Good news for lefties !

"A pollster whose mathematical model has correctly predicted every winner
of the White House popular vote since 1988 is banking on a decisive victory
for Democrat Barack Obama in November.Emory University political scientist
Alan Abramowitz said Wednesday that according to his "time for change"
model, Obama would secure 54.3 percent of the popular vote against 45.7
percent for Republican John McCain.That margin would virtually guarantee a
crushing victory for the Democrat in the state-by-state electoral college
that actually selects the next president, Abramowitz said.He said unknown
variables, such as the nation's bitter partisan divide and resistance to
Obama's African-American race among some white voters, may result in a
slightly smaller popular vote margin for the Democratic nominee.But, "the
combination of an unpopular Republican incumbent in the White House, a weak
economy and a second-term election make a Democratic victory in November all
but certain," he writes in the October issue of the journal "PS: Political
Science and Politics.""The good news for Democrats is that 2008, unlike
2004, is a time-for-change election - one in which the president's party has
controlled the White House for two or more terms," Abramowitz said.His model
evaluated Republican President George W. Bush's dismal approval ratings, the
change in economic output in the second quarter of the election year, and
above all an anti-incumbency mood against the White House party."Regardless
of the popularity of the president or the state of the economy, it is simply
much more difficult for the president's party to retain its hold on the
White House," the pollster said.Abramowitz said his model had correctly
forecast the popular vote winner within two percentage points or less in
every presidential election since 1988.That includes the 2000 election, when
Democrat Al Gore carried the popular vote. But Bush came ahead in the
electoral college after his Supreme Court-mandated win in Florida.And the
model faces a complication this year with the wild-card presence of two
third-party candidates, independent Ralph Nader and Libertarian Bob Barr, on
the ballot for the November 4 election."

"Leff T Wright" wrote in message
news:c5VBk.1437$T65.1059@edtnps82...
"A pollster whose mathematical model has correctly predicted every winner
of the White House popular vote since 1988 is banking on a decisive
victory for Democrat Barack Obama in November.Emory University political
scientist Alan Abramowitz said Wednesday that according to his "time for
change" model, Obama would secure 54.3 percent of the popular vote against
45.7 percent for Republican John McCain.

Well, not to burst his (or your) bubble, but this time he's going to be
wrong.

That margin would virtually guarantee a
crushing victory for the Democrat in the state-by-state electoral college
that actually selects the next president, Abramowitz said.He said unknown
variables, such as the nation's bitter partisan divide and resistance to
Obama's African-American race among some white voters, may result in a
slightly smaller popular vote margin for the Democratic nominee.But, "the
combination of an unpopular Republican incumbent in the White House, a
weak economy and a second-term election make a Democratic victory in
November all but certain," he writes in the October issue of the journal
"PS: Political Science and Politics.""The good news for Democrats is that
2008, unlike 2004, is a time-for-change election - one in which the
president's party has controlled the White House for two or more terms,"
Abramowitz said.His model evaluated Republican President George W. Bush's
dismal approval ratings, the change in economic output in the second
quarter of the election year, and above all an anti-incumbency mood
against the White House party."Regardless of the popularity of the
president or the state of the economy, it is simply much more difficult
for the president's party to retain its hold on the White House," the
pollster said.Abramowitz said his model had correctly forecast the popular
vote winner within two percentage points or less in every presidential
election since 1988.That includes the 2000 election, when Democrat Al Gore
carried the popular vote. But Bush came ahead in the electoral college
after his Supreme Court-mandated win in Florida.And the model faces a
complication this year with the wild-card presence of two third-party
candidates, independent Ralph Nader and Libertarian Bob Barr, on the
ballot for the November 4 election."

If you think there's going to be true change by electing either one of these
candidates, think again. The system is so corrupted that only a major
restructuring might only begin to cause change. You have to eliminate 99.9%
of the current political system first, then start talking about change.
It's just not going to happen, at least not positive change. You're better
off voting for Mickey Mouse for this election than either tweedle dumb and
tweedle dumber.

Rich

You're off-tompc!
You also have to remember that Obama isn't a native born citizen.

--
Bob May

rmay at nethere.com
http: slash /nav.to slash bobmay
http: slash /bobmay dot astronomy.net

"Bob May" wrote in message
...
You're off-tompc!
You also have to remember that Obama isn't a native born citizen.


Either is Arnold of CA !

On Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:41:12 -0700, "Bob May"
wrote:

You're off-tompc!
You also have to remember that Obama isn't a native born citizen.

Sorry for being off topic, but the ignorance level is to high for me
to ignore. Yes he a natural born citizen. He was born in Hawaii in
1961. Lord I cant beleive this BS is still flying around.