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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Derek Lyons" wrote in message ... Pat Flannery wrote: Jeff Findley wrote: There have been some fairly serious problems with Soyuz. Specifically the pyro problem with the separation mechanism between the service module and descent module. But the Russians are perfectly willing to continue flying in the face of such near disasters. I think the Russians are sort of using the concept of "Any landing you can walk away from is a good landing." Well, regardless of the standard the Russians use there is still an objective standard. That's what makes Soyuz so problematic to discuss in relation to safety. When it does screw up, the crew seems to get out with only mild injuries; on the other hand, it screws up _a lot_. The question is why is are such ongoing problems tolerated? Not just by the Russians, but in the double standards of the observers and commentators. It's just accepted as the way the Russians operate. They're not Americans and they don't operate like Americans. The Russians are more than willing not only to take risks, but I think they're more willing to acknowledge that there *are* risks that can't easily be quantified. As an example, how many here believe that the safety numbers being promoted for Ares I/Orion have any basis in reality? Based on historical data of similar launch vehicles and spacecraft, I simply don't believe NASA's predictions. I think Ares I/Orion will be lucky if they duplicate the shuttle's safety numbers. Less hardware will be reused on Ares I/Orion than on shuttle, giving the program more opportunities for "infant mortality" types of problems with the expendable hardware and more opportunities for unseen near failures in the hardware won't be recovered or inspected after every flight. Jeff -- "Take heart amid the deepening gloom that your dog is finally getting enough cheese" - Deteriorata - National Lampoon .. |
#2
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
Jeff Findley wrote:
As an example, how many here believe that the safety numbers being promoted for Ares I/Orion have any basis in reality? I do, but then I also believe that Ed White's glove is still in orbit. I'm waiting for the launch of Ares-1X, currently scheduled to occur on Halloween; the thing is fully stacked now, and I assume they are waiting till the administration has a look at the Augustine Commission's final report before they actually attempt to launch it. If some of the speculation that Air Force Range Safety has made about it...that it could shake so much that it would disable its own self destruct system while going out of control during ascent...is correct, this could be one spectacular launch, with the thing ending up who-knows-where. Let's just say if I were a alligator near KSC, I'd be wearing a Nomex suit and steel helmet for my Halloween costume. Pat |
#3
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Jeff Findley" wrote:
"Derek Lyons" wrote in message ... Pat Flannery wrote: Jeff Findley wrote: There have been some fairly serious problems with Soyuz. Specifically the pyro problem with the separation mechanism between the service module and descent module. But the Russians are perfectly willing to continue flying in the face of such near disasters. I think the Russians are sort of using the concept of "Any landing you can walk away from is a good landing." Well, regardless of the standard the Russians use there is still an objective standard. That's what makes Soyuz so problematic to discuss in relation to safety. When it does screw up, the crew seems to get out with only mild injuries; on the other hand, it screws up _a lot_. The question is why is are such ongoing problems tolerated? Not just by the Russians, but in the double standards of the observers and commentators. It's just accepted as the way the Russians operate. They're not Americans and they don't operate like Americans. Which fails to explain why non American fanboys also love Soyuz and hate Shuttle, and why American fanboys (who quite often decry NASA's and the public's aversion to risk) love Soyuz and hate Shuttle. As an example, how many here believe that the safety numbers being promoted for Ares I/Orion have any basis in reality? Nice handwaving to divert attention. Didn't work. D. -- Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh. http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/ -Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings. Oct 5th, 2004 JDL |
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
Derek Lyons wrote:
Which fails to explain why non American fanboys also love Soyuz and hate Shuttle, and why American fanboys (who quite often decry NASA's and the public's aversion to risk) love Soyuz and hate Shuttle. I'll say one thing for both Soyuz and Progress - they launch on the day they are planned to launch on a hell of a lot more often than the Shuttle ever has, with today's scrub being another good example of that. It's not a all-weather spacecraft, it's a fair-weather spacecraft at best... and given any sort of requirement for getting something into LEO reliably on a fixed schedule, it's pretty much pointless to rely on the Shuttle to get it there. Pat |
#5
