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Not again!
http://www.cnn.com/2006/TECH/space/0...eut/index.html Thursday, March 30, 2006; Posted: 10:19 a.m. EST (15:19 GMT) CAPE CANAVERAL, Florida (Reuters) -- NASA is investigating another mishap at the Kennedy Space Center, this time an accident involving the remodeled fuel tank to be used for the next shuttle mission, the agency said on Wednesday. Technicians were replacing a vent valve near the top of the 154-foot (47-meter) tall tank on Tuesday when a Halogen work lamp fell and hit the tank's foam insulation. Preliminary inspections show the impact left five small indentations, with the largest about the size of a stick of gum, and one 6-inch (15-centimeter) to 7-inch (17-centimeter) long scratch, said Marion LaNasa, spokesman for tank manufacturer Lockheed Martin Corp. A detailed inspection of the area was under way, LaNasa said, but the incident was not expected to affect the shuttle's targeted July 1 liftoff. The affected area is not among the sections of tank foam insulation that were redesigned after the 2003 Columbia disaster and again after the July 2005 flight of Discovery, the only launch since the accident. A piece of foam insulation that fell off the tank and hit Columbia's wing during liftoff was responsible for heat shield damage that led to the ship's destruction and the loss of seven crewmembers during atmospheric re-entry on February 1, 2003. A similar problem occurred during Discovery's liftoff 2 1/2 years later, though the shuttle escaped damage. NASA is preparing Discovery for launch again, but it first must prove that the new tank design is safe to fly. A series of wind tunnel tests and analyses are under way. Safety has been a top priority for NASA, particularly at the shuttle processing center in Florida, where a series of mishaps have resulted in a death, equipment damage and several near-disasters over the past month. |
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Listed below are 2 examples of the caibs lack of correlation of actual
data detected on coumbias ascent jan16, 2003, and foam impact damaging columbias wing to the extent claimed in their foam impact theory. #1 Please see graphs pertaining to the accelerometer on the left wing elevon (V08D9729A), (Caib report vol5 part d13 page 604,605) At 0.13 seconds after impact excitation the magnitude of the wave detected by the accelarometer from impact testing is matching the wing 3rd bending mode in magntude and period, where the signal should have been detected by columbias on board accelerometers on jan 16 2003. Please note foam impact FI=0 at MET +81.9 seconcd, and the graph listed by the caib on page, shows the wave closest matching the wing 3rd bending mode and dampening at a slow decreasing rate, meaning at MET +82 seconds the impact excitation wave was still detectable by accelerometer (V08D9729A) sampling at 10 times a second. Instead the caib states “the most compared” is the 2nd wing bending moment, which completely disregards the closer match of 3rd wing bending moment to the excitation pattern from the force of impact. Then the caib states the differences between test results and actual sts-107 flight data could be caused by difference of impact location, as the reason for not aknolegding the 2nd wing bending mode. #2 Foam impact was determined to have occurred at MET +81.9, the detailed examination by boeing determined excitation in the wing started at MET +81.7, 0.2 seconds before foam impact, thefefore foam impact was not the stimulation for the force revealed from boeings’ analysis from data during sts-107’s ascent on jan 16, 2003. The caib did not provide or demonstrate a correlation to the columbia’s on board sensors detecting a foam impacting to the magnitude required for rcc failure on jan 16 2003, and their own foam impact testing, therefore the caibs theory has not been validated. caib report vol v part 13 page 608 par 1 “7.3.3.1 Ascent All STS-107 MADS PCM strain data, without exception, was nominal during the ascent flight regime. Nosignificant anomalies were noted. Comparison of ascent strain gage load indicators showed STS-107 ascent loads to be within the family of previous OV-102 flight experience. There was no discernable evidence of an impact load to the vehicle near MET +81.7 seconds. At the PCM sample rate of 10 samples per second, no such evidence is expected to be present. Both the extremely short duration of the impact load (0.003 to 0.005 seconds), and the range of wing modes (6 Hz and above) preclude such evidence. An interesting signature near this time was evident in some strain gages. The response was noted on left wing, right wing, and vertical tail gages. Further study and scrutiny showed that the signature was inconsistent with impact loading, and attributable to a nominal ascent load response. A review of accelerometer data did show signatures consistent with impact loading. This assessment is discussed in Section 7.4.” Caib report vol 1 page 34 col 2 par 3 “Debris Strike Post-launch photographic analysis showed that one large piece and at least two smaller pieces of insulating foam separated from the External Tank