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Originally intended as a letter to the President, written on November
1, 2005, this has been held on to since then; in part, because the current president is in a terminal lame duck condition. It is being posted here instead, as an open letter directed to a general audience, though still addressing him. ---------------- Mars and Africa http://federation.g3z.com/FedSeries/...ricaLetter.htm Dear President Bush, In 1965, the term Future Shock was coined by Toffler, who eventually came out with a book by the same name in 1970. The major theme, of a future arriving so fast as to drive many into a terminal state of neurotic overstimulation, was the focal point of its chapter, "The Limits of Adaptibility" on overstimulation. However... few people are aware that tucked away at the end of Future Shock, nestled away as a footnote, is a very long addendum on the exact opposite problem - understimulation. In it, Toffler made a very important point which has gone by unnoticed and (apparently) forgotten over the years even by himself: the effect of going in either direction outside of one's ideal adaptive range, whether it be over- or under-, is pretty much the same. Understimulation can, too, lead to a neurotic condition, with symptoms that are very familiar to anyone who's been around to see 9/11. This is a problem which can occur on both the individual level or at the level of an entire society. Anthropologists know it as the Rapa Nui Syndrome or Easter Island Syndrome (Rapa Nui being the native name for Easter Island). What would happen if an entire civilization were to become permanently stranded on an island? Whereas, in tradition, the female of the species has always had the birthright of being the deliverers of new life into this world, males have traditionally been called on to follow and claim another birthright: that of being the innovators, risk-takers, explorers - the carriers of the torch that lights beneath the spirit of enterprise. This is the frame of mind that espouses the creed: better to try and fail, than to sit around, playing it safe for the sake of trying to prevent the inevitable outcome of life. In a civilization locked away in the prison of permanent confinement, this drive is thwarted. But one way or another, it will find expression and it must manifest itself in some fashion, regardless of the consequences for good- or ill- fortune of its having done so. The name of the syndrome recalls the situation that actually took place on Easter Island when the natives cut down the last trees, thereby stranding themselves permanently on the island. What had started out as a literate people, the farthest reaches of an enterprising race that had colonized the Pacific Ocean and had reached all the way from Madagascar off the coast of Africa, to Easter Island, not far from South America, rapidly degenerated into a society fraught with rape, cannibalism, fratricide, terrorism, extremist cults, and so on. By the time Spanish or Latin American colonists returned for another visit to the island, there was little more left than a rabble of illiterate savages. The written script, to this day, remains undeciphered and the words spoken by them had fallen into the mute oblivion of a dead civilization. This is the effect of understimulation, and it hits males particularly hard in virtue of the greater need for them to express their birthright, though it ultimately affects everyone, both male and female. An instance of the Easter Island Syndrome, in fact, struck the metro area of Milwaukee during the spring and summer of 2005; and possibly other areas throughout the nation - not to mention throughout the world: even as I write this, the outcroppings of the same syndrome are manifesting throughout France. The spike in murder rates around Milwaukee, this time around, was not the heat, nor drugs or gangs, but simply anger: people looking at each other the wrong way, simple arguments blaring up into murderous hostility. What few people realise in their parochial and topical outlook is that these occurrences are not the random spikes of local communities, or occurrences related to the latest pet-issues of the day on either the Left or the Right. Since the end of the Age of Exploration - a time that can be marked by the conquest of the polar regions in the 1920's - the suicide rate ratio for males vs. females has skyrocketed in the United States, going from 3:2 to 5:1, at present. In every single nation on this planet (possibly except China), wherever suicide rates are reported in substantial numbers, it is seen to be an undertaking carried out mostly by males. In some parts of the world (notably the ex-USSR) the ratio well over the 10:1 ratio of the US. The rates, overall, have risen substantially since the middle of the previous century to the point that the WHO has now made a major issue out of it. It is, in fact, now one of the leading causes of death amongst the world's youth - particularly, young men. This is, in fact, nothing less than the early outcropping of what would be expected from the emergence of a worldwide Rapa Nui Syndrome. Throughout the world, it is as if the males of the species have come to progressively lose their direction. Colleges and Universities, worldwide, have become female-majority in their student population. Even in Saudi Arabia - traditionally one of the most patriarchal nations on Earth, with even one of the highest male/female ratios in its general population - it's up to around 60% female. In the Gulf States, where the male/female ratio in the general population is even more extreme (as high as 2:1), the ratio for college students has swung more extremely the opposite way - as high as 