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DEATH OF THE INTERNET
DEATH OF THE INTERNET
I have not been spending too much time, almost none, considering the consequences of oil depletion. Then I ran into this article: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olduvai_theory and reconsidered http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusian_catastrophe So for the last few days I've been thinking about the fact that the world's oil can not last forever. I mean, if the earth were a hollow ball filled with oil, it would eventually be pumped out. Ah, but the earth is not a hollow ball, it also contains a lot of rock, iron, water and magma -- so it never was filled with oil. The Olduvai Theory suggests that the peak oil production will soon occur, if it has not already. After that, a few years will pass with the oil supply beginning to lower, while demand continues to grow. With demand still increasing but supply diminishing, the price will rise. With rising prices, increasing demand and diminishing supply, something has to give. If you don't want to think about it, that's ok with me, I avoided it as long as I could. The primary use of oil is for energy -- electric energy. The internet depends on electricity. Many, if not most, of the companies who support the "backbone" do so as a secondary purpose. That is, the primary reason they are in business is not to maintain the internet. When the supply of oil (spell that 'electricity') diminishes to the point that the cost of supply exceeds that which can be allocated by companies for a secondary purpose, they will abandon the secondary service. I do not expect the internet to die suddenly on a given day, or at a given oil price. I do expect the cost of internet service to rise, at some point, with the cost of oil. Internet connectivity and service will begin to diminish at that point, and from then until blackouts begin to occur, due to failing oil supply, at city and state levels. Of course, by that time, there will be more severe collapse of services to worry about. owd |
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DEATH OF THE INTERNET
The end of the oil age is NOT upon us, frootie! You bray much too
soon! New discoveries are still being made. Saul Levy On Tue, 13 Feb 2007 20:54:09 -0500, nightbat wrote: The Olduvai Theory suggests that the peak oil production will soon occur, if it has not already. After that, a few years will pass with the oil supply beginning to lower, while demand continues to grow. With demand still increasing but supply diminishing, the price will rise. With rising prices, increasing demand and diminishing supply, something has to give. If you don't want to think about it, that's ok with me, I avoided it as long as I could. The primary use of oil is for energy -- electric energy. The internet depends on electricity. Many, if not most, of the companies who support the "backbone" do so as a secondary purpose. That is, the primary reason they are in business is not to maintain the internet. When the supply of oil (spell that 'electricity') diminishes to the point that the cost of supply exceeds that which can be allocated by companies for a secondary purpose, they will abandon the secondary service. I do not expect the internet to die suddenly on a given day, or at a given oil price. I do expect the cost of internet service to rise, at some point, with the cost of oil. Internet connectivity and service will begin to diminish at that point, and from then until blackouts begin to occur, due to failing oil supply, at city and state levels. Of course, by that time, there will be more severe collapse of services to worry about. owd nightbat Never fear for the profound Earth Science Team Officers have cold energy, so not to worry. Anyway the end of the oil age is upon us and only super advanced technology can help save the day. Come on, they don't call us profound for nothing! ponder on, the nightbat |
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