left bipod (–Y) ramp area at 81.7 seconds after launch. Later analysis showed that the larger piece struck Columbia on the underside of the left wing, around Reinforced Carbon-Carbon (RCC) panels 5 through 9, at 81.9 seconds after launch (see Figure 2.3-2).” caib report vol 2 part d19 page 567-568 col 2 par The wideband FDM data, which because of its more com-plex encoding took longer to extract from the OEX recorder tape, also showed some signatures which are indicative of a debris strike near to 82 sec MET. One of the accelerometers on the left wing elevons, V08D9729A, showed a single cycle sinusoidal pulse at 81.9 sec MET that was approximately 2 g in amplitude, as compared to a background vibration level which generally stayed well below 1 g. This is a fairly sig-nificant pulse which could easily represent a strike of foam debris upon ascent. The timing and amplitude of this pulse were taken from a preliminary assessment of the wideband FDM data that was printed out on a strip chart recorder by NASA at JSC. Boeing of Huntington Beach performed a more thorough analysis of the remainder of the wideband FDM ascent data and in general did not find much that was anomalous. They found that the overall noise levels and power spectral density (PSD) matched very closely to the data from the pre-vious flight, STS-109. They noticed that at approximately 40 sec MET, the vertical stabilizer had some of its higher order modes growing slightly larger than normal, and this was attributed to some wind buffeting that was thought to occur around this time. These modes then decayed shortly thereafter, indicating that the so-called flutter instability was not becoming excited, as can occur when the wing bending modes and the fuselage vertical modes coalesce into a single coupled oscillation. Boeing.s analysis also pointed out that the recorded accelerations along the longeron were normal. Detailed analysis of the wideband FDM data over the time frame around 80-85 sec MET was performed. For the left outboard elevon accelerometer, V08D9729A, several wing and elevon oscillation modes were found to be excited during this time, with the strongest being a second order wing bending mode that matched best to the fundamental component of the single cycle sinusoidal pulse at 81.9 sec MET. Boeing.s more detailed time scale showed the period of the single sinusoidal pulse to extend over 81.70 to 81.74 sec MET, reaching +3.0 g on the positive peak at 81.71 sec MET, and *2.6 g on the negative peak at 81.72 sec MET. In addition, another accelerometer on the right wing, V08D9766A, showed a 1.5 cycle sinusoidal pulse response at a slightly earlier time of around 80 sec MET. This accel-erometer was located at the coordinates (X1367.0, Y+312.0, Z) towards the middle of the right wing and was sensitive to Z-axis motion. This accelerometer recorded an anomalous pulse beginning at 80.22 sec MET, growing to a first positive peak of +1.5 g at 80.23 sec MET, reaching a negative peak of *1.9 g at 80.24 sec MET, then another positive peak of +2.0 g at 80.26 sec MET, before dying away beyond 80.27 sec MET. The best fit to these peaks was a combination of outboard elevon torsion and the first wing bending mode. There have not been any explanations offered for the cause of this right wing accelerometer response. “ Caib report vol5 part d13 page 602 7.4.1.1 Evaluation of Peak Response at ~82 Seconds An in-depth study was made to investigate if the peak responses observed at the left outboard elevon accelerometer at ~82 seconds is due to the debris impact. Normally, sharp spikes in acceleration are observed at times during the ascent phase of the flight due to buffeting event(s). The buffeting load is most significant during the transonic region. However, it still exists at higher Mach numbers, which resultsin structural excitation. Shown in Figure 7.4-7 is the left and right outboard elevon comparison for the 10 second period near 82 seconds. The peak response is noticeable only for the left outboard location. Filtered responses presented in Figure 7.4-8 verify several wing/elevons were excited at 82 seconds. The 2nd wing bending response constitutes the largest component of the peak amplitude. In addition, the responses of 3rd wing bending and elevon torsion modes contributed to the peak response. Caib report vol5 part d13 page 603 “To determine if the debris impact can cause the type of responses observed in the flight data, analyses were performed using the FEM model of the wing combined with the reduced model of the Orbiter, which provides the back-up structure’s stiffness and mass (Figure 7.4-9). An impulse of 3,000 lbs force (with 0.005 second duration) in Z-direction was applied to the node closest to the RCC panel #8. The impulse of this magnitude is reasonable for a 1.5 lb object with a velocity of 530 MPH impacting the surface at 15 degrees inclination.” Caib report vol5 part d13 page 604 “Shown in Figure 7.4-10 is the recovered acceleration at the left outboard elevon location from the transient analysis. The FFT (Figure 7.4-11) of the response indicates excitation of several wing modes, including wing’s 2nd and 3rd bending modes. The filtered