![]() |
|
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]() wrote in message oups.com... The linear thinking is inadequate in describing life, for a simple reason: Life is non-linear. Hi, ??? Life is linear. We all age exactly one day each 24 hours. A plot of your age vs time is as linear as it gets with no scatter in the data: correlation coefficient = 1.000. ,,,,,,, _______________ooo___(_O O_)___ooo_______________ (_) jim blair ) Madison Wisconsin USA. This message was brought to you using biodegradable binary bits, and 100% recycled bandwidth. For a good time call: http://www.geocities.com/capitolhill/4834 |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Jim Blair wrote: ??? Life is linear. We all age exactly one day each 24 hours. A plot of your age vs time is as linear as it gets with no scatter in the data: correlation coefficient = 1.000. That is the rate at which we age. At what rate do we wise up? Bob Kolker |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Jim Blair wrote:
wrote in message oups.com... The linear thinking is inadequate in describing life, for a simple reason: Life is non-linear. Hi, ??? Life is linear. Bzzt. Try again. We all age exactly one day each 24 hours. Nope. I myself age slightly less than a day in one of your 24 hour periods since I live in Colorado and a higher altitude than you do in wis. A plot of your age vs time is as linear as it gets with no scatter in the data: correlation coefficient = 1.000. It is a trivial exercise to show that we do not all age in a linear fashion with respect to one another. Hell... one can even prove that one does not age uniformly with oneself. I am willing to bet that there will be a flurry of "you are wrong" posts from the ignorant. I am also willing to bet that someone will take time to argue why my argument is correct. Since from your page you seem to like things about statistics etc. you might appreciate the following, offered to reduce the sting of the above comments. In a conversation between Gen. Leslie Groves and Enrico Fermi, the subject of how one defines a "great general" came up. Fermi: 'So Leslie, how many generals are know as "great"?' Groves: 'Well Enrico... about 3 out of every 100 generals will perform well enough to be considered "great".' Fermi: 'So how does a general become "great" in the eyes of his peers?' Groves: Well, usually a general is considered "great" if he wins 5 consecutive major battles.' Fermi: 'Well... let's see... Considering that most modern armies are equally matched on the battle field, this means that each has a 50% chance of winning the battle. So if a general were to win 1 battle at 50%, then 2 battles in a row would be 25% chance, 3 is about 12%, 4 is about 6%... so the chances of winning 5 in a row is about 3%. Yup... about 3 in a hundred. However general, that is not "greatness"... that is simply statistics. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Varney wrote:
Jim Blair wrote: wrote in message oups.com... The linear thinking is inadequate in describing life, for a simple reason: Life is non-linear. Hi, ??? Life is linear. Bzzt. Try again. We all age exactly one day each 24 hours. Nope. I myself age slightly less than a day in one of your 24 hour periods since I live in Colorado and a higher altitude than you do in wis. A plot of your age vs time is as linear as it gets with no scatter in the data: correlation coefficient = 1.000. It is a trivial exercise to show that we do not all age in a linear fashion with respect to one another. Hell... one can even prove that one does not age uniformly with oneself. I am willing to bet that there will be a flurry of "you are wrong" posts from the ignorant. I am also willing to bet that someone will take time to argue why my argument is correct. Since from your page you seem to like things about statistics etc. you might appreciate the following, offered to reduce the sting of the above comments. In a conversation between Gen. Leslie Groves and Enrico Fermi, the subject of how one defines a "great general" came up. Fermi: 'So Leslie, how many generals are know as "great"?' Groves: 'Well Enrico... about 3 out of every 100 generals will perform well enough to be considered "great".' Fermi: 'So how does a general become "great" in the eyes of his peers?' Groves: Well, usually a general is considered "great" if he wins 5 consecutive major battles.' Fermi: 'Well... let's see... Considering that most modern armies are equally matched on the battle field, this means that each has a 50% chance of winning the battle. So if a general were to win 1 battle at 50%, then 2 battles in a row would be 25% chance, 3 is about 12%, 4 is about 6%... so the chances of winning 5 in a row is about 3%. Yup... about 3 in a hundred. However general, that is not "greatness"... that is simply statistics. :-) |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Socialism is a Mental Disease wrote:
On Wed, 22 Dec 2004 15:18:07 GMT, "Dirk Van de moortel" wrote: wrote in message groups.com... The linear thinking is inadequate in describing life, for a simple reason: Life is non-linear. In one sentence you use linearity with two completely distinct meanings and you impose a causal relationship between the two. That is an example of ultra linear thinking. The original poster is a known retard. He's beyond treatment. You can tell by Mr. Disease's response that he is a Republican. Having no knowledge he can be as irresponsible as he chooses. Cause God is on his side. -- "I know no safe depository of the ultimate powers of society but the people themselves; and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise their control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education." - Thomas Jefferson. http://GreaterVoice.org |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
![]() "Varney" wrote in message ... Jim Blair wrote: wrote in message oups.com... The linear thinking is inadequate in describing life, for a simple reason: Life is non-linear. Hi, ??? Life is linear. Bzzt. Try again. We all age exactly one day each 24 hours. Nope. I myself age slightly less than a day in one of your 24 hour periods since I live in Colorado and a higher altitude than you do in wis. Hi, ??? A plot of your age vs time is as linear as it gets with no scatter in the data: correlation coefficient = 1.000. It is a trivial exercise to show that we do not all age in a linear fashion with respect to one another. Hell... one can even prove that one does not age uniformly with oneself. I don't understand your point. Are you speaking of "subjective age"? As in a stressful time "ages" one faster than a relaxed time? As in "life in Colorado is less stressful than in Wisconsin?" Or you don't have the stress of watching so many of your football team's games decided in the final second like us Packer fans? ;-) Are you trying to introduce relativity theory and Lorentz time dialation? Being at a higher altitude, your velocity from the earth's rotation is greater? I am willing to bet that there will be a flurry of "you are wrong" posts from the ignorant. I am also willing to bet that someone will take time to argue why my argument is correct. Since from your page you seem to like things about statistics etc. you might appreciate the following, offered to reduce the sting of the above comments. In a conversation between Gen. Leslie Groves and Enrico Fermi, the subject of how one defines a "great general" came up. Fermi: 'So Leslie, how many generals are know as "great"?' Groves: 'Well Enrico... about 3 out of every 100 generals will perform well enough to be considered "great".' Fermi: 'So how does a general become "great" in the eyes of his peers?' Groves: Well, usually a general is considered "great" if he wins 5 consecutive major battles.' Fermi: 'Well... let's see... Considering that most modern armies are equally matched on the battle field, this means that each has a 50% chance of winning the battle. So if a general were to win 1 battle at 50%, then 2 battles in a row would be 25% chance, 3 is about 12%, 4 is about 6%... so the chances of winning 5 in a row is about 3%. Yup... about 3 in a hundred. However general, that is not "greatness"... that is simply statistics. I like your story. But would not agree with the premise that being a "great general" is determined by winning consecutive battles. Given a large enough advantage, a poor general may beat a good one. And a great general may lose (or better avoid) the battles and so win the war. I think of Sam Houston. He retreated from the Mexican army and "lost/avoided" battles all across Texas. Until he decided it was the right time and place for the one battle that his army could win. He was a great general because he won only one battle: the decisive one. ,,,,,,, _______________ooo___(_O O_)___ooo_______________ (_) jim blair ) Madison Wisconsin USA. This message was brought to you using biodegradable binary bits, and 100% recycled bandwidth. For a good time call: http://www.geocities.com/capitolhill/4834 |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Varney wrote:
I like your story. But would not agree with the premise that being a "great general" is determined by winning consecutive battles. Given a large enough advantage, a poor general may beat a good one. And a great general may lose (or better avoid) the battles and so win the war. I think of Sam Houston. He retreated from the Mexican army and "lost/avoided" battles all across Texas. Until he decided it was the right time and place for the one battle that his army could win. He was a great general because he won only one battle: the decisive one. Perhaps it was the greatness of General Houston, who as a Texan holds a special place in my heart, but the folly of Santa Anna. He did waste much of his army and time on an insignificant objective in San Antonio and ralied many to the Texan cause due to the Massacre at Goliad. Sometimes people appear to be great simply because their opponents are so weak. Sam Houston was not stupid but it is hard to say he was great after freeing Mexico from European invaders, Santa Anna made a whole string of mistakes that allowed Texas to become independent. The first was turning those Mexicans who politically fought for independence from Europe against him. The last was attacking at a place like San Jacinto. |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Jim Blair wrote: ??? Life is linear. "Varney" wrote in message Bzzt. Try again. We all age exactly one day each 24 hours. Nope. I myself age slightly