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![]() Spheres http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2932M1M1.HTML http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2933M2M1.HTML Layered rock http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2589L7M1.HTML After almost two years the Meridiani spheres on Mars remain a mystery. They remain unidentified. Simple spheriods the size of bb's, made up of mostly iron and silica, and no one can seem to figure out how they were formed. Nasa originally identified the spheres as hematite concretions. A positive identification as non-living mineral concretions. But they retracted that id within a week or two, and since then have referred to them as only 'hematite rich spheres'. Which is a generic lawyer-like description, not a positive identification. The near perfect spherical shape, and consistency from one sphere to another, rules out their formation in a wet substrate ....if the explanation is to be non-living. This means another method for their formation has to be contrived for the spheres to be the result of non-living processes. The only remaining alternatives are volcanism or surface impacts. So the geologists have offered this explanation. That the spheres formed as a result of substrate that was heated by the ejecta from nearby surface impacts. Even though there's ample evidence of hydrothermal activity at Meridiani, that has to be ignored, since formation in water means the only explanation would be microbes. The following research shows that on earth only living processes can explain the structure of the spheres. Which is why the geologists have to contrive an impact related theory. Lunar and Planetary Science XXXVI (2005) PROCESSES OF FORMATION OF SPHEROIDAL CONCRETIONS AND INFERENCES FOR "BLUEBERRIES" IN MERIDIANI PLANUM SEDIMENTS. "In summary, simple nucleation controlled growth will form clumps or bands of cement not spheroids. Spheroidal nodular concretions on Earth result from spherical diffusion of products of diagenetic reactions involving organics" http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2005/pdf/2148.pdf The composition of the spheres cannot be explained by living processes. The structure of the spheres cannot be explained by geological processes. It's a tie! The spheres cannot be explained by either geologists or biologists after...two years of study. That is a clue. The most mysterious thing ever discovered off this planet and the Phd's of this world are all at a loss. Don't know, they say. Not completely sure...inconclusive. Just like Viking, just like the AHL meteorite......a tie... between living and non-living explanations. Exactly inconclusive for life three straight times now. If it's not geology as we know it, and it's not life as we know it, there's only one logical possibility left. The spheres are neither...and both. Darwin has taught us all about how life evolves from point A to point B. The great debate that rages as we speak between science and religion is all about how life.....first... started. The big question is Creation. The Opportunity spheres, imo, represent the missing link between geology and biology. A transitional form combining equal measures of both, without being quite either. The spheres have the composition of simple mineral concretions, they have the structure of microbial life. If true, if the spheres represent the phase transition between geology and biology, which the evidence supports, then they would represent perhaps the single greatest scientific discovery ....possible. Creation itself. I firmly believe, after studying the spheres for almost two years, that this is the only logical conclusion possible. A perfect tie between the geologists and biologists means Creation has been discovered at last. And now they're finding spheres at the Spirit site as well. Different size. http://marsrovers.nasa.gov/gallery/a...0P2956M2M1.JPG Amidst an unexplained and isolated patch of dark Meridiani like soil. http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2267R2M1.HTML BIOGENIC STRUCTURES FROM A HYPERSALINE LAKE IN THE BAHAMAS. Lunar and Planetary Science XXXII (2001) 1068.pdf "Results and Discussion: Our FE-SEM analy-sis indicates a range of microbial life forms on the fractured stromatolite surfaces. Spheroidal features are the most common, with four distinct populations, characterized by their highly uniform intrapopulation sizes:" http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2001/pdf/1068.pdf An astrobiological perspective on Meridiani Planum "Opportunity's discoveries on Meridiani Planum hand astrobiologists half a glass of water. Local environments may well have been habitable during at least part of the interval when Meridiani outcrop rocks formed. On the other hand, Meridiani sedimentary rocks support models of martian environmental history that that might have frustrated prebiotic chemistry. Only continuing exploration will tell us whether the figurative glass of martian water is half full or half empty." http://www.geol.umd.edu/~kaufman/ppt...y/Knoll_05.pdf NASA Technical Memorandum WORKSHOP ON THE SOCIETAL IMPLICATIONS OF ASTROBIOLOGY http://astrobiology.arc.nasa.gov/wor...tal_report.pdf "One of the reasons for this is a sense of urgency: confirmation of extraterrestrial life could occur at any time and in any of a number of ways. When it occurs, we may have only limited control over the situation." page 36 "The discovery may stimulate a worldwide resurgence in religious activity." page 29 " .... it is extremely important for us to be highly knowledgeable about the likely reactions of different constituencies (the press, various religious groups, political leaders, and the general public). We would be foolish and negligent if we did not study such reactions well ahead of time and make state-of-the art preparations for major discoveries." page 6 Jonathan s |
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![]() Thought-provoking and generally provocative. Thanks for taking the time and care to share this. "jonathan" wrote in message . .. Spheres http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2932M1M1.HTML http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2933M2M1.HTML Layered rock http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2589L7M1.HTML |
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On Mon, 16 Jan 2006 03:45:57 GMT, "Jim Oberg"