70%-75% female. In Mongolia, it's up to 70% female, the US Virgin Islands, 70-75%. All throughout the developed world, college student populations have risen to 55%-60% female (with only a few exceptions, like Germany); in parts of Southern Africa, likewise. In South America, the students even at the high school level have gone female-majority in many places; likewise for the student population at the college and university level. Even in Iran, this is the case, as well as in Libya now. The discrepancy even exists in the 3rd World, with sharp contrast between the older world, still set in the rural regions of Ethiopia, for instance, where the majority of school dropouts are still girls; versus the newer world, exemplified by the urban regions of Ethiopia, where it's the boys dropping out in larger numbers. In the world of the professions, the same development has begun to take root. Here, too, as men appear to be losing their direction; women have had to take up the slack to fill in the vacuum. One can see it readily, for instance, on television at news time, with the TV news sector shifting from majority male to majority female, in recent times. As of the last few years, economists have become female majority; psychologists had already crossed over 50-50 a few decades ago; accountants, actuaries, marketers, human resources have gone to female majority. The managerial sector, in the US, has crossed over the 50-50 mark in 2004, and is now a majority female occupation. Enrollment in public policy schools, law schools, med schools have tipped over to female majority this decade. The professional sector, throughout the developed world, has gone as high as 60% female (and nearing 70% female in the ex-USSR). The progressive loss of direction, the increase in suicidal behaviors, in the incidence of other expressions of neanderthal impulses - not the least being the medieval backlash movements in the most affected parts of the world, such as the Middle East ... these are all outcroppings of the growing phenomenon of the worldwide Easter Island Syndrome. What lies under all this speaks directly to the fundamental malaise of the world unique to this time: the world is suffering a serious case of the cabin fever of the Easter Island Syndrome. It is too crowded, too cooped up, like a civilization on a stranded island. It is too self-absorbed, too obsessed with the petty grievances of the day, the very obsession which only serves to perpetuate the condition, itself. One only need look at the history of China from the 14th Century (Ming Dynasty) on to the 20th Century to see what happens to a great civilization that falls into unremitting self-absorption., During that time it evolved from being the premier power on Earth (even with rocket technology and the potential to have discovered the New World before Europe) into little more than a venue where foreign armies from dozens of nations could freely parade around in its largest cities by September of 1900. In that span of time, it went from being top dog to being everybody else's bitch. All the energy that would have gone into an outward drive and focus ended up being thwarted by the rise of xenophobic isolationism and in that period of time, as it stagnated in a perpetuation of its status quo, the rest of the world passed it by. This time, the deadline that the world faces, it faces together and there will be no outside force to supersede its stagnation, no outside agency to rescue it. The world is a circle of guillotines, a major power locked in each, holding a cable that keeps aloft the blade of the guillotine of the neighbor to the right. The first to let go shall be the last to witness the full truth of the saying that what goes around comes around. Providence has called on you to bring forth a new vision of the world. But, you have not yet seen the full extent of the panoramic vista that lies before you, in this vision, except in heretofore disjoint fragments. It is the full picture accompanying this vision that I am about to lay out before you here. Yes, Africa is central to this calling, as you have sensed. And, yes, Mars is central to this calling, as you have attempted to express. The connection between the two, which has so far eluded you, however, is what is central to the vision, itself. The biggest impediment to the proposition of Mars is the here-and-now; yet that is the most salient aspect of their connection! Take a photograph of the Sahara Desert and one of Mars, and place them together. As you do so, you will begin to understand the destiny that lies before the human race. Like Mars, the Sahara was once a more waterbourne climate and (in contrast to Mars) was, indeed, a greenspace. Each year, the desert grows, in recent years its sand storms reaching all the way across the Mediterranean into Europe, and across the Atlantic into the United States, itself. A similar problem now also exists in China, with the Gobi Desert advancing each year, and its sand storms now impinging on Beijing, itself, and occasionally reaching all the way east into the United States, even to the Great Lakes region. In California, the Salton Sea and surrounding regions are suffering the same fate, putting the entire region in danger; and the threat of another Dust Bowl, like that in the 1930's, looms large. The Aral Sea in the ex-USSR (or, more correctly, what used to be the Aral Sea) has suffered under a misplaced effort by the ex-Soviets to appropriate new greenspace in its surrounding regions. As we draw from this disaster the lesson of how not to reclaim greenspace, we now face a situation that has not only brought China, Africa and the United States into the loop, but Russia and the rest of the CIS, as well. When Mars is brought