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Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider
signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Most people seem oblivious to global warming; we all drive bigger cars, use more fuel, and consume more energy. Our high consumption habits are responsible for the victims directly affected by global warming, be they starving Africans, suffering from famine, or those who are flooded from their homes. The Kyoto Protocol Partnership (www.kpp.org.uk) campaigns to make people more aware of their energy consumption and their impact on global warming. We encourage individuals and companies to reduce CO2 emissions to meet the targets set by the Kyoto Protocol. No point blaming politicians or someone else for global warming, we are all responsible as custodians for the planet, so let's all take care to reduce energy consumption, reduce waste, so that our children and grandchildren get left some resources to enjoy. |
#2
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![]() KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Hurricane frequency follows a roughly 60 year cycle. We were in a "down" cycle from about 1960 to 1990, and are now in an "up" cycle that will last until around 2020. Making a statement about the last 35 years, barely more than half a cycle, is like measuring daily temperatures at noon from December 1 to April 1 and coming to the conclusion that the world is in a "warming" trend. To get a reasonable indication on whether the frequency or severity of hurricanes is increasing, the current incidence should be compared with the same period in prior cycles. As a second point, North America is not the world, and not only the frequency of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, but frequency around the world should be taken into consideration. See the following links; I don't see any long term change. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastint.shtml - A. McIntire " Climate Change & Global Warming Hurricanes and Global Warming September 12, 2005 H=2E Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. In the wake of Katrina, the world scarcely needs reminding that it's that time of year again: Hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. It's no wonder that from June to November, every storm that forms in the Atlantic Ocean makes hearts race a little bit faster for people living in states along East Coast and Gulf of Mexico. When the naming of a storm leads to shortages of bottled water, basic foodstuffs, plywood and nails as people stock up on materials to batten down their homes and ride out the coming storm. For the past decade, hurricane season has also meant the appearance of environmental alarmists pronouncing to anyone who will listen that increasingly frequent and dangerous hurricanes are a direct result of human caused global warming. During 2004's extremely busy hurricane season, Kevin Trenberth, an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scientist, held a press conference at Harvard University at which he and others linked the outbreaks of intense hurricane activity to global warming. As the severity of Katrina was becoming apparent, environmental activist, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. attributed the hurricane to Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour's opposition to the Kyoto Protocol. There is just one problem: hurricane physics, historic data and ongoing hurricane research indicate that there is scant evidence linking human caused warming and more frequent or more powerful hurricanes. Concerning physics, temperatures are an important factor in hurricane formation and strength. Hurricanes are heat engines with their severity being driven in part by the differences in temperature between the heat source and the heat sink -- the smaller the difference, the less severe the storm season. While global warming is likely to cause the oceans to warm modestly in the coming century, air temperatures nearest the equator, where hurricanes form, will see little or no increase. While the reduced differential between the air and water temperatures alone is likely to be too small to result in fewer or less powerful hurricanes, it works against more hurricanes of greater intensity forming. At the 27th annual National Hurricane conference, University of Colorado atmospheric scientist, Dr. William Gray explained that nature, in the form of periodically changing ocean circulation patterns, not humans, is responsible hurricane cycles including the cycle of increasing hurricane activity that the world is currently experiencing. According to Gray, the number of Atlantic Hurricanes during the last decade, including 2004's above average season, is part of a completely natural, not at all unusual, multi-decadal cycle that scientists have monitored for more than 100 years. For approximately the past 25 years, the U.S. has experienced a relative lull in hurricane activity. Unfortunately for those living near the coasts, we recently began to come out of that cycle and into an active cycle like those experienced from approximately 1930 through 1950. Indeed, in the 1940's 23 hurricanes, eight of them category 3 or higher, hit the U.S. mainland. A paper to be published in the upcoming issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Hurricanes and Global Warming, by six noted tropical cyclone experts, makes three main points. First, that no connection has been established between greenhouse gas emissions and the