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On 4/27/13 11:56 AM, Poutnik wrote:
Yousuf Khan posted Sat, 27 Apr 2013 13:34:29 -0400 On 26/04/2013 9:46 PM, wrote: If Betelgeuse goes supernova there is a pretty good chance you can say bye bye to life on earth Only if the GRB it produces is pointed towards us. That means that its polar jets need to be pointed towards us within 2 degrees. The most recent study done shows that its polar jets are pointed away from us by about 20 degrees, so we're safe. What about expected radiation spectrum ? Even sourcee weaker then Sun can have unpleasant high energy spectrum part. Ozone and oxygen in the earth's atmosphere blocks most gamma, x-ray and hard UV. |
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![]() Sam Wormley posted Sat, 27 Apr 2013 16:02:26 -0500 On 4/27/13 11:56 AM, Poutnik wrote: Yousuf Khan posted Sat, 27 Apr 2013 13:34:29 -0400 On 26/04/2013 9:46 PM, wrote: If Betelgeuse goes supernova there is a pretty good chance you can say bye bye to life on earth Only if the GRB it produces is pointed towards us. That means that its polar jets need to be pointed towards us within 2 degrees. The most recent study done shows that its polar jets are pointed away from us by about 20 degrees, so we're safe. What about expected radiation spectrum ? Even sourcee weaker then Sun can have unpleasant high energy spectrum part. Ozone and oxygen in the earth's atmosphere blocks most gamma, x-ray and hard UV. I do know that, the question is, if that is enough. The Sun eruptions and solar winds have influence as well. -- Poutnik |
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On 27/04/2013 5:06 PM, Poutnik wrote:
Sam Wormley posted Sat, 27 Apr 2013 16:02:26 -0500 Ozone and oxygen in the earth's atmosphere blocks most gamma, x-ray and hard UV. I do know that, the question is, if that is enough. The Sun eruptions and solar winds have influence as well. The only thing that can overpower the Earth's Ozone layer from space is a close GRB pointed straight at us, i.e. it's polar jets are pointed to within 2 degrees of our solar system. The GRB also has to be somewhere less than 3000-13000 light-years from us, and directly aimed at us to have any effect on us. Betelgeuse is 600 light-years away, and it will go supernova, but it may not become a GRB. Even if it does become a GRB, it still has to be pointed towards us, and it doesn't look like its polls are. Yousuf Khan |
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On Sat, 27 Apr 2013 16:02:26 -0500, Sam Wormley
wrote: What about expected radiation spectrum ? Even sourcee weaker then Sun can have unpleasant high energy spectrum part. Ozone and oxygen in the earth's atmosphere blocks most gamma, x-ray and hard UV. UV yes but the gamma will only burn off the ozone |
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On Sat, 27 Apr 2013 18:01:35 -0400, Yousuf Khan
wrote: The only thing that can overpower the Earth's Ozone layer from space is a close GRB pointed straight at us, i.e. it's polar jets are pointed to within 2 degrees of our solar system. The GRB also has to be somewhere less than 3000-13000 light-years from us, and directly aimed at us to have any effect on us. Betelgeuse is 600 light-years away, and it will go supernova, but it may not become a GRB. Even if it does become a GRB, it still has to be pointed towards us, and it doesn't look like its polls are. Yousuf Khan Close? is over 1000 LY considered close a GRB at that distance would totally burn off the ozone |
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Dear bil...:
On Saturday, April 27, 2013 3:22:20 PM UTC-7, wrote: .... UV yes but the gamma will only burn off the ozone The particle accelerator folks have to scrub ozone in and around their machines. They do this, because *all* ionizing radiation makes ozone. If we get hit with a GRB, we will have plenty of ozone. We will have ozone and NOx, the skies will turn dark brown as our entire facing atmosphere will have the worst case of "photochemical smog" Earth may ever have seen. David A. Smith |
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On 4/26/13 8:46 PM, wrote:
If Betelgeuse goes supernova there is a pretty good chance you can say bye bye to life on earth Will Betelgeuse Go Supernova in ... http://space.about.com/b/2011/01/24/...va-in-2012.htm If you believe the reports floating around in the internet, the exploding star will appear as a second Sun in the day time, and illuminate the night. And, worse yet, the sheer energy from the blast will have devastating effects on the Earth, particularly our atmosphere! Uhh, no. While an exact distance to Betelgeuse is difficult to assess (late stage red giants have tenuous outer envelopes, thwarting traditional attempts to measure distance accurately), our best estimate is that it is about 600 light-years from Earth. This is actually quite close in galactic terms (our Sun is about 8 light-minutes from Earth), so I am not totally shocked how the blogosphere has crescendoed to near panic levels over this. But instead of panicking, let's do a little back-of-the-envelope calculation. Typically Type II supernova (a supernova resulting from the collapse of a massive star) of this size have a peak luminosity (integrated over all wavelengths) approaching about 1 billion times the power of our Sun. Quite impressive. It sounds like a lot of energy is being generated very quickly and it is. So why am I not worried? Because the apparent luminosity (effectively the amount of energy that arrives at Earth per second) falls off with the square of the distance. In Laymen's terms, if our Sun were ten times further away from us, its apparent luminosity would be 100 times less. So given the 600 light-year distance to Betelgeuse (about 40 million times further away from us than our Sun), the apparent peak luminosity of the supernova explosion will be roughly 0.00006% of our Sun's apparent luminosity. Clearly that is such a small percentage that the additional flux will have zero effect on our planet. |
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