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So, what are the chances now of being able to finish
ISS before having to ditch ISS? JazzMan -- ************************************************** ******** Please reply to jsavage"at"airmail.net. Curse those darned bulk e-mailers! ************************************************** ******** "Rats and roaches live by competition under the laws of supply and demand. It is the privilege of human beings to live under the laws of justice and mercy." - Wendell Berry ************************************************** ******** |
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On Thu, 18 Aug 2005 20:06:02 -0500, JazzMan
wrote: So, what are the chances now of being able to finish ISS before having to ditch ISS? Define "finish". Brian |
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JazzMan wrote in :
So, what are the chances now of being able to finish ISS before having to ditch ISS? If by "finish" you mean "every station partner provides every station component they promised to provide in the IGAs", the answer is "zero". Both Russia and the US have already cancelled outright components that they promised in those IGAs. If by "finish" you mean "some compromise station configuration that the partners can come to agreement on", the odds are fairly good, though obviously not 100%. As far as "ditch", many Americans are under the delusion that ISS will magically become a coral reef in the South Pacific as soon as the US "cancels" the program. In reality the program is no longer a US program to cancel. They either don't know what the "I" means or they haven't been listening to the clear signals from Russia and ESA that they intend to keep the station going after a US withdrawal. -- JRF Reply-to address spam-proofed - to reply by E-mail, check "Organization" (I am not assimilated) and think one step ahead of IBM. |
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Brian Thorn wrote:
On Thu, 18 Aug 2005 20:06:02 -0500, JazzMan wrote: So, what are the chances now of being able to finish ISS before having to ditch ISS? Define "finish". The planned work at the moment that Discovery launched. JazzMan -- ************************************************** ******** Please reply to jsavage"at"airmail.net. Curse those darned bulk e-mailers! ************************************************** ******** "Rats and roaches live by competition under the laws of supply and demand. It is the privilege of human beings to live under the laws of justice and mercy." - Wendell Berry ************************************************** ******** |
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Jorge R. Frank wrote:
JazzMan wrote in : So, what are the chances now of being able to finish ISS before having to ditch ISS? If by "finish" you mean "every station partner provides every station component they promised to provide in the IGAs", the answer is "zero". Both Russia and the US have already cancelled outright components that they promised in those IGAs. If by "finish" you mean "some compromise station configuration that the partners can come to agreement on", the odds are fairly good, though obviously not 100%. As far as "ditch", many Americans are under the delusion that ISS will magically become a coral reef in the South Pacific as soon as the US "cancels" the program. In reality the program is no longer a US program to cancel. They either don't know what the "I" means or they haven't been listening to the clear signals from Russia and ESA that they intend to keep the station going after a US withdrawal. We didn't have any problem forcing Russia to ditch MIR complete with the brand new module, so I don't see that we'll have any problem bringing down ISS too. JazzMan -- ************************************************** ******** Please reply to jsavage"at"airmail.net. Curse those darned bulk e-mailers! ************************************************** ******** "Rats and roaches live by competition under the laws of supply and demand. It is the privilege of human beings to live under the laws of justice and mercy." - Wendell Berry ************************************************** ******** |
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![]() "JazzMan" wrote We didn't have any problem forcing Russia to ditch MIR complete with the brand new module, so I don't see that we'll have any problem bringing down ISS too. I call this the 'argument from intellectual incapacity', in which the arguer equates "I can't imagine" with "It's impossible". |
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JazzMan wrote in :
Jorge R. Frank wrote: JazzMan wrote in : So, what are the chances now of being able to finish ISS before having to ditch ISS? As far as "ditch", many Americans are under the delusion that ISS will magically become a coral reef in the South Pacific as soon as the US "cancels" the program. In reality the program is no longer a US program to cancel. They either don't know what the "I" means or they haven't been listening to the clear signals from Russia and ESA that they intend to keep the station going after a US withdrawal. We didn't have any problem forcing Russia to ditch MIR complete with the brand new module, so I don't see that we'll have any problem bringing down ISS too. We got Russia to ditch ISS by reminding them of the commitments they'd made to ISS, and getting them to admit to themselves that they couldn't support both stations simultaneously. I seriously doubt that tactic will work with ISS, for what should be obvious reasons. -- JRF Reply-to address spam-proofed - to reply by E-mail, check "Organization" (I am not assimilated) and think one step ahead of IBM. |
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JazzMan wrote:
Brian Thorn wrote: On Thu, 18 Aug 2005 20:06:02 -0500, JazzMan wrote: So, what are the chances now of being able to finish ISS before having to ditch ISS? Define "finish". The planned work at the moment that Discovery launched. Which time... |
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nmp wrote:
Op Thu, 18 Aug 2005 22:15:30 -0500, schreef JazzMan: [...] If the USA loses interest in the project: fine. But why not just leave it at that, then. Looking at it from purely pragmatic position wouldn't NASA have to make sure that the rest of the partners are capable of maintaining the ISS in the proper orbit once the US withdraws all of its support infrastructure (and it is significant even without shuttle flights to it: orientation, telemetry, comms (the tdrss?), CO scrubbers, power bus control, most of the power generation, the ground operations, etc...) ....lest it comes down in uncontrolled re-entry onto a populated area? Would the Europeans lease the TDRSS (the Russian comm capabilities to the ISS are not that good I hear), the ground control equipment and expertise that manages the American segment day-to-day operations, etc... I'm sure I missed a lot. Big bucks and lots of specialized knowledge. Or, perhaps a 'solution' (from the US point of view) would be to break up the ISS and safely de-orbit the American segment, I think the Russians and Europeans would be happy to have a small but 100% tourist hotel all to themselves? Lighter to boost too. Launch the modules with Protons or Ariannes-5? Surely, the whole situation is quite a pickle especially for the US who should really ditch the ISS at this point with the VSE and all... Frankly, I'm not really 'anti-ISS' I just don't see a role for it in the proposed return to the Moon program. |
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nmp wrote:
Op Thu, 18 Aug 2005 22:15:30 -0500, schreef JazzMan: [...] If the USA loses interest in the project: fine. But why not just leave it at that, then. Looking at it from purely pragmatic position wouldn't NASA have to make sure that the rest of the partners are capable of maintaining the ISS in the proper orbit once the US withdraws all of its support infrastructure (and it is significant even without shuttle flights to it: orientation, telemetry, comms (the tdrss?), CO scrubbers, power bus control, most of the power generation, the ground operations, etc...) ....lest it comes down in uncontrolled re-entry onto a populated area? Would the Europeans lease the TDRSS (the Russian comm capabilities to the ISS are not that good I hear), the ground control equipment and expertise that manages the American segment day-to-day operations, etc... I'm sure I missed a lot. Big bucks and lots of specialized knowledge. Or, perhaps a 'solution' (from the US point of view) would be to break up the ISS and safely de-orbit the American segment, I think the Russians and Europeans would be happy to have a small but 100% tourist hotel all to themselves? Lighter to boost too. Launch the modules with Protons or Ariannes-5? Surely, the whole situation is quite a pickle especially for the US who should really ditch the ISS at this point with the VSE and all... Frankly, I'm not really 'anti-ISS' I just don't see a role for it in the proposed return to the Moon program. |
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