observed behavior of hurricanes. Second, that the scientific consensus is that any future changes in hurricane intensities will likely be small the context of observed natural variability. Third, the zeal by some for political reasons to link future hurricanes to global warming, threatens both to undermine support for legitimate climate research and to lead to the implementation of policies that will be ineffective in mitigating hurricane impacts. Problems stemming from the politicization of global warming have already arisen. In a publicly released "Dear Colleague" letter in January of 2005, Chris Landsea, of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, resigned as an IPCC researcher. His resignation letter stated that he felt that in his area of expertise, climate and hurricanes, the IPCC had become too politicized. In particular he cited the Harvard press conference at which Kevin Trenberth linked the severity of the 2004 hurricane season to global warming. Landsea noted that none of the speakers at the Harvard conference cited any new research in the field to support their claims. He went on to point out that "...the evidence is quite strong and supported by the most recent credible studies that any impact in the future from global warming upon hurricanes will likely be quite small." Hurricanes are a natural phenomena that are costly and, all too often, deadly. With respect to hurricanes people have enough to fear without spreading scare stories that global warming will cause super storms with apocalyptic results for those living on or near the coasts. Global warming alarmists should be ashamed of themselves for playing on people's fears to promote their cause. |
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nightbat wrote
KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Most people seem oblivious to global warming; we all drive bigger cars, use more fuel, and consume more energy. Our high consumption habits are responsible for the victims directly affected by global warming, be they starving Africans, suffering from famine, or those who are flooded from their homes. The Kyoto Protocol Partnership (www.kpp.org.uk) campaigns to make people more aware of their energy consumption and their impact on global warming. We encourage individuals and companies to reduce CO2 emissions to meet the targets set by the Kyoto Protocol. No point blaming politicians or someone else for global warming, we are all responsible as custodians for the planet, so let's all take care to reduce energy consumption, reduce waste, so that our children and grandchildren get left some resources to enjoy. nightbat The problem of heat engines has been known since the discovery of the steam and petrol fuel engines. Of course population was a lot smaller back then as compared to now but the premise remains the same, they produce a lot of wasted heat. Dr. Tesla publicly addressed this profound problem and advocated the use of clean non polluting electric motors versus steam and gas engines to avoid the foreseeable eco atmosphere long term possible negative effects. To date the corporate organized oil men refuse to face this issue because of the long 100 year+ old cheap cost of oil high profit derived fuel versus researched alternate energy sources. When the 100 year old Middle East oil fixed cost signed contract leases ran out the problem reemerged as how do we now pay for the increasing demand for oil dependent World economy? The solution is simple per Dr Tesla's profound warning, go electric or suffer the consequences. He also publicly informed the person who solves the Tesla final factor for energy electric renewable power will be the greatest genius of all time. He profoundly completed three quarters of it but remaining elusive quarter escaped him, until the nightbat. Human demand for more power isn't the problem it's an increasing World population necessity, and actually, the limited oil reserves fuel dependent heat engines are. The Captain and elite Earth Science Team are here and the choice is yours like its always been, more clean unlimited power via products using electric motors versus steam and oil fueled petrol heat engines, you make the choice but remember oil reserves are limited and we only have one evidenced life bearing planet. And the great clean electric thing is we can still have oil burning engines once you have energy renewable means to make more economical renewable oil plus enough unlimited power to clean up the atmosphere and environment. ponder on, the nightbat |
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nightbat wrote:
nightbat wrote KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Most people seem oblivious to global warming; we all drive bigger cars, use more fuel, and consume more energy. Our high consumption habits are responsible for the victims directly affected by global warming, be they starving Africans, suffering from famine, or those who are flooded from their homes. The Kyoto Protocol Partnership (www.kpp.org.uk) campaigns to make people more aware of their energy consumption and their impact on global warming. We encourage individuals and companies to reduce CO2 emissions to meet the targets set by the Kyoto Protocol. No point blaming politicians or someone else for global warming, we are all responsible as custodians for the planet, so let's all take care to reduce energy consumption, reduce waste, so that our children and grandchildren get left some resources to enjoy. nightbat The problem of heat engines has been known since