wrote: "jonathan" wrote in message ... Spheres http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2932M1M1.HTML http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2933M2M1.HTML Layered rock http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2589L7M1.HTML Thought-provoking and generally provocative. Thanks for taking the time and care to share this. I have been wondering for a while if NASA should give up their "follow the water trail to find life" idea and instead switch this to "follow the methane trail to find life". Cardman http://www.cardman.org http://www.cardman.com http://www.cardman.co.uk |
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![]() "Cardman" wrote in message ... On Mon, 16 Jan 2006 03:45:57 GMT, "Jim Oberg" wrote: "jonathan" wrote in message ... Spheres http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2932M1M1.HTML http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2933M2M1.HTML Layered rock http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2589L7M1.HTML Thought-provoking and generally provocative. Thanks for taking the time and care to share this. I have been wondering for a while if NASA should give up their "follow the water trail to find life" idea and instead switch this to "follow the methane trail to find life". ESA appears to be following up on that, but Nasa isn't even looking it seems. "Observation of Methane, Formaldehyde and HS (hydrogen sulfide): Extant Life On Mars?" "Vittorio Formisano, Ph.D., Principal Investigator of Planetary Fourier Spectrometer (PFS), Dr. Formisano designed the Planetary Fourier Spectrometer (PFS) for placement on the European Space Agency's Mars Express Orbiter." "A symbiosis of methanogenic bacteria with methanothrophic bacteria in the Martian underground can be an alternative interpretation (to geothermal) and looks more likely." "September 20, 2004 Ischia Island, Italy - Today at the International Mars Conference held September 19-23, by the Italian Space Agency, physicist Vittorio Formisano, Ph.D., presented results from his analysis of the Martian atmosphere in a paper entitled, "Observation of Methane, Formaldehyde and HS (hydrogen sulfide): Extant Life On Mars?" Dr. Formisano designed the Planetary Fourier Spectrometer (PFS) for placement on the European Space Agency's Mars Express Orbiter. Back on May 6, 2004, when I interviewed him for Earthfiles and radio, he said his PFS data indicated molecules of formaldehyde in the Martian atmosphere and told me, "Formaldehyde is destroyed in the Martian atmosphere within 7.5 hours. There is no way that formaldehyde can exist and remain for a long time in the Martian atmosphere. If (formaldehyde) confirmed, possibly life on Mars today, yes." http://www.earthfiles.com/news/news....tegory=Science ....................... Interview: Michael Mumma, Ph.D., Chief Scientist, Planetary and Astrophysical Sciences, Laboratory for Extraterrestrial Physics, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland: "It is, of course, one of the possibilities that we wish to investigate most thoroughly. The first possibility is that there are forms of life below the permafrost region on Mars which are reducing carbon and releasing methane in the process, and probably several other organic gases as well. Another possibility is that it is an abiotic process * that it does not involve actual life itself. It could be a signature of a geothermal process." Has NASA Confirmed Formaldehyde in Martian Atmosphere? "We have not confirmed the presence of formaldehyde on Mars, largely because we have not spent much time searching for it. There are other workers who have claimed the presence of formaldehyde from time to time. But these have not generally been accepted by the scientific community. So, if Dr. Formisano has a firm detection of formaldehyde, this probably would be the very first one that would be accepted by the scientific community." Cardman http://www.cardman.org http://www.cardman.com http://www.cardman.co.uk |
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![]() "Jim Oberg" wrote in message ... Thought-provoking and generally provocative. Thanks for taking the time and care to share this. Thanks! I appreciate it very much. "jonathan" wrote in message . .. Spheres http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2932M1M1.HTML http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2933M2M1.HTML Layered rock http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2589L7M1.HTML |
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On Sat, 14 Jan 2006 23:46:24 -0500, "jonathan"
wrote: - Refer: Spheres http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2932M1M1.HTML http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2933M2M1.HTML Layered rock http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2589L7M1.HTML After almost two years the Meridiani spheres on Mars remain a mystery. They remain unidentified. Simple spheriods the size of bb's, made up of mostly iron and silica, and no one can seem to figure out how they were formed. Nasa originally identified the spheres as hematite concretions. A positive identification as non-living mineral concretions. But they retracted that id within a week or two, and since then have referred to them as only 'hematite rich spheres'. Which is a generic lawyer-like description, not a positive identification. The near perfect spherical shape, and consistency from one sphere to another, rules out their formation in a wet substrate ....if the explanation is to be non-living. This means another method for their formation has to be contrived for the spheres to be the result of non-living processes. The only remaining alternatives are volcanism or surface impacts. So the geologists have offered this explanation. That the spheres formed as a result of substrate that was heated by the ejecta from nearby surface impacts. Even though there's ample evidence of hydrothermal activity at Meridiani, that has to be ignored, since formation in water means the only explanation would be microbes. The following research shows that on earth only living processes can explain the structure of the spheres. Which is why the geologists have to contrive an impact related theory. Lunar and Planetary Science XXXVI (2005) PROCESSES OF FORMATION OF SPHEROIDAL CONCRETIONS AND INFERENCES FOR "BLUEBERRIES" IN MERIDIANI PLANUM SEDIMENTS. "In summary, simple nucleation controlled growth will form clumps or bands of cement not spheroids. Spheroidal nodular concretions on Earth result from spherical