less than a day in one of your 24 hour periods since I live in Colorado and a higher altitude than you do in wis. jeb: A plot of your age vs time is as linear as it gets with no scatter in the data: correlation coefficient = 1.000. It is a trivial exercise to show that we do not all age in a linear fashion with respect to one another. Hell... one can even prove that one does not age uniformly with oneself. I don't understand your point. Are you speaking of "subjective age"? As in a stressful time "ages" one faster than a relaxed time? As in "life in Colorado is less stressful than in Wisconsin?" Or you don't have the stress of watching so many of your football team's games decided in the final second like us Packer fans? ;-) Are you trying to introduce relativity theory and Lorentz time dialation? Being at a higher altitude, your velocity from the earth's rotation is greater? I was also referring to a relativistic effect of the gravitational field of the earth and is quite distinct from relativistic time dilation of relative motion. T = T0 (1-(2GM)/(Rc^2))^(-1/2) Read up on the experiment performed by Hafele and Keating. Considering that one is not a point particle, one could argue that different parts of the body age at different rates in the earth's gravitational field. Hi, 1- As a practical matter this effecct is of little consequence. For an average lifespan of 75 years, what will be the difference in milliseconds between A who lives on top of mt. Everest and flys a jet plane daily, and B who lives at sea level and does not ever leave the ground? And what is the percent gain by A? 2. And is there a difference in the time of each as they experience time? I mean it is time which slows, not the rate that a person ages. Don't both A and B age still exactly one day each 24 hours as they experience that 24 hours? If my point 2 is valid, the correlation between age and time remains 1.000. If not, it is 0.99....9. And I leave it to you to determine how many 9's in the correlation between time and the age of someone who travels between the Dead Sea and the top of Mt. Everest every day. I am willing to bet that there will be a flurry of "you are wrong" posts from the ignorant. I am also willing to bet that someone will take time to argue why my argument is correct. If so, I didn't see them on sci.econ. But in economics, if data and a theory match to a correlation of better than about 0.6 it is considered to be a confirmation of the theory. Like in cosmology where the rule is "10 = 100" ;-) ,,,,,,, _______________ooo___(_O O_)___ooo_______________ (_) jim blair ) Madison Wisconsin USA. This message was brought to you using biodegradable binary bits, and 100% recycled bandwidth. For a good time call: http://www.geocities.com/capitolhill/4834 |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Jim Blair wrote: Hi, 1- As a practical matter this effecct is of little consequence. For an average lifespan of 75 years, what will be the difference in milliseconds between A who lives on top of mt. Everest and flys a jet plane daily, and B who lives at sea level and does not ever leave the ground? And what is the percent gain by A? It makes a BIG difference in the operation of the GPS. Without relativistic corrections locations would be off by tens of kilometers. Bob Kolker |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
![]() "robert j. kolker" wrote in message news:W0iAd.274625$V41.86786@attbi_s52... Jim Blair wrote: Hi, 1- As a practical matter this effecct is of little consequence. For an average lifespan of 75 years, what will be the difference in milliseconds between A who lives on top of mt. Everest and flys a jet plane daily, and B who lives at sea level and does not ever leave the ground? And what is the percent gain by A? It makes a BIG difference in the operation of the GPS. Without relativistic corrections locations would be off by tens of kilometers. Bob Kolker Hi, If I understand Varney's equation, M is the mass of the earth (in this discussion) and so the size of the gravitational correction is the same for either my lifetime or my GPS location. But the time for light to travel from a satellite to my GPS is considerably shorter than my lifetime. So sure the correction would be significant for accurate GPS location, but not for correcting my lifetime, or even the 24 hours in a day. And all of this is assuming that my point 2 is not valid. Since it is time which is distorted by gravity (or by rapid motion), "correcting" for the distortion would not alter the time change that I experience. I still age one day during each of MY 24 hours, even if MY 24 hours differ slightly from YOUR 24 hours. Or am I missing something here? ,,,,,,, _______________ooo___(_O O_)___ooo_______________ (_) jim blair ) Madison Wisconsin USA. This message was brought to you using biodegradable binary bits, and 100% recycled bandwidth. For a good time call: http://www.geocities.com/capitolhill/4834 |
|
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
SETI Ignores the Evidence | Mad Scientist | Misc | 55 | September 8th 04 10:09 PM |
Moon key to space future? | James White | Policy | 90 | January 6th 04 04:29 PM |
Let's Destroy The Myth Of Astrology!! | GFHWalker | Astronomy Misc | 11 | December 9th 03 10:28 PM |