#21
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Reentry prize?
Pete Lynn wrote:
I am not sure if reentry and landing can really be separated and pursued in isolation, too many unnatural distortions. My proposal is not separating reentry and landing. You have to get a payload from orbital velocity and orbital altitude to zero velocity and zero altitude without cooking or breaking it. That includes both reentry and soft landing. Also, you do not want to be paying for launches, if you do have to pay for this, it should be another prize, two birds one stone. ? Other than the obvious follow ons from the X-Prize, another launch prize system I have contemplated is the development of a 10kg class launch vehicle. Say $10 million distributed equally among the number of successful launches each year. I like your idea. But I would not call that a prize, but a limited market guarantee. I would expect most groups to purchase high altitude air launches off some external group, White Knight for example, though I expect there are far cheaper alternatives. There are significant advantages in high altitude launches at this scale, though this would obviously be a choice left to the individuals. Yes, I agree that high altitude/low speed staging is very promising for small payloads. For large (as in saturn V class) payloads VTVL is the way to go. Have you been working on the newest design from Len Cormier? It looks similar to something you have proposed a few years ago. I would also expect a great deal of commonality in the various components used by various groups, in effect groups might set themselves up as developers and suppliers of various components to all the competing groups, engines for example, might effectively become OTS. Such a prize might almost be within the grasp of small hobby type groups, and all approaches from MCD to SSTO could be tested in the market place at the lowest possible cost. The 10kg constraint is required so as to maximize flight rate. Groups might launch larger vehicles than this, but only be paid at this rate. Once there was a degree of design convergence, and the market had proven itself you might then move on to a larger payload prize system. Though I expect this would not be required as the market and technologies would by then be sufficiently developed that larger commercial interests would takeover. Pete. I like the idea. This would be a good thing for NASA or DARPA to offer. But I think the followon for the X-Prize has got to be a manned. The X-Prize would never have generated that much excitement if it were a much more ambitious unmanned mission. |
#22
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Reentry prize?
Derek Lyons wrote:
Ruediger Klaehn wrote: Drop tests are surely somewhat cheap and funny, but they don't tell much about how the vehicle is able to withstand reentry... Of course not. Reentry can not be simulated that easily. But it tells something about the ability of the group to build a working autonomous vehicle. That can be determined by fairly simple ground tests, no need for something as silly as the drop testing. (Especially considering that any serious team will have already done that testing.) For simple yet heavy approaches that use a parachute, drop testing will not be a significant hurdle. Most teams should be able to design a reliable parachute release mechanism and wire it to a barometer or a GPS unit. But for the more exotic approaches such as parawings, rotary-style powered rotors, inflatables, lifting bodies etc. the drop test will be a good test. And if landing from a few km is so trivial, why has NASA spent years doing drop tests for the X34, X38 and X43 etc? The DARPA Grand Challenge was a joke because the set a specification well beyond that what was reasonably achievable and on a timeline much shorter than anything approaching rational. Then they ran the test *anyhow*, and produced what amounted to a massive no-test at great expense and complication. I disagree. The grand challenge was a good investment even if nobody won it this time. A race is much more exciting for the teams than some tests. The grand challenge even spawned a private robot racing league. So DARPA will definitely get some decent ROI. They have been trying the traditional approach of giving contractors achievable goals and lots of money for more than a decade, and have not much to show for it. The red team vehicle has driven several hundred miles autonomously before the race, so there was a chance that they would reach the goal. In fact the reason they have lost is probably that they overestimated the other teams and therefore went so fast that they drifted out of a curve. The problem is much less complicated than with satellites or warheads. You don't need to put the RVs in a precise orbit in a precise orientation. ROTFL. Yes, you *do* need a fairly precise orbit, unless dropping RV's in the wrong place entirely is something you find desirable. ( I assure you that your insurance company doesn't.) Furthermore, without a reasonably precise trajectory you cannot predict (in advance) that each RV will experience a trajectory that creates the desired test environment. You will have a very large landing area anyway, since the reentry properties of the RVs are different: Some will use lifting reentry, others will use ballistic reentry, still others will use inflatable or unfoldable high area heat shields to brake high up in the atmosphere and so on. So if the separation mechanism adds or subtracts 10m/s from the velocity of the launcher it won't make much difference as far as the target area is concerned. You have a fairly precise trajectory before separation, so adding some small random velocity by the separation mechanism will not let the capsules land on a different continent or something. |
#23
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Reentry prize?
Rand Simberg wrote:
[snip] It depends on whether the purpose of the prize is to develop TPS materials, or entry vehicles. The latter would be more useful, but more complex. The idea was definitely to permit very exotic designs such as hypersonic drogue chutes, inflatable or unfoldable heat shields and so on. Prizes make most sense where there are unorthodox approaches to be explored. But for the people who want to try something more traditional it might have some merit to have a simple capsule body as a baseline design that people could, but would not have to, use. Everyone who wants to try something exotic would have to have the same attachment points and center of gravity as the capsule. |
#24
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Reentry prize?