diffusion of products of diagenetic reactions involving organics" http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2005/pdf/2148.pdf The composition of the spheres cannot be explained by living processes. The structure of the spheres cannot be explained by geological processes. It's a tie! The spheres cannot be explained by either geologists or biologists after...two years of study. That is a clue. The most mysterious thing ever discovered off this planet and the Phd's of this world are all at a loss. Don't know, they say. Not completely sure...inconclusive. Just like Viking, just like the AHL meteorite......a tie... between living and non-living explanations. Exactly inconclusive for life three straight times now. If it's not geology as we know it, and it's not life as we know it, there's only one logical possibility left. The spheres are neither...and both. Darwin has taught us all about how life evolves from point A to point B. The great debate that rages as we speak between science and religion is all about how life.....first... started. The big question is Creation. The Opportunity spheres, imo, represent the missing link between geology and biology. A transitional form combining equal measures of both, without being quite either. The spheres have the composition of simple mineral concretions, they have the structure of microbial life. If true, if the spheres represent the phase transition between geology and biology, which the evidence supports, then they would represent perhaps the single greatest scientific discovery ....possible. Creation itself. I firmly believe, after studying the spheres for almost two years, that this is the only logical conclusion possible. A perfect tie between the geologists and biologists means Creation has been discovered at last. And now they're finding spheres at the Spirit site as well. Different size. http://marsrovers.nasa.gov/gallery/a...0P2956M2M1.JPG Amidst an unexplained and isolated patch of dark Meridiani like soil. http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...P2267R2M1.HTML BIOGENIC STRUCTURES FROM A HYPERSALINE LAKE IN THE BAHAMAS. Lunar and Planetary Science XXXII (2001) 1068.pdf "Results and Discussion: Our FE-SEM analy-sis indicates a range of microbial life forms on the fractured stromatolite surfaces. Spheroidal features are the most common, with four distinct populations, characterized by their highly uniform intrapopulation sizes:" http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2001/pdf/1068.pdf An astrobiological perspective on Meridiani Planum "Opportunity's discoveries on Meridiani Planum hand astrobiologists half a glass of water. Local environments may well have been habitable during at least part of the interval when Meridiani outcrop rocks formed. On the other hand, Meridiani sedimentary rocks support models of martian environmental history that that might have frustrated prebiotic chemistry. Only continuing exploration will tell us whether the figurative glass of martian water is half full or half empty." http://www.geol.umd.edu/~kaufman/ppt...y/Knoll_05.pdf NASA Technical Memorandum WORKSHOP ON THE SOCIETAL IMPLICATIONS OF ASTROBIOLOGY http://astrobiology.arc.nasa.gov/wor...tal_report.pdf "One of the reasons for this is a sense of urgency: confirmation of extraterrestrial life could occur at any time and in any of a number of ways. When it occurs, we may have only limited control over the situation." page 36 "The discovery may stimulate a worldwide resurgence in religious activity." page 29 " .... it is extremely important for us to be highly knowledgeable about the likely reactions of different constituencies (the press, various religious groups, political leaders, and the general public). We would be foolish and negligent if we did not study such reactions well ahead of time and make state-of-the art preparations for major discoveries." page 6 Jonathan s What a huge effort to go to for an argument from ignorance. Do you think that you can swamp your audience with sheer bulk of ignorance? |
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Michael Gray wrote:
What a huge effort to go to for an argument from ignorance. What a huge effort you made in trimming your post. Do you think that you can swamp your audience with sheer bulk of ignorance? Do you think you can swamp the usenet with the sheer bulk of your content free comments and wasted bandwidth? http://cosmic.lifeform.org |
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![]() "Michael Gray" wrote in message ... What a huge effort to go to for an argument from ignorance. Do you think that you can swamp your audience with sheer bulk of ignorance? This is a legitimate criticism. And yes I think I can. But you'll have to play fair and give me a chance to make it. It's not a small effort to argue from ....uncertainty. A more accurate description of the argument I'm making is to base a conclusion based on the total system ...uncertainty...displayed by the s pheres. While classical means search for certainty, the non-linear mathematics I hobby in do just the opposite. And if you'll bear with me for a moment as I have to intro an entire science few are familiar with to make this point. The chaos and complexity sciences are all about studying the properties that exist when a system stands poised at a phase transition between it's own possible extremes in behavior. Much like a cloud stands critically poised between it's condensed and evaporated forms. To quote Cambridge physics lecture notes. "The word criticality has a very precise meaning in equilibrium thermodynamics. It is used in connection with phase transitions (strictly speaking continuous transitions). When the temperature of the system is precisely equal to the transition temperature, .......something extraordinary happens..........." http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/052...lance&n=283155 It's those extraordinary properties I study, and I strongly believe to be displayed clearly by the spheres. Briefly, the primary properties that appear at these dynamic states provide the source for self-organization. This is where systems spontaneously begin organizing to higher levels from within. This is where systems self tune to the optimum and emergent properties appear. The source of all order. These properties are nothing short of the underlying source for evolution, and I mean for both living /and/ physical systems. Darwinian evolution is now considered a special case of