the discovery of the steam and petrol fuel engines. Of course population was a lot smaller back then as compared to now but the premise remains the same, they produce a lot of wasted heat. A short, concise statement demonstrating that you know zero about what the term "global warming" means. Dr. Tesla publicly addressed this profound problem and advocated the use of clean non polluting electric motors versus steam and gas engines to avoid the foreseeable eco atmosphere long term possible negative effects. How do you turn the shafts of the motors, pseudoscientist? To date the corporate organized oil men refuse to face this issue because of the long 100 year+ old cheap cost of oil high profit derived fuel versus researched alternate energy sources. You evidence for this wild statement is what? When the 100 year old Middle East oil fixed cost signed contract leases ran out the problem reemerged as how do we now pay for the increasing demand for oil dependent World economy? Yoda-speak is your friend. The solution is simple per Dr Tesla's profound warning, go electric or suffer the consequences. How do you turn the shafts of the motors, saucerhead? He also publicly informed the person who solves the Tesla final factor for energy electric renewable power will be the greatest genius of all time. He profoundly completed three quarters of it but remaining elusive quarter escaped him, until the nightbat. Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahah Yes, you certainly deserve a VVFWS. Human demand for more power isn't the problem it's an increasing World population necessity, and actually, the limited oil reserves fuel dependent heat engines are. The Captain and elite Earth Science Team are here BFD. and the choice is yours like its always been, more clean unlimited power via products using electric motors versus steam and oil fueled petrol heat engines, you make the choice but remember oil reserves are limited and we only have one evidenced life bearing planet. How do you turn the shafts of the electric motors, saucerhead? And the great clean electric thing is we can still have oil burning engines once you have energy renewable means to make more economical renewable oil plus enough unlimited power to clean up the atmosphere and environment. ponder on, the nightbat "And Darla will hoist me away to Margaritaville!" -- Official Associate AFA-B Vote Rustler "The original human being was a female hermaphrodite with both male and female genitalia." "Human beings CAN NOT live in a solar system without a sun with a ferrite core and a planet without a solid iron core." -- Alexa Cameron, Kook of the Year 2004 |
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nightbat wrote:
nightbat wrote wrote: KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Hurricane frequency follows a roughly 60 year cycle. We were in a "down" cycle from about 1960 to 1990, and are now in an "up" cycle that will last until around 2020. Making a statement about the last 35 years, barely more than half a cycle, is like measuring daily temperatures t noon from December 1 to April 1 and coming to the conclusion that the world is in a "warming" trend. To get a reasonable indication on whether the frequency or severity of hurricanes is increasing, the current incidence should be compared with the same period in prior cycles. As a second point, North America is not the world, and not only the frequency of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, but frequency around the world should be taken into consideration. See the following links; I don't see any long term change. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastint.shtml - A. McIntire " Climate Change & Global Warming Hurricanes and Global Warming September 12, 2005 H=2E Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. In the wake of Katrina, the world scarcely needs reminding that it's that time of year again: Hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. It's no wonder that from June to November, every storm that forms in the Atlantic Ocean makes hearts race a little bit faster for people living in states along East Coast and Gulf of Mexico. When the naming of a storm leads to shortages of bottled water, basic foodstuffs, plywood and nails as people stock up on materials to batten down their homes and ride out the coming storm. For the past decade, hurricane season has also meant the appearance of environmental alarmists pronouncing to anyone who will listen that increasingly frequent and dangerous hurricanes are a direct result of human caused global warming. During 2004's extremely busy hurricane season, Kevin Trenberth, an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scientist, held a press conference at Harvard University at which he and others linked the outbreaks of intense hurricane activity to global warming. As the severity of Katrina was becoming apparent, environmental activist, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. attributed the hurricane to Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour's opposition to the Kyoto Protocol. There is just one problem: hurricane physics, historic data and ongoing hurricane research indicate that there is scant evidence linking human caused warming and more frequent or more powerful hurricanes. Concerning physics, temperatures are an important factor in hurricane formation and strength. Hurricanes are heat engines with their severity being driven in part by the differences in temperature between the heat source and the heat sink -- the