Derek Lyons wrote:
Ruediger Klaehn wrote: I never said that building a wooden heat shield is cheap or simple. In fact it is probably quite expensive with western labor costs since it requires a lot of manual labor for assembly and quality control. But it is still a low-tech approach compared to almost anything else that has been suggested for heat shields. Commonly 'low-tech' is interpreted to mean 'cheap and simple'. If it's *not* cheap and simple, then the technology level is essentially irrelevant. This is a complete nonsense interpretation for low vs high tech. D. -- Sander +++ Out of cheese error +++ |
#25
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Reentry prize?
Ruediger Klaehn wrote in message ...
Pete Lynn wrote: ....snip... I would expect most groups to purchase high altitude air launches off some external group, White Knight for example, though I expect there are far cheaper alternatives. There are significant advantages in high altitude launches at this scale, though this would obviously be a choice left to the individuals. Yes, I agree that high altitude/low speed staging is very promising for small payloads. For large (as in saturn V class) payloads VTVL is the way to go. Have you been working on the newest design from Len Cormier? It looks similar to something you have proposed a few years ago. Yes indeed, the concept is in part inspired by inputs from Pete and Robert Lynn--as implied by the credit to Peter Lynn Kites on the title page of our presentation at SAS 2004. There's still a lot of updating needed on our web site; however, the SAS 2004 presentation: Space Van 2008, a kite- assisted SSTO is now posted on http://www.tour2space.com Best regards, Len (Cormier) PanAero, Inc. (change x to len) http://www.tour2space.com |
#26
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Reentry prize?
"Ruediger Klaehn" wrote in message
... Pete Lynn wrote: I am not sure if reentry and landing can really be separated and pursued in isolation, too many unnatural distortions. My proposal is not separating reentry and landing. You have to get a payload from orbital velocity and orbital altitude to zero velocity and zero altitude without cooking or breaking it. That includes both reentry and soft landing. Actually I meant this in the greater context, I am not sure that you would want to separate such reentry testing from that of the launch vehicle. The design of one effects the other to perhaps too great an extent. The excessive tendency to try to compartmentalize out of complexity generally results in good detailed design but bad overall design, which is currently the more critical. This is something the space industry is particularly noted for and the reason often attributed for the failure to achieve CATS. Also, you do not want to be paying for launches, if you do have to pay for this, it should be another prize, two birds one stone. ? If prizes are better than direct payments, for example the X-Prize, then it would be cheaper and more productive to use a separate prize to accomplish this launch task than to pay for it directly. Other than the obvious follow ons from the X-Prize, another launch prize system I have contemplated is the development of a 10kg class launch vehicle. Say $10 million distributed equally among the number of successful launches each year. I like your idea. But I would not call that a prize, but a limited market guarantee. I would expect most groups to purchase high altitude air launches off some external group, White Knight for example, though I expect there are far cheaper alternatives. There are significant advantages in high altitude launches at this scale, though this would obviously be a choice left to the individuals. Yes, I agree that high altitude/low speed staging is very promising for small payloads. For large (as in saturn V class) payloads VTVL is the way to go. Yes Have you been working on the newest design from Len Cormier? It looks similar to something you have proposed a few years ago. We have talked... and I like where Len has taken it. It seems to me this approach reduces the big problems to nice bite sized portions enabling use of existing hardware and technology, with healthy margins, and without compromising overall utility and performance. Functionally it is largely the equivalent of a fully reusable SSTO without all the hard work and expense. Further, it is not an all or nothing solution, there are multiple fall back positions and opportunities to make a few bucks on the side from early on in the development, this might greatly ease financing constraints. I would also expect a great deal of commonality in the various components used by various groups, in effect groups might set themselves up as developers and suppliers of various components to all the competing groups, engines for example, might effectively become OTS. Such a prize might almost be within the grasp of small hobby type groups, and all approaches from MCD to SSTO could be tested in the market place at the lowest possible cost. The 10kg constraint is required so as to maximize flight rate. Groups might launch larger vehicles than this, but only be paid at this rate. Once there was a degree of design convergence, and the market had proven itself you might then move on to a larger payload prize system. Though I expect this would not be required as the market and technologies would by then be sufficiently developed that larger commercial interests would takeover. I like the idea. This would be a good thing for NASA or DARPA to offer. But I think the followon for the X-Prize has got to be a manned. The X-Prize would never have generated that much excitement if it were a much more ambitious unmanned mission. Agreed, as stated above. Though I would say that of the many groups going for the X-Prize only one seems on track to get it in the given time. Ideally it could have been a competition in space between many groups, unfortunately few have developed actual vehicles. I fear the all or nothing prize structure does not encourage the ongoing depth and diversity of industry required for a serious crack at CATS. I think we need more groups developing more commercial hardware at lower costs, we need a highly competitive ongoing industry for which every day is a new race. The market needs to be more integral to the process such that entry barriers to commercial sustainability are lowered. Pete. |
#27
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Reentry prize?
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#29
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Reentry prize?
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#30
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Reentry prize?
On Fri, 07 May 2004 05:30:27 -0700, Stefan Dobrev wrote:
(Derek Lyons) wrote in message ... Commonly 'low-tech' is interpreted to mean 'cheap and simple'. If it's *not* cheap and simple, then the technology level is essentially irrelevant. You mean building pyramids was high tech, yes? snip At the time, the pyramids were very high tech requiring skills, knowledge, and of course, sophisticated organization that most of humanity couldn't manage. And obviously they weren't cheap and simple. Karl Hallowell |
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