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Kliper and CEV



 
 
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  #1  
Old August 18th 05, 03:24 PM
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Default Kliper and CEV

Russia has set some approximate dates for Kliper's first flight:

http://www.spacedaily.com/news/rocketscience-05zz.html

They also hinting at international co-operation. The timeline is
roughly the same as CEV. How do you think this will play out?

Considering that Kliper is already in a mock-up stage and CEV is still
in powerpoint mode, do you think there will be pressure for NASA to use
Kliper instead of CEV? Likewise, will the RSA use CEV instead of Kliper
like they did with Shuttle/Buran?

Comments anyone?

Gene DiGennaro
Baltimore, Md.

  #2  
Old August 18th 05, 05:11 PM
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Anybody (well, nearly...) can build a metal scale 1 model for $ 1
million. Building a $5 billion spacecraft is another story.

  #3  
Old August 18th 05, 05:54 PM
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You and I both know that but what about the congresscritters?

  #5  
Old August 18th 05, 09:22 PM
Jeff Findley
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wrote in message
oups.com...
Anybody (well, nearly...) can build a metal scale 1 model for $ 1
million. Building a $5 billion spacecraft is another story.


A proper spacecraft like Kliper ought not to cost $5 billion to develop.

Jeff
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Remove icky phrase from email address to get a valid address.


  #6  
Old August 18th 05, 09:21 PM
Jeff Findley
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wrote in message
oups.com...
Russia has set some approximate dates for Kliper's first flight:

http://www.spacedaily.com/news/rocketscience-05zz.html

They also hinting at international co-operation. The timeline is
roughly the same as CEV. How do you think this will play out?

Considering that Kliper is already in a mock-up stage and CEV is still
in powerpoint mode, do you think there will be pressure for NASA to use
Kliper instead of CEV? Likewise, will the RSA use CEV instead of Kliper
like they did with Shuttle/Buran?

Comments anyone?


No bucks, no Buck Rogers.

I'd say if they can attract foreign partners, which shouldn't be too hard
since it looks like the US is going to back out of as much of its ISS
commitments as it can, they ought to be able to build it. If they could get
ESA and Japan on board, I think they could get the funding they need to
develop the ship.

What's in it for ESA and Japan? They could increase the crew size on ISS
without the CRV that the US promised to deliver. Without an increased crew
size (beyond three, I think it's unlikely that ESA and Japan will be able to
send anyone to ISS, except for the occasional short term visit on a Soyuz
rotation. Without a more permanent presence on ISS, their investment in ISS
will never "pay off".

The only potential problem would be working out the agreements so that ESA
and Japan can minimize the cash they send to Russia. If they could provide
hardware, perhaps even launches, instead of cash, I think they would be more
likely to join with Russia.

After all, NASA looks like it's going to develop yet another launch vehicle
and spacecraft on its own, which leaves ESA and Japan as "second class
citizens" in space.

Jeff
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Remove icky phrase from email address to get a valid address.


  #7  
Old August 18th 05, 10:31 PM
Cardman
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On Thu, 18 Aug 2005 16:21:12 -0400, "Jeff Findley"
wrote:

wrote in message
roups.com...
Russia has set some approximate dates for Kliper's first flight:

http://www.spacedaily.com/news/rocketscience-05zz.html

They also hinting at international co-operation. The timeline is
roughly the same as CEV. How do you think this will play out?

Considering that Kliper is already in a mock-up stage and CEV is still
in powerpoint mode, do you think there will be pressure for NASA to use
Kliper instead of CEV? Likewise, will the RSA use CEV instead of Kliper
like they did with Shuttle/Buran?

Comments anyone?


No bucks, no Buck Rogers.

I'd say if they can attract foreign partners,


The EU and Russians intend to pay for it.

which shouldn't be too hard since it looks like the US is going to back out
of as much of its ISS commitments as it can,


I am not sure what way to take this comment. NASA certainly won't fund
the Klipper (or "Clipper" as they now like to call it) for at least
two reasons. NASA killing ISS obligations could create quite a fuss
though.

NASA is not planning to break those commitments yet anyway. They are
just currently too hopeless to shift them at a suitable rate. I
suspect that they could improve when they ditch these safety notions
and go back to trying to launch on schedule.

they ought to be able to build it.


The EU and Russia has already approved funding, which is why the
expected launch year has now been set.

If they could get ESA and Japan on board,


ESA is already on board. They approved large scale funding on Klipper
last month. The Russian government then approved funding so that it
became a joint project.

I am not sure if any other country will chip in. This is mostly just
one more step as the EU and Russian space organizations come very
close to complete merger.

As I said before this is a good deal for both sides. The EU gets the
Russian experience and a cheapish manned space programme, while the
Russians get the funding to do all the stuff that they wanted to do
ever since the USSR came to an end and terminated most of their
funding.

I think they could get the funding they need to develop the ship.


