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#1
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Asteroid warning for 2014
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3200019.stm
The NEO information centre is putting it as 1 on the Torino scale. Best, Stephen -- + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + Stephen Tonkin | ATM Resources; Astro-Tutorials; Astro Books + + (N51.162 E0.995) | http://www.astunit.com + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + |
#2
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Asteroid warning for 2014 (orbital elements)
http://cfa-www.harvard.edu/mpec/K03/K03Q46.html
Best, Stephen -- + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + Stephen Tonkin | ATM Resources; Astro-Tutorials; Astro Books + + (N51.162 E0.995) | http://www.astunit.com + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + |
#3
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Asteroid warning for 2014
Stephen Tonkin wrote:
: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3200019.stm : The NEO information centre is putting it as 1 on the Torino scale. Minor quibble. The Torino scale values for any Virtual Impactor come from either the JPL or University of Pisa risk pages. The NEOIC doesn't do these calculations. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Gareth V. Williams, MS 18, 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A. Associate Director, IAU Minor Planet Center http://cfa-www.harvard.edu/iau/mpc.html OpenVMS & RISC OS: refined choices in operating systems |
#4
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Asteroid warning for 2014
Gareth V. Williams wrote:
Stephen Tonkin wrote: : http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3200019.stm : The NEO information centre is putting it as 1 on the Torino scale. Minor quibble. The Torino scale values for any Virtual Impactor come from either the JPL or University of Pisa risk pages. The NEOIC doesn't do these calculations. I don't think I said that the NEOIC had *assigned* it a classification. However, let me rephrase it: "The NEO information centre is putting out the information that it is classified as 1 on the Torino scale." Better? (And now, of course, they are putting out the information that it is classified as 0 on the Torino scale." Best, Stephen -- + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + Stephen Tonkin | ATM Resources; Astro-Tutorials; Astro Books + + (N51.162 E0.995) | http://www.astunit.com + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + |
#5
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Asteroid warning for 2014
"Stephen Tonkin"
(And now, of course, they are putting out the information that it is classified as 0 on the Torino scale." ) It's still amazing what people in general think about this. A friend last night said "So, what do you think about the meter"? "What?" "The meter that's gonna blow up the world." "Meteorite! No, asteroid! It's not going to!" Anyway, she seemed convinced that doomsday was approaching in 2005. "2005? It was 2014!!!" People out there are still thinking that this thing's going to hit! I do blame the media (who else?); I remember last week, the Sky News website had some sensationalist headline; I can't remember exactly what it was, but qualitatively, it was along the lines of "Asteroid smashes Earth in 2014", and only when you drilled into the story itself did it admit that the probability was (estimated at) 1/909000 at the time. Martin -- M.A.Poyser Tel.: 07967 110890 Manchester, U.K. http://www.fleetie.demon.co.uk |
#6
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Asteroid warning for 2014
In message , Fleetie
writes "Stephen Tonkin" (And now, of course, they are putting out the information that it is classified as 0 on the Torino scale." ) It's still amazing what people in general think about this. A friend last night said "So, what do you think about the meter"? "What?" "The meter that's gonna blow up the world." "Meteorite! No, asteroid! It's not going to!" Anyway, she seemed convinced that doomsday was approaching in 2005. "2005? It was 2014!!!" People out there are still thinking that this thing's going to hit! I do blame the media (who else?); I remember last week, the Sky News website had some sensationalist headline; I can't remember exactly what it was, but qualitatively, it was along the lines of "Asteroid smashes Earth in 2014", and only when you drilled into the story itself did it admit that the probability was (estimated at) 1/909000 at the time. Most of the stories I saw were having fun with the other unlikely things that allegedly have odds of 909,000 to one. Definitely a case of "don't panic". The sky _isn't falling. But if there isn't a formal announcement of this type of event, they will be accused of covering it up. -- "Forty millions of miles it was from us, more than forty millions of miles of void" |
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