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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
In sci.physics Doc O'Leary wrote:
For your reference, records indicate that Fred J. McCall wrote: Have you ever looked at the fuselage of a GA aircraft? The real problem with a 'flying car' these days would getting them past the CAR regulations. The airplane side is easy. Thank you for continuing to support my point. I still argue that even in a *SF* universe, it is tough to make a case for a flying car. Even if you hand wave all the tech and regs and costs, very few worlds can be created where it makes sense to drive around in a vehicle that can fly. Perhaps for someone with a very limited world view. -- Jim Pennino |
#52
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
Doc O'Leary wrote:
For your reference, records indicate that Fred J. McCall wrote: Have you ever looked at the fuselage of a GA aircraft? The real problem with a 'flying car' these days would getting them past the CAR regulations. The airplane side is easy. Thank you for continuing to support my point. Thank you for continuing to be a raving dip****. You've convinced me you aren't worth wasting time on. -- "Ignorance is preferable to error, and he is less remote from the truth who believes nothing than he who believes what is wrong." -- Thomas Jefferson |
#53
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
In sci.physics Doc O'Leary wrote:
For your reference, records indicate that Fred J. McCall wrote: So your whole 'argument' amounts to a chicken/egg thing. You said there were no flying cars in the 'real world'. Now you want to move the goal posts. 3D televisions can be purchased at Best Buy, Amazon, and many other retailers. You can buy greeting cards with holograms. Have you been living in a cave? No, I’m saying that just because someone is *trying* to make a thing happen doesn’t mean it has happened, or will happen. The starting context for this is a space elevator, but it applies to many things *in the context of science fiction*. Another fine example is 3D TV or holograms. Yes, there are people trying to get there, but they don’t exist in *any* sense as their science fiction promise. You are being intellectually dishonest when you pretend there is no difference. Pointing to experimental aircraft is like pointing to cold fusion. They are a *fiction* in the real world. Your case is not made when you?re deliberately being intellectually dishonest like this. Do you know the FAA definition of 'experimental aircraft'? No. I know what I see on the road and in the air. I do not see *any* flying cars anywhere I look. The burden of evidence is on *you* to show they exist beyond some ill-conceived R&D efforts. Yep, living in a cave. It appears you also have not seen any 3D televisons or holograms even though such are fairly common these days. -- Jim Pennino |
#54
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
In sci.physics Doc O'Leary wrote:
For your reference, records indicate that Fred J. McCall wrote: Same as the case for GA aircraft. You need a car at both ends of the flight. Really? If that’s the *only* advantage you can think of, you’re really supporting my point. Cars are easy to rent, or skip all that these days and just use an app to get a ride. You’re going to need to make a *much* better case for it to make sense to put an expensive flying vehicle in the middle of dangerous road traffic. Apparently you do not understand that the entire world is not one big city with Uber at your fingertips. Try getting an Uber ride in Gthenburg, NE. So why not a single device? Because the gulf between that idea and the reality is too great. Different duties have different engineering requirements. Same reason a vehicle meant to travel the vacuum of space has different functional needs from one that is intended to launch from a planet or one that is intended to re-enter an atmosphere. Yet many people have been building working machines since the 1930's so the technology can't be that difficult. You probably resisted the idea of putting PDA functionality on cell phones, too. Wrong again. I was in the camp that *knew* putting a computer in your pocket meant that “phones” would stop being about phone calls. Just like a “flying car” in any sane universe would quickly make driving pointless, so it’d really just be about a newer kind of aircraft. Correct, it is more about the COST of a "newer" kind of aircraft that has been around for almost a century now. And that’s why I bring up self-driving cars in