up, it's only too common to hear the natural retort: "what's the point of worrying about going there when we have all these problems to take care of here?" But - that's exactly the point! What's the point of going to Mars, itself? The destiny of the human race and its civilization must be to evolve to its next stage, now imminently upon it, as a full-fledged spacefaring civilization throughout the inner solar system with two worlds as home - one on Earth, one on Mars. After the Civil War, laments could be heard about how much the Public Debt had accrued as a result. From the perspective of today, those concerns are laughably quaint with the US hundreds of times larger and the debt of that time little more than pocket-change of today. How much different, then, would the perspective be from the vantage point of a vast cosmographic civilizations thousands of times larger than the largest geographic economies of today, of our "massive Debt", which will likewise be laughed off as little more than pocket-change of concern only to the quaint rubes comprising the Earthlubbing folk of the present era? This is what makes the self-absorbed obsession of today so dangerous. Has the lesson of China, and its stagnation into permanent self-obsession 1300-1900 not been learned sufficiently well to avoid repeating the folly once more? But, the here-and-now is the salient aspect of the connection between Mars and the African continent; and of the picture this connection bespeaks. For, if a civilization that would purport to transform an entire planet into a form rendered suitable for habitation cannot even render the desolate regions of its own planet likewise suitable, then it might as well just throw in the towel and forget about ever going off-world. And having done so: then we're back to the Easter Island Syndrome, ultimately at root of the destructive loss of focus of half of the human race. At that point, then, it's only a matter of time before it, too, falls into the mute oblivion of yet another dead world. The stars and planets may always be there, but there is a deadline to Destiny. Unless the world of the present wants to become witness to the obsessive self-absorption, thwarted ambition, the Easter Island Syndrome of cabin fever understimulation and all of its consequences, then it must reclaim its outward focus: starting here, at home, in the deserts of this world. The Sahara Desert, you see, is nothing less than the natural proving ground for the transformation and colonization of an entire planet. Before one would seek to transform an entire world, it is only natural that attention should be placed on rescuing the most desolate parts of this world. The technologies developed and used to restore greenspace in this world shall then become the embryonic precursor of the more advanced technology required in the transformation of Mars, itself. This is the connection of Africa and Mars. The timeliness of the need to bring about a virtual Second Agricultural Revolution that would be needed to engender this result, to effect restoration of the greenspace on this Earth is beyond dispute. In addition to the problem of desertification, there is the related problem of global warming - a cause for concern not just for those on the Left, but increasingly for those in the community of the evangelical Right who are now voicing concern over the lasting well-being of "God's Green Earth". Quite possibly, this change is related to the recent increase in the number and intensity of storms in recent years. This includes not just the major disasters, Katrina, Wilma, etc., that have dominated the news, but lesser-known incidents, such as the anomalous appearance of a virtual hurricane, powered by and coming off the cusp of a huge temperature gradient, in the mid-section of the US, the winds in the Milwaukee area getting up to 80 MPH or more just days before Ophelia; or monster tornado storms, like the 23 simultaneous tornadoes that barely missed the Milwaukee metro area just before Katrina struck New Orleans, and even as I write this: the biggest tornado in 30 years striking the middle of Indiana in the middle of the Autumn half way to winter. What better way to break the backs of this overall syndrome than by the brute force measure of systematically reclaiming new greenspace where desert sands now lie? As people fret over the prospect of a "Green Tide" of fundamentalism sweeping the Islamic world, let the true Green Tide come to be known as that which sweeps across the desert sands bringing forth once again new life and prosperity even as malcontents and cynics bemoan the "evil imperialist West". As environmentalists hash out the vagaries of such audacity as that of reclaiming an entire desert; while they continue to whine about the need to cut back on automobile emissions, forge ahead and cut the Gordion Knot. For in times to follow, they will long commemorate and sing the deeds accomplished in this era - In a time when Venus eclipsed Mars, a great yearning had awaken to reach the stars. A Green Tide swept over the lands, where there was nothing but desert sands. This is a new cause for the African Union, which seeks both to resolve its desertification problem and to consummate a new space agency. It is a legacy that its most vocal leaders and founders in Africa are in search for as they reach the end of their lives. What could be more fitting for the inaugural mission of a new African Space Agency than that of establishing a new proving grounds in the desert? To establish a large-scale mission, in collaboration with China, Europe, Russia and the United States, to reclaim Africa; and to turn what is now the basketcase of the world into a new breadbasket for the world? This requires major