smaller the difference, the less severe the storm season. While global warming is likely to cause the oceans to warm modestly in the coming century, air temperatures nearest the equator, where hurricanes form, will see little or no increase. While the reduced differential between the air and water temperatures alone is likely to be too small to result in fewer or less powerful hurricanes, it works against more hurricanes of greater intensity forming. At the 27th annual National Hurricane conference, University of Colorado atmospheric scientist, Dr. William Gray explained that nature, in the form of periodically changing ocean circulation patterns, not humans, is responsible hurricane cycles including the cycle of increasing hurricane activity that the world is currently experiencing. According to Gray, the number of Atlantic Hurricanes during the last decade, including 2004's above average season, is part of a completely natural, not at all unusual, multi-decadal cycle that scientists have monitored for more than 100 years. For approximately the past 25 years, the U.S. has experienced a relative lull in hurricane activity. Unfortunately for those living near the coasts, we recently began to come out of that cycle and into an active cycle like those experienced from approximately 1930 through 1950. Indeed, in the 1940's 23 hurricanes, eight of them category 3 or higher, hit the U.S. mainland. A paper to be published in the upcoming issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Hurricanes and Global Warming, by six noted tropical cyclone experts, makes three main points. First, that no connection has been established between greenhouse gas emissions and the observed behavior of hurricanes. Second, that the scientific consensus is that any future changes in hurricane intensities will likely be small the context of observed natural variability. Third, the zeal by some for political reasons to link future hurricanes to global warming, threatens both to undermine support for legitimate climate research and to lead to the implementation of policies that will be ineffective in mitigating hurricane impacts. Problems stemming from the politicization of global warming have already arisen. In a publicly released "Dear Colleague" letter in January of 2005, Chris Landsea, of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, resigned as an IPCC researcher. His resignation letter stated that he felt that in his area of expertise, climate and hurricanes, the IPCC had become too politicized. In particular he cited the Harvard press conference at which Kevin Trenberth linked the severity of the 2004 hurricane season to global warming. Landsea noted that none of the speakers at the Harvard conference cited any new research in the field to support their claims. He went on to point out that "...the evidence is quite strong and supported by the most recent credible studies that any impact in the future from global warming upon hurricanes will likely be quite small." Hurricanes are a natural phenomena that are costly and, all too often, deadly. With respect to hurricanes people have enough to fear without spreading scare stories that global warming will cause super storms with apocalyptic results for those living on or near the coasts. Global warming alarmists should be ashamed of themselves for playing on people's fears to promote their cause. nightbat The evidenced effects of the most powerful occurring multi canes is proof enough of atmospheric and sea heat absorbed energy fueled events. Are you an expert on hurricane history? Additionally experienced hurricane Officer Bert's and other Team Officers iterations of noted weather pointing and evidentiary sea heating melting pole glaciers is affirming of rising potential sea levels. You suggest there is no evidence linking global warming to increasing powerful hurricanes yet you dismiss noted observed events as purely cyclical and normal and advocate to stop the gloom and doom. Tell that to the thousands that died and have been injured and sea coast flooded due to the increasing powerful hurricanes especially now Katrina and Rita. ponder on, the nightbat What happened in 1900, saucerhead? What happened in 1915, saucerhead? What happened in 1968, saucerhead? Another example of "profound elite earth space officer" thinking. -- Official Associate AFA-B Vote Rustler "The original human being was a female hermaphrodite with both male and female genitalia." "Human beings CAN NOT live in a solar system without a sun with a ferrite core and a planet without a solid iron core." -- Alexa Cameron, Kook of the Year 2004 |
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![]() Art Deco wrote: nightbat wrote: nightbat wrote KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Most people seem oblivious to global warming; we all drive bigger cars, use more fuel, and consume more energy. Our high consumption habits are responsible for the victims directly affected by global warming, be they starving Africans, suffering from famine, or those who are flooded from their homes. The Kyoto Protocol Partnership (www.kpp.org.uk) campaigns to make people more aware of their energy consumption and their impact on global warming. We encourage individuals and companies to reduce CO2 emissions to meet the targets set by the Kyoto Protocol. No point blaming politicians or someone else for global warming, we are all responsible as custodians for the planet, so let's all take care to reduce energy consumption, reduce waste, so that our children and grandchildren