the context of trains. Because if flying cars made sense, they’d *first* make sense in the context of a plane or a car. Even if you never took it driving, it seems like there should be an obvious advantage of having a plane you can park at the airport in a facility no different from a regular parking spot. Yet somehow nobody can find a market? Lots of airplanes are parked in a facility no different from a regular parking spot. You continue to demonstrate you know absolutely nothing about aviation. A lot of people own a lot of things that make very little sense. I?m not asking about that segment of the population. I?m asking about the people who are more thoughtful about their behaviors. Can you make the case to *them* that flying cars are actually a good idea? Why do I need to? Make the case for a car, period, to someone who lives in the Amazon jungle. The fact that there is no such case doesn't mean cars are useless. They *are* uselesss in the middle of the Amazon jungle. But that’s a straw man; stick to the issue at hand. No, you don’t *have* to make the case for flying cars, but you *did* decide to chime in to do that. You haven’t been successful as of yet, so you can try harder, bail out of the conversation, or just admit that, yeah, flying cars really are just one of science fiction’s dumber ideas. Actually there is one flying car, a dune buggy actually, that is on the market and a portion of the target market is access to remote parts of the world such as jungle areas by people such as missionaries. http://www.flyskyrunner.com/ -- Jim Pennino |
#55
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
In sci.physics Doc O'Leary wrote:
For your reference, records indicate that wrote: Preflighting my airplane takes about 5 minutes. You didn’t drive your airplane around town for days/weeks/months, though. And what do you do if you find your car has taken some damage that made it unable/dangerous to fly? A realistic world building exercise isn’t going to yield useful results if you can’t think past how you do things currently. A preflight is a preflight. If the machine is damaged you call your insurance agent. There is no FAA paperwork unless you file a flight plan, and then that is automated. Sure, sure. The busywork is all ideally computerized. But the point is that such a setup isn’t some sort of imagined “I just drive right to the airport runway and off I go.” We’re a long way from anything *near* even that kind of SF fantasy. Only in your blindered view of the world. The ability to drive to the airport runway and off you go has been around for nearly a century now, whether you want to accept the reality or not. FYI, most personal flights do not require paperwork of any kind. There are a lot of people who do not own a car; so what? There are lots of people who do not own a motorcycle; so what? There are lots of people who do not own an airplane; so what? Those are all the opposite of the ownership issue being discussed. Your motives are now clear. I’m done with you. Only in you narrow world view. Just because something exists it does not mean everyone, or even a significant fraction of everyone, will want it. Your comment about motives is meaningless to me; I have no motives in regard to flying cars, airplanes, cars, sailboats, bicycles,or any other vehicle. -- Jim Pennino |
#56
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
On Sunday, August 28, 2016 at 6:53:43 AM UTC+12, Doc O'Leary wrote:
For your reference, records indicate that Fred J. McCall wrote: Have you ever looked at the fuselage of a GA aircraft? The real problem with a 'flying car' these days would getting them past the CAR regulations. The airplane side is easy. Thank you for continuing to support my point. I still argue that even in a *SF* universe, it is tough to make a case for a flying car. Even if you hand wave all the tech and regs and costs, very few worlds can be created where it makes sense to drive around in a vehicle that can fly. -- "Also . . . I can kill you with my brain." River Tam, Trash, Firefly You are delusional when you say its tough to make a case for flying cars. The Airbus E-fan already exists. http://www.airbusgroup.com/int/en/co...