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On Jul 18, 11:34 pm, wrote:
"0.5°C in the last 50 yr" is well within standard deviation. In Greenland, for example, it was lush with plant and insects just 500,000 years ago: First, Nature doesn't care about standard deviation, and seond the issue is Antarctica today, not Greenland 500k years ago. "Living in the trees and on the forest floor was a wide variety of insect life including beetles, flies, spiders, butterflies and moths." Why didn't you start this with "Once upon a time ..."? "They found the temperature varied widely, by as much as 15 C (27 F) over the 800,000 years" One of the most common errors in the AGW issue is compression Any attempt to claim a 15dC rise or fall over 800k years is anything other than stability ... is guilty. If you want to refer to those swings in narrower timespans, please do so. See http://www.globalwarminghoax.com/news.php?extend.18 So no I don't think there is any problem at all. Whatever that site is, if that's your homebase, we just found problem #1 - you're not doing real homework. |
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On Aug 10, 4:42 am, owl wrote:
On Jul 18, 11:34 pm, wrote: "0.5°C in the last 50 yr" is well within standard deviation. In Greenland, for example, it was lush with plant and insects just 500,000 years ago: First, Nature doesn't care about standard deviation, and seond the issue is Antarctica today, not Greenland 500k years ago. Second, standard deviation was only developed for math and computers, rather than cranks like physicists. Which is the only reason that Antartica is not the Moon. "Living in the trees and on the forest floor was a wide variety of insect life including beetles, flies, spiders, butterflies and moths." Why didn't you start this with "Once upon a time ..."? "They found the temperature varied widely, by as much as 15 C (27 F) over the 800,000 years" One of the most common errors in the AGW issue is compression Any attempt to claim a 15dC rise or fall over 800k years is anything other than stability ... is guilty. If you want to refer to those swings in narrower timespans, please do so. Seehttp://www.globalwarminghoax.com/news.php?extend.18 So no I don't think there is any problem at all. Whatever that site is, if that's your homebase, we just found problem #1 - you're not doing real homework. |
#3
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On Wed, 18 Jul 2007 10:45:32 -0500, "Server 13"
wrote: wrote in message . .. From World Climate Report http://www.worldclimatereport.com/in...lobal-warming- debate-upside-down-antarctic-update/ ----Is Antarctica warming and melting away? If you consult the latest report of the United Nations=3F Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), you would find statements on the subject in the summary including =3FAntarctic sea ice extent continues to show inter-annual variability and localized changes but no statistically significant average trends, consistent with the lack of warming reflected in atmospheric temperatures averaged across the region=3F and =3FCurrent global model studies project that the Antarctic ice sheet will remain too cold for widespread surface melting and is expected to gain in mass due to increased snowfall.=3F Amazing =3F one would never suspect such conclusions given a cover story in National Geographic titled =3FTHE BIG THAW.=3F ---- You omitted the following. Why? "Significant climate changes observed in the Antarctic include the increase in surface air temperature (SAT). SAT over the Antarctic as a whole has increased by 0.5°C in the last 50 yr, which appears to be part of a global SAT warming trend in recent years." There's a trick to this ... Antarctica is BIG. It has a lot of inland area. While the overall SAT may increase, causing a loss of ice around the edges, the inland areas will STILL remain extremely cold. A few degrees change in the global SAT won't make the interior warm enough to cause ice melting. If anything, the water vapor increase at the coast may simply fuel thicker deposits inland, once the air moves in and cools. This is similar to what's been seen in Greenland - some melting at the edges but slight thickening further inland. Expect antarctica to eventually look similar to Greenland, with a thin ice-free belt along the entire seacoast, maybe even proper vegetation, with a HUGE lump of ice beyond. The arctic OCEAN ice, floating as it is, is much more vulnerable to increases in the SAT and ocean temperature. "Warmer" water will infiltrate below, "warmer" winds play above. Ice disappears. If the GW hypothesis is even half right, expect the majority of summertime arctic sea ice to totally vanish within 25-50 years, barring some unforseen climatic event. Of course this "warm" sea will put more water vapor into the air - some of which will find its way to still-frigid inland Greenland where it will thicken the glacier. The loss of the thermal buffering provided by arctic sea ice and the increased water vapor in the area is bound to have exotic effects on north american climate. What they will be, exactly, seems beyond the trustworthy reach of modeling programs. It's the "butterfly effect", but with a huge swarm of butterflies involved. About all we can say is that SOMETHING will happen - so maybe the farmers should be prepared to pick up stakes and move on comparatively short notice. |
