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Hi guys.
Awhile back I studied an interesting hypothesis about Sunspot cycles. The 11 and 22 year cycle sync'd with the orbital periods of Jupiter and Saturn. In turn those deflected asteriods into the Sun which causes Sunspots to appear, rather like craters on a star...Sun craters. Anyone else ever study that? Regards Ken S. Tucker |
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On Sep 29, 2:01*pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote:
Hi guys. Awhile back I studied an interesting hypothesis about Sunspot cycles. The 11 and 22 year cycle sync'd with the orbital periods of Jupiter and Saturn. In turn those deflected asteriods into the Sun which causes Sunspots to appear, rather like craters on a star...Sun craters. Anyone else ever study that? Regards Ken S. Tucker Well, I think it is pretty well established just what causes sunspots... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunspots ,,, and I don't see anything there about asteroids... just where did you find this hypothesis? \Paul A |
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On Sep 29, 3:01*pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote:
Awhile back I studied an interesting hypothesis about Sunspot cycles. The 11 and 22 year cycle sync'd with the orbital periods of Jupiter and Saturn. In turn those deflected asteriods into the Sun which causes Sunspots to appear, rather like craters on a star...Sun craters. Anyone else ever study that? What did you find out when you studied that idea? John Savard |
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On Sep 29, 2:41 pm, Quadibloc wrote:
On Sep 29, 3:01 pm, "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: Awhile back I studied an interesting hypothesis about Sunspot cycles. The 11 and 22 year cycle sync'd with the orbital periods of Jupiter and Saturn. In turn those deflected asteriods into the Sun which causes Sunspots to appear, rather like craters on a star...Sun craters. Anyone else ever study that? What did you find out when you studied that idea? John Savard While complex, the hypothesis is quite viable. Unfortunately, there is little data on the density of the asteroid belt and less knowledge about the effect of asteroid impacts on solar climatology, which in turn has a gross effect on Earths climatology (neglecting the new fad of cow farts causes global warming ;-). The solar impacts themselves re-align the magnet signature, it's the causal, in the hypothesis, sounds ok to me. Regards Ken S. Tucker |
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On Thu, 29 Sep 2011 15:30:31 -0700 (PDT), "Ken S. Tucker"
wrote: While complex, the hypothesis is quite viable. I don't think so. Unfortunately, there is little data on the density of the asteroid belt... Actually, that is extremely well established. ... and less knowledge about the effect of asteroid impacts on solar climatology, Also well known. No effect at all. The Sun is constantly pelted by asteroids and comets, and no observed impacts have produced any visible or measurable effect. And there is no theoretical basis for assuming there would be- the kinetic energy of an asteroid or comet impact is infinitesimal compared with the energies observed in sunspot regions. In fact, the mechanism behind sunspots is rather well understood in general terms, even if there are many details that remain unknown. |
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![]() "Chris L Peterson" wrote in message ... On Thu, 29 Sep 2011 15:30:31 -0700 (PDT), "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: While complex, the hypothesis is quite viable. I don't think so. Unfortunately, there is little data on the density of the asteroid belt... Actually, that is extremely well established. ... and less knowledge about the effect of asteroid impacts on solar climatology, Also well known. No effect at all. The Sun is constantly pelted by asteroids and comets, I didn't know that. Where can I find out more about this? and no observed impacts have produced any visible or measurable effect. He claims they cause sunspots. These are both visible and measurable. And there is no theoretical basis for assuming there would be- the kinetic energy of an asteroid or comet impact is infinitesimal compared with the energies observed in sunspot regions. He said nothing about kinetic energy. There are far more plausible mechanisms; the elements found in asteroids are very different to those usually found in the photosphere, and their ionised forms could have very different electrical and hence magnetic propoerties. In fact, the mechanism behind sunspots is rather well understood in general terms, even if there are many details that remain unknown. It isn't known at all, and the current best theories have some problems. The main problem (in my opinion) is the very great regularity shown by the sunspot cycle. The purported mechanism relies on a dynamo effect, the same as causes changes to the earth's magnetic field. However, the record of magnetic reversals on earth does not show anything like the regular periodic behaviour observed in the sunspot cycle. I do not believe that comets and asteroids affect the sunspot cycle, but nor have I seen any explanation for why it has a fixed period of 11 years whilst still showing considerable variation in its amplitude. This theory does at least address these two observations, for which there is currently no explanation, even if it has other problems. |