a far broader concept of self organization that is universal. Imo, this is a breathtaking concept and advance in understanding order of all kinds. Systems that stand persistently poised at a critical state or phase transition generate emergent properties. These are properties that ...cannot...be understood by an examination of component details. This is because criticality, also called an 'edge state' or 'edge of chaos' is when the system components behave simultaneously with the very least predictability and greatest volatility. Their trajectories are intractably entangled in phase space, to use the parlance. Like a cloud, a continuous sequence of step changes, chaotically or randomly changing from water to air and back. To quickly judge whether a system is in fact at this critical edge state, one merely needs to analyze the primary system variables in terms of their relative complexity. In short when the primary system variables display maximum....uncertainty... all at once, the system is at the edge state. It is at this edge or uncertain state where self organization and emergent order is expected. The spheres at first glance are simple mineral concretions to a geologist. A very well known science. Yet their structure, their self similarity or uniform shapes prevent the geologists from nailing down the precise process that would create them. On earth only life creates such emergent order. The spheres at first glance appear to be microbial concretions to a biologist. But their simple composition and lack of internal structure or biosignatures prevent the biologists from coming to that conclusion. Both sides have equally good arguments for their case. Both sides come up just short. If they were either after two years of intense study ...we'd know...as both cases represent rather simple forms of each respective discipline. Mineral or microbial concretions are NOT rocket science. But in fact represent the very simplest forms of order for both disciplines. It the spheres are EITHER we'd know right off the bat guys! I mean COME ON, use just a little common sense please!! The spheres display a maximum level possible of total system uncertainty. They are at an edge state. They display emergent order, they are self organized. The spheres stand poised at a persistent critical threshold between their own extremes in possibilities. And in the case of the spheres the two opposite extremes just happen to be geology and biology. They are both and neither at the same time. They take the abstract form of cloud, and perfectly so. And this amidst an environment that clearly qualifies as the 'primordial soup' life is thought to have evolved from. Mineral rich hydrothermal systems. And this amidst an unexplained deposits of iron that on earth almost always are deposited by microbes. The type of microbes that feeds on sulfates Meridiani is rich in, and leaves behind iron deposits Meridiani coated with. The ...very same...types of microbes thought to have been one of the first, if not the ...very first....life to have evolved on earth. The environmental context is nearly perfect for the conclusion that the spheres represent how geology transitions to biology. Creation! Arguing from uncertainly a legitimate one now that chaos theory and the complexity sciences are finally maturing. For those that read this far, thanks. Jonathan Lunar and Planetary Science XXXV (2004) "It is this common association of microbes and iron deposition on earth that has spurred hopes that robot crafts exploring the hematite anomaly of Mars' Meridiani Planum might find evidence for ancient life. The hematite deposits of Meridiani Planum [7], regardless of their exact origin, are considered to be a favorable host for microorganisms that might have been associated with their formation [8]." http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2004/pdf/1369.pdf An astrobiological perspective on Meridiani Planum (perhaps the defining paper so far on Meridiani) 3.1. Acidity and biology Acidic environments where jarosite and other sulfate minerals precipitate in association with iron oxides occur in acid-mine drainage worldwide. The Rio Tinto river system in southwestern Spain has been well studied [e.g., [27] and references therein], and while it has been exacerbated by mining, this system is natural and includes diagenetically stabilized deposits up to two million years old [27]. Rio Tinto and other strongly acidic environments on Earth contain diverse microorganisms, including bacteria, archaea, and a sur-prisingly large variety of microbial eukaryotes [33-35]. (These acid drainage systems are not, in general, close process analogs of martian environments [27], but min-eralogy and water chemistry suggest that they are in-formative as state analogs," http://www.geol.umd.edu/~kaufman/ppt...y/Knoll_05.pdf Morphological Biosignatures and the Search for Life on Mars "Determining the location of potential paleobiological repositories on Mars requires an understanding of the martian surface in terms of elemental abundances and mineralogy. This variety of hematite on Earth forms only in the presence of large amounts of water, and typically at elevated (hydrothermal) temperatures (Christensen et al., 2000)." http://geology.asu.edu/jfarmer/pubs/pdfs/morpho.pdf ps. Stock charts display such total system variable uncertainty very well at times. And when they do universal or self organized behavior erupts. Internal order begins that is not ...at all.. dependent on any system specific details. I'm trying to hint that I'm very successfully testing this concept in the real world. I know it's valid. And if your interested in how to play the market using chaos theory...I'll tell you all about it. And you can see for yourself how this concepts manifests itself. s |
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On Mon, 16 Jan 2006 18:30:34 -0500, "jonathan"