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Pat Flannery" wrote in message ... Derek Lyons wrote: Which fails to explain why non American fanboys also love Soyuz and hate Shuttle, and why American fanboys (who quite often decry NASA's and the public's aversion to risk) love Soyuz and hate Shuttle. I'll say one thing for both Soyuz and Progress - they launch on the day they are planned to launch on a hell of a lot more often than the Shuttle ever has, with today's scrub being another good example of that. It's not a all-weather spacecraft, it's a fair-weather spacecraft at best... and given any sort of requirement for getting something into LEO reliably on a fixed schedule, it's pretty much pointless to rely on the Shuttle to get it there. Oh no, that's Soyuz launcher fanboy talk Pat! Just because the Russians launch on time doesn't make it better than the shuttle. Clearly you're biased. ;-) The last Soyuz spacecraft launched and the last shuttle launched both make it to ISS, so that's something. Jeff -- "Take heart amid the deepening gloom that your dog is finally getting enough cheese" - Deteriorata - National Lampoon .. |
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
Jeff Findley wrote:
The last Soyuz spacecraft launched and the last shuttle launched both make it to ISS, so that's something. This is supposed to be the last Shuttle flight that will be carrying crew up to the ISS BTW. Pat |
#7
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Jeff Findley" wrote:
"Pat Flannery" wrote in message ... Derek Lyons wrote: Which fails to explain why non American fanboys also love Soyuz and hate Shuttle, and why American fanboys (who quite often decry NASA's and the public's aversion to risk) love Soyuz and hate Shuttle. I'll say one thing for both Soyuz and Progress - they launch on the day they are planned to launch on a hell of a lot more often than the Shuttle ever has, with today's scrub being another good example of that. It's not a all-weather spacecraft, it's a fair-weather spacecraft at best... and given any sort of requirement for getting something into LEO reliably on a fixed schedule, it's pretty much pointless to rely on the Shuttle to get it there. Oh no, that's Soyuz launcher fanboy talk Pat! Just because the Russians launch on time doesn't make it better than the shuttle. Clearly you're biased. ;-) Since there appears to be no requirement to launch or arrive on a rigid schedule... D. -- Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh. http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/ -Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings. Oct 5th, 2004 JDL |
#8
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Jeff Findley" wrote in message
... "Pat Flannery" wrote in message ... Derek Lyons wrote: Which fails to explain why non American fanboys also love Soyuz and hate Shuttle, and why American fanboys (who quite often decry NASA's and the public's aversion to risk) love Soyuz and hate Shuttle. I'll say one thing for both Soyuz and Progress - they launch on the day they are planned to launch on a hell of a lot more often than the Shuttle ever has, with today's scrub being another good example of that. It's not a all-weather spacecraft, it's a fair-weather spacecraft at best... and given any sort of requirement for getting something into LEO reliably on a fixed schedule, it's pretty much pointless to rely on the Shuttle to get it there. Oh no, that's Soyuz launcher fanboy talk Pat! Just because the Russians launch on time doesn't make it better than the shuttle. Clearly you're biased. ;-) The last Soyuz spacecraft launched and the last shuttle launched both make it to ISS, so that's something. On the other hand, I'll take my odds of landing in the right place over on-time launch. :-) Jeff -- "Take heart amid the deepening gloom that your dog is finally getting enough cheese" - Deteriorata - National Lampoon . -- Greg Moore Ask me about lily, an RPI based CMC. |
#9
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Derek Lyons" wrote in message ... "Jeff Findley" wrote: Oh no, that's Soyuz launcher fanboy talk Pat! Just because the Russians launch on time doesn't make it better than the shuttle. Clearly you're biased. ;-) Since there appears to be no requirement to launch or arrive on a rigid schedule... Only if you want good microgravity science experiments coming out of ISS, which apparently isn't a priority to anyone but the scientists who own those experiments. Jeff -- "Take heart amid the deepening gloom that your dog is finally getting enough cheese" - Deteriorata - National Lampoon .. |
#10
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Orbiting fuel depot concept
"Greg D. Moore (Strider)" wrote in message m... "Jeff Findley" wrote in message ... "Pat Flannery" wrote in message ... Derek Lyons wrote: Which fails to explain why non American fanboys also love Soyuz and hate Shuttle, and why American fanboys (who quite often decry NASA's and the public's aversion to risk) love Soyuz and hate Shuttle. I'll say one thing for both Soyuz and Progress - they launch on the day they are planned to launch on a hell of a lot more often than the Shuttle ever has, with today's scrub being another good example of that. It's not a all-weather spacecraft, it's a fair-weather spacecraft at best... and given any sort of requirement for getting something into LEO reliably on a fixed schedule, it's pretty much pointless to rely on the Shuttle to get it there. Oh no, that's Soyuz launcher fanboy talk Pat! Just because the Russians launch on time doesn't make it better than the shuttle. Clearly you're biased. ;-) The last Soyuz spacecraft launched and the last shuttle launched both make it to ISS, so that's something. On the other hand, I'll take my odds of landing in the right place over on-time launch. :-) I'll give you that rather than try to claim it doesn't matter like Derek did by claiming that launch schedules (and therefore docking schedules for ISS) don't matter. I'm not trying to claim Soyuz is superior, just different. Jeff -- "Take heart amid the deepening gloom that your dog is finally getting enough cheese" - Deteriorata - National Lampoon .. |
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