Ernesto threatens shuttle

whether it is save to keep shuttle on the pad during the weather event

That's the crux of the matter, as I understand it. They were waiting
because they thought maybe the storm would weaken or change course.

It has changed course a bit, but in the direction of going *closer* to
the Cape:
http://spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/st...llback/5am.gif

So they have decided to roll back.

On Mon, 28 Aug 2006 07:32:08 -0400, Jim Kingdon wrote:

whether it is save to keep shuttle on the pad during the weather event

That's the crux of the matter, as I understand it. They were waiting
because they thought maybe the storm would weaken or change course.

It has changed course a bit, but in the direction of going *closer* to
the Cape:
http://spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/st...llback/5am.gif

So they have decided to roll back.

If you look at how Ernesto is moving with respect to the model
predictions, it's not even close. It's at or outside the range (bounds) of
predicted tracks. Not even close to the little black line in the middle of
the range.

--
Craig Fink
Courtesy E-Mail Welcome @

On 28 Aug 2006 07:32:08 -0400, Jim Kingdon wrote:

whether it is save to keep shuttle on the pad during the weather event

That's the crux of the matter, as I understand it. They were waiting
because they thought maybe the storm would weaken or change course.

It has changed course a bit, but in the direction of going *closer* to
the Cape:
http://spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/st...llback/5am.gif

So they have decided to roll back.

At the current rate of the groundtrack's eastward migration, it looks
like Ernesto will pass the Cape well offshore. They might be able to
avoid the rollback.

Brian

"Jim Oberg" wrote in message
...
Tim, email me directly at
if
you'd like to share insights safely.

I was just being facetious with Haller.
Hell, even working there I still find out as much stuff from spaceflightnow
as I do from work.

On Mon, 28 Aug 2006 11:44:16 -0500, Brian Thorn wrote:

On 28 Aug 2006 07:32:08 -0400, Jim Kingdon wrote:

whether it is save to keep shuttle on the pad during the weather event

That's the crux of the matter, as I understand it. They were waiting
because they thought maybe the storm would weaken or change course.

It has changed course a bit, but in the direction of going *closer* to
the Cape:
http://spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/st...llback/5am.gif

So they have decided to roll back.

At the current rate of the groundtrack's eastward migration, it looks
like Ernesto will pass the Cape well offshore. They might be able to
avoid the rollback.

Ernesto on Cuban radar.
http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp...AS&TB1=RADARES

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp...cmwMAXw01a.gif

--
Craig Fink
Courtesy E-Mail Welcome @