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On Fri, 30 Sep 2011 13:53:53 +1000, "Peter Webb"
wrote: Also well known. No effect at all. The Sun is constantly pelted by asteroids and comets, I didn't know that. Where can I find out more about this? Ever seen the SOHO data? He claims they cause sunspots. These are both visible and measurable. He claims. Exactly. Without any observational evidence or theoretical basis. If I claim that porpoise farts cause tsunamis, does it become a viable theory because tsunamis are observable? What HAS been observed is large bodies crashing into the Sun. And in no case has a sunspot ever been produced. He said nothing about kinetic energy. There are far more plausible mechanisms; the elements found in asteroids are very different to those usually found in the photosphere, and their ionised forms could have very different electrical and hence magnetic propoerties. The elements found in asteroids are the same as those found in the Sun. The ionized forms of those elements are well known and their behavior is understood. In fact, the mechanism behind sunspots is rather well understood in general terms, even if there are many details that remain unknown. It isn't known at all, and the current best theories have some problems. Surprise. Yet another area of science you know absolutely nothing about. The main problem (in my opinion) is the very great regularity shown by the sunspot cycle. The purported mechanism relies on a dynamo effect, the same as causes changes to the earth's magnetic field. However, the record of magnetic reversals on earth does not show anything like the regular periodic behaviour observed in the sunspot cycle. That's because the mechanisms are different. The Sun is a vastly simpler system than the Earth. We can directly observe how its magnetic field becomes increasingly twisted by differential rotation. No such situation exists with the Earth. I do not believe that comets and asteroids affect the sunspot cycle, but nor have I seen any explanation for why it has a fixed period of 11 years whilst still showing considerable variation in its amplitude. The periodicity of the sunspot cycle (which is actually a 22 year cycle, not 11) is pretty well understood. It is hard to see how you could have missed seeing an explanation if you had actually ever looked. |
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On 30/09/2011 04:53, Peter Webb wrote:
"Chris L Peterson" wrote in message ... On Thu, 29 Sep 2011 15:30:31 -0700 (PDT), "Ken S. Tucker" wrote: While complex, the hypothesis is quite viable. I don't think so. Unfortunately, there is little data on the density of the asteroid belt... Actually, that is extremely well established. ... and less knowledge about the effect of asteroid impacts on solar climatology, Also well known. No effect at all. The Sun is constantly pelted by asteroids and comets, I didn't know that. Where can I find out more about this? Watch the movies on SOHO. Some of the more famous sungrazing comets reports seen in the pre-satellite era were only believed because very experienced observers saw them close to the sun one evening and they were never seen again. These days SOHO catches most of them and keen amateurs scour these data for serendipitous discoveries of sungrazers. There is a whole website devoted to the best ones found to date and advice on how to find new ones. http://sungrazer.nrl.navy.mil/ There is of course no correlation at all between these events and sunspots no matter what the netkook Ken may claim. The Kreutz group of sungrazers are about the most common - short article on Wiki describing the most famous historical observations: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kreutz_Sungrazers and no observed impacts have produced any visible or measurable effect. He claims they cause sunspots. These are both visible and measurable. And he is a dittohead liar with no understanding of physics. And there is no theoretical basis for assuming there would be- the kinetic energy of an asteroid or comet impact is infinitesimal compared with the energies observed in sunspot regions. He said nothing about kinetic energy. There are far more plausible mechanisms; the elements found in asteroids are very different to those usually found in the