get left some resources to enjoy. nightbat The problem of heat engines has been known since the discovery of the steam and petrol fuel engines. Of course population was a lot smaller back then as compared to now but the premise remains the same, they produce a lot of wasted heat. A short, concise statement demonstrating that you know zero about what the term "global warming" means. Dr. Tesla publicly addressed this profound problem and advocated the use of clean non polluting electric motors versus steam and gas engines to avoid the foreseeable eco atmosphere long term possible negative effects. How do you turn the shafts of the motors, pseudoscientist? To date the corporate organized oil men refuse to face this issue because of the long 100 year+ old cheap cost of oil high profit derived fuel versus researched alternate energy sources. You evidence for this wild statement is what? When the 100 year old Middle East oil fixed cost signed contract leases ran out the problem reemerged as how do we now pay for the increasing demand for oil dependent World economy? Yoda-speak is your friend. The solution is simple per Dr Tesla's profound warning, go electric or suffer the consequences. How do you turn the shafts of the motors, saucerhead? He also publicly informed the person who solves the Tesla final factor for energy electric renewable power will be the greatest genius of all time. He profoundly completed three quarters of it but remaining elusive quarter escaped him, until the nightbat. Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahah Yes, you certainly deserve a VVFWS. Human demand for more power isn't the problem it's an increasing World population necessity, and actually, the limited oil reserves fuel dependent heat engines are. The Captain and elite Earth Science Team are here BFD. and the choice is yours like its always been, more clean unlimited power via products using electric motors versus steam and oil fueled petrol heat engines, you make the choice but remember oil reserves are limited and we only have one evidenced life bearing planet. How do you turn the shafts of the electric motors, saucerhead? And the great clean electric thing is we can still have oil burning engines once you have energy renewable means to make more economical renewable oil plus enough unlimited power to clean up the atmosphere and environment. ponder on, the nightbat "And Darla will hoist me away to Margaritaville!" -- Official Associate AFA-B Vote Rustler Art, if you keep responding to every one of the nightbat's posts, people may begin to think that you two are working as a team! Double-A |
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nightbat wrote
Double-A wrote: Art Deco wrote: nightbat wrote: nightbat wrote KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Most people seem oblivious to global warming; we all drive bigger cars, use more fuel, and consume more energy. Our high consumption habits are responsible for the victims directly affected by global warming, be they starving Africans, suffering from famine, or those who are flooded from their homes. The Kyoto Protocol Partnership (www.kpp.org.uk) campaigns to make people more aware of their energy consumption and their impact on global warming. We encourage individuals and companies to reduce CO2 emissions to meet the targets set by the Kyoto Protocol. No point blaming politicians or someone else for global warming, we are all responsible as custodians for the planet, so let's all take care to reduce energy consumption, reduce waste, so that our children and grandchildren get left some resources to enjoy. nightbat The problem of heat engines has been known since the discovery of the steam and petrol fuel engines. Of course population was a lot smaller back then as compared to now but the premise remains the same, they produce a lot of wasted heat. A short, concise statement demonstrating that you know zero about what the term "global warming" means. Dr. Tesla publicly addressed this profound problem and advocated the use of clean non polluting electric motors versus steam and gas engines to avoid the foreseeable eco atmosphere long term possible negative effects. How do you turn the shafts of the motors, pseudoscientist? To date the corporate organized oil men refuse to face this issue because of the long 100 year+ old cheap cost of oil high profit derived fuel versus researched alternate energy sources. You evidence for this wild statement is what? When the 100 year old Middle East oil fixed cost signed contract leases ran out the problem reemerged as how do we now pay for the increasing demand for oil dependent World economy? Yoda-speak is your friend. The solution is simple per Dr Tesla's profound warning, go electric or suffer the consequences. How do you turn the shafts of the motors, saucerhead? He also publicly informed the person who solves the Tesla final factor for energy electric renewable power will be the greatest genius of all time. He profoundly completed three quarters of it but remaining elusive quarter escaped him, until the nightbat. Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahah Yes, you certainly deserve a VVFWS. Human demand for more power isn't the problem it's an increasing World population necessity, and actually, the limited oil reserves fuel dependent heat engines are. The Captain and elite Earth Science Team are here BFD. and the choice is yours like its always been, more clean unlimited power via products using electric motors versus steam and oil fueled petrol heat engines, you make the choice but remember oil reserves are limited and we only have one evidenced life bearing planet. How do you turn the shafts of the electric motors, saucerhead? And the great clean electric thing is we can still have oil burning engines once you have energy renewable means to make more economical renewable oil plus enough unlimited power to clean up the atmosphere and environment. ponder on, the nightbat "And Darla will hoist me away to Margaritaville!" -- Official Associate AFA-B Vote Rustler Art, if you keep responding to every one of the nightbat's posts, people may begin to think that you two are working as a team! Double-A nightbat Well honestly Officer Double-A for a coffee boy he shows much promise as I Captain observe and concur with your first deductions. He astutely zeros in the aspect most common miss and secretly and intuitively knows what we are talking about. A following science hero like sidekick almost only with a mouth. How can this be, none of the other clueless ones show such promise in rising above. The deepest Team understood scientific connections he wonders about and craves the answers. Strange, who is this Bart Devo and how does he dart throw so well? My Captain Team duties keep me occupied and it was you that 1st noticed the coffee boy with sparks of possibility enigma that is the Bart. Just remember your initial faith in the Saul whose disrespectful foul mouth wound him in the stowed Captain's cabinet. I will keep my eye on this Bart for the perceiving force is strong in this one only he doesn't know it. Bucking for Science Star Officer status takes guts only the very best make it. carry on, the nightbat |
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![]() nightbat wrote: nightbat wrote wrote: KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Hurricane frequency follows a roughly 60 year cycle. We were in a "down" cycle from about 1960 to 1990, and are now in an "up" cycle that will last until around 2020. Making a statement about the last 35 years, barely more than half a cycle, is like measuring daily temperatures at noon from December 1 to April 1 and coming to the conclusion that the world is in a "warming" trend. To get a reasonable indication on whether the frequency or severity of hurricanes is increasing, the current incidence should be compared with the same period in prior cycles. As a second point, North America is not the world, and not only the frequency of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, but frequency around the world should be taken into consideration. See the following links; I don't see any long term change. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastint.shtml - A. McIntire " Climate Change & Global Warming Hurricanes and Global Warming September 12, 2005 H=2E Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. In the wake of Katrina, the world scarcely needs reminding that it's that time of year again: Hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. It's no wonder that from June to November, every storm that forms in the Atlantic Ocean makes hearts race a little bit faster for people living in states along East Coast and Gulf of Mexico. When the naming of a storm leads to shortages of bottled water, basic foodstuffs, plywood and nails as people stock up on materials to batten down their homes and ride out the coming storm. For the past decade, hurricane season has also meant the appearance of environmental alarmists pronouncing to anyone who will listen that increasingly frequent and dangerous hurricanes are a direct result of human caused global warming. During 2004's extremely busy hurricane season, Kevin Trenberth, an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scientist, held a press conference at Harvard University at which he and others linked the outbreaks of intense hurricane activity to global warming. As the severity of Katrina was becoming apparent, environmental activist, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. attributed the hurricane to Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour's opposition to the Kyoto Protocol. There is just one problem: hurricane physics, historic data and ongoing hurricane research indicate that there is scant evidence linking human caused warming and more frequent or more powerful hurricanes. Concerning physics, temperatures are an important factor in hurricane formation and strength. Hurricanes are heat engines with their severity being driven in part by the differences in temperature between the heat source and the heat sink -- the smaller the difference, the less severe the storm season. While global warming is likely to cause the oceans to warm modestly in the coming century, air temperatures nearest the equator, where hurricanes form, will see little or no increase. While the reduced differential between the air and water temperatures alone is likely to be too small to result in fewer or less powerful hurricanes, it works against more hurricanes of greater intensity forming. At the 27th annual National Hurricane conference, University of Colorado atmospheric scientist, Dr. William Gray explained that nature, in the form of periodically changing ocean circulation patterns, not humans, is responsible hurricane cycles including the cycle of increasing hurricane activity that the world is currently experiencing. According to Gray, the number of Atlantic Hurricanes during the last decade, including 2004's above average season, is part of a completely natural, not at all