They already have it. Pending the political paperwork of course.

Klipper is a go. Unmanned flight in 2011, and manned in 2012.

What's in it for ESA and Japan?


ESA has always wanted a manned space programme. For some reason that
idea just never got off the ground. Even their Ariane 5 rocket was
being planned to launch their craft.

Considering NASA's Moon and beyond programme, then the EU has felt a
pressing need to keep up with the Americans.

The Russians have been wanting to do Klipper for quite a few years
now, but only this large EU funding is now causing this project to go
ahead. That reason is exactly why the Russians already have a test
model to show off. They have been in a wishful state for a long time,
where following this go ahead, they have just now pulled out what they
have been playing with for the past few years.

I have no idea what the Japanese want to do. Their entire launch and
probe business seems to currently be in a questionable state. Too many
failures in other words.

They could increase the crew size on ISS without the CRV that the US
promised to deliver.


Since the Klipper is a six-person craft, then it seems ideal for a ISS
lifeboat. NASA had been wanting to do a 7-person version, but even
increasing the ISS crew to 6 would provide huge research gains.

Without an increased crew size (beyond three, I think it's unlikely that
ESA and Japan will be able to send anyone to ISS, except for the occasional
short term visit on a Soyuz rotation.


Well in the planned 7 person ISS, then they could have had nearly a
full time crew member. Since NASA is wanting to reduce ISS
commitments, then it is possible that the EU/Russians can take over.

The main problem in increasing the crew numbers on the ISS is that
NASA has not yet launched the required modules, like with the main
crew sleeping area. They only have one of their large solar panels up
there, meaning limited power. And I suspect that life support is not
quite ready for 7 people either.

Without a more permanent presence on ISS, their investment in ISS
will never "pay off".


NASA is already very many years behind schedule. Even if they did
manage regular launches (miracle...), then they still won't come close
to completing the ISS.

So either billions of dollars worth of modules get left on the ground,
or an alternate launch and installation system will have to be found.

The only potential problem would be working out the agreements so that ESA
and Japan can minimize the cash they send to Russia.


The EU seems more than happy to put large funding into this Russian
project. After all they desire a spacecraft right now, where the
Russians are just about offering to build them one.

Joint EU/Russian launches should be quite common in the future.

If they could provide hardware, perhaps even launches, instead of cash, I
think they would be more likely to join with Russia.


The EU's ESA is already joined as joined can be.

The Russian space agency got interested in EU funding when the Russian
government was bleeding them dry. This is just the latest project in a
long line of EU funding into the Russian space agency.

Another example is that the Russians are to soon move their launches
to the ESA launch complex in French Guiana. The Russians get a brand
new EU paid for launch pad, and a great launch location. The ESA can
then make better use of launches on Russian rockets.

So I would not be surprised if they come very close to merger in the
future.

After all, NASA looks like it's going to develop yet another launch vehicle
and spacecraft on its own, which leaves ESA and Japan as "second class
citizens" in space.


The Russians have been doing well enough for a long time. This is just
a good point for funding into new and better hardware.

Cardman.
  #8  
Old August 18th 05, 11:22 PM
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The executive of ESA has signed some paperwork with the Russians, but
as far as i know there has been no approval of any European Government
for this adventure.

Obviously the executive of ESA is trying to twist the arm of its member
Governments in view of the Ministerial Conference of this year, to get
them into financing klipper, but so far any commitment of the executive
is without money and therefore without value.

  #9  
Old August 19th 05, 03:05 AM
Cardman
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On 18 Aug 2005 15:22:24 -0700, wrote:

The executive of ESA has signed some paperwork with the Russians, but
as far as i know there has been no approval of any European Government
for this adventure.


Well what I recall on this matter is that just before the 1st of this
month I read some news that clearly stated that this matter went
before the European Parliament and they voted to approve funding on
this project.

Thinking about it more now, then I guess this EU step was just to
approve the funding in order to get the ball rolling on a design or
whatever. This news did not clarify what this payment was exactly for
in other words.

Obviously the executive of ESA is trying to twist the arm of its member
Governments in view of the Ministerial Conference of this year, to get
them into financing klipper, but so far any commitment of the executive
is without money and therefore without value.


Well one thing about the EU is that one of the few areas that they can
all agree on is "space". And I certainly see no reason why they would
not jump to get on board this one. The ESA has certainly been doing
some great things in recent years.

Also I should mention that the ESA falls under the EU. So I am not
sure how individual governments would play a part, other than the
normal method of through their own EMPs. The EU also have their own
huge budget to spend, where ESA is one expense.

I think that I should go and look up the funding details for the ESA's
Jules Verne cargo craft, when they have done this once already.

In any case the Russians are so happy with the developments over the
past few weeks that they have now set the launch date. Combined with
what I read, then Klipper very much seems to be in the works.

Cardman.
 




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