photosphere, and their ionised forms could have very different electrical and hence magnetic propoerties. You really do enjoy clutching at rightard straws don't you. The solar MHD dynamo has enormous stored energy and the surface temperature is enough to vaporise comets before they come close to the photosphere. There was a nice realtime snatch of the final moments of one caught in great detail only a couple of months back. It is very obvious how puny the things are in comparison with the sun. It is about on a par with claiming that an aircraft was downed by a fly strike to the windscreen. In fact, the mechanism behind sunspots is rather well understood in general terms, even if there are many details that remain unknown. It isn't known at all, and the current best theories have some problems. The main problem (in my opinion) is the very great regularity shown by the sunspot cycle. The purported mechanism relies on a dynamo effect, It isn't all that regular 11+/-1.2 years for each alternate Hale cycle means that a 10% variation from cycle to cycle is not uncommon. And you seem to have conveniently forgotten about the Maunder and Dalton Minima because it suits your purposes on this occasion. the same as causes changes to the earth's magnetic field. However, the record of magnetic reversals on earth does not show anything like the regular periodic behaviour observed in the sunspot cycle. Actually it does give or take that is one way that newly created volcanic rocks on ocean ridges can be dated by looking at their magnetic properties. It isn't anything like so regular but then the Earth's viscous molten iron core is very messy when compared to a hydrogen helium plasma. http://www.geomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/reversals.html The main driving force of the dynamo effect is relatively well understood and is based on Babcock magnetic dynamo model of 1961 which can explain the magnetic periodicity in a turbulent differential rotating plasma. The precise details are more tricky to predict when and where sunspots will appear are still tricky but the theoretical models do qualitatively reproduce what is observed on the sun. The problem at present is making the measurements that the models need as inputs to make better forward predictions of solar activity. A rather nice living review of the observational evidence online: http://solarphysics.livingreviews.or...s/lrsp-2010-1/ I do not believe that comets and asteroids affect the sunspot cycle, but nor have I seen any explanation for why it has a fixed period of 11 years whilst still showing considerable variation in its amplitude. This theory does at least address these two observations, for which there is currently no explanation, even if it has other problems. It isn't a theory at all - wild guess would be closer to the mark. The best moniker you could dignify it with is "crazy idea". Regards, Martin Brown |
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On 2011-09-29, Ken S. Tucker wrote:
Hi guys. Awhile back I studied an interesting hypothesis about Sunspot cycles. The 11 and 22 year cycle sync'd with the orbital periods of Jupiter and Saturn. In turn those deflected asteriods into the Sun which causes Sunspots to appear, rather like craters on a star...Sun craters. Anyone else ever study that? Regards Ken S. Tucker The sunspot cycle isn't in sync with Jupiter. The period of the revolution of Jupiter around the Sun is 11.86 years. The period of the revolution of Saturn is 29.46 years. Jupiter and Saturn have the same ecliptic longitude every 19.85 years on average. Close, but no cigar. 11.86 isn't 11 and 19.85 isn't 22. 29.46 isn't either. Dropping an asteroid into the Sun is like a raindrop hitting the ocean, and the Sun, not being solid, can't form craters. Bud |
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![]() "U-m757\bud" wrote in message m... | On 2011-09-29, Ken S. Tucker wrote: | Hi guys. | Awhile back I studied an interesting hypothesis about Sunspot cycles. | The 11 and 22 year cycle sync'd with the orbital periods of Jupiter | and | Saturn. | In turn those deflected asteriods into the Sun which causes Sunspots | to appear, rather like craters on a star...Sun craters. | Anyone else ever study that? | Regards | Ken S. Tucker | | The sunspot cycle isn't in sync with Jupiter. The period of the | revolution of Jupiter around the Sun is 11.86 years. The period of the | revolution of Saturn is 29.46 years. Jupiter and Saturn have the same | ecliptic longitude every 19.85 years on average. Close, but no cigar. | 11.86 isn't 11 and 19.85 isn't 22. 29.46 isn't either. | | Dropping an asteroid into the Sun is like a raindrop hitting | the ocean, and the Sun, not being solid, can't form craters. | | Bud Thank you, Bud. I'd have called the drooling moron a nasty name but I'm nowhere near as polite as you. |
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