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...Northern Forests being decimated by Global Warming
Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996." http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impac...ming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate." http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impac...ming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o l a t e. So what does our future hold? "The trees held up Their mangled limbs Like animals in pain, When Nature falls Upon herself, Beware an Austrian!" s |
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...Northern Forests being decimated by Global Warming
Impacts of global warming in Alaska
"Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's a waste of time discussing nonlinearity with deniers. It's way over their empty heads. Deniers think a trillion wasted picking winners and losers with Iraq is OK while half a billion wasted on picking winners and losers with Solandra is not OK. The reasaon is deniers think a trillion is less than a million. Bret Cahill |
#3
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...Northern Forests being decimated by Global Warming
On 4/1/2012 11:20 PM, Bret Cahill wrote:
Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's a waste of time discussing nonlinearity with deniers. It's way over their empty heads. Deniers think a trillion wasted picking winners and losers with Iraq is OK while half a billion wasted on picking winners and losers with Solandra is not OK. The reasaon is deniers think a trillion is less than a million. When you don't have neither and you are borrowing them both it really doesn't matter does it? -- *He has the most who is most content with the least* -Diogenes- |
#4
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...Northern Forests being decimated by Global Warming
In article
, Bret Cahill wrote: Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's a waste of time discussing nonlinearity with deniers. It's way over their empty heads. Deniers think a trillion wasted picking winners and losers with Iraq is OK while half a billion wasted on picking winners and losers with Solandra is not OK. The reasaon is deniers think a trillion is less than a million. Bret Cahill Try Voluntary Extinction. fewer humans - better Earth's ecology http://www.vhemt.org/aboutvhemt.htm#vhemt -- Karma, What a concept! |
#5
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...Northern Forests being decimated by Global Warming
On Apr 1, 7:33*pm, "Jonathan" wrote:
Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, *all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o *l a t e. So what does our future hold? * * "The trees held up * * *Their mangled limbs * * *Like animals in pain, * * *When Nature falls * * *Upon herself, * * *Beware an Austrian!" s More bull****. No proof that 1) forests have died off, and 2) no proof that any die-off has anything to do with global warming and 3) no proof that any warming is due to trace amounts of man made CO2. 0 for 3. |
#6
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forest coverage in the United States has increased by 28 percent
On Apr 2, 2:33*am, "Jonathan" wrote:
Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, *all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o *l a t e. So what does our future hold? * * "The trees held up * * *Their mangled limbs * * *Like animals in pain, * * *When Nature falls * * *Upon herself, * * *Beware an Austrian!" s FAIL! http://www.fs.fed.us/news/2012/relea...t-growth.shtml |
#7
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forest coverage in the United States has increased by 28 percent
On Apr 3, 12:56*am, matt_sykes wrote:
On Apr 2, 2:33*am, "Jonathan" wrote: Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, *all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o *l a t e. So what does our future hold? * * "The trees held up * * *Their mangled limbs * * *Like animals in pain, * * *When Nature falls * * *Upon herself, * * *Beware an Austrian!" s FAIL!http://www.fs.fed.us/news/2012/relea...t-growth.shtml Fast growth and especially broad-leaf trees really don't count the same. Older forest trees of 100+ year growth are worth counting and protecting (expanding). 70+ years of badly infected forests and acidic damaged growth are major factors. http://groups.google.com/groups/search http://translate.google.com/# Brad Guth, Brad_Guth, Brad.Guth, BradGuth, BG / “Guth Usenet” |
#8
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forest coverage in the United States has increased by 28 percent
On Apr 4, 7:15*am, Brad Guth wrote:
On Apr 3, 12:56*am, matt_sykes wrote: On Apr 2, 2:33*am, "Jonathan" wrote: Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, *all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o *l a t e. So what does our future hold? * * "The trees held up * * *Their mangled limbs * * *Like animals in pain, * * *When Nature falls * * *Upon herself, * * *Beware an Austrian!" s FAIL!http://www.fs.fed.us/news/2012/relea...t-growth.shtml Fast growth and especially broad-leaf trees really don't count the same. Older forest trees of 100+ year growth are worth counting and protecting (expanding). 70+ years of badly infected forests and acidic damaged growth are major factors. *http://groups.google.com/groups/search *http://translate.google.com/# *Brad Guth, Brad_Guth, Brad.Guth, BradGuth, BG / “Guth Usenet” True, but irrelevant. For whatever reason forests are doing well in the US, in fact aided somewhat by CO2. |
#9
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forest coverage in the United States has increased by 28 percent
On Apr 4, 1:23*am, bill jackson wrote:
On Apr 4, 7:15*am, Brad Guth wrote: On Apr 3, 12:56*am, matt_sykes wrote: On Apr 2, 2:33*am, "Jonathan" wrote: Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, *all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o *l a t e. So what does our future hold? * * "The trees held up * * *Their mangled limbs * * *Like animals in pain, * * *When Nature falls * * *Upon herself, * * *Beware an Austrian!" s FAIL!http://www.fs.fed.us/news/2012/relea...t-growth.shtml Fast growth and especially broad-leaf trees really don't count the same. Older forest trees of 100+ year growth are worth counting and protecting (expanding). 70+ years of badly infected forests and acidic damaged growth are major factors. *http://groups.google.com/groups/search *http://translate.google.com/# *Brad Guth, Brad_Guth, Brad.Guth, BradGuth, BG / “Guth Usenet” True, but irrelevant. *For whatever reason forests are doing well in the US, in fact aided somewhat by CO2. CO2 benefits the fast growing plants, whereas the more acidic rain suppresses and even kills the slower growth trees that we value the most. Warmer climate also benefits tree parasites that'll destroy entire areas of high value trees that'll get replaced by those fast growing plants that some of us call invasive weeds and/or producing low value trees (less than wood-chip or even pulp value) that'll make for better forest fire fuel. Nowadays a faster growth tree and its softer wood from a fifty year old tree farm is considered old-growth. With that crappy type of wood you can't hardly sink a nail into it without the board splitting, because it doesn't have half the fiber binding density or the natural binders of truly old growth trees from the 50s and before. Put a new 2x4 on the ground, and by the same time next year it's wasted, as well as totally bent out of shape, so that you couldn't use it eve if you had to. Forth or fifth growth lumber that's from a 25 or 30 year forest is absolute crap, but in a forest fire it burns really good, just like the homes built from it get to burn to ground within minutes or easily get blown apart by a storm because those nail-gun staples used have nothing of any substance to sink into or grab onto. What a pathetic joke. http://groups.google.com/groups/search http://translate.google.com/# Brad Guth, Brad_Guth, Brad.Guth, BradGuth, BG / “Guth Usenet” .. |
#10
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forest coverage in the United States has increased by 28 percent
On Apr 5, 5:58*am, Brad Guth wrote:
On Apr 4, 1:23*am, bill jackson wrote: On Apr 4, 7:15*am, Brad Guth wrote: On Apr 3, 12:56*am, matt_sykes wrote: On Apr 2, 2:33*am, "Jonathan" wrote: Impacts of global warming in Alaska "Cumulatively, during these two years, over 25% of the forests in the northeast sector of Alaska perished" "...wetlands in studied areas in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge have decreased by 88% from 1950 to 1996."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska It's easy for most people to dismiss a seemingly small increase in temperatures as insignificant. But those assumptions are because people still see the world in 'linear' ways. Two events merely add to each other, a ball hit twice as hard goes twice as far, and so on. But that's ...not how nature works. Nonlinear Science - Chaos Tamed "This phenomena is known as sensitivity to initial conditions, or the Butterfly Effect. It arises because the errors that accumulate from each collision do not simply add (as linear analyses assume), but increase exponentially and this geometric progression rapidly diverges any initial state to one that is unpredictably far from the estimate."http://www.eoearth.org/article/Impacts_of_global_warming_in_Alaska A minor change in one system can create exponential rates of change in related systems. For instance, imagine if we were able to change the amount of sunlight hitting the Earth. It might seem 'natural' to assume a tiny change would have a proportional effect. But since almost ...every ecosystem on Earth is highly dependent upon that 'global' variable, *all systems are effected at the ...same time. A minor change in such a highly parallel or global variable acts like a...shock-wave. At first only a few sensitive or minor systems go belly-up, but they soon spread to closely related and then larger systems until even the most stable systems can no longer survive. Little can stand to exponential rates of change. This cascading or exaggerated effect of non-linear behavior is best seen in places like Alaska, where minor changes in the mid-latitudes create highly exaggerated effects in the north. Massive ice-melts, loss of northern forests and warming tundra will be amplified by reduced carbon sinks, huge methane releases and rising oceans. A minor change down here spreads north, then later comes back to us amplified ten fold. The argument has gone from is it warming? To what's the ..cause of the warming? Once a pattern in nature becomes clear, it's t o o *l a t e. So what does our future hold? * * "The trees held up * * *Their mangled limbs * * *Like animals in pain, * * *When Nature falls * * *Upon herself, * * *Beware an Austrian!" s FAIL!http://www.fs.fed.us/news/2012/relea...t-growth.shtml Fast growth and especially broad-leaf trees really don't count the same. Older forest trees of 100+ year growth are worth counting and protecting (expanding). 70+ years of badly infected forests and acidic damaged growth are major factors. *http://groups.google.com/groups/search *http://translate.google.com/# *Brad Guth, Brad_Guth, Brad.Guth, BradGuth, BG / “Guth Usenet” True, but irrelevant. *For whatever reason forests are doing well in the US, in fact aided somewhat by CO2. CO2 benefits the fast growing plants, whereas the more acidic rain suppresses and even kills the slower growth trees that we value the most. *Warmer climate also benefits tree parasites that'll destroy entire areas of high value trees that'll get replaced by those fast growing plants that some of us call invasive weeds and/or producing low value trees (less than wood-chip or even pulp value) that'll make for better forest fire fuel. Nowadays a faster growth tree and its softer wood from a fifty year old tree farm is considered old-growth. *With that crappy type of wood you can't hardly sink a nail into it without the board splitting, because it doesn't have half the fiber binding density or the natural binders of truly old growth trees from the 50s and before. *Put a new 2x4 on the ground, and by the same time next year it's wasted, as well as totally bent out of shape, so that you couldn't use it eve if you had to. Forth or fifth growth lumber that's from a 25 or 30 year forest is absolute crap, but in a forest fire it burns really good, just like the homes built from it get to burn to ground within minutes or easily get blown apart by a storm because those nail-gun staples used have nothing of any substance to sink into or grab onto. *What a pathetic joke. *http://groups.google.com/groups/search *http://translate.google.com/# *Brad Guth, Brad_Guth, Brad.Guth, BradGuth, BG / “Guth Usenet” . And no doubt you will mention violins made during the LIA form close grained, slow growing wood are better... Fact is it is warmer. fact is forest growth is up. Get used to it, regardless of te type of wood produced. |
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