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![]() There's a trick to this ... Antarctica is BIG. It has a lot of inland area. While the overall SAT may increase, causing a loss of ice around the edges, the inland areas will STILL remain extremely cold. A few degrees change in the global SAT won't make the interior warm enough to cause ice melting. If anything, the water vapor increase at the coast may simply fuel thicker deposits inland, once the air moves in and cools. This is similar to what's been seen in Greenland - some melting at the edges but slight thickening further inland. Expect antarctica to eventually look similar to Greenland, with a thin ice-free belt along the entire seacoast, maybe even proper vegetation, with a HUGE lump of ice beyond. The arctic OCEAN ice, floating as it is, is much more vulnerable to increases in the SAT and ocean temperature. "Warmer" water will infiltrate below, "warmer" winds play above. Ice disappears. If the GW hypothesis is even half right, expect the majority of summertime arctic sea ice to totally vanish within 25-50 years, barring some unforseen climatic event. Of course this "warm" sea will put more water vapor into the air - some of which will find its way to still-frigid inland Greenland where it will thicken the glacier. The loss of the thermal buffering provided by arctic sea ice and the increased water vapor in the area is bound to have exotic effects on north american climate. What they will be, exactly, seems beyond the trustworthy reach of modeling programs. It's the "butterfly effect", but with a huge swarm of butterflies involved. About all we can say is that SOMETHING will happen - so maybe the farmers should be prepared to pick up stakes and move on comparatively short notice. Very well stated. Thank you. http://groups.google.com/group/alt.g...g/topics?hl=en |
#5
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![]() Server 13 wrote: "Significant climate changes observed in the Antarctic include the increase in surface air temperature (SAT). SAT over the Antarctic as a whole has increased by 0.5°C in the last 50 yr So ? Precipitation tends to follow that trend which results in more ice. Graham |
#6
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On Jul 18, 8:45 am, "Server 13" wrote:
"Significant climate changes observed in the Antarctic include the increase in surface air temperature (SAT). SAT over the Antarctic as a whole has increased by 0.5°C in the last 50 yr, which appears to be part of a global SAT warming trend in recent years." This is a lie. Check the antarctic station temperature charts. Few located on antarctic peninsula, and few on the coast show some warming. None of the located in the antarctic interior indicate any warming at all. |
#7
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On Jul 18, 11:45 am, "Server 13" wrote:
wrote in message .. . From World Climate Report http://www.worldclimatereport.com/in...lobal-warming- debate-upside-down-antarctic-update/ ----Is Antarctica warming and melting away? If you consult the latest report of the United Nations=3F Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), you would find statements on the subject in the summary including =3FAntarctic seaiceextent continues to show inter-annual variability and localized changes but no statistically significant average trends, consistent with the lack of warming reflected in atmospheric temperatures averaged across the region=3F and =3FCurrent global model studies project that the Antarcticicesheet will remain too cold for widespread surface melting and is expected to gain in mass due to increased snowfall.=3F Amazing =3F one would never suspect such conclusions given a cover story in National Geographic titled =3FTHE BIG THAW.=3F ---- You omitted the following. Why? "Significant climate changes observed in the Antarctic include the increase in surface air temperature (SAT). SAT over the Antarctic as a whole has increased by 0.5°C in the last 50 yr, which appears to be part of a global SAT warming trend in recent years." Further, we learn that "Except for some areas of the Atlantic and Indian sectors where SAT has decreased, a significant increase in SAT has occurred in most of the Southern Ocean according to the reanalysis data. Since 1979 the increase in SAT is 0.027°C yr-1 over theice-covered areas of the Southern Ocean. In conjunction with an increase in SAT is an increase in the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis surface downward longwave radiation (SDLR) and precipitation." According to the data analyzed by Zhang, Antarctica has warmed, precipitation has increased, and the downward longwave (infrared) energy has increased ." Amazing considering considering climatehotmap.org/antarctica.html continues to state that Antarctica is melting away "Warming 5 times global average" and that the "LarsenAiceshelfdisintegrated"!! What a joke. If they can't even figure out what is happening under their noses how can they predict what will happen tomorroww? Antartica can't melt away. Since for one thing, it's only a collection of glaciers in the minds of severely braindead idgits. Since that appears to be what's happening, it's hard to get what your problem is. Found using research at Global Warming Hoax http://www.GlobalWarmingHoax.com OOPS - there's your problem. roflmao- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - |
#8
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![]() wrote Antartica can't melt away. Since for one thing, it's only a collection of glaciers in the minds of severely braindead idgits. Antarctic Glaciers Melting Faster -Study ---------------------------------------- - Reuters - 09/21/2004 21:54 WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Glaciers once held up by a floating ice shelf off Antarctica are now sliding off into the sea -- and they are going fast, scientists said on Tuesday. Two separate studies from climate researchers and the space agency NASA show the glaciers are flowing into Antarctica's Weddell Sea, freed by the 2002 breakup of the Larsen B ice shelf. Writing in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, the researchers said their satellite measurements suggest climate warming can lead to rapid sea level rise. The teams at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado in Boulder, and NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, said the findings also prove that ice shelves hold back glaciers. Many teams of researchers are keeping a close eye on parts of Antarctica that are steadily melting. Large ice shelves in the Antarctic Peninsula disintegrated in 1995 and 2002 as a result of climate warming. But these floating ice shelves did not affect sea level as they melted. Glaciers, however, are another story. They rest on land and when they slide off into the water they instantly affect sea level. It was not clear how the loss of the Larsen B ice shelf would affect nearby glaciers. But soon after its collapse, researchers saw nearby glaciers flowing up to eight times faster than before. "If anyone was waiting to find out whether Antarctica would respond quickly to climate warming, I think the answer is yes," said Theodore Scambos, a University of Colorado glacier expert who worked on one study. "We've seen 150 miles of coastline change drastically in just 15 years." The affected area is at the far northern tip of the Antarctic, just south of Chile and Argentina. Temperatures there have risen by up to 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit (2.5 degrees C) in the past 60 years -- faster than almost any region in the world. In the past 30 years, ice shelves in the region have lost more than 5,200 square miles of area. "The Larsen area can be looked at as a miniature experiment, showing how warming can dramatically change the ice sheets, and how fast it can happen," Scambos said in a statement. "At every step in the process, things have occurred more rapidly than we expected." But not all the melting in the Antarctic can be seen as a "miniature experiment." The Ross ice shelf, for example, is the main outlet for the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, with several large glaciers that could, if they melted completely, raise sea levels by 16 feet. "While the consequences of this area are small compared to other parts of the Antarctic, it is a harbinger of what will happen when the large ice sheets begin to warm," Scambos said. "The much larger ice shelves in other parts of Antarctica could have much greater effects on the rate of sea level rise." |
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ExterminateAllRepubliKKKans wrote:
wrote Antartica can't melt away. Since for one thing, it's only a collection of glaciers in the minds of severely braindead idgits. Antarctic Glaciers Melting Faster -Study ---------------------------------------- - Reuters - 09/21/2004 21:54 WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Glaciers once held up by a floating ice shelf off Antarctica are now sliding off into the sea -- and they are going fast, scientists said on Tuesday. Two separate studies from climate researchers and the space agency NASA show the glaciers are flowing into Antarctica's Weddell Sea, freed by the 2002 breakup of the Larsen B ice shelf. A few Co2ppm difference and the globe is at risk, if life is so tender, we're dinosaurs. -- http://OutSourcedNews.com Our constitution protects aliens, drunks and U.S. Senators. Which at times are, one and the same... The problem with the global warming theory, is that a theory is like a bowl of ice-cream, it only takes a little dab of bull**** to ruin the whole thing. - Gump That - |
#10
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![]() "Talk-n-Dog" wrote A few Co2ppm difference and the globe is at risk, A 100% change is rather significant. If you doubt this, then I challenge you to double your weight. |
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