unusual, multi-decadal cycle that scientists have monitored for more than 100 years. For approximately the past 25 years, the U.S. has experienced a relative lull in hurricane activity. Unfortunately for those living near the coasts, we recently began to come out of that cycle and into an active cycle like those experienced from approximately 1930 through 1950. Indeed, in the 1940's 23 hurricanes, eight of them category 3 or higher, hit the U.S. mainland. A paper to be published in the upcoming issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Hurricanes and Global Warming, by six noted tropical cyclone experts, makes three main points. First, that no connection has been established between greenhouse gas emissions and the observed behavior of hurricanes. Second, that the scientific consensus is that any future changes in hurricane intensities will likely be small the context of observed natural variability. Third, the zeal by some for political reasons to link future hurricanes to global warming, threatens both to undermine support for legitimate climate research and to lead to the implementation of policies that will be ineffective in mitigating hurricane impacts. Problems stemming from the politicization of global warming have already arisen. In a publicly released "Dear Colleague" letter in January of 2005, Chris Landsea, of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, resigned as an IPCC researcher. His resignation letter stated that he felt that in his area of expertise, climate and hurricanes, the IPCC had become too politicized. In particular he cited the Harvard press conference at which Kevin Trenberth linked the severity of the 2004 hurricane season to global warming. Landsea noted that none of the speakers at the Harvard conference cited any new research in the field to support their claims. He went on to point out that "...the evidence is quite strong and supported by the most recent credible studies that any impact in the future from global warming upon hurricanes will likely be quite small." Hurricanes are a natural phenomena that are costly and, all too often, deadly. With respect to hurricanes people have enough to fear without spreading scare stories that global warming will cause super storms with apocalyptic results for those living on or near the coasts. Global warming alarmists should be ashamed of themselves for playing on people's fears to promote their cause. nightbat The evidenced effects of the most powerful occurring multi canes is proof enough of atmospheric and sea heat absorbed energy fueled events. Additionally experienced hurricane Officer Bert's and other Team Officers iterations of noted weather pointing and evidentiary sea heating melting pole glaciers is affirming of rising potential sea levels. You suggest there is no evidence linking global warming to increasing powerful hurricanes yet you dismiss noted observed events as purely cyclical and normal and advocate to stop the gloom and doom. Tell that to the thousands that died and have been injured and sea coast flooded due to the increasing powerful hurricanes especially now Katrina and Rita. ponder on, the nightbat |
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![]() nightbat wrote: nightbat wrote wrote: KPP wrote: Do you think it might be a good time for President Bush to reconsider signing the Kyoto agreement? He declined to earlier, deciding that doing so, might adversely affect the economic prosperity of the United States. Paying out billions of dollars to hurricane victims might also put a dent in the budget, so while he deals with the effects of global warming, perhaps he might also consider the cause. Hurricanes and climate change will have a massive effect on the quality of life for future generations. Hurricane frequency follows a roughly 60 year cycle. We were in a "down" cycle from about 1960 to 1990, and are now in an "up" cycle that will last until around 2020. Making a statement about the last 35 years, barely more than half a cycle, is like measuring daily temperatures at noon from December 1 to April 1 and coming to the conclusion that the world is in a "warming" trend. To get a reasonable indication on whether the frequency or severity of hurricanes is increasing, the current incidence should be compared with the same period in prior cycles. As a second point, North America is not the world, and not only the frequency of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, but frequency around the world should be taken into consideration. See the following links; I don't see any long term change. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastint.shtml - A. McIntire " Climate Change & Global Warming Hurricanes and Global Warming September 12, 2005 H=2E Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. In the wake of Katrina, the world scarcely needs reminding that it's that time of year again: Hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. It's no wonder that from June to November, every storm that forms in the Atlantic Ocean makes hearts race a little bit faster for people living in states along East Coast and Gulf of Mexico. When the naming of a storm leads to shortages of bottled water, basic foodstuffs, plywood and nails as people stock up on materials to batten down their homes and ride out the coming storm. For the past decade, hurricane season has also meant the appearance of environmental alarmists pronouncing to anyone who will listen that increasingly frequent and dangerous hurricanes are a direct result of human caused