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#11
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
On Oct 15, 5:57*am, Jeff Findley wrote:
In article c77eb576-c0cb-4e67-83bd-6a088aae7d08 @i5g2000yqe.googlegroups.com, says... http://www.scribd.com/doc/30943696/ETDHLRLV http://www.scribd.com/doc/31261680/Etdhlrlv-Addendum http://www.scribd.com/doc/35439593/S...-Satellite-GEO I have proposed a privately funded $12 billion program - $7 billion for the launcher, $5 billion for the satellite - to place a satellite that beams 10,000 MW to Earth. *At $0.05 per kWh the satellite is worth over $75 billion the day its switched on. You've proposed napkin drawings with nothing to support them. Jeff You and most others of your kind haven't even provided a used blank napkin, so look who's talking. At least Mook’s research has technological advancement potential, whereas your mainstream of Big Energy and politically correct denial, naysay and obfuscation offers us squat. How many decades have you GOPs and ZNRs had to get it right? (starting bogus wars and impossible nation building that’s corrupt to begin with doesn’t count) ~ BG |
#13
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
There is absolutely no real basis to say there is zero tolerance for
error in the operation of my parallel staged launcher built around the External Tank as a common core. Anyone who says that hasn't really analyzed the situation properly or fairly. The fact is there are many recovery paths possible during an abort - depending on the nature of the abort. Consider that during ascent (1) altitude is gained; (2) speed is gained; (3) propellant is depleted; The four first stage boosters for example could almost glide back to the launch center without tow-plane assist following stage separation. An abort before first-stage separation would very likely result in recovery of all undamaged flight elements. An abort after first stage separation would result in recovery of the four first stage elements which have separated by this time. Early in the second stage ascent surviving elements would have sufficient propellant to separate and fly to safety under their own power. Late in the second stage ascent sequence the surviving elements would have sufficient momentum to fly to safety. Similarly after second stage separation the two second stage elements would be safely recovered. Early in the third stage ascent there is sufficient propellant to fly to safety (and this is the reason for the eighth recovery tow plane) Late in the third stage ascent there is sufficient momentum to fly to safety. |
#14
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
I have followed good engineering design practice in my ET derived
RLV. There is nothing I've said that suggests otherwise. A market for clean abundant low cost reliable energy exists. The ability to organize large amounts of money to acquire important resources exists. As for energy; In the State of Florida alone there will be a 10,000 MW shortfall in generation by 2015. I am in negotiation today with prospective buyers for this energy, buyers who have an incentive to keep significant number of space workers active following the end of Ares and Shuttle programs. I have identified pension funds and others who have an interest in buying the revenue stream at the discounts indicated, once electrons and dollars are flowing. I am also in connection with Venture Capitalists who are seeking to structure a program that provides the returns they demand for the risks they're being asked to take. As for acquisitions; Since Boeing and Lockheed both hold significant space faring assets, and since Boeing and Lockheed have significant money losses in some very well defined divisions where space faring assets are held. So, money can be made by restructuring those companies for greater profitability and selling off the more profitable divisions while retaining the space faring divisions. Since a make/buy strategic analysis in this case favors 'make' over 'buy' (we would be buying essentially the entire output of Boeing and Lockheed for these products) it makes sense to buy the company on this basis. So, organizing a program to acquire Boeing restructuring it, and selling off the most profitable pieces for $20 billion profit, and then doing the same at Lockheed and realizing another $14 billion gain - allows me to acquire the needed skills to execute on this program, and the cash to carry it out - using far less money at risk than a direct purchase of the airframes would entail. Using M&A to leverage risk capital; A portion of the $34 billion earned (an estimated $12 billion) would be used to build the launchers and satellites to deliver the power. Once on orbit each satellite is worth $80.5 billion. Putting up just four satellites creates an asset worth $322 billion! This entire program would be completed in just seven years from the first $100 million invested. Flight rates grow from 4 per year to 250 per year over 2 year period; After the first four satellites flight rates would increase - and the designed cycle time of seven days per vehicle achieves a launch every 35 hours, producing 250 satellites per year. 10 years after achieving this flight rate, we will have come to dominate the world's energy markets. |