responses shown in Figure 7.4-12 illustrate the 3rd wing bending mode constitutes the majority of the peak amplitude, while the 2nd wing bending and elevon torsion modes also contribute to the peak response. The acceleration computed using the FEM model is shown along with the flight measured data in Figure 7.4-13. The shapes of acceleration signatures are comparable at the onset of debris impact. The frequency from the analysis is higher, since the 3rd wing bending mode is excited the most compared with the 2nd wing bending mode experienced during STS-107. More pronounced 3rd wing bending response from analysis could be attributed to possible deviations from the assumed location and duration of impact event, and some uncertainty in the FEM models for higher order wing modes. Nevertheless, similar acceleration signature and the excitation of higher order wing modes from the analysis indicate that the debris impact quite possibly could have caused the peak acceleration on the left outboard elevon at ~82 seconds in addition to other aerodynamic disturbances, such as buffeting and shocks. An absence of additional sensors on the left wing make it difficult to make conclusive remarks.” |
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This is from the news piece you posted, which directly states the caibs
theory, so yes my reply is rellevant. The point of my post is to demonstrate a possiblity there is another cause for the loss of sts-107 crew and columbia simply because the caib did not validate it's own theory. Thursday, March 30, 2006; Posted: 10:19 a.m. EST (15:19 GMT) CAPE CANAVERAL, Florida (Reuters) "...A piece of foam insulation that fell off the tank and hit Columbia's wing during liftoff was responsible for heat shield damage that led to the ship's destruction and the loss of seven crewmembers during atmospheric re-entry on February 1, 2003." The caib provides only a basic correlation of hole size from it's vast testing to the actual flight data. But the caib does not provide consistency with possible hole sizes (4", 6", 10", 17" ) amongst its testing or, to the flight day 2 object of or a 140sqin, or to the actual sts-107 flight data, and therefore does not validate it's own theory. Caib report vol 1, page 63 paragraph 2: "After exhaustive radar cross-section analysis and testing, coupled with bal-listic analysis of the objects orbital decay, only a fragment of RCC panel would match the UHF radar cross-section and ballistic coefficients observed by the Space Surveil-lance network. Such an RCC panel fragment must be ap-proximately 140 square inches or greater in area to meet the observed radar cross-section characteristics." Caib report vol v part 13 page 92 par 6 "4.4.2 Damage Progression Theory and Supporting Aero Based on the damage assessment and timeline period correlations covered in Section 4.4.1, the following is a postulated damage progression theory based on the results of the aerodynamic investigation. This damage progression, approached from an aerodynamic perspective, is consistent with the working scenario and attempts to maintain consistency with other data from the investigation. References are made to figures which include a combination of aerodynamic extraction results and the major timeline events noted. An initial WLE breach (small hole or slot) in an RCC panel exists at entry interface. By EI + 300 sec thermal events are occurring internal to the WLE cavity, however no identifiable aerodynamic increments are observed." Caib report vol v part 13 page 521 par 7 "A comparison of the times at which these critical events occur during the entry is shown in Table 6-7. As expected, failure times are accelerated for the 10 inch case compared with the 6 inch due to the higher levels of internal heating. Thermal response of instrumentation within the left wing of STS-107 have suggested the initial breach through the spar occurred at 491 seconds after entry interface. With a predicted spar breach time of 470 seconds, the 6 inch provides a better comparison to flight data than the 10 inch case. As shown in Figure 6-82, better agreement for the 6 inch damage case can also be seen by comparing the temperature response of V09T9895 (panel 9 spar rear facesheet thermocouple)" Caib report vol v part 13 page 92 par 6 Holes Through Wing Limited parametric studies of simulated damage in the form of a wing breach from the windward surface to the leeward surface were attempted in this facility and were primarily associated with aerodynamic testing (see Section 4.3.1). Initially, circular holes dimensionally consistent with the width of a carrier panel (approximately 4 inches full scale) were placed at the interfaces for carrier panels 5, 9, 12, and 16. The holes were found to force boundary layer transition on the windward surface to the damage site. The model and IR setup for the aerodynamic tests at this point in time precluded imaging the side fuselage. Since the model also incorporated damage in the form of missing RCC panel 6, it is believed that effects (if any) from the carrier panel holes would have been dominated by the disturbance from the missing RCC panel. TPS damage in the form