wrote: - Refer: "Michael Gray" wrote in message .. . What a huge effort to go to for an argument from ignorance. Do you think that you can swamp your audience with sheer bulk of ignorance? This is a legitimate criticism. And yes I think I can. But you'll have to play fair and give me a chance to make it. It's not a small effort to argue from ....uncertainty. Argument from Ignorance. Why not call it what it is? If it were from "uncertainty", you'd simply say that you didn't know, and leave it at that. Short, sharp, and shiny. But instead you have to, (once again), pad out your "I don't know, the scientists aren't sure, so it MUST HAVE BEEN LIFE", into a tedious 500 word amateur essay. A more accurate description of the argument I'm making is to base a conclusion based on the total system ...uncertainty...displayed by the s pheres. While classical means search for certainty, the non-linear mathematics I hobby in do just the opposite. And if you'll bear with me for a moment as I have to intro an entire science few are familiar with to make this point. I am formally qualified in this very area. I have a degree in Applied Math from the faculty of Mathematical Sciences at Adelaide Uni. I happen to be very familiar with it. It is not a "hobby" for me. I am a working scientist. Non-linear math is an element of my daily work, and has been for the last 28 years. And I suggest that if your argument is based on "the total system ....uncertainty...displayed by the spheres", then you have no argument whatsoever. It is my professional opinion that you are attempting to apply the field of "uncertainty" where it just doesn't fit. "Uncertainty" has nothing to do with hypothesising the origin of these spherules. Probability does, though. The chaos and complexity sciences are all about studying the properties that exist when a system stands poised at a phase transition between it's own possible extremes in behavior. Much like a cloud stands critically poised between it's condensed and evaporated forms. I don't agree with this definition, but I'll let it rest at that. To quote Cambridge physics lecture notes. "The word criticality has a very precise meaning in equilibrium thermodynamics. It is used in connection with phase transitions (strictly speaking continuous transitions). When the temperature of the system is precisely equal to the transition temperature, ......something extraordinary happens..........." http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/052...lance&n=283155 It's those extraordinary properties I study, and I strongly believe to be displayed clearly by the spheres. "I strongly believe" being the key phrase there. I don't happen to share that view. Briefly, the primary properties that appear at these dynamic states provide the source for self-organization. This is where systems spontaneously begin organizing to higher levels from within. This is where systems self tune to the optimum and emergent properties appear. The source of all order. Unsupported assertion. These properties are nothing short of the underlying source for evolution, and I mean for both living /and/ physical systems. Darwinian evolution is now considered a special case of a far broader concept of self organization that is universal. Imo, this is a breathtaking concept and advance in understanding order of all kinds. Systems that stand persistently poised at a critical state or phase transition generate emergent properties. These are properties that ...cannot...be understood by an examination of component details. This is because "Cannot"? So, if I am able to "understand" one of these emergent properties, from examination of the component details, this will disprove your assertion, and by dint of your relying on this argument from ignorance, your entire premise? [ ] Yes [ ] No. (Give special pleading here___________) criticality, also called an 'edge state' or 'edge of chaos' is when the system components behave simultaneously with the very least predictability and greatest volatility. Their trajectories are intractably entangled in phase space, to use the parlance. Like a cloud, a continuous sequence of step changes, chaotically or randomly changing from water to air and back. The origin of the Martian spheres is nothing at all "like a cloud" in equilibrium. To quickly judge whether a system is in fact at this critical edge state, one merely needs to analyze the primary system variables in terms of their relative complexity. In short when the primary system variables display maximum....uncertainty... all at once, the system is at the edge state. Define what you mean by "uncertainty". I think that your definition is very different from mine. It is at this edge or uncertain state where self organization and emergent order is expected. Expected by whom? The spheres at first glance are simple mineral concretions to a geologist. A very well known science. Yet their structure, their self similarity or uniform shapes prevent the geologists from nailing down the precise process that would create them. On earth only life creates such emergent order. Rubbish. Perfect hexagonal structures are formed by water. You call them snowflakes. Spheres, more perfect than the martian ones, (which are far from uniform or even spherical), are formed by wave action on pebbles. Your argment from ignorance reaches a crescendo at this point, and it where it gets so very stupid, that I have no desire to continue pointing this out. The spheres at first glance appear to be microbial concretions to a biologist. But their simple composition and lack of internal structure or biosignatures prevent the biologists from coming to that conclusion. Both sides have equally good arguments for their case. Both sides come up just short. If they were either after two years of intense study ...we'd know...as both cases represent rather simple forms of each respective discipline. Oh intercourse. Another personal argument from ignorance: The experts say they don't know for sure, so Junior Scientist proclaims that it MUST BE LIFE! Mineral or microbial concretions are NOT rocket science. But in fact represent the very simplest forms of order for both disciplines. It the spheres are EITHER we'd know right off the bat guys! I mean COME ON, use just a little common sense please!! I fervently wish that you would. For my blood pressure's sake, if nothing else. The spheres display a maximum level possible of total system uncertainty. They are at an edge state. They display emergent order, they are self organized. The spheres stand poised at a persistent critical threshold between their own extremes in possibilities. And in the case of the spheres the two opposite extremes just happen to be geology and biology. They are both and neither at the same time. They take the abstract form of cloud, and perfectly so. And this amidst an environment that clearly qualifies as the 'primordial soup' life is thought to have evolved from. Mineral rich hydrothermal systems. And this amidst an unexplained deposits of iron that on earth almost always are deposited by microbes. The type of