-aircraft.html The Ehang 184 already exists. http://www.ehang.com/ehang184 Advanced flight control systems already exist. https://www.ted.com/talks/raffaello_...rs?language=en Clearly flight on demand systems are here - not the future. Now, you can actually look at the engineering data from actual flying systems. From that analysis we can say with certainty, the Airbus E-fan uses 1/5th the energy per kilometer than a typical motorcar. The Ehang 184 uses 4/5th the energy per kilometer than a typical motorcar and is capable of point to point travel. Serious aerospace teams have melded the two together to give a point to point capability to an electric aircraft while reducing its energy cost per kilometre to 1/5th the energy of a typical motorcar - while maintaining higher speed. http://www.nasa.gov/topics/technolog...es/puffin.html http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...stealth-plane/ EXISTING models are quieter than a motorcar and produce no exhaust in operation as a motorcar does, use less energy per unit distance than a motorcar does, travels 7x faster than a motorcar does. There is absolutely no basis for your delusion. NONE. The Ehang 184 moves directly from point A to point B - requiring no ground based facilities at all. No roads. No airstrips. Count the costs of road construction and maintenance, and you see why most under developed countries will NEVER have large numbers of automobiles, but are easily serviced by a modest number of drones. Aircraft are not constrained to a 2D surface and so do not get involved in the same sort of overloaded situations common with terrestrial travel. So, they're safer than motorcars too! So please examine your crazy delusion and drop it. |
#57
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
Doc O'Leary schrieb:
Another fine example is 3D TV or holograms. Yes, there are people trying to get there, but they don’t exist in *any* sense as their science fiction promise. Holograms is actually one of the worst cases. It seems that very many SF authors simply do not understand the properties of real holograms at all. A hologram consists of an interference pattern. When directed light falls on that pattern, 3D objects can be seen. One point that SF authors or directors routinely miss is that you cannot see anything of the hologram if you are not looking at the interference pattern. A hologram cannot absorb, bend or refract light anywhere else (so the Doctor from Voyager is out). It is also not possible to have 3D projector that, simply by projecting light, can make something appear in thin air that can be viewed at an angle from the projector. So, forget about R2D2 pojecting the picture of Princess Leia. |
#58
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
On Monday, August 29, 2016 at 5:32:24 AM UTC+12, Thomas Koenig wrote:
Doc O'Leary schrieb: Another fine example is 3D TV or holograms. Yes, there are people trying to get there, but they don’t exist in *any* sense as their science fiction promise. Holograms is actually one of the worst cases. It seems that very many SF authors simply do not understand the properties of real holograms at all. A hologram consists of an interference pattern. When directed light falls on that pattern, 3D objects can be seen. One point that SF authors or directors routinely miss is that you cannot see anything of the hologram if you are not looking at the interference pattern. A hologram cannot absorb, bend or refract light anywhere else (so the Doctor from Voyager is out). It is also not possible to have 3D projector that, simply by projecting light, can make something appear in thin air that can be viewed at an angle from the projector. So, forget about R2D2 pojecting the picture of Princess Leia. Even with these limitations, a lot can be accomplished... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PjP4SvHjkdo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qyxyy10YoNM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5CqUYBopWLs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D0f7-FhT8B0 |
#59
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Paper published on producing arbitrarily long nanotubes.
On Saturday, August 27, 2016 at 8:42:00 PM UTC+12, Thomas Koenig wrote:
