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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
In article ,
Dr. O dr.o@xxxxx wrote: Let's assume Bush announces a bold new moon-Mars exploration program today. What do you guys reckon are the chances of this endeavor surviving if a Democrat becomes the new President? My guess would be that the likeliest outcome is similar to what happened to SDI under Clinton: it wasn't canceled, exactly, but it was renamed, its finances were severely cut back, and any actual schedule for doing anything was pushed off into the indefinite future. -- MOST launched 30 June; science observations running | Henry Spencer since Oct; first surprises seen; papers pending. | |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
"Dr. O" dr.o@xxxxx wrote in message ... I think there's only a small chance of the program surviving if a Democrat becomes the elected new President. What do you guys think? If a Democrat is elected in 2004, probably 10%. If a Democrat is elected in 2008, probably 90%. Bruce |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
On Wed, 14 Jan 2004 14:37:52 GMT, John Schutkeker
wrote: (Christopher) wrote in : it all depends on the finances for the mission, and if it's been ring fenced. Ring fenced? A British political saying meaning the money is set aside for something and can't be touched except for that purpose. |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
"Dr. O" dr.o@xxxxx wrote:
Let's assume Bush announces a bold new moon-Mars exploration program today. Well, is it really bold, or a somewhat sensible looking plan to keep the space industry ticking over once the space station is finished? As announced, it looks pretty reasonable, but I'm not american and don't understand american politics, so anything could happen. Byeeeee. -- Gadzooks - here comes the Harbourmaster! http://www.geocities.com/brettocallaghan - Newsgroup Stats for Agent |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
Bruce Sterling Woodcock wrote: "Dr. O" dr.o@xxxxx wrote in message . .. I think there's only a small chance of the program surviving if a Democrat becomes the elected new President. What do you guys think? If a Democrat is elected in 2004, probably 10%. If a Democrat is elected in 2008, probably 90%. Bruce So if a Democrat is elected both in 2004 and 2008 we get a total of 100% chance the program to survive :-) Alain Fournier |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
Dr. O dr.o@xxxxx wrote:
Let's assume Bush announces a bold new moon-Mars exploration program today. What do you guys reckon are the chances of this endeavor surviving if a Democrat becomes the new President? If a Democrat wins this year, I think that there is a 50% chance of getting to the moon faster and 50% chance of getting there slower. The plan would be changed enough to look like the new President's plan. The vehicle would very definitely not be called crew exploration vehicle (CEW). I can't see a President saying that we won't go to the moon. |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
In article ,
"Mike Rhino" wrote: If a Democrat wins this year, I think that there is a 50% chance of getting to the moon faster and 50% chance of getting there slower. The plan would be changed enough to look like the new President's plan. The vehicle would very definitely not be called crew exploration vehicle (CEW). I can't see a President saying that we won't go to the moon. I think I agree. I've been searching for information on Dean's take on the subject. Of course all I can find are statements made before Bush's announcement. But they seem reasonably positive; he says he's a strong supporter of space, and while he makes some words about balancing the budget and fiscal responsibility, he could hardly argue that the proposed plan is going to be a problem in that regard. (He also talks about alternative energy sources, which provides some slim hope that he would increase funding for SSP.) My prediction is that within a few months, the public is going to become excited about returning to the Moon -- at least, more excited than they've been about anything in space in the last three decades -- and that it would be political suicide for any President to interfere with that. ,------------------------------------------------------------------. | Joseph J. Strout Check out the Mac Web Directory: | | http://www.macwebdir.com | `------------------------------------------------------------------' |
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Chances of Bush moon-Mars program surviving
On Wed, 14 Jan 2004 09:12:35 +0100, "Dr. O" dr.o@xxxxx wrote:
.... What do you guys reckon are the chances of this endeavor surviving if a Democrat becomes the new President? ..... I think there's only a small chance of the program surviving if a Democrat becomes the elected new President. What do you guys think? Well, on the one hand Clinton killed SEI (Bush Sr.'s Moon/Mars proposal) when he came into office, but he kept the Shuttle and the Station, as well as things like Galileo and Cassini that had been in the works. I'd say the odds are not good that a Dem would keep whatever Bush starts, but it depends on the Democrat and what they're proposing. Word is Bush had Cheynne pow-wowing with members of Congress long before the announcement, to see what kind of support they could count on. That might make the difference if Bush is voted out. |
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