#15
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
In article b389e954-fad8-4c7f-9a6f-
, says... There is absolutely no real basis to say there is zero tolerance for error in the operation of my parallel staged launcher built around the External Tank as a common core. Anyone who says that hasn't really analyzed the situation properly or fairly. The fact is there are many recovery paths possible during an abort - depending on the nature of the abort. Consider that during ascent (1) altitude is gained; (2) speed is gained; (3) propellant is depleted; The four first stage boosters for example could almost glide back to the launch center without tow-plane assist following stage separation. An abort before first-stage separation would very likely result in recovery of all undamaged flight elements. An abort after first stage separation would result in recovery of the four first stage elements which have separated by this time. Early in the second stage ascent surviving elements would have sufficient propellant to separate and fly to safety under their own power. Late in the second stage ascent sequence the surviving elements would have sufficient momentum to fly to safety. Similarly after second stage separation the two second stage elements would be safely recovered. Early in the third stage ascent there is sufficient propellant to fly to safety (and this is the reason for the eighth recovery tow plane) Late in the third stage ascent there is sufficient momentum to fly to safety. What about the payload? How do you recover the core when it's loaded down with a heavy payload? If you're not recovering the payload, you don't truly have intact abort capabilities. Customers don't like it when payloads are lost. Say a first stage module sustains a turbopump failure half way through its first stage burn. Now you've got only two pump sets working. Does this, or does this not, develop an asymmetric thrust problem on the stage? In other words, how are the turbopumps connected to the actual combustion chamber(s) of the aerospike engine? You've simply not provided enough details to convince anyone that this contraption of yours has intact abort modes built in. Jeff -- 42 |
#16
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
On Oct 15, 9:59*am, Jeff Findley wrote:
In article 2b9a6739-6f1a-4f66-bfde-1434341152b9 @b19g2000prj.googlegroups.com, says... On Oct 15, 5:57*am, Jeff Findley wrote: In article c77eb576-c0cb-4e67-83bd-6a088aae7d08 @i5g2000yqe.googlegroups.com, says... http://www.scribd.com/doc/30943696/ETDHLRLV http://www.scribd.com/doc/31261680/Etdhlrlv-Addendum http://www.scribd.com/doc/35439593/S...-Satellite-GEO I have proposed a privately funded $12 billion program - $7 billion for the launcher, $5 billion for the satellite - to place a satellite that beams 10,000 MW to Earth. *At $0.05 per kWh the satellite is worth over $75 billion the day its switched on. You've proposed napkin drawings with nothing to support them. Jeff You and most others of your kind haven't even provided a used blank napkin, so look who's talking. * I'm of the opinion that the free market should determine what launch vehicles live and die. *Unfortunately for Mook, he's got a chicken and egg problem with his launch vehicle and his proposed market. At least Mook?s research has technological advancement potential, whereas your mainstream of Big Energy and politically correct denial, naysay and obfuscation offers us squat. Hope is not a substitute for sound engineering practices. *There is zero room for error in Mook's "design". *It does not incorporate intact abort modes into the design. *There are far too many criticality-1 type systems which are needed to support his Rube Goldberg flight profile. And that is on top of the absolutely huge set of research and development projects needed for his "design". Jeff -- 42 But you still got noting other than the status quo that isn't working for us. You even tossed the 100% reliable Saturn 5, as though it was worthless. ~ BG |
#17
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
On Oct 15, 12:14*pm, Fred J. McCall wrote:
Brad Guth wrote: On Oct 14, 8:04*pm, William Mook wrote: Increasing power levels and other improvements involving gravity lensing of laser energy around the sun, will allow these stations to move beyond Sol to nearby stars. *The personal interstellar space station will have arrived. This could all be accomplished well before the 100th anniversary of the first moon landing. Put me in charge of FEMA, DoE and DARPA, I'll make damn certain that national security and national survival stuff like yours gets 50% public funded and otherwise approved with all the green lights that's necessary. Since you refuse to be put in charge, in which case I'm your best bet. Yeah. *Putting a loon like the Guthball in charge is your best bet, Mookie. That should give you some idea of just what your odds actually are on that 'bet'. -- "Ordinarily he is insane. But he has lucid moments when he is *only stupid." * * * * * * * * * * * * * * -- Heinrich Heine Your pathetic option is zilch, nothing or perhaps less than nothing. ~ BG |