of a much larger breach through the wing was attempted, but the side fuselage heating measurements were considered qualitative due to compromised phosphor coatings on the models that were used. The holes were orientated normal to the wing chord and were located near the left main landing gear door. One hole location was approximately located at the center of the forward bulkhead (X=1040-inches in Orbiter coordinates) and the second location was near the center of the outboard bulkhead (Y=167-inches in Orbiter coordinates). At each location, the wing hole diameter was systematically changed from 0.0625 to 0.125 and 0.25-inch at wind tunnel scale (8.3, 16.7, and 33.3-inchfull scale). While the compromised phosphor coating considerably degraded the image quality, it was evident that no change in side surface heating was apparent for any tested combination of location or diameter." Surface heating on reentry was indifferent to hole size, not plasma flow internal to the wing. The caib did not resolve inconsistencies, nor provide correlation and therefore their theory of foam impact causing a breach has not be proven or validated. |
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The caib only established consistency with data external to the
vehicle, but when it came to realistically modeling the thermal values of breach penetrating plasma approx. 2000 deg f, to sensor detecting temperatures increasing from 80 deg f, to 180 deg f after minutes of exposure, the caib was not consistent all. The caib's explanation for the re-entry temperatures located in the main landing gear box required phrases such as "However, one could argue that this convective energy then replaces radiative energy but CFD would have to confirm this" (see below). The physical properties associated with the caibs theoretical hot air rushing through the wing during Columbia's reentry in not based on solid science, as they could not correlate actual detected temperatures to theoretical effects of alleged rcc damage. Caib report vol2 part d19 page 571 col 1 par 2 "REMAINING, UNEXPLAINED INCONSISTENCIES .... This pathway for the hot gas does indeed exist, but the reason for the gas to take this tortuous path over other directions is not clear, nor is it understood why the heating effects would be registered by only a few sensors on the rear wall of the wheel well and not by others of a similar type and mounting located only inches away." Caib report volume 5, part 13 page 512,513 "6.3 Wheel Well Thermal Analysis A thermal analysis was used to compare predicted heating to the flight data instrumentation summarized in Table 6-1 for the wheel well. Here a hot gas plume originating from the wing leading edge spar is assumed to impact the outboard wheel well wall. The hot outboard wall then conducts heat into the adjoining walls and radiates into the main landing gear (MLG) wheel well and the associated sensors within. Table 6-1 - Wheel Well Sensor Summary MEAS. NO. DESCRIPTION V58T0125A SYS 1 LMG UPLK ACT UNLK LN V58T0405A L H MLG STRUT ACTUATOR V58T0841A SYS 2 L AFT BK SW VLV RTN V58T0842A SYS 3 L FWD BK SW VLV RTN V58T1700A L MLG BRK HTR LN 1 SYS 1&3 V58T1701A L MLG BRK HTR LN 3 SYS 2&3 V58T1702A L MLG BRK HTR LN 2 SYS 1&3 V58T1703A L MLG BRK HTR LN 4 SYS 2&3 NSTS-37398 AeroAerothermalThermalStructuresTeamFinalReport.pd f NSTS-37398 AeroAerot A thermal math model shown in Figure 6-16 was developed directly from computer aided design (CAD) models and used to predict the sensor responses in this presumed scenario. Shell elements were used where possible for simplicity with the remaining geometry represented by solid tetrahedral elements. Main Landing Gear (MLG) components were then thermally connected by combining nodes at joint locations. This allowed for faster analysis since arbitrarily low conductors (which is a common method to join components) can significantly reduce the time step in order to maintain a required accuracy. Internal radiation was also modeled using the Monte Carlo technique with 16000 rays per node. All of the nodes representing sensor locations had an initial temperature corresponding to the flight data. The rest of the components and the wheel well walls had an assumed initial temperature of 80F. The predicted plume heating distribution model is described in section 5.3.3. The heating was calculated for a 5 inch diameter hole in the wing leading edge spar assumed to appear instantaneously at EI+488sec (13:52:17 GMT). The plume impinged upon the outboard wheel well wall at location xo=1105, zo=309 and at a distance of 56 inch from the spar. Correction factors were applied for the 31.5 degree off normal impact angle as well as the internal wing pressure. The center of the plume had a heating rate of 22.1 BTU/ft2-sec with the heating dropping off radially from the centerline. Melting of the outboard wall was not modeled, therefore, once a node reached melting temperature (935F) it was then held at this temperature. The thermal math model was solved using the Systems Improved Numerical Differencing Analyzer (SINDA). Predicted temperatures for the hydraulic lines and the strut actuator were obtained and are shown in Figure 