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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
In article , Dr. O
writes "Alex R. Blackwell" wrote in message ... Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure by Jeffrey F. Bell Honolulu - January 13, 2004 http://www.spacedaily.com/news/beagle2-04a.html If Beagle had performed as expected then NASA would have undergone a serious grilling by some Congressional commitee, no doubt. So in that sense, it's certainly a fortunate failure, for NASA. I'm not at all convinced that you need a multi $100 million budget to finance a Mars probe. I'm more interested what, if any, an investigation on the Beagle 2 loss will bring up. I'm pretty sure it was a design fault, somewhere. I sincerely hope ESA and the UK will fund another Beagle (which is almost certain) and that it can carry out its mission succesfully. Maybe Blair can ask Bush to let the guys at JPL take a look at the design and point out any shortcomings. It seems more likely to have been an unfortunate rocky landing. When will it be possible to see if this is so? -- Eric Crew |
#12
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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
"The Plankmeister" wrote in message
. .. I think the idea of 'cheaper, faster, better' missions is still in its infancy. I think it's inevitable that there will be more 'cheaper, faster, better' missions in the future... I agree that a successful cheap mission could lead to cost saving on future missions. Certainly the diversity of different countries building missions to different scales is healthy. "Alex R. Blackwell" wrote in message ... I sincerely hope ESA and the UK will fund another Beagle (which is almost certain) and that it can carry out its mission succesfully. I am concerned that having failed in their first attempt, the British government decides that missions of this type contain too much risk. Beagle does not seem to be part of a systematic long term plan of space exploration. It was a tentative initial step at best, and judging by the involvement of Blur and others, a faddish exercise at worst. The overriding and as yet unanswered question for me is: are they truly serious about long term space exploration? -- Michael Anthony |
#13
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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
I think it is better to get something to work in the first place. The next thing one might do is to get it to work on a cheaper budget. But maybe not by the yuppie strategy - faster, better, cheaper, etc. etc. It's a bit strange that Pillinger & co. thinks one can land on Mars for £ 35 mill.(~60 mill. $), when NASA said that the demise of Mars Polar Lander was due to the low cost of that mission - 250 mill $! Did Pillinger ever read the failure report of MPL? Bjørn Sørheim "Alex R. Blackwell" wrote: Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure by Jeffrey F. Bell Honolulu - January 13, 2004 http://www.spacedaily.com/news/beagle2-04a.html -- Alex R. Blackwell University of Hawaii -------------------------------------------------------- Anti-spam: Replace 'geo' with 'online' for direct e-mail -------------------------------------------------------- |
#14
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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
In article ,
Bjørn Sørheim wrote: It's a bit strange that Pillinger & co. thinks one can land on Mars for £ 35 mill.(~60 mill. $), when NASA said that the demise of Mars Polar Lander was due to the low cost of that mission - 250 mill $! NASA said nothing of the kind. If you read the MPL failure report carefully, while it identifies a number of things wrong with the way MPL was run, and blames a lot of them at least partially on inadequate funding, you'll find that it never actually quite says that more money would have saved MPL. Indeed, the consensus of the people who were there (see the Euler et al paper in G&C 2001, published as Advances in the Astronautical Sciences vol. 107) is that the MPL touchdown-sensing software problem would have killed a billion-dollar megaproject just as easily. "All customary and prudent steps were executed in the development process"; each of the steps had a subtle flaw, and the combination caused the error to slip past. -- MOST launched 30 June; science observations running | Henry Spencer since Oct; first surprises seen; papers pending. | |
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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
"The Plankmeister" wrote I think Beagle 2 was a bit of a trail blazer in this respect. People will realize that it IS possible to get a mission off the ground fairly cheaply and more people will give input to such projects which inevitably leads to more reliability and a better chance of success. One difference between the MER cost and that of Beagle is that the latter hitched a ride, while the MER total includes the cost of the launch? |
#17
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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
"Henry Spencer" wrote in message ... NASA said nothing of the kind. If you read the MPL failure report carefully, while it identifies a number of things wrong with the way MPL was run, and blames a lot of them at least partially on inadequate funding, you'll find that it never actually quite says that more money would have saved MPL. "The Mars Polar Lander and Mars Climate Orbiter were probably under-funded by about 30 percent," Edward Weiler, NASA associate administrator for space science said, reiterating a finding of the MPIAT group. NASA headquarters will establish, in a sense, a Mars "slush fund." Monies are to be held in reserve for Mars spacecraft that run into technical difficulties. In recent years, such funds were not available, Weiler said. "That did not inspire a lot of communications. If you ran into trouble, you knew there was no more money. By establishing program reserves at NASA headquarters we will automatically inspire communications," he said. end quote That slush fund was used to great advantage in resolving the MER problems encountered during test. Beagle had no such fund. The *underlying cause* of the MPL failure was cited as "inadequate funding and inadequate margins." More quotes from the MPIAT: "The pressure of meeting the cost and schedule goals resulted in an environment of increasing risk in which too many corners were cut in applying proven engineering practices and the checks and balances required for mission success. Examples include incomplete systems testing, lack of critical event telemetry, and requirements creep. JPL and LMA also failed to ensure adequate independent reviews and adherence to established policies and practices." "Inadequate project staffing and application of institutional capability by JPL contributed to reduced mission assurance. Pressure from an already aggressive schedule was increased by LMA not meeting staffing objectives early in the project. This schedule pressure led to inadequate analysis and testing. The desire to reduce cost led to the decision by JPL to create a multimission operations project separate from the flight project. The result was to bypass the traditional cradle-to grave responsibility of the project manager in most projects. This led to a discontinuity of expertise in the development and operations handover, characterized by a lack of understanding of navigation and operations issues by the development team and a lack of understanding of the spacecraft by the operations team." "The dominant Mars '98 problem was inadequate funding to accomplish the established requirements." Such morals to the story of course are bad news for advocates of commercial space exploration, as even at FBC budget levels there is no conceivable business plan for planetary exploration as a stand-alone profit center, now or a hundred years from now. If the surface of Mars were littered with diamonds three feet deep, it would not be economical to retrieve them. Space travel is a job for the government, funded by tax dollars, as a benefit to society as a whole, & it's best not to be diverted into unworkable schemes of doing things on the cheap, or take the advice of those who would make the perfect the enemy of the good--trashing all current efforts, Shuttle, Space Station, Galileo, etc. in lieu of a utopian, unworkable alternative. Joe |
#18
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Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure
I suggest the name of the next probe should be "Wallace".
Named after Alfred Russel Wallace, with his theory that some sort of spirit guided evolution. Besides, it sounded Brittish (means Welshman, though I think that it also means stranger) and a good named for a Beagle. |
#19
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"Joe Knapp" wrote in message news "The Mars Polar Lander and Mars Climate Orbiter were probably under-funded by about 30 percent," Edward Weiler, NASA associate administrator for space science said, reiterating a finding of the MPIAT group. "The dominant Mars '98 problem was inadequate funding to accomplish the established requirements." So it had nothing to do with certain people living in the dark ages and being unable to use SI units? |
#20
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"Alex R. Blackwell" writes:
Beagle 2: A Fortunate Failure by Jeffrey F. Bell Honolulu - January 13, 2004 http://www.spacedaily.com/news/beagle2-04a.html Well, the article sort of identifies ESA with the EU (discussing the non-accountability of Eurocrats, etc). This is unnecessary confusion, as ESA and the EU are not at all the same thing. From my limited experience, I would say that ESA seem to be vigilant as to how their funds are used. YMMV. |
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