Robert Clark schrieb: From Nanoscale to Macroscale: Applications of Nanotechnology to Production of Bulk Ultra-Strong Materials. I've been involved in CNT application development a little bit myself. Let's just say it is _very_ difficult to get from theoretical properties to practical performance. That's not what's reported here; https://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/pdfs...mao_2012_p.pdf And with the techniques reported here; http://www.aerospaceamerica.org/Docu..._AANov2013.pdf It seems near-term development to consider that a 2.5% to 3.5% structure fraction is possible of Zero Boil Off LH2 and LOX tanks (and even lower fractions for LOX/LNG tanks!) that operate at 3,000 psi (204 bar) and above! This means that very low mass high performance systems are possible. High pressure lightweight tanks, when combined with arrays of microscopic bipropellant pressure fed rockets, with a 2,000 psi combustion chamber pressure and a 150 psi nozzle exit pressure produced at less than $15 per square inch (10 pounds force (4.5 kgf) per dollar!) with a 1,000 to 1 thrust to weight! http://cap.ee.ic.ac.uk/~pdm97/powerm...53_Epstein.pdf http://www.las.inpe.br/~jrsenna/Aero...av2997p1-7.pdf http://www.esa.int/gsp/ACT/doc/ARI/A...outhampton.pdf http://thirdworld.nl/a-high-pressure...-rocket-engine Vendors for tanks; http://smad.com And engines (made of refractory metals); http://www.microfabrica.com have quoted quite reasonable performance costs going forward. Other vendors, have quoted industrial scale hydrogen and oxygen production for producing fuel on demand; https://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/pdfs/46676.pdf 500 kg per astronaut, and 8 astronauts (with 4 crew members) twelve in all, total 6,000 kg of payload to the surface of the moon, with sufficient propellant to return directly to Earth after four days. To project this payload to the moon directly requires a delta vee from Earth's surface of 12 km/sec. With eight elements - of 13,500 kg each we have; Structu 472.5 kg Propellant: 13,027.5 kg Hydrogen: 2,004.2 Oxygen: 11,023.3 In more detail; Each of the eight elements are; 13,500.0 kg - element total 472.5 kg - structure 13,027.5 kg - propellant 2,004.2 kg - LH2 11,023.3 kg - LOX Payload is; 6,000.0 kg - payload Carrying a dozen people (8 passengers and 4 crew) At take off; 114,000.0 kg take off weight 52,110.0 kg propellant S1 0.45711 u - S1 2.57 km/sec dV - S1 2.57 km/sec total dV - S1 This burns through four of the eight tanks, and drops them off downrange. They re-enter the atmosphere and slow to subsonic speed. They deploy inflatable wings and control surfaces, and are recovered by aircraft loitering downrange. A tow line is dropped from the nose of each element, and a tow plane snags it, and drags the element, now glider, back to the launch center.. The engine re-ignites, and each element executes a nose up maneuver and lands on its tail, similar to the way tail sitter operated in the 1950s. Meanwhile four other elements continue skyward, burning propellant from two outboard tanks pushing two inline tanks and the payload to higher speeds 60,000.0 kg - total S2 26,055.0 kg - propellant S2 0.43425 u - S2 2.56 km/sec dV - S2 5.13 km/sec total dV - S2 Those two elements drop off when empty, and the two inline tanks and payload continue to accelerate, burning the propellant in the seventh element at the base of the eighth element. The two spent elements are recovered even further down-range from the first four - using aircraft loitering at that location. 33,000.0 kg - total S3 13,027.5 kg - propellant S3 0.39477 u - S3 2.26 km/sec dV - S3 7.39 km/sec total dV - S3 The seventh element, separates from the eight element atop it, and skips around the world, gliding back to the launch center for recovery by vertical landing. The eighth element pushes itself and the payload to the moon, along a Free Return trajectory and is recovered 7 days after launch. The payload lands directly on the lunar surface, and returns to Earth, landing at the launch centre 11 days after launch. 19,500.0 kg total S4 13,027.5 kg - propellant S4 0.66808 u - S4 4.96 km/sec dV - S4 12.35 km/sec total dV - S4 The 6,000 kg payload consists of a single stage that slows to zero speed at the lunar surface by imparting 2.3 km/sec to the direct ascent stage. It then fires again imparting another 2.3 km/sec to the stage, returning it to Earth along a minimum energy trajectory in 3.5 days, after spending 4 days on the lunar surface. 3,841.3 kg - propellant 3,250.3 kg - LOX 591.0 kg - LH2 134.4 kg - structure 2,024.3 kg - payload (168.7 kg (371.1 lbs) per astronaut) There are nine systems, that cost $5 million each. A total of $45 million. The launch and support infrastructure costs another $55 million. Spares and test articles, along with the development programme, $25 million. This permits the conversion of 149,621.4 litres of water into 16,624.6 kg of LH2 and 132,997.8 kg of LOX. Of this total 91,435.3 kg is placed in zero boil off high pressure containers, and 41,561.5 kg is sold for $0.15 per kg. The cost of the hydrogen is $16,624.60 and the earnings from the LOX sales is $6,234.22 so the net propellant