch parts are sitting around doing - nothing. For a TSTO, the expensive main engines and launch and recovery systems - wings wheels, VTOL gear, or whatever - can be sending up another second stage while the SSTO is sitting around in orbit looking pretty. And another second stage. And another. Whether the second stages are reusable or not is not fixed. I'd like to see both versions, reusable ones for passengers and disposable ones for cargo. The passenger versions need to have a lot of equipment in them for humans survival and safety. This is expensive, so it should be reusable. For the disposable cargo versions of the second stage, if you have on-orbit assembly you can return the expensive bits - the engines, control systems and electronics - for reuse. You can also leave the cheap bits - the tanks - in orbit for use as on-orbit scrap building material, living space, tankage, storage, whatever. -- Peter Fairbrother |
#3
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Something completely different (ref Blue Parrot)
On Jul 9, 1:48 pm, Peter Fairbrother wrote:
Keith Henson wrote: I think it is an accepted truth that you need single stage to orbit and that it must be a reusable launch vehicle to get the cost to GEO down to where power satellites make sense economically. No. SSTO is a ridiculous idea. What you need is two stages. TSTO is cheaper and gives a much bigger payload, As I noted SSTO is flat out impossible--given chemical exhaust velocities. More importantly, the first stage should be highly reuseable with a quick turnaround. As for the second stage, well here's the obvious-but-clever bit. You have maybe 100 (or 10,000) second stages per first stage. I proposed this he http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7898 a two stage to GEO using the Skylon as a first stage. The problem I don't know how to solve cleanly is getting the first stage back to the launch site. Using Skylon as a first stage it comes down 10,000 km down range. The best I can do is fuel it back up and fly it back. (This has to be done on the equator, and good locations with a non ocean 10,000 km down range are few.) The parts of a launch system which go into orbit have to stay there for a while for operational reasons, for maybe a few weeks to a few months. If it's a SSTO then all the expensive ground launch parts are sitting around doing - nothing. I agree. The approach I have been thinking about has the first stage do one orbit and land. For a TSTO, the expensive main engines and launch and recovery systems - wings wheels, VTOL gear, or whatever - can be sending up another second stage while the SSTO is sitting around in orbit looking pretty. And another second stage. And another. The market I have been thinking about is GEO, at half a million tons per year. Whether the second stages are reusable or not is not fixed. I'd like to see both versions, reusable ones for passengers and disposable ones for cargo. Agree. I have 3 an hour arriving at GEO. They are entirely consumed making power satellites. The passenger versions need to have a lot of equipment in them for humans survival and safety. This is expensive, so it should be reusable. For the disposable cargo versions of the second stage, if you have on-orbit assembly you can return the expensive bits - the engines, control systems and electronics - for reuse. You can also leave the cheap bits - the tanks - in orbit for use as on-orbit scrap building material, living space, tankage, storage, whatever. If you can't do anything else with it, you can hang mass on long tether (600 km) and use it to stabilize a platform by gravity gradient. Keith -- Peter Fairbrother |
#4
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Something completely different (ref Blue Parrot)
Keith Henson wrote:
On Jul 9, 1:48 pm, Peter Fairbrother wrote: Keith Henson wrote: I think it is an accepted truth that you need single stage to orbit and that it must be a reusable launch vehicle to get the cost to GEO down to where power satellites make sense economically. No. SSTO is a ridiculous idea. What you need is two stages. TSTO is cheaper and gives a much bigger payload, As I noted SSTO is flat out impossible--given chemical exhaust velocities. More importantly, the first stage should be highly reuseable with a quick turnaround. As for the second stage, well here's the obvious-but-clever bit. You have maybe 100 (or 10,000) second stages per first stage. I proposed this he http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7898 a two stage to GEO using the Skylon as a first stage. The problem I don't know how to solve cleanly is getting the first stage back to the launch site. It's not too hard if the balance is skewed a bit towards maximum performance in the second stage - say the second stage is LOX/LH2 powered for example, and the first stage only does a bit more than going up and down. For a winged first stage, the use of jet engines can also be useful. No kidding. How many heavy winged objects with jet engines take off and land successfully every day? Taking a 747 or as an example, but it's not an aircraft, it's a spacecraft. TOW is 460tons. It takes off and climbs and flies west