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#81
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Heard too much and need to vent.
"Rand Simberg" wrote in message ... On Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:33:21 GMT, in a place far, far away, "Dave O'Neill" dave @ NOSPAM atomicrazor . com made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that: Sometimes wasting money can be very useful. It's never as useful as spending it productively. That can be harder to establish than it seems. One problem is that there is obviously something of a question mark about what "productively" means. Increases the GDP by whatever yardstick one is using. In that case a localised "waste" of money can certainly achieve that. Money is rarely really "wasted" Are you sure Bush is a Republican? Yes, but he's no conservative... People here say the same about Blair's socialism. Although that might yet bite him in the arse. I'm still taking odds on him not surviving the summer ;-) I wouldn't necessarily take that bet. Statesmen sometimes lose office after the war (e.g. Churchill). I think Blair has brought a whole different mess of trouble onto himself than Churchill did. If he does go (which isn't certain, Campbell might satisfy the wolves) he won't get a second chance. |
#82
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Heard too much and need to vent.
On Sat, 26 Jul 2003 06:30:22 +0100, in a place far, far away, Cardman
made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as to indicate that: There was no explosion in Challenger, initial or otherwise. Do you never tire of flaunting your ignorance? Well I have no idea what you are on about. Yes, because you remain utterly innocent of physics. Why do I smell a troll? Perhaps because of the close proximity? I smell me, you smell you... Thank you, but I am quite good at physics. And I see that you did not care to explain your pointless ramblings. I will assume that you cannot. I will assume, based on ample evidence, that you are an utter ass. So if there was no explosion, then why are they dead? Do you believe that the only possible cause of human death is explosions? When have I said that anyone has died from an explosion? Never. rolling on the floor laughing Certainly in this case it was what made their death certain, but what they really died from I cannot say for sure. High speed impact with sea water seems the most likely cause. There was no explosion. Go look it up. -- simberg.interglobal.org * 310 372-7963 (CA) 307 739-1296 (Jackson Hole) interglobal space lines * 307 733-1715 (Fax) http://www.interglobal.org "Extraordinary launch vehicles require extraordinary markets..." Swap the first . and @ and throw out the ".trash" to email me. Here's my email address for autospammers: |
#83
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Heard too much and need to vent.
Cardman wrote:
(Rand Simberg) wrote: glowed: That does make me wonder about the survival odds of such a ground based explosion, when after Challenger we know that it was not the initial explosion that killed them. There was no explosion in Challenger, initial or otherwise. Do you never tire of flaunting your ignorance? Well I have no idea what you are on about. So if there was no explosion, then why are they dead? You have a lot of the general outline right, but several details wrong. On launch due to the cold one of the o-rings did not respond fast enough to the sudden heating. The O-rings were the secondary and tertiary backups for the primary gas sealing zinc chromate putty. The O-ring not responding fast enough was it failing to do its job, after the primary mechanism had already failed, for numerous reasons regarding how the boosters were designed, assembled, and tested. But the attention on the O-ring is a misnomer. It was not the gas seal; it was the emergency backup gas seal, and several things had to go wrong first before it even came into the picture. As a result a leak occurred, where this leak over time increased burning through the boosters support strap. Right. As a result the booster collided with the main tank puncturing it Right. Most precisely, the rear attach point came loose, it pivoted around the front, and the nose of the SRB impacted the LOX tank in the front of the external tank. At the same time, the damage at the rear of the external tank and the SRB breaking loose and pivoting caused the aft end of the hydrogen tank in the external tank to basically all fall off, breaking that tank open as well. and causing the fuel to explode, which then destroyed the main tank and the attached shuttle. The fuel did not explode. The tank broke up due to multiple massive localized structural failures, at the rear due to damage associated with the burnthrough and then the SRB separation, and at the front due to the SRB nose hitting the LOX tank. The two fuel components were at that time leaking / spraying into the airstream, and downwind they mixed and burned very fast, but there was no detonating explosion, and the tanks did not explode they merely broke up / fell apart. By the time that the LOX and LH2 were burning, the shuttle was already starting to break up. The shuttle came off the external tank stack first at the nose, due to the failure of the front of the external tank, and then at the rear. It pitched up sharply into the airstream due to the sequence of the failure, and the high speed airflow caused it to break up immediately. Note that, despite what most people think, the shuttle had already broken up by the time the fireball reached it. The nose, wings, and tail were all separate pieces as the fireball of burning LH2 expanded around them. What destroyed the shuttle orbiter was that it came up off the external tank stack in an uncontrolled manner, into a hypersonic airflow, at such a high angle of attack that the air pressure just broke it to bits. Pop. Game over. The fireball was irrelevant to the shuttle orbiter breakup, and happened after it did. It didn't even really damage the pieces that were left (and wouldn't really have damaged the orbiter had it miraculously somehow not broken up). Anyway, I never said that there was any explosion in Challenger, only that the Challenger was destroy due to a near by explosion. No explosion. Breakup of ET, shuttle orbiter loose into airstream, shuttle orbiter breaks up, more or less simultaneously with that the ET fuel fireballs, but completely independently. The crew compartment was still fairly intact after this though, Yes. where it must have been interesting if NASA locked away the tapes. There were almost certainly no tapes. All of the power for the crew compartment came from fuel cells located elsewhere in the orbiter. When it broke up, the power failed completely. That various conspiracy theorists think there were tapes does not make it true. -george william herbert |
#84
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Heard too much and need to vent.
On Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:37:33 GMT, "Dave O'Neill" dave @ NOSPAM
atomicrazor . com wrote: "Cardman" wrote in message .. . First there is exploration, where there are never too many hills to climb or rocks to upturn, then as an extra all those direct meteorite impacts I am sure would prove interesting. Then there is the unknown, where I am sure that there would be a few surprises on the Moon. So? The same applies to the Earth. Very nice, but the Moon is a pristine environment, which has preserved many events for millions of years. The earth is vastly different, when the atmosphere stops all except the larger objects getting through. Not to forget that the weather is very good at breaking things down. So you can learn a whole lot about the evolution of the solar system and our Sun from studying the Moon. You could also find evidence of aliens... even if that is a long shot. Second of all is making us of the resources, where I simply would have to have a foundry and smelter on the Moon. So we can refine and collect all the Lunar resources for later use, which can certainly include HE3. All of which are currently available significantly more cheaply on Earth. You don't understand my point. Out of the Earth and the Moon, which one can get say 50 tons of aluminum into Earth orbit the cheapest? The Moon would be it, once you had refined these resources. So getting those resources on the Moon will greatly decrease costs once you need them anywhere beyond the Earth. He3 excepted, but given there are no He3 Fusion reactors and nor are their likely to be for another century or so, your desire isn't all that important. Well it could be a lot earlier than that, where it would stop all the Chinese taking it all. ;-] My point is that if you are on the Moon, then it is worth picking some up. It's rare and it's there. snip stuff Yes you could do all this, but there isn't a reason to beyond your wish to. Sure there are tons of scientifically valid reasons behind it. 1. It is easier to build/assemble telescopes on the Moon. 2. You can build far larger telescopes on the Moon. 3. It is a damned lot easier to service and upgrade your large telescopes on the Moon. If hubble had been on the Moon it would be ten time larger with improve data results and could be serviced and upgrade without sending out on an expensive Shuttle flight. An astronaut would walk over to Hubble #2 pull out one module, put in the new one and walk away. Upgrade done. Also what people here like ignoring is that NASA already has a 100 ton HLV, where they are just launching the "Shuttle" on it. So had I a magic wand and turned the Shuttle into the Shuttle-C, then could you still do your four launches a year, where we just use all the spare cargo space to launch something useful and cheap like fuel. Except it really doesn't work like that. And how about an explanation? As do I really have to spell out how useful a couple of hundred tons of fuel in orbit would be in the near future? Yes. Raising the ISS once the Shuttle can no longer do it, when our expanding atmosphere tends to give NASA a headache. Since the likes of the OSP will have limited fuel, then if it wishes to move elsewhere in orbit, then so would it have to refuel first. And simply anything else that is passing by this location you could refuel and send on its way. I don't know the future, but fuel is always useful in it. Keep the ISS raised no problem, refuel the Shuttle to do that little bit more, move satellites into high orbit for here and more. Fuel, without a transport mechanism is useless. Well this is all about if we had the Shuttle-C, which could certainly transport hundreds of tons of it. You'll also have to explain to me how you intend to store it. Whatever cheap method that can store it and to allow fuel to be taken out of course. And you can just rope it on to the ISS to keep them in about the same location. Sure it is not the best orbit in the world, but having that fuel there you could still adjust to get your desired heading. How? Things call rocket engines. Yes it is wasteful going into that orbit in the first place, but it is recoverable. And had it been desired you could set up a small fuel station along a much more useful orbit. These things are easy to say, but far harder to do. NASA's problem is going "oh its hard" and chickening out. Just think that not that many years ago were men with vision who took their astronauts to space and then to the Moon. And they even dared think about such things like a 550 ton launcher. Made in a damned shipyard as well. I suggest some studying. And I suggest stop saying "this is hard" and going out and saying "were going to do this". I mean anyone who has to ask me how to store fuel in space is clearly not wanting to ever do it. Cardman. |
#85
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Heard too much and need to vent.