#18
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
On Oct 15, 12:20*pm, Fred J. McCall wrote:
Brad Guth wrote: On Oct 15, 2:15*am, Fred J. McCall wrote: William Mook wrote: HOW MUCH IT COSTS TO CREATE REVENUE STREAM: $12 billion total *$5 billion vehicle development Gross underestimate. *$2 billion vehicle construction and operation Gross underestimate. *Merely duplicating a Shuttle with already existing spares cost $1.7 billion years ago, without any operational costs included. *$1.5 billion - satellite development Gross underestimate. *Look at what satellites that are relatively simple compared to what he's talking about cost to develop. *$3.5 billion - satellite construction and operation Gross underestimate, since you have to 'operate' the satellite 24/7. HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE: 60 months Preposterously short. *Look at how long it's taken every other space launch provider to do much simpler things than he proposes. HOW MANY SATELLITES WILL BE LAUNCHED PER YEAR? 250 snork HOW MANY ARE NEEDED TO MEET ALL PRESENT NEED? 1,700 HOW MANY WILL BE NEEDED IN 10 YEARS ASSUMING 4% GROWTH IN DEMAND FOR ENERGY? 2,420 WHAT IS THE VALUE OF THE SATELLITE ARRAY ONCE DEPLOYED? $400 TRILLION! WHAT IS THE SEPARATION OF EACH SATELLITE ON GEO? 90 km Mookie should go look up something about geosynchronous orbital slots and how to get them. *The ITU isn't going to give him all of geosynchronous space, even if there were enough slots up there to accommodate his little wet dream. * even nuttier stuff elided You and others of your kind should learn how to wipe your own butt, and frequently change underwear before you stink up the whole place. You should take your lithium and ring for the attendant. At least Mook gives a tinkers damn to promote a viable solution ... Mook's 'solution' isn't viable. *That's the point. ... that's actually only one of many that he and a few others have to offer, whereas you still got nothing to offer. *Where exactly in a national think tank would a purely negative and/or obstructive mindset like yours fit? Where exactly in a national think tank do delusional lunatics fit? * Hint: *They don't. I happen to like his terrestrial based solar farms and all of that cheap hydrogen plus secondary products and direct benefits. *I'd make a few hundred million tonnes/year of HTP with some of Mook's clean and cheap energy. I happen to like all kinds of things that I recognize as not being in any way connected to reality, Guthball. *That's the difference between you and me; I know the difference between fantasy and reality and you do not. His putting really big stuff into orbit is just loads of Mook pie in the sky, though not insurmountable if we put our best expertise and resources to work on it. And the rest of his stuff is Mookpies on the ground. *Be careful that you don't step in any of it. -- "Ordinarily he is insane. But he has lucid moments when he is *only stupid." * * * * * * * * * * * * * * -- Heinrich Heine Who cares what you think or do? What's your track record? ~ BG |
#19
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
On Oct 15, 12:42*pm, Fred J. McCall wrote:
William Mook wrote: I have followed good engineering design practice in my ET derived RLV. * Horse manure. *You wouldn't know "good engineering design practice" if it came up and bit you on the ass. -- "Ignorance is preferable to error, and he is less remote from the *truth who believes nothing than he who believes what is wrong." * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *-- Thomas Jefferson It's guys like yourself that made Hitler a very happy camper. ~ BG |
#20
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NASA changing opinion on the Direct HLV launcher.
The main engine is an aerospike design with 72 combustors located in a
ring of combustors around the main expansion surface. Each of these combustors is built around an existing injector/combustor now in service and contributes 33,610 lbf thrust to the total. There is a 5 degree separation between the centerline of each combustor. There are three parallel systems of 24 combustors fed by the same pump - located one every 15 degrees around the entire ring. Three pumps feed three sets of 24 - offset by 5 degrees and 10 degrees respectively from the first. Loss of a set of 24 combustors - worse case - produce no asymmetric thrust whatever. If the system is in a portion of flight where it is throttled back to say 60% of its full thrust, the loss of a single pump is easily compensated for by increasing the remaining two pumps to 90% of full thrust. |
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