global warming. During 2004's extremely busy hurricane season, Kevin Trenberth, an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scientist, held a press conference at Harvard University at which he and others linked the outbreaks of intense hurricane activity to global warming. As the severity of Katrina was becoming apparent, environmental activist, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. attributed the hurricane to Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour's opposition to the Kyoto Protocol. There is just one problem: hurricane physics, historic data and ongoing hurricane research indicate that there is scant evidence linking human caused warming and more frequent or more powerful hurricanes. Concerning physics, temperatures are an important factor in hurricane formation and strength. Hurricanes are heat engines with their severity being driven in part by the differences in temperature between the heat source and the heat sink -- the smaller the difference, the less severe the storm season. While global warming is likely to cause the oceans to warm modestly in the coming century, air temperatures nearest the equator, where hurricanes form, will see little or no increase. While the reduced differential between the air and water temperatures alone is likely to be too small to result in fewer or less powerful hurricanes, it works against more hurricanes of greater intensity forming. At the 27th annual National Hurricane conference, University of Colorado atmospheric scientist, Dr. William Gray explained that nature, in the form of periodically changing ocean circulation patterns, not humans, is responsible hurricane cycles including the cycle of increasing hurricane activity that the world is currently experiencing. According to Gray, the number of Atlantic Hurricanes during the last decade, including 2004's above average season, is part of a completely natural, not at all unusual, multi-decadal cycle that scientists have monitored for more than 100 years. For approximately the past 25 years, the U.S. has experienced a relative lull in hurricane activity. Unfortunately for those living near the coasts, we recently began to come out of that cycle and into an active cycle like those experienced from approximately 1930 through 1950. Indeed, in the 1940's 23 hurricanes, eight of them category 3 or higher, hit the U.S. mainland. A paper to be published in the upcoming issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Hurricanes and Global Warming, by six noted tropical cyclone experts, makes three main points. First, that no connection has been established between greenhouse gas emissions and the observed behavior of hurricanes. Second, that the scientific consensus is that any future changes in hurricane intensities will likely be small the context of observed natural variability. Third, the zeal by some for political reasons to link future hurricanes to global warming, threatens both to undermine support for legitimate climate research and to lead to the implementation of policies that will be ineffective in mitigating hurricane impacts. Problems stemming from the politicization of global warming have already arisen. In a publicly released "Dear Colleague" letter in January of 2005, Chris Landsea, of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, resigned as an IPCC researcher. His resignation letter stated that he felt that in his area of expertise, climate and hurricanes, the IPCC had become too politicized. In particular he cited the Harvard press conference at which Kevin Trenberth linked the severity of the 2004 hurricane season to global warming. Landsea noted that none of the speakers at the Harvard conference cited any new research in the field to support their claims. He went on to point out that "...the evidence is quite strong and supported by the most recent credible studies that any impact in the future from global warming upon hurricanes will likely be quite small." Hurricanes are a natural phenomena that are costly and, all too often, deadly. With respect to hurricanes people have enough to fear without spreading scare stories that global warming will cause super storms with apocalyptic results for those living on or near the coasts. Global warming alarmists should be ashamed of themselves for playing on people's fears to promote their cause. nightbat The evidenced effects of the most powerful occurring multi canes is proof enough of atmospheric and sea heat absorbed energy fueled events. (cut) You ignored my links. We are NOT experiencing the most powerful hurricanes ever, now. Hurricane frequency follows a roughly 60 year cycle. We were in a "down" cycle from about 1960 to 1990, and are now in an "up" cycle that will last until around 2020. Making a statement about the last 35 years, barely more than half a cycle, is like measuring daily temperatures at noon from December 1 to April 1 and coming to the conclusion that the world is in a "warming" trend. To get a reasonable indication on whether the frequency or severity of hurricanes is increasing, the current incidence should be compared with the same period in prior cycles. As a second point, North America is not the world, and not only the frequency of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, but frequency around the world should be taken into consideration. See the following links; I don't see any long term change. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastint.shtml - A. McIntire |
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