Cardman wrote:
Not counting on an engine out then? Less to go wrong. No redundancy. Go with three smaller engines with the same total output, then if one does fail, then you can still make orbit. Four or preferably five. At liftoff, typical T/W is between 1.1 and 1.5; with three engines, you drop to T/W of between 0.7 and 1.0 if you lose one. With four, between .84 and 1.15; with five, between 0.88 and 1.2. The excess thrust needed to get the margin above 1.0 and avoid crashing back to earth if you lose one right after liftoff is much more of a penalty with 3 engines than with 5. The right number of engines for a rocket stage is arguably bimodal, either one or five+. Note that a lot of stages have been designed with 'the wrong number' of engines. Multiple engines without engine out capability is just multiplying the odds of engine failure. This is all complicated by being interested in not designing new engines all the time, as that is a large and painful part of the overall launch vehicle development problem. So having one the particular right size for your vehicle on the shelf already may not be practical. A lot of people go with two or three off the shelf or modified off the shelf models rather than design a new 2-3x as big one. Pressure fed engines don't have turbopumps to blow up (the bits on the SSME's that have been redesigned several times because they're so high strung).. Maybe so, but other things can catch you out like "wiring". If you want one engine then fine, but you can also explain what went wrong when it fails to make space. Failure statistics is both a theoretical and practical / observational science, and contrary to your opinion, one engine is safer than two, three, or most configurations with four engines, and many configurations with five engines (less likely to lose one, though five plus engines makes engine out much more practical). With one engine, an engine out is catastrophic loss. With two engines, an engine out is catastrophic loss, AND you have two times as many engine failures. With three engines, most engine outs are catastrophic losses, AND you have three times as many engine failures. With four engines, many engine outs are catastrophic losses, AND you have four times as many engine failures. With five engines, some or a few engine outs are catastrophic losses, AND you have five times as many engine failures. using LOX and kerosene (not RP-1), built out of steel in a shipyard, not an aerospace contractor. LOL. Has NASA ever asked for a price quote? NASA and the Air Force paid a large number of companies to research this area and produce concept designs in the late 1960s and 1970s. All of them produced what are generally considered technically viable designs. Research "Big Dumb Booster". To make it easy and cheap, look at the copy of _LEO on the Cheap_ in PDF format at Bruce Dunn's website: http://www.dunnspace.com/leo_on_the_cheap.htm Stop laughing and try to learn something. Spoken by someone who does not know that RP-1 is Kerosene... Rocket Propellant 1 (standard kerosene rocket fuel, MIL-P-25576) RP-1 is Kerosene (meets the generic standards for that fuel), but Kerosene is not RP-1. RP-1 is a much more picky blend in the fractionalization process. As a result, it is several times more expensive than random Kerosene, jet fuel, or diesel. And I am sure those at the shipyard would point out that they could work with the likes of aluminum as well. Why? What's wrong with steel? Weight considerations, where sure 8mm thick is good for that kind of rocket, but on smaller rockets you will need thinner. Are they skilled at doing thinner? Um. Do you know what the Atlas I, II, III tanks are made out of? In rough terms, 1mm thick stainless steel sheets, bent up and welded... There are steels with better strength to weight ratios than any aluminum on the market (250ksi maraging steels beat the best Al-Li or 7000 series Aluminum I know of). For membrane tank designs it is purely a factor of weight to strength. For integrally stiffened tanks, with stringers or the isogrid / waffle patterns machined out, aluminum wins out. For tanks where the tank is big enough that the walls are just thick enough to be stable anyways, then it's back to weight to strength ratio. It's cheap, strong, and shipyards already work with it (and charge far less than an aerospace company would charge for a comparable aluminum structure). Quote: Then why does not NASA use them all the time? :-] A long and involved question to answer, partially answered in _LEO on the Cheap_, partly in Dennis Jenkins' book _Space Shuttle: The First 100 Missions_, partly scattered in other sources. Basically, it wasn't sexy enough, and reusable was initially