on air-breathing jet engines to 30,000 ft, then turns east, when it weighs 400 tons. It then burns 160 tons of LOX/kero in rocket engines, which takes it to 110 km altitude and 2,000 m's eastward horizontal. These are altitude-optimised rocket engines, of course. On the way up, after the burn, it deploys a 65 ton second stage with a LEO payload of 8-10 tons. It then falls out of space into the sky at about 500 km west of it's turnaround point, or about 350 km from it's takeoff point, and flies back to takeoff point. Mostly this is done using it's own kinetic energy, but if it needs a boost, needs to divert, or needs to go-around because the runway is closed, it has jet engines and fuel to do that sort of stuff. Assuming all goes well, it gets back to the runway 39 minutes after it took off. That gives 50 minutes for refuelling and loading another second stage in order to catch the next first-orbit rendezvous - assuming a near-equatorial launch and an 89 minute orbit for the on-orbit assembly station. Though the every-two-orbit 3-hour turnaround is probably better. Now let's talk kT-L/y, or kilotons to LEO per year. If we build 5 first stages, and two of them are working at any one time with three in maintenance, and they launch six times per day 300 days per year, and the payload is nine tons, then that's 30 kT-L/y - or thirty thousand tons per year to LEO. Could be done for about $7-9 billion total up to the end of the first 30,000 tons lifting. It would take maybe 4-5 years. No new technology involved, at least nothing radically new, just fitting rocket engines on an aircraft. Re-entry is slow, and a known-cheap problem. Mass-producing suitable second stage engines might be a little new. -- Peter Fairbrother |
#5
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Something completely different (ref Blue Parrot)
On Jul 12, 4:17 am, Peter Fairbrother wrote:
Keith Henson wrote: On Jul 9, 1:48 pm, Peter Fairbrother wrote: Keith Henson wrote: I think it is an accepted truth that you need single stage to orbit and that it must be a reusable launch vehicle to get the cost to GEO down to where power satellites make sense economically. No. SSTO is a ridiculous idea. What you need is two stages. TSTO is cheaper and gives a much bigger payload, As I noted SSTO is flat out impossible--given chemical exhaust velocities. More importantly, the first stage should be highly reuseable with a quick turnaround. As for the second stage, well here's the obvious-but-clever bit. You have maybe 100 (or 10,000) second stages per first stage. I proposed this hehttp://www.theoildrum.com/node/7898a two stage to GEO using the Skylon as a first stage. The problem I don't know how to solve cleanly is getting the first stage back to the launch site. It's not too hard if the balance is skewed a bit towards maximum performance in the second stage - say the second stage is LOX/LH2 powered for example, and the first stage only does a bit more than going up and down. For a winged first stage, the use of jet engines can also be useful. No kidding. How many heavy winged objects with jet engines take off and land successfully every day? Taking a 747 or as an example, but it's not an aircraft, it's a spacecraft. TOW is 460tons. It takes off and climbs and flies west on air-breathing jet engines to 30,000 ft, then turns east, when it weighs 400 tons. It then burns 160 tons of LOX/kero in rocket engines, which takes it to 110 km altitude and 2,000 m's eastward horizontal. These are altitude-optimised rocket engines, of course. On the way up, after the burn, it deploys a 65 ton second stage with a LEO payload of 8-10 tons. It then falls out of space into the sky at about 500 km west of it's turnaround point, or about 350 km from it's takeoff point, and flies back to takeoff point. Mostly this is done using it's own kinetic energy, but if it needs a boost, needs to divert, or needs to go-around because the runway is closed, it has jet engines and fuel to do that sort of stuff. Assuming all goes well, it gets back to the runway 39 minutes after it took off. That gives 50 minutes for refuelling and loading another second stage in order to catch the next first-orbit rendezvous - assuming a near-equatorial launch and an 89 minute orbit for the on-orbit assembly station. Though the every-two-orbit 3-hour turnaround is probably better. Now let's talk kT-L/y, or kilotons to LEO per year. If we build 5 first stages, and two of them are working at any one time with three in maintenance, and they launch six times per day 300 days per year, and the payload is nine tons, then that's 30 kT-L/y - or thirty thousand tons per year to LEO. Could be done for about $7-9 billion total up to the end of the first 30,000 tons lifting. It would take maybe 4-5 years. No new technology involved, at least nothing radically new, just fitting rocket engines on an aircraft. Re-entry is slow, and a known-cheap problem. Mass-producing suitable second stage engines might be a little new. -- Peter Fairbrother Have you done a second by second spreadsheet including drag and gravity effects? I have a model one if you want it. Keith |
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