microbes that feeds on sulfates Meridiani is rich in, and leaves behind iron deposits Meridiani coated with. The ...very same...types of microbes thought to have been one of the first, if not the ...very first....life to have evolved on earth. The environmental context is nearly perfect for the conclusion that the spheres represent how geology transitions to biology. Creation! What? Arguing from uncertainly a legitimate one now that chaos theory and the complexity sciences are finally maturing. For those that read this far, thanks. It was touch and go, but I stuck it out. I'm sure I'll regret it. Jonathan Lunar and Planetary Science XXXV (2004) "It is this common association of microbes and iron deposition on earth that has spurred hopes that robot crafts exploring the hematite anomaly of Mars' Meridiani Planum might find evidence for ancient life. The hematite deposits of Meridiani Planum [7], regardless of their exact origin, are considered to be a favorable host for microorganisms that might have been associated with their formation [8]." http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2004/pdf/1369.pdf An astrobiological perspective on Meridiani Planum (perhaps the defining paper so far on Meridiani) 3.1. Acidity and biology Acidic environments where jarosite and other sulfate minerals precipitate in association with iron oxides occur in acid-mine drainage worldwide. The Rio Tinto river system in southwestern Spain has been well studied [e.g., [27] and references therein], and while it has been exacerbated by mining, this system is natural and includes diagenetically stabilized deposits up to two million years old [27]. Rio Tinto and other strongly acidic environments on Earth contain diverse microorganisms, including bacteria, archaea, and a sur-prisingly large variety of microbial eukaryotes [33-35]. (These acid drainage systems are not, in general, close process analogs of martian environments [27], but min-eralogy and water chemistry suggest that they are in-formative as state analogs," http://www.geol.umd.edu/~kaufman/ppt...y/Knoll_05.pdf Morphological Biosignatures and the Search for Life on Mars "Determining the location of potential paleobiological repositories on Mars requires an understanding of the martian surface in terms of elemental abundances and mineralogy. This variety of hematite on Earth forms only in the presence of large amounts of water, and typically at elevated (hydrothermal) temperatures (Christensen et al., 2000)." http://geology.asu.edu/jfarmer/pubs/pdfs/morpho.pdf ps. Stock charts display such total system variable uncertainty very well at times. And when they do universal or self organized behavior erupts. Internal order begins that is not ...at all.. dependent on any system specific details. I'm trying to hint that I'm very successfully testing this concept in the real world. I know it's valid. And if your interested in how to play the market using chaos theory...I'll tell you all about it. And you can see for yourself how this concepts manifests itself. s |
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![]() "Michael Gray" wrote in message ... On Mon, 16 Jan 2006 18:30:34 -0500, "jonathan" wrote: - Refer: "Michael Gray" wrote in message .. . What a huge effort to go to for an argument from ignorance. Do you think that you can swamp your audience with sheer bulk of ignorance? This is a legitimate criticism. And yes I think I can. But you'll have to play fair and give me a chance to make it. It's not a small effort to argue from ....uncertainty. Argument from Ignorance. Why not call it what it is? If it were from "uncertainty", you'd simply say that you didn't know, and leave it at that. Leaving the unknown alone is what the scientific community is doing in this case. Which is the opposite of what science is about. This rover mission was about understanding the hematite anomaly at Meridiani. The hematite is entirely in the spheres. Almost none in the soil or rocks. Just the spheres, which is another argument for life btw. Understanding the spheres is the primary science goal for this mission. It's why they went to Meridiani, to understand where the hematite came from. And they are leaving it alone, and not even admitting they haven't figured it out. I don't find that acceptable at all. Short, sharp, and shiny. But instead you have to, (once again), pad out your "I don't know, the scientists aren't sure, so it MUST HAVE BEEN LIFE", into a tedious 500 word amateur essay. It is amateur, that doesn't make it wrong. It's up to you to show it is, you haven't done that yet. All I see is so far is insults and bragging. That's not a refutation. Does the concept of eliminating all possibilities except for one register with you? Part of this argument is that very capable experts in both fields have searched for an answer within their specialties and failed. In addition the context limits the possible explanations further. If there's only one explanation left....and....it entirely fits within all the observations, why is it inappropriate to claim it's the best answer? And once again, this is a logical argument, not one based on facts that determine the solution. There are no definitive facts to explain the spheres. I'm taking the only alternative left. A more accurate description of the argument I'm making is to base a conclusion based on the total system ...uncertainty...displayed by the s pheres. While classical means search for certainty, the non-linear mathematics I hobby in do just the opposite. And if you'll bear with me for a moment as I have to intro an entire science few are familiar with to make this point. I am formally qualified in this very area. I have a degree in Applied Math from the faculty of Mathematical Sciences at Adelaide Uni. I happen to be very familiar with it. It is not a "hobby" for me. I am a working scientist. Non-linear math is an element of my daily work, and has been for the last 28 years. Twenty eight years? Complexity science isn't even ten years old. The first complete textbook wasn't published until '97. And the same book is the ...only..online textbook on this science as we speak. If you haven't read it, how can you say you're up to date? And is the source for my reading on the subject. http://necsi.org/publications/dcs/index.html And I suggest that if your argument is based on "the total system ...uncertainty...displayed by the spheres", then you have no argument whatsoever. Only if you fail to understand the system properties