thought to be near enough that it would be cheaper. It was further away, and when they knew that, they didn't stop and reconsider the whole program and problem, but ploughed through with a semi-reusable shuttle anyways. The best part of this design, (from your HLV uber alles point of view) was the 550 ton payload capacity. Yes, amazing what you can do when you design for brute force. None of this technical rubbish, when you just go with maximum fuel capacity and a structure 175m tall and 23m wide. None of this technical rubbish? What, exactly, do you think makes and propels such a vehicle? It's a lot simpler, and using mass instead of high tech and low margins, but it's very technical. Trust me. Too bad there is no need for payload capacities this large. I would recommend pointing this design out to China, when one day they would want something as huge and as cheap as this to launch their moon base. I have no doubt that _LEO on the Cheap_ and the various contractor reports on the BDB concepts have received wide foreign distribution. And as I said NASA needs an end application, where launching something in the direction of the Moon could give it one. Congress will never let it. Congress does not directly manage NASA, where NASA can certainly shift about its resources. .... uh. Congress most certainly does directly manage NASA, tell it which projects it can proceed with and which it can't. NASA has some flexiblity and some discretionary funds, but Congress is very definitely in the drivers seat. This is an area where ignorance of the politics and government structure are a really, really bad idea. Look, here's our problem with you. Opinionated is fine. Opinionated and not entirely educated is fine; we have lots of people (including me, certainly) who arrived here not fully educated experts in the industry and have learned. Opinionated and ignorant and not really showing much sign of interest in learning, is a problem. Space is Hard. It's not as hard as some think and NASA sometimes makes it out to be, but it is a hard, complex, highly technical, highly political process. Even true experts take decades to learn it. If you care, and you're making enough noise that you seem to, then you *really* need to get off your ass and start learning. -george william herbert |
#86
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Heard too much and need to vent.
Cardman wrote:
Well I have no idea what you are on about. So if there was no explosion, then why are they dead? Hint: people *can* die of causes other than explosions. Paul |
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Heard too much and need to vent.
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#89
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Heard too much and need to vent.
On Sat, 26 Jul 2003 07:17:29 +0100, Cardman
wrote: On Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:37:33 GMT, "Dave O'Neill" dave @ NOSPAM atomicrazor . com wrote: So? The same applies to the Earth. Very nice, but the Moon is a pristine environment, which has preserved many events for millions of years. Snip And I have just become aware of extra value with going to the Moon, which is due to these Asteroid impacts. Just one metal asteroid containing the likes of gold, cobalt, nickel, and iron would be worth $20 trillion on the worlds markets. And there are simply hundreds of these things on the Moon, which total in at hundreds of trillions of dollars. And of course there is water on the Moon if the science data is correct, which is worth more than anything. So if they don't want to go to the Moon and become as rich as anything, then they are obviously crazy. Also China will be on the Moon one day soon, where not only will they steal your He3, but they will get all these valuable asteroids as well. And if the U.S allows this too happen, then China will become the sole rich and powerful super power, while the U.S sinks into poverty. Hell if I had the money to form my own space organization, then I would be off to the Moon in no time to claim my fortune. Even have a throne of diamonds and call myself the Moon King. ;-] Cardman. |
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Heard too much and need to vent.
And of course there is water on the Moon if the science data is
correct, which is worth more than anything. That is probably one of the more valuable items on the Moon I am unclear how. Who, exactly, would you sell Moon water to? The only place with customers has plenty of water of its own. It's true that the presence of water would make colonization a bit easier, but that doesn't make the water valuable in the commercial sense. |
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