cost is $10,390.38 to fill up the ship.. With a six year life span, and 300 uses the $125 million capital cost for the entire system is $523,938.94 per flight when discounted at 8.5% per annum over six years- with 52 flights per year. A total cost of $534,329.32 per launch. This is $66,791.16 per passenger per launch. Adding $10,000 per flight for the crew per passenger, this is $20,000 per crew member per flight, payday. Far more than NASA paid Neil to go to the moon. NASA suits currently cost $12 million each and $2 million each time they're flown. The Orlan MK suit costs $3 million new, and only $400,000 each time they're flown. MIT's biosuit approach promises to reduce costs to $100,000 and cost per use to $10,000. http://news.mit.edu/2014/second-skin-spacesuits-0918 It seems reasonable that $25 million can be earned as profits for each lunar traveller. That's $200 million per launch. Since the launcher described above can place 12,500 kg (27,500 lbs) into GTO, and since United Launch Alliance Atlas V 541 costs US$ 27,063 per kg to GTO - this is a reasonable alternative use of the vehicle. At $200 million per launch, and with 12,500 kg into GTO - this is a considerable savings over the Atlas V 541. 92 space launches per year currently; http://spaceflightnow.com/2015/01/04...n-two-decades/ Capturing 52 commercial launches at $200 million profit, and 52 lunar launches (using the safety reliability, and high profile nature of manned lunar flight to sell launch services) - provides 104 launches times $0.2 billion - $20.8 billion per year. Which is more than NASA's 2016 budget of $19.3 billion per year. Not a bad return for a $125 million investment! The first thing we do with the revenue is we place 722 satellites of 900 kg each using 61 launches, over the course of a year to create a global wireless hotspot! Each satellite has an inflatable phased array radio telescope antenna pointed to earth, and an inflatable solar concentrator providing 50 kW of power, in combination with half a dozen open optical laser communicators, that provide 250 Terabit/sec communications backbone, and a petabyte of data storage - along with an 8k image of Earth life - all while providing a world wide unregulated V-band discoverable as NFC device on every handset, laptop, tablet computer on the planet - providing 70 MBit/sec uplink/downlink - and instant global connectivity of everyone everywhere. This system that costs less than $1.4 billion allows capture of $1.4 trillion per year from 6 billion wireless users world wide. The next thing we do with this revenue is create a solar power satellite. 275 MW system is appropriate for this launcher. This is a 605 meter diameter thin film electrostatically stabilised concentrator that intercepts 393 MW of solar energy at GEO. Humanity uses 22,668 TWh of electricity world wide per year and pays $2,493..48 billion per year for it. Each 275 MW satellite generates 2.41 TWh per year. That's 9,406 launches. At $10,000 per kg each satellite costs $125 million. With a 30 year life span at 8.5% discount rate it costs $11.63 million per year to produce 2.41 billion kWh. The cost is 48/100th cent per kWh. At $0.11 per kWh, the earnings are $265.17 million per year! A quarter billion per satellite. Well worth the launch! One launch every 8 hours means that 9 years is required to make all the launches. Populating GEO with 9,406 satellites means that each 605 meter diameter satellite is separated from its neighbours by 28.17 km centre to centre. The laser emitter is 10 meters in diameter and operating at 1,100 nm can focus on to a 4.4 m diameter spot on the Earth's surface using active holographic techniques using conjugate optics. Telecom income: $1.4 trillion/year Electricity sales: $2.5 trillion/year Total sales: $3.6 trillion/year This is 180x the expenditure of NASA - nearly the entire expenditure of the USG! It is sufficient to support a sovereign style debt in a collateralised central style bank! At current discount rates for sovereign debt, $3.6 trillion per year supports $100 trillion in sustainable debt. Used as 'hot money' in a fractional reserve system - at the same leverage as the US Federal Reserve - this supports $8 quadrillion in additional borrowings. In short, we can match the US dollar leveraged against OPEC sales. So, this is of special interest, if we wish to invest in off-world infrastructure, for example, the production of photonic thrusters, interplanetary power networks, and hyperloops. |
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