that emerge when all the primary system variables of a system are complex/uncertain at the same time. Let me give you an example just how total uncertainty defines systems behavior. Lets use stock chart behavior as an example. As the data is nicely laid out already and is very suitable for making predictions. I'll post some currently running charts to demonstrate the following criteria and properties. So you can see for yourself. A stock chart has only three variables, price, volume and time period. When all three variables are simultaneously at their most uncertain or complex, then the system self organizes and displays universal behavior NOT dependent on the system specific details. The complex realm for each variable is simply midway between the practical opposite extremes in possibility. For time frame. The practical extremes in the market in trading frames of reference are the day traders on one end. That trade in minutes or hours. The opposite extreme is the longs that trade in months and years. The complex realm for this variable is what is between, days or weeks. A pattern that takes place over a five or ten day chart would be a complex time frame. The most uncertain time period of all. Certainty in the market is found over very long or very short time periods. The variable for price has one extreme under two dollars. As that is when the stock is booted from the exchanges. The upper extreme would be the blue-chips. A price that reflects a high level of stability. Typically over ten dollars a share is considered stable. So the complex realm for price is between 2 and 10 dollars. This is the most uncertain range in prics as it's neither teetering on delisting, or breaking out into stability. Could go either way in other words. Volume is done in same way, neither dead or highly active. These are the initial conditions needed for a perturbation to set off self organized behavior. The perturbation must also be complex, or display the highest level of uncertainty. It must not be so large as to easily define the future, or so small as to be overwhelmed by other factors. To judge if the perturbation is complex the same analysis as the initial conditions are used. Except that the ...rates of change of volume and price after the perturbation must be complex. For price the rate of change after the perturbation must be midway between the extremes in possibility. One extreme is no change, the other straight down. So a scale independent fall near 45 degrees in the complex realm. Total change in price must also be complex, so the price must fall miday between total and zero change. A fifty percent loss. These values must be adjusted for practical realities, and the market anticipates. So a total price fall of forty percent is a complex change. The same analysis for change in volume after the perturbation is used. It must increase in a complex way after the perturbation. Typically doubling or tripling over the fall. It may seem I'm describing a very rare set of circumstances. But any panic selling or buying spree quite often finds itself within all the specified values. When all these values and their rates of change are complex at the same time, the sytem behavior no longer is dependent on system specifics. The stock behavior can be reliably predicted without even knowing the name of the company, let alone any internal details. And that is an important point. As is allows these concepts to cross disciplines as the details of the components are not relevant at criticality. All systems behave the same way in this dynamic state. Doing a simple stock screen gives these /current/ candidates. http://prosearch.businessweek.com/bu...?mode=advanced Ticker dcn, on a ten day chart, will reach these thresholds if if falls to about 4.80. Ticker vc if it makes it to about 4.20, ten day chart Ticker v.cvq if it makes it to about 2.50, ten day chart Ticker meh if it makes it to about 3.25, ten day chart Ticker sift if it makes it to about 7, ten day chart Ticker lpth if it falls to about 4.75, five day chart And those are just the tickers that came up today!!! Not so rare. And compare the charts to each other and watch their behavior. Ask yourself, how can all these completely different companies, systems, show such similar behavior? The only relations to each other are their levels of total uncertainty or complexity. Many of these will bottom out short of the forty percent threshold, at about thirty. But if they do reach the maximum level of uncertainty they will all behave in exactly the same way. They will behave as a thunderstorm. A clap of lighting at the max dynamic/complex state, a large spike in volume, and the system will undergo a phase transition to a new trend. Which will be to bounce off the defined bottom some ten or fifteen percent. After that the perturbation is over, the sun has gone down. Time to move on. The stock I'm playing now, just for gigles, is an experiment in other realms. Look at ticker xdsl on a one month chart. If you don't see the bifurcation you don't know what that word means. It's a really pretty pattern. I'm doing this to make a point. When a system resides near it's maximum level of uncertainty it displays very recognizable patterns. After a while it takes but a glance to recognize this dynamic state. Which is to say when something is neither and both. When every aspect of something is as uncertain as possible. It has certain characteristics that are easily recognizable The spheres have only two variables, their composition and shape. Neither defines the spheres/system completely. And equally so. I've seen it a hundred times. There's only one thing that can do that, and it isn't erosion or random geological processes. Massive self similarity is something only life does. This should be obvious! Systems that stand persistently poised at a critical state or phase transition generate emergent properties. These are properties that ...cannot...be understood by an examination of component details. This is because "Cannot"? So, if I am able to "understand" one of these emergent properties, from examination of the component details, this will disprove your assertion, and by dint of your relying on this argument from ignorance, your entire premise? Are you going to tell me you can understand an emotion from tracing the firing of each neuron? This is what I'm talking about. Or market forces from each business? Or the shape of cloud from the position of each molecule? Unless you improperly define