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Bert wrote:
Here in the Orlando area our weather man gives everything a 50% chance Go figure Bert No wonder things are dead here. Google isn't displaying anything after 6 AM! Must be their service techs have all runoff to join the "Black Friday" crowds at the mall! I'll try to post this reply as a new topic and see what happens. When I was young, I started noticing that the weathermen were wrong about half the time. I started keeping records of their predictions, and sure enough, they were wrong about 50% of the time. That's when I started ignoring them completely. I figured my guess was as good as theirs, and I could tell better just by looking at the sky. There were also those notorious occasions when a weatherman was predicting no possible rain for the day, and it would already be raining right outside the studio! In later years the weathermen got smarter. They started using the percentage predictions so they could hedge their bets. If you predict a 50% chance of rain, they can never be proved 100% wrong! Nowadays their prediction powers have indeed improved, and they're now worth heeding. Their technique hasn't changed, which is basically just to look down the track to see if a train is coming. But now they have so many satellite eyes in the sky, that they can see much more clearly what is coming their way. Still they like to hedge their bets with percentages. Double-A |
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