6-17 through Figure 6-24. Initially, all the sensors begin to trend towards 80F from radiation exchange with the 80F surrounding structure. At 488 sec (GMT 13:52:17) the plume heating is applied to the outboard wall and the temperatures begin to trend upward at a rate dependant on their view factor to the outboard wall. Table 6-2 - Sensor location and view factor summary Sensor Location View Factor V58T1700A Bottom of strut Good V58T1701A Bottom of strut Good V58T1702A On inboard wall Partial V58T1703A On inboard wall under debris shield Poor V58T0841A On inboard wall under debris shield Poor V58T0842A On inboard wall Poor V58T0125A On upper wall behind structure Poor V58T0405A Aft inboard corner of wheel well Partial At first glance sensors V58T1700A and V58T1701 correlate very well with the flight data. However, past EI+510 sec (GMT 13:52:39) the low mass honeycomb access panel has reached its melting temperature in the analysis as shown in Figure 6-25. This would allow hot gases to enter the wheel well and deposit energy through convection directly on the MLG components. However, one could argue that this convective energy then replaces radiative energy but CFD would have to confirm this. After EI+586 sec (GMT 13:53:55) the wall at the center of the plume reached its melting temperature as shown in . At this point the area available for hot gases to enter the wheel well increases rapidly as more of the outboard wall melts. The assumption of holding the wheel well wall at its melting temperature (935F) is no longer valid for this analysis and CFD is required to determine the hot gas flow inside the wheel well in order to account for the convective heating. From this analysis, it is possible to conclude that a portion of the hydraulic line temperature increase seen in the flight data can be attributed to radiation from the outboard wheel well wall being heating by a plume due to a spar breach." Given that temperature is a measurement of a systems state, the air molecules could be assumed to start at the same temperatures prior to anomalous heating at 80 f def in the main lading gear whell well. This would mean if the caib were correct, a heat source of at least 935 f deg heated this area at 80 f deg, for a period of more than 6 minutes and a temperature sensor approx. 60 inches away only registered increases of approx. 100 f deg. Below I have correlated hydrualicy fluid temperatures, and the anomalous temperatures detected in Columbias left wheel well during reentry feb1, 2003, therefore showing the plausibility of hydraulic system breach. EI +923 LOS (begin data reconstruction) brake line temp sensor "A" L MLG BRK HTR LN 1 SYS 1&3 (V58T1700A) final temp at 172 f deg. Brake line temp sensor "B" L MLG BRK HTR LN 3 SYS 2&3 (V58T1701A) final temp at 154 f deg. Brake line temp sensor "C", L MLG BRK HTR LN 2 SYS 1&3 (V58T1702A) final temp at 104 f deg. Brake line temp sensor "D", LMLG BRK HTR LN 4 SYS 2&3 (V58T1703A) final temp at 100 f deg. Left outboard elevon actuator body (V58T0394) final temp at 108 f deg. Left inboard elevon actuator body () final temp at 141 f deg. Hydraulic resvoirs # 1 @ 178 f deg, #2 @ 169 f deg, #3 @ 141 f deg |
#5
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Back to the subject at hand AGAIN a accident has damaged the foam
![]() Any chance this will be a OUT if the next launch loses foam? sorry we must not have repaired the damage properly although we did try? |
#6
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![]() "Bob Haller" wrote in message oups.com... Back to the subject at hand AGAIN a accident has damaged the foam ![]() Any chance this will be a OUT if the next launch loses foam? sorry we must not have repaired the damage properly although we did try? I know I would be very concerned, but then, I've come to expect the worst from our manned space program these days. George |
#7
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Youre concerns are shared by all, for the biggest concern isnt the
money it should be taking care of the astronauts. The subject at hand is a safe shuttle flight, with all components of the orbiter system working properly, external tank, and hydraulic system included. Determining the fate of the orbiter, and our space program involves more than just if foam will popcorn from the external tank, it is a safe return of our astronauts. |
#9
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I have to say...
That nothing that occurs today in processing will surprise me ![]() ooops they dropped a orbiter, ran a vehicle into one, had a VAB fire with the solids could of taken out the building. oh wait all this unbelievable stuff has already occured ![]() George is right expect the worst so were nott disappointed... |
#10
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![]() "George" wrote in message news:1l_Wf.68512$oL.5648@attbi_s71... I know I would be very concerned, but then, I've come to expect the worst from our manned space program these days. Then you and Bob will get along famously in killfile hell. Jeff -- Remove icky phrase from email address to get a valid address. |
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