what an emergent system property is, no, you can't do it. Show me~ [ ] Yes [ ] No. (Give special pleading here___________) Jonathan s criticality, also called an 'edge state' or 'edge of chaos' is when the system components behave simultaneously with the very least predictability and greatest volatility. Their trajectories are intractably entangled in phase space, to use the parlance. Like a cloud, a continuous sequence of step changes, chaotically or randomly changing from water to air and back. The origin of the Martian spheres is nothing at all "like a cloud" in equilibrium. To quickly judge whether a system is in fact at this critical edge state, one merely needs to analyze the primary system variables in terms of their relative complexity. In short when the primary system variables display maximum....uncertainty... all at once, the system is at the edge state. Define what you mean by "uncertainty". I think that your definition is very different from mine. It is at this edge or uncertain state where self organization and emergent order is expected. Expected by whom? The spheres at first glance are simple mineral concretions to a geologist. A very well known science. Yet their structure, their self similarity or uniform shapes prevent the geologists from nailing down the precise process that would create them. On earth only life creates such emergent order. Rubbish. Perfect hexagonal structures are formed by water. You call them snowflakes. Spheres, more perfect than the martian ones, (which are far from uniform or even spherical), are formed by wave action on pebbles. Your argment from ignorance reaches a crescendo at this point, and it where it gets so very stupid, that I have no desire to continue pointing this out. The spheres at first glance appear to be microbial concretions to a biologist. But their simple composition and lack of internal structure or biosignatures prevent the biologists from coming to that conclusion. Both sides have equally good arguments for their case. Both sides come up just short. If they were either after two years of intense study ...we'd know...as both cases represent rather simple forms of each respective discipline. Oh intercourse. Another personal argument from ignorance: The experts say they don't know for sure, so Junior Scientist proclaims that it MUST BE LIFE! Mineral or microbial concretions are NOT rocket science. But in fact represent the very simplest forms of order for both disciplines. It the spheres are EITHER we'd know right off the bat guys! I mean COME ON, use just a little common sense please!! I fervently wish that you would. For my blood pressure's sake, if nothing else. The spheres display a maximum level possible of total system uncertainty. They are at an edge state. They display emergent order, they are self organized. The spheres stand poised at a persistent critical threshold between their own extremes in possibilities. And in the case of the spheres the two opposite extremes just happen to be geology and biology. They are both and neither at the same time. They take the abstract form of cloud, and perfectly so. And this amidst an environment that clearly qualifies as the 'primordial soup' life is thought to have evolved from. Mineral rich hydrothermal systems. And this amidst an unexplained deposits of iron that on earth almost always are deposited by microbes. The type of microbes that feeds on sulfates Meridiani is rich in, and leaves behind iron deposits Meridiani coated with. The ...very same...types of microbes thought to have been one of the first, if not the ...very first....life to have evolved on earth. The environmental context is nearly perfect for the conclusion that the spheres represent how geology transitions to biology. Creation! What? Arguing from uncertainly a legitimate one now that chaos theory and the complexity sciences are finally maturing. For those that read this far, thanks. It was touch and go, but I stuck it out. I'm sure I'll regret it. Jonathan Lunar and Planetary Science XXXV (2004) "It is this common association of microbes and iron deposition on earth that has spurred hopes that robot crafts exploring the hematite anomaly of Mars' Meridiani Planum might find evidence for ancient life. The hematite deposits of Meridiani Planum [7], regardless of their exact origin, are considered to be a favorable host for microorganisms that might have been associated with their formation [8]." http://www.lpi.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2004/pdf/1369.pdf An astrobiological perspective on Meridiani Planum (perhaps the defining paper so far on Meridiani) 3.1. Acidity and biology Acidic environments where jarosite and other sulfate minerals precipitate in association with iron oxides occur in acid-mine drainage worldwide. The Rio Tinto river system in southwestern Spain has been well studied [e.g., [27] and references therein], and while it has been exacerbated by mining, this system is natural and includes diagenetically stabilized deposits up to two million years old [27]. Rio Tinto and other strongly acidic environments on Earth contain diverse microorganisms, including bacteria, archaea, and a sur-prisingly large variety of microbial eukaryotes [33-35]. (These acid drainage systems are not, in general, close process analogs of martian environments [27], but min-eralogy and water chemistry suggest that they are in-formative as state analogs," http://www.geol.umd.edu/~kaufman/ppt...y/Knoll_05.pdf Morphological Biosignatures and the Search for Life on Mars "Determining the location of potential paleobiological repositories on Mars requires an understanding of the martian surface in terms of elemental abundances and mineralogy. This variety of hematite on Earth forms only in the presence of large amounts of water, and typically at elevated (hydrothermal) temperatures (Christensen et al., 2000)." http://geology.asu.edu/jfarmer/pubs/pdfs/morpho.pdf ps. Stock charts display such total system variable uncertainty very well at times. And when they do universal or self organized behavior erupts. Internal order begins that is not ...at all.. dependent on any system specific details. I'm trying to hint that I'm very successfully testing this concept in the real world. I know it's valid. And if your interested in how to play the market using chaos theory...I'll tell you all about it. And you can see for yourself how this concepts manifests itself. s |
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