innovations in water purification technologies, a field Israel has become expertised in (as well as urban areas, like Milwaukee, which also hosts a horticultural center under a system of domes which could readily be converted into one of many research centers or proving grounds for new agricultural or horticultural technologies). It requires a bona fide revolution in agriculture, with the inauguration of agricultural robotics (a field in major growth at present), extraterrestial agriculture (a process undergoing development in places like Texas A&M and Iowa State). Why strive for anything less than novel or advanced technologies that, for instance, could allow one to match and even exceed the amazing feat of those who live at the base of Mount Kilomonjaro who, with their population density approaching that of an American suburb and without the need even for tilling, still manage to maintain life in a forest and grow as many as 100 separate crops simultaneously in a area as small as an acre at a time? And yet, even this miracle has a deadline - global warming has virtually eliminated the snowcap atop Kilomonjaro, and it too will suffer a fate not unlike that of the Sahara or the Sahel. When people ask "what good is focus on Mars when we have all these problems in the world?", answer by correcting the question "what good is it not to focus on Mars, which the resolution of all these problems provides the ideal proving grounds for; and whose very occurrence in this particular time in history seems to be no less than the bestowment of a challenge placed before us by an ever-watchful Providence as the test of our fitness to bear the larger burden of establishing a new world on a new home? I may not live to see us get there, but as God is my witness, I will lead the way on the first steps of the journey that will get us there." The Easter Island Syndrome, the growing problems with the climate change and the desertification of this world and the loss of its greenspace, and the opportunity that awaits the human race on a planet whose very history mimicks that of the growing deserts of the world - these all point in the same direction to the same futu a new world on Mars, and a vast, new cosmographic civilization spanning the inner solar system. We have not yet looked up to the True Horizon. In the past 35 years, the world has advanced from the small step of reaching the moon to the vaunted heights of near Earth orbit. Procastination is the buzzword of an outmoded civilization, not an enterprising people. What is the point of endlessly delaying the Future, when the very process of acting on it is one and the same as that of breaking the back, by brute force, of the big problems afflicting the world of the present? This is the Future already. It's the 21st Century, for God's sake! We are supposed to have space stations in orbit, ships going out to Jupiter, bases on the Moon and flying automobiles by now! We're supposed to be doing all these things right now, not coddling to Earthlubbers still stuck in the 20th Century "putting off" these things until the "next century" as if the 21st Century were still the future. If this world continues to thwart the drive of its male half, even with recess and dodge ball taken away and the young "brutes" drugged up to keep them from acting on their natural impulses; if it chooses to remain cooped up in a more-and-more crowded Easter Island prison, then these natural drives that have always found expression in the times of the past when a terra incognita Horizon had always existed, will turn inward in this day and age of the Lost Horizon, and the effects will be utterly destructive. The time bomb is set - the two most populous nations on Earth, India and China, have had male/female birth ratios shooting through the roof at 110/100 or over for a decade now. By 2010, these males will be grown and the world had better have something more going on in it than the belly-button lint-picking it seems obsessed with today, by the time that year arrives. For, no less than was the case on Easter Island, you can count on it that by the end of the next decade the final outcome will see these words and all others fall into the mute oblivion of yet another dead world. An entire gender will come to perceive itself as useless baggage, living in the world that has stolen their God-given birthright, and they will exact a toll of unimaginable vengeance for this indignity, and either bring down the world with it or go extinct. In this moment of change and uncertainty in the midst of your second term, you are seeking to establish a new direction, and to lay forth a new legacy going beyond your administration and even your life. It is a cause that is common not just to the US, Russia, China, Africa, India and Europe, but even to those who are counted presently as amongst the worst enemies of the West. Even the most extreme Islamist pines for a world green with gardens and oases covering what now is only desert. Steal the thunder and ideal, proclaiming the true meaning of the Green Tide and of the green flag of the nation of Islam. Providence is calling on you to complete the vision by bringing together the two pieces that you have kept separate up to now: Mars and Africa. With, or without you, it will be, and it must be. I have foreseen it: An international Space program will come into being that will have the ambitious goal of terraforming Mars. Preliminary to this will be a trial run in which the Sahara will be 'terraformed'. This latter event will lead to renewed prosperity in the African continent. - 1991 November 11, news://sci.skeptic Thank you for your time, Mark Hopkins http://federation.g3z.com |
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