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As the man said, if someone says something is IMPOSSIBLE they are most
likely wrong. I recalled Einstein's comment in the middle of a project that was looking into predicting earthquakes. These are the kinds of interesting number-crunching exercises you get into in the exciting world of Data Science. ![]() On yet ANOTHER project I tinkered up a simple s/w that runs a series of statistical tests to decide whether some dataset exists that "looks like" a given target. The s/w is complex and somewhat AI (aka "unpredictable" aka "unreliable") so I won't go into that. But the summary is you can take a dataset like the average depth of mag 4+ earthquakes month by month since 2015 (say) and find out which other data seems to predict that. You could have knocked me down with a feather when 2 things showed up. (a) cosmic rays (b) planetary positions It seems unambiguous that the strength of cosmic rays seems to affect the depth of earthquakes. The strongest relationship the s/w found was the more radiation at IRK3 (a cosmic ray telescope at Irkutsk) the more shallow major quakes around the world. Usually the average depth of major quakes in a month is at ~75 km. But if radiation at IRK3 is around 6k events/min higher then the depth approximately halves. A big effect, one would think. Almost every cosmic ray telescope in the network I used (based in Moscow) showed a similar effect. The more radiation the shallower the average major quake activity in a given month. As some of you may know cosmic rays are not usually detected directly, but via secondary radiation that streams down from the upper atm as "real" cosmic particles slam into gas molecules. So there may be some quibble as to if we're really seeing something related to cosmic rays or from some other effect in the upper atm. Either way it's "unusual". As to the second effect -- planetary positions. Also a bit of a surprise. The RA and Dec of outer planets seems to highly correlate with quake depth. How can this be? The obvious like -- it's the same thing. I.e. the position of some planets modifies the solar radiation/megnetic/wind fields in such a way that cosmic rays as detected on earth are affected. So -- as I said -- you could have knocked me over with a feather when I realized all that talk from my mother that the planets rule the fate of men and she was a white witch and all that ... it was all true! ![]() It seems there is then something ever so slightly to astrology. The positions of the planets seem to affect cosmic rays and cosmic rays seem to influence at least earthquakes. Other output from the AI also showed planetary positions affect weather and even climate as well. 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